Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
07 Oct 13 11:52
Date Joined: 12 Jun 11
| Topic/replies: 3,620 | Blogger: HeinzGuderian's blog
Billy Horsehead @ 23, is my only selection so far.
More may follow.
Stay tuned. Happy
Pause Switch to Standard View The Open
Show More
Report maggot October 7, 2013 5:52 PM BST
Kyle Stanley hasn't exactly been pulling up trees this season, but 80/1 E/W against this lot of ifs and buts, seems a fair price.

Also had a wee bit of Big Bad Bob @ 66/1 E/W, and Spencer Levin E/W @ 125/1. Levin was top ten here 2 years ago, and looks to have recovered from a dodgy thumb. It's a thumbs up for me.
Report therhino October 8, 2013 6:56 AM BST
Horrible event to pick a winner. 3 times at Cordevalle, Mediate won out of nowhere, and the only thing I can find as a trend for Molder and Blixt the last 2 years was being 1st time winners who played well in Vegas the week before. No Vegas beforehand this yesr though, but will back a form runner chasing his first win in Hideki Matsuyama. Taken 26s. Won't be doing much else before the weekend, an event to exercise caution before the field thins in play.

Let's hope that the Californian sun shines this week and we get no weather delays. If Cali and Vegas next week can't get us through without interruption, time to relocate the Tour.
Report Super Hans October 8, 2013 3:27 PM BST
With no Bubba, Zach, Webb, Kooch or Fowler this week.

All Gods support will be with one man.

Ben Crane, get on at 140.Happy

Report pokeron October 9, 2013 2:26 AM BST
maybe hideki will give ishikawa a frickin injection of life. i cant remember the last time he contended.

he's multi talented tho that ishikawa. having so much spare time on weekends, he can indulge in his other hobby of riding horses at warwick farm to supplement his income. he's so brazen he sometimes even does this on wednesdays Laugh
Report stonecold- October 9, 2013 10:33 PM BST
gone for patrick reed 48 john huh 48 smaller bets jerry kelly 125 brian gay 150/1
Report the muppet moans October 9, 2013 11:53 PM BST
This is the fourth staging of the event from the Cordevalle course in California and looking at the three winners there does appear a connection in that they all had some good Californian form although they all came up just shy. Mediate of course had his battle with Tiger in the US Open at Torrey Pines, Molder twice had a chance to win the AT&T at Pebble Beach whilst Blixt lost a good lead in the Soboba Classic on the tour. This is were I concentrated my efforts but added a few other thoughts as this year instead of being an event where people were making a last chance dash for their cards it is the first event of the new PGA season.
Spencer Levin missed nine months of golf through injury and only came back in July getting eight starts on the tour before starting this year on a medical extension. He showed in those starts that he still retains his ability with a 2nd, 7th and 10th. Whilst he hasn't won on the main tour he did win three times on the Canadian tour including in California where he was born and raised and still lives. He has nearly won at Pebble Beach before and was 7th here at Cordevalle in 2011 so is very happy on Californian greens 0.3 ew 125/1
Jhonattan Vegas is another player coming back from injury - this time having undergone shoulder surgery in February and he has tweeted that his shoulder has got better every week of his last four events on the tour. The layers seem to have forgotten that a fit Vegas was 4th at Congressional and 7th at Sawgrass last year. He has a really strong record in California stemming from being a losing semi-finalist in the US Amateur at Olympic to winning the Bob Hope and finishing 3rd at Torrey Pines in 2011. He was 22nd last year having started brilliantly before his shoulder flared up and I have backed him outright 0.25 ew 200/1 and for round one leader 0.1 ew 150/1
Ted Potter is probably an even more surprising pick but he does have something in common with last years winner Jonas Blixt - they have both won the Greenbrier Classic at the Old White course (plus Potter was 6th this year) and lots of other players have done well at both venues. His other best finishes of 2013 were 16th at Pebble Beach and 10th at Torrey Pines and he also won the Soboba Classic in California on the tour. As a player who can find his form and win from nowhere he is worth supporting at 200/1 - 0.15 ew
Last player in Ben Martin is different from the other picks in that he has no form in California but he is the wrong price in my opinion. In his last eleven starts he has had five top six finishes and two wins and has finally fulfilled the potential he showed as an amateur. John Peterson is all the rage this week after five consecutive top five finishes but Martin can top that with the two wins so why is he double the price. He did play here back in 2011 in his first failed attempt on tour and improved with every round which should bode well for this week 0.3 ew 66/1
Report three_for_it October 10, 2013 10:27 AM BST
I'm heading east for my 3 picks in this.One of them an old timer hopefully on the way back and two promising youngsters who haven't lived upto what was expected of them over the last season or so.

