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**** NFL 2012/13 Dog punters thread ****

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By:
Stow_judge
When: 30 Sep 12 18:43
Some firm bet in running. The way Michael Turner is running, Carolina will need to score a lot of points to hold Atlanta.
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/carolina-panthers-at-atlanta-falcons/point-spread
By:
starr
When: 30 Sep 12 20:38
time for the real green bay to turn up.

- 6.1/2 bet 536 --- or
- 6 w ills
By:
starr
When: 07 Oct 12 17:33
chicago -4 1/2  on here will be my bet tonight
By:
starr
When: 14 Oct 12 17:42
where have all you nfl fans gone,
does nobody play anymore?

arizona - 4 1/2( on here)will do for me tonight
By:
Stow_judge
When: 15 Oct 12 11:31
I've been to Spain & came back late last night. I backed Jacksonville & San Diego in week 5 (1 won 1 lost) and left it alone last night, as I was travelling home. I normally run my database using last season's stats till week 5 or 6 and then switch over.

I ran the database for week 6 using last season's stats and then ran it again using this season's stats.

Using last season's stats, the picks were San Diego Chargers(play tonight), New York Jets(won), Miami Dolphins (lost on hcap, won game) and New England Patriots.(lost)

Using this seasons stats, the picks were Baltimore Ravens(lost on hcap, won game), Minnesota Vikings(lost), Houston Texans(lost), Tampa Bay Buccaneers(won) and Arizona Cardinals(lost). I do need to have a thorough check as the forecast handicaps were very high. There's data from around 10 spreadsheets, so it's easy to miss something, particularly as I was doing it remotely from Spain. As it's pretty complex, I need to re-discover how it works out each year.

It's tricky to decide when to switch over with the stats. My instincts tell me that there needs to be 6-7 weeks worth to work with. Also, I believe last season's stats seem to work for around the 1st 5 weeks. So, I planned to avoid betting in week 6 (worked well with my holiday) and probably be cautious in week 7, before getting back to normal stakes in week 8.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 21 Oct 12 16:40
small bet on the Bills -4 @ 10/11
By:
starr
When: 21 Oct 12 17:54
stay with green bay - 4

starting to get on a roll now
By:
Stow_judge
When: 04 Nov 12 16:45
A small bet on Chicago Bears (-3.5) to start (6pm)
The system says Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) are the best bet (1.30 am)
The system also suggests Tampa Bay. Not sure on this one yet. (9,05 pm)
By:
Stow_judge
When: 04 Nov 12 18:41
Cutler is absolutely useless. He thinks he has all day in the pocket, he holds the ball at waist height for what seems like an eternity. Thank f for Chicago's superb defence. Looks like the game will be largely painful viewing.
By:
starr
When: 04 Nov 12 20:08
think there is only me and you left dave,
so will not do a bit of after timing on you,Laugh

got a feeling about tony romo and the cowboys tonight
but would not bet the cowboys if it was a free bet,

so will have a little bet on the n.y.giants - 2-1/2
By:
Stow_judge
When: 05 Nov 12 09:40
All hail the system and it's modest designer! Laugh
By:
starr
When: 05 Nov 12 19:53
what you modest dave neverLaughLaughLaughLaugh

now if you can just have a go on the lottery tomorrow
with your luck you will scoop the lot and be able to by the stow Cool  LaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh
By:
Stow_judge
When: 06 Nov 12 07:53
I have thrown another score at the lottery, giving us another 20/76275360 (2.62*10^-7) of getting the Stow back with a single outright win or half of it. Happy
(Luck is looking good, I also backed New Orleans last night, won £250 on the Breeders cup and had a £125 double Man U & West Brom @ 8/11 & 3/4)
By:
Stow_judge
When: 07 Nov 12 23:14
This weeks system pick is MIAMI(NB) (-6). The "all conquering" system forecasts an 18 pt win Shocked

The system also suggests Pittsburgh Steelers(NAP), Baltimore Ravens, San Francisco 49ers and New England Patriots (in this order), but all are rejected on my golden rule:-
"THOUGH SHALL NOT GIVE UP OVER SEVEN POINTS ON THE HANDICAP ON THE NFL UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES"
By:
Stow_judge
When: 07 Nov 12 23:16
ps 849 view count
By:
starr
When: 08 Nov 12 18:38
only one of yours on my short list this week dave,
thats new england and the start will be to big to play but

have a close look at indi  tonight  - 2.1/2
By:
starr
When: 17 Nov 12 23:28
seeing as your a bit down in the dumps after todays match,
i will cheer you up dave,

i will pose you a little conundrum

the one man team is no longer a one man team,
and you can fill your bootsCool
By:
starr
When: 18 Nov 12 17:25
answer.
the one man team is the Pittsburgh Steelers,and big Ben is the one man,

