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I'm golfed out after US open,giving this week a miss
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warning. DJ pulls out more than he plays.
I too am golfed out and I reckon most of the players will be. Will play a few at large prices and then just leave it till the weekend |
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I too feel completely golfed out
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How can anyone be 'golfed out' after an exciting Major?
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Have ignored most of the front of the market
Lowry Aguilar Willett Keiffer Benson Baldwin Gonzalez |
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Have ignored most of the front of the market
Lowry Aguilar Willett Keiffer Benson Baldwin Gonzalez |
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I'm sick of golf lol. Weeks of careful picking and sensible moves and threw it all away on tiger in a moment of madness. Havn't the stomach in me to even look at it this week. That's the way the cookie crumbles!
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It feels like the calm after the storm - the week after a Major always seems a bit muted but there are tournaments to bet on and I will kick off with the BMW International on the European tour which boasts quite a strong field. i must admit to playing it a bit cautious with two big priced outsiders and a first round leader bet. At the top of the market I was keen on Ross Fisher but having backed him at Wentworth at 80/1 I am loathe to take 28/1 here and I like the look of Thomas Bjorn who has won twice round here before but his price seems about right to me.
John Parry seems full of beans having just completed his first Major and he acquitted himself well finishing in a tie for 28th and that could well be the catalyst to spur him on to bigger and better things. Looking back at his career so far one thing jumps out and that is that he plays all his best golf comes playing parkland courses. His win on the Challenge tour at Toulouse Seih, his European win at Joyenval and his Q School triumph at Catalunya have all been on parkland courses and maybe it shouldn't be a big surprise as he honed his game playing the parkland course in Harrogate. Munchen Nord-Eichenried definitely falls into that category and in his two visits have yielded 36th and 18th placed finishes. Maybe his exploits in the US last week will give him encouragement to improve on thos starts 0.2 ew 200/1 Soren Hansen has been in the doldrums for a while and lost the best part of a year to first a rib injury and then a bad wrist which required surgery. He is playing the tour on a medical extension but there have been signs that his game is returning to normal as his recent GIR stats are very good. It is not necessarily his form here that gives him a squeak but rather his form overall on German parkland courses - 2nd at Gut Kaden and 1st, 8th and 3rd on visits to Gut Larchenhof. The one thing that normally lets him down is a cold putter but if he can warm that up he should play well 0.2 ew 200/1. Last bet of the week goes to our hero in Spain the other month Raphael Jacquelin but I have only backed him in the round one leader category. In thirteen visits here he has held the lead twice after the opening round and oddly enough the other three times he has held a round one lead in recent history have all been in China - so bear that in mind for future reference! 0.2 ew 66/1 |
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A tad more sporadic this week, dont like Sergio's head, dont like Dustbin's game, dont like Henrik's price.
Matteo Joost Aguilar Siem Horsey Parry Madeson Strongly fancy the top 4, wait till the weekend now |
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casey didnt do too bad last week and rose winning might be a spur for him, my problem is what happens if he manages to get into contention ...
i think siem is a good pick, if he isnt worn out ! good luck all, small steaks for me this week ... |
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tmm, I made the point last year that Parry's wins are all late in the saeson, and then didnt back him in Q School! You put anything by that?
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denno posted some stuff about him last year dml, if hes about you could message him
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he told me a bit about a few people! I guess it may be the same sort of thing, but cheers
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Is backing anyone who just flew back from USA a wise strategy?
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not Spanish mentals anyway
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flying from us open to germany is a 6 hour time difference,
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Seve Benson @ 400s and above looks a terrific price to me.
I know that this is a far superior field to last week, but his confidence must be sky high, and the fact that he came back strongly after a poor opening round at St Omer, shows that he has some guts. Lots of question marks, about the top end of the market for me, and although it's a lot to ask for the fella to win the thing, I think that the price represents some decent value. Also on @ 150s E/W Ross Fisher's price stinks. Also on .. Danny Willett Lee Slattery Matthew Baldwin (I'm on every time he tees it up) Scott Jamieson Jorge Campillo (every time he tees it up, too) Good luck. |
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Any reason for backing Baldwin and Jorge every time?
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gone for main fancies
thomas bjorn 36 miguel angel jimenez 48 david horsey 80 felipe aguilar 85 seve benson 400/ also backed top 5 small bets on david drysdale 170 mark foster 130 david lynn 75 emilano grillo 120 |
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Thomas Bjorn (who hasn't backed him?!)
Thorbjorn Olesen Are my small but select team this week. |
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I too have gone in on The Mechanic!
Joost has good course form, although one should bare in mind he starts on the front 9 and he did not make a single birdie on holes 1 to 4 in either of his last 2 tournies around this track (32 holes). Done all his scoring on holes 6 to 18. |
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My Lucky Six
Tommy Siem Manassero Ross fisher Weisberger Noren All have there moments with the putter & can go on birdy runs when required, formwise there all therabouts & have course knowledge/form amongst them. Pushed for an outsider or two i'd be looking at Slattery Waring & an American at around 50 rather than Dj's price which is jus....? Also Storm/Havret for Top10 |
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Just these for now:
Sergio Garcia Henrik Stenson Matteo Manassero Martin Kaymer Alex Noren Pablo Larrazabal Paul Casey Alex Cejka Tom Lewis Simon Wakefield Eduardo De La Riva |
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hmm yep Thomas Bjorn for me also
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Fisher off to a flyer 12/1 already Jesus that's a bit of an over reaction
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A ditch with no water ,good old Germans.
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lol
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My one to watch for the last ten years, Callum McCauley is -3 finished. You can treat that as par.
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Wind to get up, looks like morning starters getting an advantage, if of course forecast is to be believed.
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What a contrast to last week. Dull stuff really.
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Nixon 4 bogeys in a 65.
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go on Marcel you little sort of large beauty, sort of, not really in a funny way.
MK not even top German golfer soon |
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Very boring after last week...to be expected i suppose
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I still have it
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Well, that was exciting. A flurry of low scores there at the close of the morning session here in Munich. Golf on show that's as hot as the weather. The phrase "scorchio" comes to mind.
Patronising on ET arent they? |
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Unexpected stunning round from Els....Wanted to back at 36 to 40 but couldn't get matched and didn't fancy the odds on offer around 25 ish......looks like someone got a time machine!!
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I know T. Lewis can get the birdies....but i wish he would avoid the bogies.
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Ernie sub-6 when anyone can shoot -6 here
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