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Stow_judge
09 Sep 12 20:01
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Date Joined: 10 Mar 01
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Thought I'd re-start this thread with an easier to find title.


the doggy boys-------nfl.season 2012
starr

starr
05 Sep 12 19:48

well its that time of the year again,
and it kicks of tonight.

feel free to post your bets on here all welcome,

no bet for me tonight but got one ready for sunday,
good luck to you all and hope you all have a winning seasonExcited

p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
Come on you Eagles!!! Surely this is out year Devil

Will miss the 1st few weeks of the season (bad timing) unless i can find a bar somewhere that will be showing it. Hopefully i come back to find the Eagles 2-0, @ the Browns and @ home to the Ravens first 2 weeks.

Will try and stay up for tonights game but looking doubtful as i'm barely staying awake now as it is.

Stow_judge

Week 1 system picks are :-

Detroit Lions (Rejected - Hcap giving up more than 7)
Chicago Bears (Rejected - Hcap giving up more than 7)
Jacksonville Jaguars
Pittsburgh Steelers
New Orleans Saints (Rejected - Hcap giving up more than 7)
Atlanta Falcons

I quite like the look of the Falcons, but have not really had a proper look at the match ups.
I have bought the Game Pass (£100), so have watched some pre season games. I'm looking forward to having the pick of the games.
They do a 30 mins all breaks cut out & all plays video of every game & that'll be useful.
You can also watch a load of the NFL network shows.

Stow_judge

New car anyone? I'd buy it, it looks superb!

http://content.usatoday.com/communities/thehuddle/post/2012/09/does-this-custom-made-cowboys-car-belong-to-morris-claibornes-parents/1?csp=34sports&utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+TP-TheHuddle+%28Sports+-+The+Huddle%29#.UEnaMLNI-5I

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Replies: 127
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 20:03
Nice start for Atlanta. It looked like a ping pong game in the first half with no defence to speak of on either side.
Atlanta have now exerted their authority. Happy
By:
starr
When: 09 Sep 12 20:17
see miami is of to a great startWink
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 20:23
Did the rookie QB start for Miami?
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 20:23
& Did that miami hcap move from 8 last week to 13?
By:
starr
When: 09 Sep 12 20:29
yes and yes
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 20:30
ta and ta Happy
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 20:41
the very 1st punt of the game (Atlanta v Kansas) by kansas with 7 mins remaining in the 4th quarter Shocked
By:
starr
When: 09 Sep 12 20:42
first game of season not ideal,
to many unknown's,
but do think carolina could be a bit of a dark horse this season,
so will have a play
carolina - 2-1/2
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 20:44
I started off quietly, with a 130-100 Atlanta on the money line Grin
By:
starr
When: 09 Sep 12 20:49
here's a bet for you to take a close look at,

6 point teasers(p/pow-lads-or stan)pays around 6/4
you will show a profit over the season if you have any idea at all about this sport
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 20:57
One thing I think well worth keeping a close eye on is the in running odds. As far as I can see, it's a total formula thing the way they change the odds. Often the score does not totally reflect the play and so neither do the odds. VC went 8/1 Kansas when Atlanta went 10 points up and the score did not reflect what had happened on the field at that point. Some fine profit taking possibilities with their over reaction on the odds change. It is tricky to get on at times as they love to trim the odds one pico second after you click on them.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 20:58
I'm loving the game pass Cool
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 21:03
have thrown a few notes at your pick mate
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 23:03
Akers 63 yds FG. bounced in off the "bar" Shocked
By:
starr
When: 09 Sep 12 23:20
up and running now ,took long enoughLaugh
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 23:36
They then were intercepted when ca 25 yds out. The defence just held and they have the ball back. They are not looking too good though. Tampa bay are making yards pretty easily
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 23:40
Newton goes for a dodgy long lob pass & gets picked off again Sad
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Sep 12 23:56
Carolina has a player named Captain Munnerlyn Laugh You have to love some of those American names.
By:
starr
When: 10 Sep 12 21:43
way they played last night they needed

     CAPTAIN AMERICA LaughLaughLaughLaugh
By:
Stow_judge
When: 16 Sep 12 15:58
I like the look of Cincinnati Bengals tonight -6.5 @ 5/6 B365

Oddschecker is now working again.

