Golf
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
22 Apr 14
15:16
Joined:
Date Joined:
07 Nov 00
A very tricky week on the European tour as we move to China and to yet another course which has not been used for a proper tournament. I have come up with three suggestions who may offer some value with everyone in the same boat on a new course.
Richie Ramsay returned from injury not that long ago (this time his ankle!) and finished 11th in Morocco and then 2nd in Spain albeit in a weak field. He is determined to make up for lost time which included a poor 2013 in general due to a catalogue of injuries. He missed the cut on the mark last week in Malaysia but that means we get a better price this week and that weekend off was due to one poor hole really. He has a good record in China - 2nd on his first visit in 2008 on the Challenge Tour, a superb 3rd in the HSBC event on a course designed by the same designer as this weeks venue and was 4th in Hong Kong (just over the border) on his last visit in 2011. I think at the price he represents some value in this weeks field 0.4 ew 55/1
I have been really impressed with Tyrrell Hatton as he has quickly moved through the ranks. From two wins on each of the Jamega and Europro tours he then had a solid finish to 2013 on the Challenge tour with 2nd placed finishes in China and Kazakhstan and 6th in the UAE to earn his full card. He hasn't rested on his laurels and has already wrapped up his card with a 10th in Abu Dhabi and a 2nd in the Joburg Open. The problem I had was which market to back him in? I think a win is a very tall order but is worth a small bet 0.1 ew 200/1, another top 10 is more likely - 0.4 16/1 whilst the best market could be top English player. In that market he was 1st Joburg, 1st Abu Dhabi and t4th Qatar - 0.3 ew 33/1
Last man in is a name most won't have heard of and is a bit of a shot in the dark. Rhein Gibson is a young Australian who was 4th in his home Open at the end of last year - ahead of Jason Day although a few shots back from Scott and Rory. He was 4th in China on the One Asia tour before that and surged through the field in his latest outing with a 62 to finish 2nd in Indonesia. That low round was no fluke - most news about him will lead you to the world record 55 he shot in 2012. It is a risk but at 150/1 I'll give him a chance 0.2 ew 150/1
Richie Ramsay returned from injury not that long ago (this time his ankle!) and finished 11th in Morocco and then 2nd in Spain albeit in a weak field. He is determined to make up for lost time which included a poor 2013 in general due to a catalogue of injuries. He missed the cut on the mark last week in Malaysia but that means we get a better price this week and that weekend off was due to one poor hole really. He has a good record in China - 2nd on his first visit in 2008 on the Challenge Tour, a superb 3rd in the HSBC event on a course designed by the same designer as this weeks venue and was 4th in Hong Kong (just over the border) on his last visit in 2011. I think at the price he represents some value in this weeks field 0.4 ew 55/1
I have been really impressed with Tyrrell Hatton as he has quickly moved through the ranks. From two wins on each of the Jamega and Europro tours he then had a solid finish to 2013 on the Challenge tour with 2nd placed finishes in China and Kazakhstan and 6th in the UAE to earn his full card. He hasn't rested on his laurels and has already wrapped up his card with a 10th in Abu Dhabi and a 2nd in the Joburg Open. The problem I had was which market to back him in? I think a win is a very tall order but is worth a small bet 0.1 ew 200/1, another top 10 is more likely - 0.4 16/1 whilst the best market could be top English player. In that market he was 1st Joburg, 1st Abu Dhabi and t4th Qatar - 0.3 ew 33/1
Last man in is a name most won't have heard of and is a bit of a shot in the dark. Rhein Gibson is a young Australian who was 4th in his home Open at the end of last year - ahead of Jason Day although a few shots back from Scott and Rory. He was 4th in China on the One Asia tour before that and surged through the field in his latest outing with a 62 to finish 2nd in Indonesia. That low round was no fluke - most news about him will lead you to the world record 55 he shot in 2012. It is a risk but at 150/1 I'll give him a chance 0.2 ew 150/1
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 52
|
By:
young mr gibson an interesting prospect........
|
|
By:
Soren Hansen 200/1
Soren Kjeldsen Team Soren! |
|
By:
Hi everyone, dead on here these days compared to years past. Anyway I like one player in particular this week. And I would like to ask why The Muppet Moans has missed it or possibly overlooked him?
