Golf
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
Harris English looks the most likely winner to me but there's no real value in his current price and with the other players at the top of the market having question marks over them it's probably best to look elsewhere.
Paul Casey looks severely overpriced to me at 90/1. The former world #3 ranked golfer has been slowly but surely returning to his best over the past 18 months after struggling to overcome a troublesome shoulder injury. Casey picked up his first win in over two years at the Irish Open last year and has continued to play well since recording 6 top 20 finishes in his last 7 outings, the last of these a tie for 12th at the Honda Classic on the PGA Tour two weeks ago. While his course form isn't eye-catching he shot a 64 to lead here in the first round in 2011 before 3 rounds in the 70's where he slipped to a tie for 37th place. Casey spoke positively early last year about his game revealing his aspirations of making the Ryder Cup squad and returning to the worlds top 10. Currently ranked 88th in the world, Casey's sights must first be set on returning to the worlds top 50 and with plenty of ranking points i'm sure he's extra motivated to put in a big performance this close to the Masters.
Paul Casey looks severely overpriced to me at 90/1. The former world #3 ranked golfer has been slowly but surely returning to his best over the past 18 months after struggling to overcome a troublesome shoulder injury. Casey picked up his first win in over two years at the Irish Open last year and has continued to play well since recording 6 top 20 finishes in his last 7 outings, the last of these a tie for 12th at the Honda Classic on the PGA Tour two weeks ago. While his course form isn't eye-catching he shot a 64 to lead here in the first round in 2011 before 3 rounds in the 70's where he slipped to a tie for 37th place. Casey spoke positively early last year about his game revealing his aspirations of making the Ryder Cup squad and returning to the worlds top 10. Currently ranked 88th in the world, Casey's sights must first be set on returning to the worlds top 50 and with plenty of ranking points i'm sure he's extra motivated to put in a big performance this close to the Masters.
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 124
|
By:
Casey is way too up and down for me. He looked like he was coming good about 3/4's of the way through last year in Europe, but he hasn't done much since. When he wins he looks all class, but the gaps in between him popping up on the leaderboard would put me off backing him pre-event.
Doesn't look like there is much interest in this strangely named tournament. Not yet at least. |
|
By:
Knox, Choi, Mackenzie and Haas so far. Shame there is little interest from the big boys, best course they use on the Florida swing by the length of the Flemington straight.
|
|
By:
Another new sponsor for this weeks event on the PGA tour - the Valspar Championship although yet again we return to the Copperhead course at Innisbrook in Florida. Although we remain in Florida a lot of golfers will tell you it is not a typical course for the area with plenty of elevation changes and apparently it plays more like a Carolina course. Harris English is this weeks favourite and I couldn't put anyone off him as he won the Southern Amateur around the course in 2011 and has won twice on tour now but last year when he was 7th I tipped him at 150/1 - this week he is less than 20/1! I have gone for three picks who have won recently and one veteran past winner who has returned to a bit of form.
The Carolina connection is perfectly embodied in the shape of Carl Pettersson who went to college and lives there and has two wins in the Carolinas yet his first tour win was here and he has been 8th twice. The Swede changed his caddie for the Honda Classic ending a long relationship with Grant Berry and he made his first cut of the year and then was 4th last week in Puerto Rico. Interestingly the new man on the bag is his old looper Tommy Anderson who carried his clubs when he won here in 2005 - 0.3 ew 100/1 6 places. Sticking with the Swedish theme I will put up Jonas Blixt who like Pettersson went to college in the states and lives in Florida. He has won in each of the last two seasons so is a talented young player and he really caught my eye last week. Having opened with a 79 he closed with a 66 to finish 16th - an impressive final round. He was 38th here on his only start last year managing a pair of 69's and that start was sandwiched by three missed cuts either side so it wasn't a bad performance. 0.4 ew 80/1 6 places Scott Stallings is another proven winner on tour getting his third win at Torrey Pines at the end of January. He played here on a sponsors invite in 2011 and finished 3rd (and got his first ever professional hole in one) so has some fond memories of Innisbrook. I will say he is notoriously difficult to catch right but with his win ratio he is worth a bet this week at three figures 0.2 ew 100/1 Sang Moon Bae has only won the once on the PGA tour at the tough Byron Nelson event but has posted plenty of wins in Japan and South Korea. I do think he will eventually become a multiple winner on this tour and lost in a four man play-off here on his debut in 2012 0.25 ew 80/1 6 places |
|
By:
Good read as always TMM, best of luck this week
 |
|
By:
Guthrie 95, Koepka 100, Uihlein 100, and then plenty more when/if they fall out of contention.