The other odds comparison sites are pretty desperate for the NFL. Best Betting takes an eternity to load some pages.
By:
hillcrest
When: 16 Sep 12 16:38
saints -1 and 1.5 giants -7 for me tonight
By:
starr
When: 16 Sep 12 17:44
one for you late night insomniacs,

if the 49ers are the real deal this season,

then -51/2 with bt 653 @ 20/27 is your bet fill your boots
By:
Stow_judge
When: 16 Sep 12 18:08
GO Bungals Happy
By:
starr
When: 16 Sep 12 21:52
nice start to the season for you dave 2 and 0
keep it up Happy
By:
Stow_judge
When: 16 Sep 12 22:19
Yep, that last one was close. The Bengals took their foot off the gas and nearly gave it up late on.
This is why you can't play the big hcaps imo.
Atlanta are my nap this game week. (Monday) The "system" suggests they will win by 15.5 Shocked
By:
starr
When: 17 Sep 12 17:15
will have a bit of - 2 with ills then @ 7/10Cool

fancy them for the nfc south (had a small bet)same team dont win it back to back,
By:
Stow_judge
When: 17 Sep 12 21:40
Good shout with the 49ers. They seemed to get it mostly right wrt taking what the opposition gave them. Can't believe how many times the Lions failed to stop Frank Gore though. It was impressive to see both QBs holding onto the ball for so long. No bottlers there!
By:
Stow_judge
When: 21 Sep 12 15:12
Have snaffled up the 4/5 Chicago -6.5 on here for Sundays game vs St. Louis Cool A 17 point win forecasts "The system" Grin
Hopefully they will take out their frustrations from last weeks Green Bay defeat on the Rams.
By:
starr
When: 23 Sep 12 16:02
washington for me tonight,

- 2-1/2 (5/7) bt 536
- 1-1/2 (4/6) will ills
take your pick,

but dont think it will be as close as that
By:
Stow_judge
When: 23 Sep 12 21:14
By:
Stow_judge
When: 23 Sep 12 21:15
By:
starr
When: 24 Sep 12 18:37
nice little earner for you there dave.Cool

skins in another shootout,Cry
dont know what to make of Robert Griffin III,
what he brings to the offence the defence gives back
and a bit more.

but a bit of sunshine out of miami makes up for itLaugh
By:
Stow_judge
When: 24 Sep 12 22:16
My idea is to generally stick to the better teams from last season that I had success with when the match ups are right.
Atlanta (who you put me onto last year),Houston, Cincinnati and Chicago are the first teams I look at.
I'd be a little wary of Chicago, as Cutler was pretty poor last night. The rest of the team carried him.
I go down my list of forecast handicaps, read a few reviews, look at my team notes &  then smash it on!

Very luckily, I even avoided tailing you in on Carolina in week one. The deposit went through on the website, but the bet was not placed! How lucky was that? Grin I watched the whole game thinking I'd done it in, then checked the website and found the deposit still on the website unplaced. I decided to chuck the money at Denver instead that night & they copped!

So I have had 5 bets & 5 winners. I'm running on last seasons stats till week or 6. They are standing up well. The new improved "system" equation has nine factors. If they all line up, the forecast handicaps can be too high, but they are flying so far.

The system says Green Bay by 11 tonight, but I have not studied the game & don't plan to bet.
By:
starr
When: 24 Sep 12 22:43
just put the shocks down to early season form amounting to very little,
ever season the same,
all teams fit and healthy,just like our football,
(promoted teams can start like a house on fire),

notice some of the high scoring games,
(crap scoring 30 points)

the season does not realy get going till the 5th  round onwards so its watch and learn,
keep bets to minimum stakes,
best way to learn is have money on it,you take more notice,
like you say bet the best teams,
but the crap teams will also keep losing,
its the middle of the road teams that cost you,

ps
forget carolina as dark horses,
something not right in the house.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 24 Sep 12 23:19
I don't think there's much excuse for them not to be ready. They have three pre season games, even though they don't play the big names for 3 full games. I watched some pre season games with the game pass & found that gave me a bit of a head start. I have been playing pretty full stakes from the start. I did the same last season and it worked out ok.
While I appreciated the massive difference between handicaps for example of - 7 and - 6.5, I reckon it's best not to make a habit of betting below 5/6. If you consider the strike rate required at the 4/6 type odds, it is much harder to make it pay imo.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 26 Sep 12 23:09
This Wednesday NFL midweek special is worth recording. A 1 hour programme with highlights of 2 games. (not re-runs of the Sunday games) Two absolutely dreadful commentators though.
By:
starr
When: 27 Sep 12 17:55
The NFL reached an eight-year agreement with the NFL Referees Association on Wednesday night to end the lockout, and NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell said the refs will be back on the field starting Thursday night.
Goodell temporarily lifted the lockout so officials can work Thursday night's game between the Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens

ravens will win comfortably,
but - 11.1/2 might be a touch to much,so no bet tonight
By:
DanceTrev
When: 30 Sep 12 17:36
Chaps, we need your selections. Some of us are clueless lol
By:
Stow_judge
When: 30 Sep 12 18:00
Don't like the matchups on the early games. have thrown a few quid at Atlanta -7
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