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Woodys BAGS thread
Woodys BAGS thread
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Replies: 104
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You have tipped 7 favs up on this "BAGS" thread alone, 4 have lost, i think you will find T R's strike rate is a lot better than that , and he doesn't always tip the favourite !
AS for arbing , you total d1ckhead this was one of your first posts .... woodmanchester 29 Aug 11 06:46 The point is the bookmakers got it wrong and there is money to be made backing at 6/1 and laying at sp 7/2. Same applies to my comment about Taylors Sky and Longwood Fantasy, who was available at 12/1 but returned 6/1! |
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Wonder, it means he's got interest on 6 dogs, thats making life difficult for yourself in my book, instead of picking just one. It's only 1 dog that wins the bet
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Here the some odds for a fair dice:
1. 3-1 2. 11-2 3. 11-2 4. 11-2 5. 11-2 6. 11-2 only 1 number can come up - how many bets are you having? |
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No idea Wonder, too complicated for me. Lay 3 dogs, back 3 dogs is 6 bets to me
Bloody hell Irish, you must have an in-depth profile on me, are you "plod"?  |
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Woody i'll explain, they all have the same chance of happening. So you have 6 possibilities and they all have equal chance. 100 % 6 = 16.666666666666666 - let's say 16.67 for ease, they should all be 5/1.
3/1 - says it has a 25% chance of happening (great lay then) 11/2 - says it has a 15.38% chance of happening (so you're getting better odds than it's chance) |
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However Wonders dice may be loaded so i'm not playing
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the 3-1 is a bit of value PF
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"Bloody hell Irish, you must have an in-depth profile on me, are you "plod"? "
Yeah woody, helps me to suss out the people on here who are serious and not total nutters like yerself. I am sure you are on a wind up, somebody who worked in the game (allegedly) as long as you ? must know all about betting percentages... either that or you are totally thick and special needs. I'd bet on the latter currently but every time you contradict yerself like today the odds on you fisching come tumbling down . |
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1st 6/4
4th 9/4 2nd evens Unlucky yet again but this is very typical of the small fractions involved, when assessing BAGS races |
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WAFLOB Woody .......
Didn’t you do well today Woody ? one winning favourite, out of 3 chosen favourites. You really do need to use the proper bags thread, nobody will bite you and you might learn something. Three winners for me this morning 8/1 , 9/2 and 5/2 , not one fav amongst them panda•December 6, 2012 11:47 AM GMT 11.48 bet 2n5 also laid 3…… 2 WON 8/1 irishone•December 6, 2012 11:48 AM GMT on 2 ……………… WON 8/1 yorky•December 6, 2012 12:57 PM GMT 9/2 trap 1 jeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeez christmas come early Irishone December 6, 2012 12:57 PM GMT with yorky TRAP 1 …………………WON 9/2 irishone•December 6, 2012 1:12 PM GMT on 2sheff ….. 3rd 7/2 irishone•December 6, 2012 1:21 PM GMT like 5 save 1n2 ….. ALL LOST irishone•December 6, 2012 1:35 PM GMT… on1n2 …. 2 WON 5/2 |
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Glad youre all enjoying yourselves and seemingly doing well.
Do you think Farloe Tango will win tonight Irish? |
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TBH I'm too old and keep getting warhawk mixed with tango and ironman
...... how can you expect people to take you seriously when you come out with statements like "Farloe Tango has as much pace as any dog in training". Its hardly a provable hypothesis is it ? |
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What does provable hypothesis mean please?
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it means you are making a statement that has very little substance, what facts would you put up to support your view that the dog has as much pace as any dog in training ?
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i think jumeirah has probrably got better pace up
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would it beat lil risky to the bend or that other thing that came over last week ?
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Irish my friend, youre comparing sprinters there. Think nearly everyone else on the forum knew what i meant.
I was only saying why i thought it a race to watch only. Youre good at your stats and calculations and i know the dogs themselves. Let's leave it like that and call a truce instead of nit-picking all the time. It's all getting very tedious now |
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sorry thought tango was a sprinter
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Winding this thread dowsn now to join the hoards on the regular thread.
Round-up at time of close: 12 selections, 4 winners, 5 seconds. To a £1 level stake, total stakes £12, winnings £10.50, leaving a balance of -£1.50, not bad for 5 days entertainment  |
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Woody you came on here with this statement , (see above), "How hard can BAGS be when you did it decades for a living"
In the last 9 days you have selected 12 greyhounds, 10 of which started as favourite or joint favourite. Four of them won at prices of 5/4. 7/4,2/1 and 6/4. I seriously doubt that you ever made a living out of BAGS , you may have made a living out of writing about BAGS but you clearly dont know anything about profiting from Bags and it shows you how hard it is when basically you have shown you have not got a clue. Worse still you showed a lot of disrespect opening up your own bags thread not to mention "-£1.50, not bad for 5 days entertainment". Hope you have enjoyed your entetainment, as you call it , to me you have just shown yourself up to be a bigger d!ck than you were 9 days ago ! |
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Its impossible to pick a guaranteed fav when you put dogs up as early as me. I dont wait until 1 minute before the off. I weigh up the form and the make-up and pick a dog i think got a chance, so usually towards the sharp end of the market. I'm wasting my breath with you Irish, you dont listen and are totally unreasonable and nasty.
So, anyway, its with a heavy heart i need to block you  |
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i'm gutted
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how the fcuk did i miss this thread
woody takes it well though to be fair |
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.... he deserves it to be fair |