|
|
By:
Popular thread
 Donald +847 Haas +423 Choi +576 Knox +1221 Mackenzie +1358 Every +1453 Hoffman +218 Manassero +788 Sabbatini +1165 Thompson +1263 Field -70 |
|
By:
What's the go with Justin Rose this week? His price jumped about 70% overnight, though it looks like he's still playing.
|
|
By:
Perhaps his interview yesterday has put people off, didn't sound to confident.
http://www.asapsports.com/show_interview.php?id=96862 Q. How are you physically right now and do you think you overdid it at the end of last year or maybe just everything going on with winning the U.S. Open? JUSTIN ROSE: Right now I'm doing pretty well, not a hundred percent but I would say I'm at least 95 percent there physically for golf. Couple things I can't do that I need to do physically but golf swing-wise, I feel like my motor pattern is where I need it to be and feeling strong again and getting my ball speed and clubhead speed back to where it should be. |
|
By:
Thanks BHLL. I thought the same thing but it's in the eye of the beholder I suppose, because I don't think that reads too bad. Not bad enough to push his price from 27s to 46s at least.
The layer is more than likely to have the last laugh - winning golf tournaments is hard even when you're 100%. |
|
By:
That interview's hardly enough to justify the drift on it's own, but you wonder if others have slightly more information. Given the wear and tear these guys are under I imagine most are 95% at best any given week.
|
|
By:
nice start from three sticks, short on a 10footer
|
|
By:
Tough going again today. Anyone playing the Honda-Doral-Valspar stretch will have earned a lie down.
|
|
By:
Why do commentators always feel the need to keep saying the same things over and over again???
Darren Clarke has lost loads of weight don't you know!  |
|
By:
Solid start. Taken stake out of Every and moved to Perez. How good is this course? Severely under rated.
|
|
By:
Good thing about this course is it seems tough year in year out without being tricked up, gimmicks tacked on, par 5s changed to par 4s, dodgy setups or tees pushed further and further back, and all the other artificial stuff some tracks come up with to toughen things up when the tour comes to town.
|
|
By:
weve had a good run of courses of late and golf has been very enjoyable
|
|
By:
John Daly 90
|
|
By:
I thought u meant price
 |
|
By:
12 on 16th?
|
|
By:
I would definitely subscribe to Sky Sports if it wasn't for all the adverts and the messing about in the studio etc.
 |
|
By:
soft porn instead of studio masterclass
|
|
By:
What does Garrigus do to deserve these very short prices early on? Just over 6-1 with more than 36 to go - wow not for me!
|
|
By:
Looks like the coverage went off just in time for him to hit a 210 yard approach from out of the forest to 14 feet, would've kinda liked to see that.
Been impressive so far but if the guy can blow a 3 shot lead with 1 to play wouldn't be too keen to back him with 38 to play. |
|
By:
Wouldn't back him, but the 3 shot lead and the playoff appearance 2 years back is reason enough for him to single figures. Maybe a little low but not too far off the mark.
|
|
By:
i think im gonna go with furyk from here. Hello everybody!
|
|
By:
It's amazing how often these guys have a perfect line of sight with no obstructions playing out of the trees. If it was me, I would be dead behind the centre of the tree and ave to manufacture a 10 metre shot backwards
 |
|
By:
Welcome back meng
 Nice to see you're alive and well. |
|
By:
barely, when i last posted afters rorys aus win i said i been a bit ill but getting better.....i was wrong lol. but im hopefully alive for a bit longer! hope your luck has been in!
|
|
By:
That doesn't sound good mate. Hope everything works out for you health wise.
|
|
By:
Hello meng - good to see you back! I really do love this part of the season with tough courses and the Masters around the corner!
|
|
By:
hey hank mate. thanks rhino, im looking like i will be fine now. so im bak to picking my vast wekly teams on the golf, seen some new guys posting which is good, they can also tell me to pick more players each week lol
|
|
By:
one thing i really need to know is......
has ski had a losing week yet |
|
By:
havent seen him round much, but I highly doubt it.
|
|
By:
lol legend of ski. its the little things that make the forum worth it
|
|
By:
Should be an interesting weekend here, nice weather tomorrow so if Saturday setup is generous should see some good scores and a few charges from the pack. Then Sunday looks to be very windy so it could be hanging on for grim death. Pretty much exactly how you'd want a weekend to shape up.
|
|
By:
I did manage to do a reverse forum curse on Furyk to get a 59 while you were away meng
|
|
By:
hehe nice work. im still stuck on backing furyk since last year....hes gotta get a grip soon surely
|
|
By:
On Furyk for the Masters at 190/200. Too big.
|
|
By:
he looks too big to me every week, except this week cuz of the course, but still gotta do it
|