Can Reed hold on?

@jacknicklaus
·
It should be a very interesting Sunday at @TheMasters. If @PReedGolf were to win, he’s got three really good players on his tail. The three Rs: Rory, Rickie and Rahm.

After yesterday's low scoring I think it is highly likely that the course will be set up tough today - fewer easy pins ....

Might be more difficult to come from behind - will Rory press too much?

in the last 17 Tournaments the leader of round 3 has only gone to  won the Masters 3 times . (Tiger Woods twice  and Phil Mickelson) History is saying Reed is likely going to go on to win .Time will tell later tonight

"The eventual champ has come out of the final Sunday pairing 22 out of the last 27 years, with Zach Johnson (2007), Charl Schwartzel (2011), Bubba Watson (2012), Adam Scott (2013) and Danny Willett (2016) the exceptions."

"The third-round leader/co-leader has gone on to win the Masters 44 out of 81 times"

Interesting.

It is more interesting to know how many 3rd round leaders with a 3 shot lead have won imo

Apr 8, 2018 -- 7:24AM, FredRescue wrote:

It is more interesting to know how many 3rd round leaders with a 3 shot lead have won imo

In the last ten years once(I think) Jordan Spieth 2016 3 shots clear after round 3 had a meltdown and came second.

Okay, fair enough, love you Freddy-boy ?

Cheeky bonus seeing as it's Sunday:

Since 2000

2003 Weir: won via a play-off
2004 Phil:  won by 1 shot
2005  Tiger: won via a play-off
2016 Spieth: second

Good luck all involved.

xxl green jacket will be the order of the day as fat pat strolls to victory.no meltdown from the fatboy today

Hope you are right nellie .....

hope so, backed him at 28/1 after rd 1, don't think he will bottle it, will take a very good round from someone to beat him.

Joined: 10 Jan 16 | Topic/replies: 326 | Blogger: Junction25's blog
in the last 17 Tournaments the leader of round 3 has only gone to  won the Masters 3 times . (Tiger Woods twice  and Phil Mickelson) History is saying Reed is likely going to go on to win .Time will tell later tonight

But if you look at masters.com it shows that they won 10 times (from the last 17).
When you say "last 17 tournaments" are you talking about the Masters?
I would not expect the leader after three rounds of a web.com tournament to win the Masters.

In 45 of 81 tournaments the leader at 54 holes has won.

The 36 winners who were not leading at 54 holes
This is how far they were behind

shots ... players
1    11
2    7
3    7
4    5
5    1
6    3
7    1
8    1

The players who came for far back at 54 holes to win

year .......Player ......shots behind
1956    Jack Burke  ...... 8
1978    Gary Player ......7
1996    Nick Faldo ........6
1959    Art Wall.............6
1979    Fuzzy Zoeller    .....6
1989    Nick Faldo..........5

Ed Sneed bogied the last three holes when Zoeller won in a three way playoff

Apr 8, 2018 -- 9:36AM, kincsem wrote:

Joined: 10 Jan 16 | Topic/replies: 326 | Blogger: Junction25's blogin the last 17 Tournaments the leader of round 3 has only gone to  won the Masters 3 times . (Tiger Woods twice  and Phil Mickelson) History is saying Reed is likely going to go on to win .Time will tell later tonightBut if you look at masters.com it shows that they won 10 times (from the last 17).When you say "last 17 tournaments" are you talking about the Masters?I would not expect the leader after three rounds of a web.com tournament to win the Masters.

Sorry I was meaning the winner of Round three only

Apr 8, 2018 -- 9:45AM, kincsem wrote:

The 36 winners who were not leading at 54 holesThis is how far they were behindshots ... players1    112    73    74    55    16    37    18    1

Great Stats -so looking at the info he has got 22% chance of winning the Masters .If you look at BF odds Rory is 33% chance of winning therefore is odds are too short which mean should be laying the guy (should be 5s)

Rory will struggle to save par from there.

The question in 2019 is "CAN HE DEFEND" ???

pandora1963 09 Apr 18 22:56
what a big girls blouse that reed - looks and sounds like a big girl, luckiest guy to win a major, that shot on 17 was going off the green

CAN REED HOLD ON...….. to his Green Jacket ?

http://www.augusta.com/masters/story/news/2019-04-09/patrick-reed-hopes-join-exclusive-club-back-back-masters-wins

...and join the MASTERS back-to-back Club - Nicklaus, Faldo & Tiger.