Golf
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08 Jun 15
06:53
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20 Jul 12
getting in early with a lay of Bernd Wiesburger @6
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Replies: 48
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Good luck with that! I dont really see a lot of other players troubling him this week & would say its Bernd's to loose
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there again if you've backed him now at 7.0 & 7.8 then fair play on the freebie!
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furrelli should really just follow you on the hat trick trail, but in a weak field i fancy the front of the market,it goes against the grain but its a case of holding your nose at the prices and dive in
max kieffer probably last chance for a while to strike whilst his irons are hot 20,s sj ew romain wattel should be in the mix after a week off in a field of this quality, 22,s ew sj colsearts showed a bit last week so at 25,s ew at skybet i,ll stick with him and the only one i fancy at large odds r karlberg who showed a bit in ireland, 66,s ew skybet |
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Its a weak field for sure plus a tough course & looking throu course form not too many stand-out so this weeks short list is very.... short with 7 possibles that im playing currently.
Im with you on Wattel who likes the course & was doing ok on the tour before it headed to Europe so heres hoping for a return to form, have managed a tickle at 30.0 Karlberg's none too shabby having had a 4th here before Kieffer I cant be having again after his final round collapse & Colsaerts is one of them "flaky" types at the moment whod be better off concentrating on the Euro Tour & trying to find soem form again. so gl with them :) Tyrrell Hatton is someone I like to come close, has had a good start to the season & has played in Austria twice before & done ok. I'll post afew long shots..... if I get the prices im after first :) |
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nowt like cutting your nose off to spite your face but hattons one arogant sod,who i hope never breaks his maiden tag,plays some decent stuff though but needs to cut the histreonics out,he cant hole everything and gets to frustrated at missing worldie 50 footers,would hate to think you were only getting around the 20 mark for someone popping their tour cherry
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Nah im not on board yet, put a price up earlier & surprised to see he's come in that short. I know its a weak field but would like longer.
And Yeah hes a bit like Grillo in that respect, expecting to hole everything, mind their's always a fine line between arrogance & confidence so both will land one before the years out id say, they jus need a bit of a reality check & all could come good for them. |
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the main bet got to be b wiesberger, been playing well and nobody else can touch his course form.
next t hatton, yes he has got to get his temper under control but this is a week field and he has some reasonable course form, prepared to back him at 28. good luck all. |
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Lee Slattery & De La Riva are two more additions to this weeks stables who have course form & have been thereabouts allbeit a bit sporadic with the form. Its a weak field so maybe its their week to shine....
And I would have liked to back another scandanavian but i'll hang for the odds |
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think hatton likes linksy type course so might be one to bare in mind for the open top english,gb player,1st rd leader etc,is he qualified
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qualified in ireland,
if you think he might break his duck pre the open might be worth backing in a few markets for the open now |
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Struggling to find anything, only have Horsey @ 66's thus far
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I am chancing a few longer priced players this week to get involved.
Just to kick off so far at the prices. Gonzalez Kakko Gaunt This should involve the top 8 in reality but I thought these were overpriced. |
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Added Hoey
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De La Riva @75 and Simon Wakefield @140 both great course form
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It may have come as a bit of a surprise to some that I have put up Richie Ramsay for the Lyoness Open but I think the top of the market is wrong. Wiesberger is a justifiable favourite as he has excellent course form and was 2nd last time out but we have to go back to May 2013 and sixty starts before we find his last win - 11/2 seems way too short in my opinion. Chris Wood is second in at 12/1 but he is hardly a prolific winner and does seem to struggle to get the job done. Then we have the likes of non winners Kieffer, Wattel and Hatton at the 20/25 mark - yes they will all probably win at some point but their prices are hardly value. Then we have Cabrera-Bello at 20/1 and we have to go back nearly one hundred starts for his last win plus he missed the cut badly here on his only start in 2011.
That left me to ponder Ramsay and the only reason he is such a big price in this poor quality field is that he has never played the Diamond course before, but I have found a formline which maybe of importance. The two players with arguably the best course form are Luiten and Wiesberger and both those players also won at Toulouse Seilh another Jeremy Pern design which looks very similar to this weeks venue. Two other players have won there and played here - John Parry led at the cut here before and even Sam Little has made all three cuts. I guess you will have realised by now that Ramsay also won on that Pern design. As for his current form - well since he won in Morocco Ramsay has been in excellent form (bar a blip at Wentworth) and I cannot have him at three times the price of the local hero or bigger than Wood - £125 win 16/1 I have had a couple of small plays on two past winners as well - Lundberg has proved before he can win at the same venue twice so is worth £15 @ 140 on Betfair. Jose Manuel Lara occasionally pops up on a going week - he was 5th in Hong Kong in 2013 on a course he had won before and was 7th in the Spanish Open a few weeks ago - £25 win 350 and £30 top 10 15/1 |
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Added Pelle Edberg to the stable.... what can I say Im on a role and I HAD to pick a Scandanavian - he has shown some flashes of late & has had an 11th here before
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Fav +3 and last after 6 if scoring is correct.
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wiesburger+3....keep it going lad.
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wiesberger +6, early flight to usa.
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wow
talking apple crumble |
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n Dougherty in the commentary box, already getting on my nerves.
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Some round from Stal. Only had 3 pars in 15 holes.
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Go on Maxi
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Ah well... easy come easy go Hah!
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how come T Hatton is 17/1 .... he is +1
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been amended @55
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ime going in again with a lay of gregory bourdy @5.3..hope he goes the same way as wiesburger...hopefully.
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a 17 for mr pavlov, the dogs will be salivating over that one.
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bourdy -10.
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Got to feel sorry for the Russian. A great score yesterday followed by a real Tin Cup experience this morning. At least he's made a name for himself. Every golfing nightmare will now be known as doing a Pavlov.
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17
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what was the story behind the 17, that's incredible, i'm hopeless but haven't approached this
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According to a report online, he put six balls in the water. I'd say the hardest part was having to go on and play the remaining 17 holes, knowing it was all pointless.
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thanks, poor fella
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any news on the weather?
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Starting again at 3.15pm
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furrelli
hav you worked out US OPEN picks yet? my banker is mickleson,still to choose 6 outsiders waiting for your expertise  |
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who wins from here? stating the obvious but prefer bourdy over Cabrera-bello who I have down as a bottler even though he has won before.
surely these 2 would have to both mess up for the others to win? |
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Bourdy going to plan...my plan.
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