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therhino
16 Feb 15 12:27
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Date Joined: 12 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 22,548 | Blogger: therhino's blog
From one of the worst events to one of the best. Love Riviera, sensational track. A 280 yard par 4 that gives the worlds best fits Love Bring it on.

Backed Haas, Keegan, Donald and Finau to get the ball rolling.

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By:
callitasucit
When: 16 Feb 15 14:46
Greens a mixture of bentgrass and poa annua?
By:
Si-K
When: 16 Feb 15 17:25
George Mcneil 150/1 ew thus far - Two top 10's in his last 4 starts here and has not missed the cut.
By:
furrelli
When: 17 Feb 15 10:09
Got a shortlist of 15 runners n riders for this...... still whittling but not really looking past the favs for this, maybe Beljan as a runner, appeals with course form & perhaps can back up from last week.
By:
Rob_The_Bantam
When: 18 Feb 15 08:19
Taking on DJ, can't have him as favourite after a while away from the game.  Obviously isn't going to have turned into a dreadful player during his ban and looked good in patches over the past few tournaments, but I'm happy to oppose him at the odds given it'll most likely need four decent rounds to win; I'll lay 13s on him failing to do that.

Backed Spieth, Walker, Keegan and English.  Wanted to back SMB too, but can't at 65.  Have to have a punt on Villegas at odds of 500+ ; followed him around a few holes at the Hyundai and he looked in good nick for those holes, so while he might be an infuriating player to have cash on, it's not going to ruin me when he misses the cut.
By:
therhino
When: 18 Feb 15 08:41
Just joined you on Villegas Rob and think the DJ lay has plenty of merit at the price. Been getting busy, traded all in my OP, and Webb, tiny trade on Sergio. Backed English looking to trade, Na which looks a bad back given all the money up and just backed Tringale at 250s, nice record at Riviera.
By:
therhino
When: 18 Feb 15 08:41
And Sneds at 30s, why was he 30s?
By:
jackdebden
When: 18 Feb 15 09:36
Keegan Bradley
S M Bae
Robert Streb
Brian Harman
David Lingmerth ( top continental )
Max Homa ( top 10 )
By:
therhino
When: 18 Feb 15 09:41
Matsy at 32s, just can't stop backing people here Excited
By:
pokeron
When: 18 Feb 15 11:21
i think dustbin is fine. the hiatus was all public relations face saving bollox. $100 free bet on him @ 13's.

that's just my saver.

i think him, keegan, webb and haas.

i'm going all american.

webb again first round leader as well because i reckon :)
By:
Merlin7
When: 18 Feb 15 12:47
Best Bet this week Charl Schwartzel 33/1 EW.

A couple of players that may contend at bigger odds;

Brian Stuard 300
Bryce Molder 280
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 18 Feb 15 15:20
This event concludes the West Coast Swing and as THIS IS HOLLYWOOD, let’s make believe...

It’s a home game for the “new” Dustin Johnson but too short at 12’s.
He knocked off the rust at Torrey and gobbled up Pebble last week to finish T4 in his second start back from a six-month hiatus,
DJ has been feast-or-famine recently at Riviera, with four T10s (incl. three T5’s) in his last six (two other MC) including solo second last year since 2009.
The LA “homecoming” will have him surrounded with tight friends and family who helped him through his six months on the side line.
He mentioned after Pebble that he’ll be excited to be home with his lady and new baby and believe this will be a huge positive.
Johnson is a fantastic ball-striker that can overpower this layout and having his support staff on site can’t possibly hurt.


Bubba Watson No. 3 on the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR) has proven in the last year that his game travels and that he can win on tracks of all styles.
The defending champ won another green jacket and picked up WGC title all in nine months in 2014.
He also added a solo third at Memorial and a solo second at Cherry Hills.
His two starts of 2015 saw him collect T10 at HTOC and T2 in Phoenix.
He’s only four of eight on this track but we should buy into the “new” Bubba and expect a spirited defence this week.
Too short for me at 12’s.


After MC here in 2012 as an amateur, Jordan Spieth (also too short at 12’s) returned with his Texas Longhorn teammates to win the NCAA Championship in match play over Alabama. Spieth defeated Justin Thomas (yes, that one) 3 & 2 to help the ‘Horns win.
He returned as a pro last season and opened with one-over 72.
In typical Spiethless fashion he rallied to play the final three rounds nine-under and finish T12 including rounds of 66 and 67.
He tied for seventh last week at Pebble, including four rounds of 68 or better, and is 11th on Tour in strokes gained tee-to-green.
(every time he’s missed a cut he’s followed it the next time out with a top 15-ish finish).


