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Career Builder Challenge

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Replies: 271
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 24 Jan 16 16:07
February 2015...Since the beginning of last season, 16 players have held a one-shot lead entering the final round on the PGA Tour.
Only five have won, good for a 31.3 percent clip. Rory McIlroy is the last player to convert a one-shot lead, doing so at the PGA Championship last year. Since then, five have tried, and none have succeeded.

A two-shot lead isn't much safer in that span. There have been 12 instances of players holding a two-shot lead through 54 holes over the last two seasons. Only four have won.

Outright 54-hole leaders PGA Tour last two seasons

1-shot lead: 5 wins/16 attempts

2-shot lead: 4 wins/12 attempts

3-shot lead: 3 wins/7 attempts

4+ shot lead: 6 wins/7 attempts

In contrast, there have been 15 PGA Tour winners in that span who came from either one or two shots down entering the final round.

So, in the last two seasons, winners who held a one or two shot lead through 54 holes: Nine. Winners from one or two back: 15.

Inherently, there is a higher possibility of a winner coming from behind than holding onto a lead. Obviously, there can only be one player leading a golf tournament outright at any given moment. Everyone else is trailing. Sheer numbers make someone making a comeback the safer bet.
By:
system99
When: 24 Jan 16 16:19
laynplay - he's led 6 times, won 3, 2nd twice, 3rd once - +1 (-14)/+4(-11)/-1(-8)/-2(-19)/-3(-11)/-4 (-22)have been last round scores, brackets winning score.
By:
doorman99
When: 24 Jan 16 16:29
Wow system99, the horse won easy too, well done!
By:
Mighty Whites 2008
When: 24 Jan 16 16:50
not all one shot/ two shot leads are the same.

Advantage for Dufner is there are only 3 within 5 shots.
By:
toberaheena
When: 24 Jan 16 17:23
Anybody got the stat on Dufner when he leads going into a final round? We already had a 5 leader winning in Abu Dhabi, which turned out to be an excellent tournament. Darren Clarke will be a happy man after seeing Pieters holding it together to the finish line.
By:
laynplay
When: 24 Jan 16 18:03
thanks catch me if you can and system 99
I am taking into consideration his experience...and perhaps lack of experience of his main rivals....also he has been **** hot on foist dozen holes this week...far better than his main rivals....can see him trading shorter fairly quick.
By:
toberaheena
When: 24 Jan 16 18:25
Somebody has backed Duf from 1.88 into 1.81. Took a fair few punters to do that. Unless there is one of the firms taking money and laying off.
By:
laynplay
When: 24 Jan 16 18:27
500 quid of it is mine Grin.
By:
Total Bosman
When: 24 Jan 16 18:43
Thought things might be toughened up but some really low early scores from likes of Harman and Kaufman.  Dufner will need to make birdies to stay clear so the biggest question mark is his putter- been great so far but we've all seen him start to miss short ones, especially under pressure.
By:
system99
When: 24 Jan 16 18:53
i thought it'd be tougher aswell, irrelevent eventual winner if he starts slow could be a fun market, think i will have a little lay of duffs in the veiw to back back before halfway.
By:
system99
When: 24 Jan 16 18:55
mighty - yeah just bare facts them, i think they read quite well tbf, bar the trade i've mentioned i'd be a backer, playing top golf
By:
Swardean
When: 24 Jan 16 19:15
No live coverage till 9.00pm ?
By:
laynplay
When: 24 Jan 16 19:42
sky interactive at 8 pm.
By:
Canaletto .
When: 24 Jan 16 19:57
Duff poor start
By:
doorman99
When: 24 Jan 16 21:18
So much better on red button, now the clowns come on with all the tech crap, get on and show us the contenders you idiots!
By:
Total Bosman
When: 24 Jan 16 23:56
Not just Dufner's marriage on the rocks.
By:
doorman99
When: 24 Jan 16 23:58
Come on Dufner!!!
By:
Fairbet?
When: 24 Jan 16 23:59
Lucky lucky boy
By:
xmoneyx
When: 25 Jan 16 00:00
Jason looked dead at 17---what a break
By:
Fairbet?
When: 25 Jan 16 00:01
Not only the lie, a swing, and then to hit the pin to stop the 10 footer back. Destiny maybe.....
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 25 Jan 16 00:03
As he said himself "WOW!!
By:
Fairbet?
When: 25 Jan 16 00:05
Thought he was gonna smile at one point....
By:
doorman99
When: 25 Jan 16 00:16
So whats Dufner's playoff record then?
By:
Biffo2010
When: 25 Jan 16 00:20
Bosman is his marriage not over.. He looks to have lost alot of weight
By:
keeping silent
When: 25 Jan 16 00:28
Come on Lingmerth
By:
doorman99
When: 25 Jan 16 00:29
ffs
By:
Fairbet?
When: 25 Jan 16 00:31
60yd pitch?
By:
Fairbet?
When: 25 Jan 16 00:32
Yep. Good decision really
By:
bradley27
When: 25 Jan 16 00:33
whats happened in the play off so far. Cant watch it at the moment
By:
Fairbet?
When: 25 Jan 16 00:33
Great ball from Lingmerth
By:
Fairbet?
When: 25 Jan 16 00:34
JD hit 3 wood into face of fairway bunker....laid up 60 yd short. Lingmerth 15 footer for birdie
By:
bradley27
When: 25 Jan 16 00:35
thanks for info
By:
Fairbet?
When: 25 Jan 16 00:35
more than 60 yds....
By:
Fairbet?
When: 25 Jan 16 00:35
Duf to about 10 ft. Lings is about 18ft on reflection
By:
bradley27
When: 25 Jan 16 00:36
you.re a life saver. Stuck at work, was listening to PGA tour radio but it went off at midnight
By:
Fairbet?
When: 25 Jan 16 00:36
No worries b27
By:
Westender
When: 25 Jan 16 00:37
Ling missed putt to win
By:
Fairbet?
When: 25 Jan 16 00:38
DL misses. Wasn't one to have a run at to be fair
By:
Westender
When: 25 Jan 16 00:38
Duff sinks putt
By:
bradley27
When: 25 Jan 16 00:39
wow, seem Duff is going to keep coming back from the dead
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