Ishikawa - His countryman Matsuyama seems to be the main focus of attention this week but consecutive top 10s in the last three events of the finals suggests this guys game is on the way back.He's also gone sub 70 in his last 6 rounds.He's never shown any great consistency results wise stateside but hopefully Matsuyamas achievments earlier in the year will spur this fella on.Let's not forget he's managed two top 10s in WGC events in America over the last few years also.Gone e/w @80s.

Noh - Only decided to play in three of the four finals events but that was a luxury he could afford after winning the third of them,The Nationwide Childrens Hospital Championship.Also finished in the top 10 in the first of those events and that added to an improvement in form at the end of the regular season,i think 85s on here win only,is more than generous.Also took 14 for a top 5 finish.I think it's a positive that he took the finals week off and headed back to South Korea as a plus,as I think one thing he's been guilty of since turning pro is having way too big a playing schedule.

Yang - I'm pretty much basing this one on an improved last time out showing and also the price.He's only shown little glimmers of a recovery this season but a tied 3rd last time out in what was admittedly a weak Asian Tour/Japan Tour co-sanctioned event,means i'm going to take a chance on him.Led the GIR stats as well for that event,and although far from bombproof,i've been tempted by the win only odds on here of 230 and I've added in a top 5 placing at 34 also.

Best of luck to all for the start of the new US Tour season.
Report mengmeng October 10, 2013 12:19 PM BST
Timmy Clark for me.
Report bannahan October 10, 2013 12:56 PM BST
Longuns this week for me.


Will go in again Sunday.

Good luck all
Report Merlin7 October 10, 2013 2:09 PM BST
Kevin Chappell 75
Charlie Beljan 290
Brian Harman 220
Ted Potter Jnr190

Are my hopeful selections.
Report taximan October 10, 2013 3:03 PM BST
is there a delay ?  as no scores up on PGA .com
Report mengmeng October 10, 2013 3:19 PM BST
only just starting
Report mengmeng October 10, 2013 3:20 PM BST
and sometimes they dont update scores till 8am their time...must be when they start work lol
Report limited ability October 10, 2013 6:01 PM BST
Tommy Gainey is doing my head in.

He has taken 7 putts on the last 3 holes from a combined total of 40 feet Shocked

And now he has missed the green with a wedge from the centre of the fairway from 95 feet Crazy

How the feck did he get to 2 under in the first place Laugh
Report limited ability October 10, 2013 6:45 PM BST
ANd now he holes a 40 footer Grin
Report donny osmond October 10, 2013 7:27 PM BST
horschel putting well too

5th Hole
Par 4
454 yards
1. 291yds to Fairway Bunker, 160yds to hole
2. 186yds to Left Rough, 32yds to hole
3. 13yds to Left Fairway, 29yds to hole
4. 27yds to Green, 5ft 5in to hole
5. putt 9ft, 3ft 4in to hole
6. putt 7ft 1in, 3ft 11in to hole
7. Calculating distance
Report toberaheena October 10, 2013 9:33 PM BST
Decided to have a go here.Looking to get Jonas Blixt matched at 25's. Might be obliged by one decent soul overnight. I like where he is at -2. Later starter tomorrow. €30 on the nose.
Report toberaheena October 11, 2013 12:32 AM BST
Got a bit greedy on Blixt and will leave it overnihjt. Backed Ishikawa at a nice price I think he looks to me to be a 50/1 shot. That is a bit of value gone under the radar.
Report bannahan October 11, 2013 12:59 PM BST
Seems our resident golf guru got Horsehead all wrong this week.