Jimmy Walker at 18’s I'm in finished T21 in defence of his Pebble Beach title, ending a run of three straight top-10 finishes.
He said more than once that Riviera is his favourite track on TOUR and his recent results hardly refute that, having cracked the top 20 each of the last four years in L.A., including T4 finishes in both 2011 and 2012.
In his last six events, he’s played the weekend in all six and has posted 20 of 24 rounds par or better.
Walker’s two biggest strengths are GIR (from anywhere on the planet Hollywood) and his ability to hole putt after putt.
His last four here have racked up T4, T4, T16 and T20.
Walker’s course history is very solid and his recent play will have him longing for a top finish again this week.


Of the first six PGA winners of this calendar year only Brandt Snedeker (Grabbed that 25’s and 30’s on here tks) was ranked outside of the top 40 in OWGR and the US has won 10 of the first 13 events.
Team Sneds jumped from No. 63 to No. 31. That’s more like it from the 2012 FedEx Cup champion.
Sneds, last week’s champ at Pebble continues his excellent play on the California coast.
He made ONE bogey last week. Yes, uno.
For the second week in a row he was lighting up GIR and he’ll need that to continue unless he wants to test his fantastic short game.
With the majors and WGC events locked in for the rest of the year it wouldn’t surprise me to see him battling on Sunday for win No. 8.
Expect to see Mark Horton and Butch with him on the range and Scott Vail of course. This is going to be a HUGE YEAR for the Sneds team !

Singles ew here (and cross dbls ew with my two in India) done.


These write-ups always looks great on paper the Wednesday morning before.....

© CM iyc Devil

Thino,
Big w/end in town...Going to the Eagles ?
http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/white-night-melbourne-2015-arts-event-heads-big-city-crush-of-visitors-to-melbourne-20150218-13hs42.html
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 18 Feb 15 15:21
A WARM WELCOME to HOGAN’s ALLEY.

Yes it’s Riviera Country Club, Pacific Palisades within the city limits of Los Angeles in sunny southern California. (Think Pacific Coast highway north out past Santa Monica on your way to Malibu).

Home to the Northern Trust Open since ‘73.
Ben Hogan won here three times in 18 months, including the 1948 U.S. Open, hence “Hogan’s Alley”.

A Par 71 (35-36) of  7,349 yds as per the scorecard here in my hand, this Open began in 1926 and Riviera has been the proud host of a U.S. Open won by Ben Hogan in 1948 plus two PGA Championships and the 1998 Senior U.S. Open and so is one the more demanding stops on TOUR. Over the last five years, Riviera has checked in at 20th, 10th, seventh, 13th and 24th-most difficult.

Faster and smallish greens than last week slow 10’s - the Stimp is 12’ this week on the creeping Bentgrass and Poa annua greens. Doglegged fairways are protected by quite gnarly Kikuyu grass rough. There are 60 bunkers out there with no water on this 1926 design (redesigned by Fazio in ‘08).
Riviera stands the test of time because there are multiple ways to make hay. Short game experts that can navigate the slick greens and gnarly rough can contend with the bombers who can smash it over the doglegs.
Shot-shapers that play from the middle of the fairway will have the advantage of hitting the proper spots on the greens.
Even the putters will be happy to see some pep back into the greens.

There are risk-reward holes; there is a hole with a bunker directly in the middle of it; there is a drivable par four and an easy par five.
It never rains in southern California... it pours, just not this week. Perfect golfing weather at 20* and sunny (no early fog we hope).

In 2014 Bubba Watson shot 269 to win.
Champion: Bubba Watson fired 64-64 on the weekend to defeat Dustin Johnson by two shots ending his 2 year winless drought. Bubba Watson led the field in driving distance and was third in GIR last year. Dustin Johnson was second so that reaffirms ball-striking should be under scrutiny this week.