This young fella goes by the name of Jin Joeng, a very young south korean player who grew up in australia, he has a 1st and a 2nd in the last 8 months of his european tour career and he is 225/1 to win this! I managed to snaffle 12/1 for a top 20 finish early on for £127 and have also backed first round leader at 150/1 (out early) and outright at 225/1 and 200/1 For me this guy is soooooooooooooooooo underrated and has somehow gone under the radar, I expect another win within the next 12 months.... What do recon on this guy TMM? 12/1 for top 20/1 pretty **** hot bet? |
|
By:
Hi Timmy - great young player - trouble is catching him right - maybe best saving your pennies on the place market and simply backing him every week at big odds for the win - maybe on a course he has played b4 - certainly true when he won in Perth
|
|
By:
Interesting that Duffner travels here rather than play the Zurich. If memory serves me well, he did a similar thing last year. He maybe has a contract with Volvo or an equipment maker to do the Asian side of things. After all, that is where the population is and there are many new customers in Asia that have not been tapped up yet. Just hard to build decent couses near population centres as the smog around major cities is unreal if you have not experienced it. Colsaerts had a good week in Malaysia and he may continue that line of form and is a bet to lead after 18 and and savers on a top 20 finish for me.
|
|
By:
Just fill your boots on Poults.
He has been screaming for a few weeks now that he is nailing it without getting the scores. Looking at the pictures it looks a reasonably short, tight course, surely right up his street. Looking for a big run off the great man this week. |
|
By:
Poulter grows a leg in Asia too par. Have to agree with you.
|
|
By:
I hope we are collecting therhino
|
|
By:
been told a bit of info about the course, the front nine is wide open with no rough and soft fairways, the back nine is a bit tight with water in play on all of the last six holes.
could provide an eventful finish |
|
By:
im aboard the Poulter train also this week.
|
|
By:
cheers dunc
|
|
By:
Surprised you have deserted your old favorite, Shane Lowry, toberaheena. Hoey, Wattel, Aguilar, Rumford and Ramsay main winners for me. Good luck with yours.
|
|
By:
yeah shane lowry is nailed on now
|
|
By:
LI,Hao-tong
5 birdies and an 11 at par 5 9th to finish +1 otherwise all pars strange round |
|
By:
top bombing start muppet,very impressive
|
|
By:
Si-K
hope you backed the other Hansen ( peter ) he's on fire in the USA |
|
By:
so much for Poulter, head off completely
|
|
By:
poults messed up the drop on the par 5 ???
|
|
By:
Unbelievable carry on.
|
|
By:
guess we won't know wether the 8 is a 9 or D/Q till after card is signed
|
|
By:
what a knob jockey
 |
|
By:
It is staggering.
No good blaming the caddie either. Yer man rushed through the drop and was too busy screaming at himself to realise what he was doing. The double on the par 3 was the catalyst and that three putt was an error you would be disgusted at a junior for making. |
|
By:
LI, Hao-tong -4 so far today, -3 for tournament, but still has 9th to play
cracking effort given that he took 11 there yesterday |
|
By:
eagle at 2 changed to birdie, lol, so -3 and -2
|
|
By:
This one doesn't look too clever. Only one half realistic runner left for me, Richie Ramsay. Have taken stakes out of him, Hoey, Fleetwood and Rumford though.
Can burn the book to lose about £30.00. Don't know whether to do that or salute and go down with the ship. Good luck with yours. |
|
By:
Gotta feel bad for Sam Yi. He was +17 through eight holes when he called it quits today, and that was after a birdie on the first. The guy must have had some serious nerves!
|
|
By:
|
|
By:
Perhaps I should have burnt the book.
 It looks even worse now than it did on Friday, but like Si-K, I was on Noh from the start.  |
|
By:
Think I've convinced myself Levy has the cojones to take this in the morning. Ilonen will be solid and shoot -5 or -6 and alvaro will be erratic. So Levy needs a 69 68 to win. Think his nervy round may have been today. That's my thinking anyway. Cue egg on face when I wake up tomorrow mid round
|
|
By:
Had another look at this market and feel that there is enough quality near enough to the leader to deem it pertinent of an average lay of Alexander @ 2.26ish. Not going mad, just a handy lay.
|
|
By:
@Perfectionist...one of us will be correct
|
|
By:
Those 2 holes on Friday looking really bad for Poulter now. Would be bang in this if not for them.
|
|
By:
Looks like a cruise to the line for Levy . Nobody putting a back nine together in order to wipe the contrived smile for the face of Levy. One bit of pressure would tell in my humble opinion but will it come.
|
|
By:
Had to lay a bit of 1.04, plenty of trouble to come over the last few holes.
|
|
By:
Cheeky fecker holes his birdie putt.
|
|
By:
Here it comes
 |
|
By:
Not a sniff, he easily gets the job done by two shots or easing off and three putting on the 18th to win by one.................move on, nothing to see hear!
|
|
By:
GSM
 |
|
By:
Well, there was a sniff, a good 8 second sniff between Fleetwood's putt and that shot. Brilliant shot.
|