A desperate selection at the prices imo....
Report bannahan October 11, 2013 4:23 PM BST
Nice start Camillo.....keep it up son
Report HeinzGuderian October 12, 2013 10:33 AM BST

Oct 11, 2013 -- 6:59AM, bannahan wrote:

Seems our resident golf guru got Horsehead all wrong this week.A desperate selection at the prices imo....

If I may say so, a more honest opinion should have been given BEFORE the first round was completed.
But we have come to expect little else from our resident After Timer.

Matsuyame, IMHO, now powers ahead to take this with ease, as Billy The Horse reflects on a remarkable season, and prepares for next years extravaganza ! Cool

Report bannahan October 12, 2013 4:11 PM BST
bannahan 10 Oct 13 12:56 
Longuns this week for me.


Will go in again Sunday.

Good luck all

I make that to be 12:56?

No aftertimeing here "guru"....ALL GREEN.

Well done for having another guessLaughWink
Report aberdonia October 12, 2013 4:26 PM BST
Heinz has been well and truly reamed.  LaughLaugh

Garrigus is worth a small investment.
Report bannahan October 12, 2013 4:27 PM BST
Fookin clown Laugh
Report wowiezowiee October 12, 2013 6:17 PM BST
Could be a Japanese shootout tonite ..Ryo and  Matsuyama well in it. Brooke a bit short but interested to see how he fairs with some pressure...
Report jamesdean October 12, 2013 7:23 PM BST
Any links for this golf tonight ? Coverage doesn't start until 10pm on Sky
Report jamesdean October 12, 2013 8:03 PM BST
Kokrac eagle first hole, 130 yards
Report Hami9999 October 12, 2013 9:22 PM BST
had a lay in the 3 ball market earlier ? v j one . one of the guys pulled out leaving 2 players . does the bet still stand or will betfair void this?
Report aberdonia October 12, 2013 9:22 PM BST
Garrigus is having a 5 foot birdie putt at nearly every hole at the moment.

It wont last.

A drive will be going deep into the native area anytime soon.
Report aberdonia October 12, 2013 9:23 PM BST
you cant beat handing over notes in the bookies and then collecting.

However, it seems nowadays that they dont want our custom
Report aberdonia October 12, 2013 9:24 PM BST
wrong forum
Report Canaletto . October 12, 2013 9:46 PM BST
Garrigues is one of the biggest chokers on tour.

Big lay
Report Canaletto . October 12, 2013 9:46 PM BST
Garrigues is one of the biggest chokers on tour.

Big lay
Report aberdonia October 12, 2013 10:09 PM BST
i heard you the 1st time.

lay him then.
Report toberaheena October 12, 2013 10:11 PM BST
Damn. Had a free bet on Ishikawa to win nearly €400. Got too clever and laid it off to win me 12 euro on the field. Disgusted with myself.
Report therhino October 12, 2013 11:07 PM BST
Hopefully next week is more entertaining than this, boring as batsh1t this is Cry
Report Mighty Whites 2008 October 12, 2013 11:11 PM BST
boring 32 guys within 7 a serial non winner and 2 inexperienced guys at the top plenty to hold the interest
Report Hank Hill October 12, 2013 11:23 PM BST
Garrigus LaughLaughLaugh
Report therhino October 12, 2013 11:43 PM BST
Playstation golf on the 17th
Report f1sh October 13, 2013 11:11 AM BST
Not massive amounts but getting £125 if Kopeka wins and £211 if Kokrak wins, cash out £70 any suggestions
Report therhino October 13, 2013 11:30 AM BST
If Koepka play decent it's only the -12 and up crowd that can get him. If he goes backwards or stagnates then there's a whole bunch who can win. I think we can put a line through McNeill and Singh of the -12s, no faith in the -10 crowd and at -9 it's Chappell and Matsuyama that stand out. You're in a good position, I would let it ride or I would move bits to cover those 2 at -9 at big odds and then Garrigus and Walker. Both of those are round 4 clowns, but Walker in particular is more than due, and this could be the course. Plays well here, 2 years ago it was Molder, no reason Jimmy can't break through here.