Kelly • February 16, 2014 11:24 PM GMT
Played much more controlled golf to win with 64 ,64 over the weekend . Impressive .

toberaheena • February 17, 2014 2:28 PM GMT
I have a little doubt over Dustin Johnson and his decision to try and blow the cover off the golf ball on his 17th tee shot. His normal bullet would have been plenty to get up there for a birdie. Lost control through forcing the shot. An amateurish mistake but at least he has shown a hunger for the win. Speith disappointed me again on a Sunday. Does he need a sports psychologist for a few weeks. I think maybe he does. And a 2 week break.

Mighty Whites 2008 • February 17, 2014 3:21 PM GMT
Bubba played very well over the weekend and crucially got the breaks at the right times. He holed a bunker shot, got lucky with a couple of wayward drive. On 13 he hit an awful approach and could so easily have been behind the tree yet scrambled a great par. On 14 he was sailing into the grandstand but bounced back on to the fringe and at 15 he was lucky he could reach the green from the bunker. That said he holed out much better than when recently in contention.

Dustin was again very impressive on sunday. Back to back weeks he has come up just short but added to his win at the WGC he looks to be becoming a very consistent performer. Personally I think he is the most likely 20 something American to go on and establish himself at the very top.

With Spieth i think too much is being expected too soon. The kid is 20 and up at the top of the board most weeks. Amazingly he has top ten finshes in a third of his events.


These have previous...
2013: John Merrick 273* Won in a playoff * (first-time TOUR winner)
2012: Bill Haas 277* Won in a playoff *
2011: Aaron Baddeley 272
2010: Steve Stricker 268
2009: Phil Mickelson 269
2008: Phil Mickelson 272
2007: Charles Howell III  268
2006: Rory Sabbatini 271
2005: Adam Scott 133
2004: Mike Weir 267
2003: Mike Weir 275
2002: Len Mattiace 269 (first-time TOUR winner)
2001: Robert Allenby 276 won in a playoff *
2000: Kirk Triplett 272 (first-time TOUR winner).


Some useless stats.....
In the last three years, no rookie has finished better than T21.

Only four players outside of Smith in the inaugural event in 1926 have won in their first trip around Riviera.
The last was Adam Scott in 2005 but that event was called due to weather after 36 holes (non-official win).
Pat Fitzsimons (1975) was the last maiden to win before Scott.

Five of the last 12 winners here have been left handed as Watson joined Phil Mickelson and Mike Weir as champions.
Since 2000, Mike Weir and Phil Mickelson are the only players to defend their titles, shown above.

Here’s the list of all of the defenders:
Macdonald Smith, 1928-29
Ben Hogan, 1947-48
Paul Harney, 1964-65
Arnold Palmer, 1966-67
Corey Pavin, 1994-95
Mike Weir, 2003-04
Phil Mickelson, 2008-09
BUBBA 2014-??? Devil
By:
marychain1
When: 18 Feb 15 17:18
Brendon Todd    90   
William McGirt    230   
Michael Putnam    250   
Max Homa    420   
Jon Curran    740   
   
done them all win & top 10
By:
marychain1
When: 18 Feb 15 17:34
And added Blayne Barber 610
By:
therhino
When: 18 Feb 15 20:33
Yo Catch Me. Will be going to White Night on Saturday, but not The Eagles, not my thing. Smashing Pumpkins on Monday night Excited
By:
BCDoug
When: 18 Feb 15 21:05
Brandt Snedeker withdrew from today's pro-am for the Northern Trust Open due to "flu-like symptoms," according to PGA TOUR Media on Twitter.

Who knows if this means anything. If he plays he is probably OK. After all Jason Day shot a 62 when ill last week.
By:
Si-K
When: 18 Feb 15 22:38
Holmes 50/1
Finau 125/1 ew
Mcneil 150/1 ew
Molinari 100/1 ew
By:
Rob_The_Bantam
When: 19 Feb 15 04:48
Only SJ went 50s on JB and hacked it sharpish.

16 Feb 15 17:25
George Mcneil 150/1 ew thus far


18 Feb 15 22:38
Holmes 50/1


Where did you get on JB at 50/1?  I'm not trying to catch you out or owt, just that he's been sub 40 on here and at the books for a couple of days now and you apparently passed up the 50s at SJ.
By:
ccmac1975
When: 19 Feb 15 05:39
Trying to stick with same team every week and add a few with current form or course form every week. Homa ortiz ogilvie choi stuard levein Campbell purgh so far. Good luck
By:
Si-K
When: 19 Feb 15 07:17

Feb 19, 2015 -- 4:48AM, Rob_The_Bantam wrote:


Only SJ went 50s on JB and hacked it sharpish. 16 Feb 15 17:25George Mcneil 150/1 ew thus far 18 Feb 15 22:38Holmes 50/1Where did you get on JB at 50/1?  I'm not trying to catch you out or owt, just that he's been sub 40 on here and at the books for a couple of days now and you apparently passed up the 50s at SJ.