it was going to be a classic against the ravens,
but with the second string quarter back playing against the ravens defense,it will take a miracle for the steelers to win tonight,
and there season might even go into meltdown.
Baltimore - 2.1/2 fill your boots
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 18 Nov 12 17:32
I've backed the Indianapolis Colts @ 3 figure prices on here and took some 80/1 with the books too. They have a tough game tonight in Foxboro and then 2 divisional games against the Texans but bar them i think they can win the rest of their games. They are 6-3 at the moment and i think they can easily get to 10-7 which will be good enough for a wildcard spot in the AFC, 9-8 could even be enough and if they could win those 2 massive game against the Texans they could top the division but that is a longshot.

Andrew Luck has been so impressive so far in my opinion and the more games he plays the better he will get with the offence. It's a longshot but i fully expect them to make the play offs and then who knows, i think the price is big anyway.
By:
Cade
When: 18 Nov 12 17:47
I never rated Big Ben. Troy Polamalu is the key to their team and Rashard Mendenhall, Hines Ward and Mike Wallace make them a long way from a one man team.
No system pick this week, Atlanta Falcons are the pick & are rejected on hcap. I am still doing some head scratching on a game or two.I have tailed you in. Shame that's the late game.
By:
starr
When: 18 Nov 12 17:48
Andrew luck potential super star,
but reminds  me of Michael Vick,

like to have a anti post to,
but have still not seen a team i can honestly bet with confidence
this season,
And still think it is 10/1 the field,and would not rule out the colts,

Dallas look good tonight but like i said before would not bet them with a free bet,
By:
Stow_judge
When: 18 Nov 12 17:50
The system picks the Patriots, but I must say the hcap looks all wrong on that gamr and I's be surprised to see the patriots cover it.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 18 Nov 12 17:51
If the Bears had a decent QB I'd be on them. Cutler looks poor. I see he's out this week.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 18 Nov 12 18:03
Have thrown a little at the Bengals
By:
Stow_judge
When: 18 Nov 12 19:13
Cool Cool
Cool Cool


https://twitter.com/stowjudge/status/270242280542183425/photo/1
By:
Stow_judge
When: 18 Nov 12 21:00
Another small bet this time New Orleans Saints -5.5
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 18 Nov 12 21:14
Jags blow a 14pt 4th quarter lead against the Texans, bunch of ****s. That would have been a good result for the Colts Plain
By:
Stow_judge
When: 18 Nov 12 21:45
That game is still going Shocked 3 hrs 45 mins so far
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 18 Nov 12 21:49
Jags intercertion!!! Surely they must win now Grin
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 18 Nov 12 21:49
they interceted Schaub i mean Laugh came out wrong
By:
Stow_judge
When: 18 Nov 12 21:52
Houston TD
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 18 Nov 12 21:53
Jags lose, you can't facking make that up, what a pack of losers Sad
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 18 Nov 12 21:55
whoever made the call to go for it on 4th and 10 on the Texans 49 should be sacked in the morning, shocking call
By:
Stow_judge
When: 19 Nov 12 08:09
Nice one Starr. Just a push for me as I got on at -3. Still a fine weekend's NFL work here though. Happy
By:
starr
When: 19 Nov 12 19:40
but with the second string quarter back playing against the ravens defense,it will take a miracle for the steelers to win tonight,

well they got there miracle in the first 30 seconds,
and still could not win,only scoring 3 points after,

if ben had been playing it would have been a different story,(but then would not have bet the ravens)
dont know if got lucky or not,
Leftwich was hurt while falling into the end zone on his touchdown run in the first minute,
but then proceded to play the entire game injured,
(who's fault was that)his or the side line for not pulling him,
only know it was a long fu----g night watchingLaughLaughLaugh,

1/2 a point dave worth its weight in gold.Cool
at least you didn't lose,am glad about that
By:
Stow_judge
When: 25 Nov 12 17:57
Small bets on Minnesota Vikings +6 and Pittsburgh Steelers 1.9 on the money line
By:
starr
When: 25 Nov 12 20:37
no bet for me tonight,
just can not find one that stands out,

sorry to aftertime you dave but said last week the one man team will go into meltdown,hope they can turn it round for you
so will just root for my 2 anti post bets
By:
Stow_judge
When: 02 Dec 12 17:55
Houston Texans - 6.5 20/23 Nanny or Slybet looks the pick of the early games to me
By:
starr
When: 02 Dec 12 18:00
Cincinnati Bengals - 1 will be my bet tonight

the one man team will lose againLaugh

and dallas will record a winLaughLaughLaugh
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 02 Dec 12 21:37
Andrew Luck Love what a comeback. Colts 8-4 now, post season here they come!! Grin
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