At then end of the day though, we're all just guessing...
Report mengmeng October 13, 2013 2:45 PM BST
i actually disagree with you for a change rhino, i think at the prices vijay is a great bet so im gonna get on him
Report bannahan October 13, 2013 3:12 PM BST
I'm not on but this has Jimmy walker written all over it for me...

Will Koepka kack it?
Report bannahan October 13, 2013 4:38 PM BST
Covered Jimmy Walker
Report omega1 October 13, 2013 7:56 PM BST
...and it's not just the fact that Walker cannot get it done in contention but that he has to follow a very low round that would put me off him.
Ive a good payout for small stakes if Georgy boy wins.Not overly confident as the last remark also applies to him!
Report Ski-Wiz October 13, 2013 8:20 PM BST
One green £ TV till 10 pm...unbelievable.....back in two hours.......
Report therhino October 13, 2013 9:00 PM BST
Matsuyama on the move
Report Canaletto . October 13, 2013 9:05 PM BST
Your night is dead if you've a green on Garrigues.

I hope Singh wins, a quality name amongst a leaderboard of no hopers in the real golfing world
Report Canaletto . October 13, 2013 9:06 PM BST
Cockrak has bottled it too.
Report Canaletto . October 13, 2013 9:10 PM BST
You know this is a tinpot tourney when the likes of Bryce Molder is a past chump.
Report therhino October 13, 2013 9:16 PM BST
Could throw a similar name out of almost every tourney tbf
Report orzabal October 13, 2013 10:10 PM BST
Fair play to young Brooks holding it together well.
Report orzabal October 13, 2013 10:52 PM BST
Spoke to soon
Report daveygfc October 13, 2013 10:53 PM BST
That was a brutal bogey for Koepka on the 9th par 5. Lead only 1 now.
Report par October 13, 2013 11:18 PM BST
looks like leakey oil time now, that one was never near on line
Report daveygfc October 13, 2013 11:19 PM BST
Koepka crapping them. Another short miss and another bogey. Joint leader now with Walker.
Report aasbff October 13, 2013 11:19 PM BST
Brooks Cry
Report daveygfc October 14, 2013 1:02 AM BST
Koepka has threw this away. 2 behind with 2 to play after ring 4 ahead. Cost me dearly.
Report daveygfc October 14, 2013 1:06 AM BST
And in the water he goes to blow it. Tube.
Report Gay Icon October 14, 2013 1:08 AM BST
Koepka what an absolute c*nt. I hope you never make it onto the PGA tour you bellend. 4 shot lead and he's absolutely collapsed. Cost me 4K.
Report par October 14, 2013 1:10 AM BST
shocking effort
Report Gay Icon October 14, 2013 1:18 AM BST
mugs on sky making out like he's the next big name in world golf ffs!!

if he can't convert a 4 shot lead against such a weak field i don't hold out much hope for him. tw*t
Report bannahan October 14, 2013 1:25 AM BST
Did you not trade GI?

I has Walker. Sorry you lost, that would of been a sweet win.
Report aasbff October 14, 2013 2:10 AM BST
I should have traded out at around 1.3 and not been as greedy. As soon as you starting being greedy, everything starts going tits up.
Report Ski-Wiz October 14, 2013 1:53 PM BST
As soon as you starting being greedy, everything starts going tits up.

Spot on.....
Report SafeJim October 14, 2013 1:55 PM BST
I traded out too early with Jimmy Walker could of traded out at 1.5/1.6 but traded out at 2.4. Still swings and roundabouts
Report bannahan October 14, 2013 6:25 PM BST
Better safe than sorry jim
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.


Instance ID: 13539