I didn't pass up SJ price ... I just hadn't backed him when I posted my first pic

By:
Si-K
When: 19 Feb 15 07:22
Having said that I placed the JB bet at 16.51 so not sure why I didn't include  him
By:
miss anomaly
When: 19 Feb 15 07:47
Sneds is iffy with the flu and Bill Haas is going to drop everything if his wife goes into labour (she's due on the 27th), so I've been looking a bit deeper in the market value. Watney (50s) and Delaet (70s) is where I ended up.
By:
therhino
When: 19 Feb 15 08:03
Moved bits and bobs all over the shop, biggest team of the year thus far.

Matsuyama +677
Haas +621
Watney +791
English +639
Webb +677
Keegan +663
Streb +1438
Donald +252
Tringale +3104
Finau +55
Piercy +1971
Camilo +2532
Glover +1863

the field -80
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 19 Feb 15 08:26
Think Rivieira is quite a horses for course track so sticking with players that have gone well here.

Jimmy Walker 18-1 seems a no brainer. Played well here when he wasn't as good as he is now, so got to stick with him
Charl Schwartzel 33-1 Never had a round not in the 60's seems enough of a reason to me!
Sang Moon Bae 66-1 Season hasn't really got going but has usually played well here
Charlie Beljan 80-1 Lost the playoff here last year and T11 the year before. Coming here after finishing 4th last week, so his form looks solid
Brendan Steele 100-1 Decent record in California, had gone well here previously and started well this season

Good luck everyone.
By:
Geesyerdosh
When: 19 Feb 15 11:51
Definitely seems a place for experience but a couple of youngsters look huge prices, whether they'll be anywhere the leaderboard's another matter but worth a couple of quid

Jon Curran - 10th at Pebble Beach a few days ago - 1000 Shocked
Zac Blair - a 6th and 11th in 2 of his last 4 tournaments both tough courses - 500 seems rather large
By:
Si-K
When: 19 Feb 15 12:54
Had to back Brendan Steele 100/1 ew - Had a strong gut feeling about him since Monday and eventually given in last minute
Blair FRL 150/1

gl all
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 19 Feb 15 13:31
Jordan Spieth    
Sergio Garcia    
Charl Schwartzel    
Bernd Wiesberger    
Brian Harman    
Pat Perez
Matt Jones
Brian Davis
John Huh
Carl Pettersson
By:
donny osmond
When: 19 Feb 15 14:58
first three off at 10th tee all hit
bunker from 70 -80 yards

315 yd pad 4

3 x 5 Shocked
By:
therhino
When: 19 Feb 15 15:01
What a classic hole it is Donny. Gives them all fits every year.
By:
donny osmond
When: 19 Feb 15 15:03
2 out of 3 of second lot also in back bunker !
By:
donny osmond
When: 19 Feb 15 15:03
its a great course, probably the best around, imo
By:
Total Bosman
When: 19 Feb 15 15:24
Great hole, but brutal to start on for half the field if their touch isn't in yet, guys can wreck their whole tournament before it's really begun.  Mind you, Bubba took 6 on it to open up last year and still won.
By:
Total Bosman
When: 19 Feb 15 16:42
Definitely the most entertaining Live@ of the year.
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 19 Feb 15 16:43
Allenby falling apart in the bunkers
By:
bobweenit
When: 19 Feb 15 17:07
Why is it suspended ? Sort it BetfairAngry
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 19 Feb 15 17:10
Betfair always seem to suspend during the rounds......i suspect it's so that the person can place one's bet during suspension without us getting in first.
By:
bobweenit
When: 19 Feb 15 17:12
Probably right Ski. It's time 2 leave. You been on any of the other exchanges?
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 19 Feb 15 17:17
**** sometimes for win or top 5 places with minimum trading. Did it for a year 2 years ago, backing only Woody, MIckleson and Rory. Not used it much. Liquidity not good enough for trading. Might as well stay here.
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 19 Feb 15 17:18
**** = b e t d a q
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