US Open 1k liability and under thread

Take the £85 profit now Hank

500 woods
200 phil
200 rory
100 mahan.
100 watney

this is mine pre tourney field - £65
trying to get £25 matched on furyk
try not to have big lai before the off will have a few 50 bets saturday monring
BackOddsStakePotential Profit
Graeme McDowell31£12.00£360.00
Brandt Snedeker34£5.00£165.00
Sergio Garcia45£2.00£88.00
Jim Furyk46£5.00£225.00
Dustin Johnson52£10.00£510.00
Matteo Manassero72£3.00£213.00
Louis Oosthuizen76£5.40£405.00
Rickie Fowler78£1.64£126.28
Zach Johnson108£5.00£535.00
Padraig Harrington100£2.00£198.00
Martin Kaymer116£2.00£230.00
Peter Hanson170£2.00£338.00
Ernie Els114£1.00£113.00
YE Yang620£0.50£309.50
Stewart Cink550£0.50£274.50
Stewart Cink550£0.50£274.50
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano325£2.00£648.00
Michael Thompson150£5.00£745.00
Paul Lawrie520£0.50£259.50
Marc Leishman215£0.50£107.00

pattayaboy - you're disqualified from the thread for being over the limit

Rory Mc 20 @25
Scott Stallings 5@140
Louis Oosthuizen 6@85

Jim Furyk     46     £25.00     £1,125.00
Matteo Manassero     75     £25.00     £1,850.00
Henrik Stenson     75     £100.00     £7,400.00
    85     £25.37     £2,131.08
Kevin Chappell     100     £50.00     £4,950.00
Billy Horschel     100     £25.00     £2,475.00
Ryan Moore     120     £20.00     £2,380.00
Angel Cabrera     140     £20.00     £2,780.00
Ryan Palmer     130     £25.00     £3,225.00
Kyle Stanley     160     £25.00     £3,975.00
Peter Hanson     180     £25.00     £4,475.00

this is mine so far. god only knows.

oh well Goodluck everyone.. sadly i think its going to be stop start because of the weather and the Tiger group probably wont finish their round..

Mcilroy 1100
Webb-Simpson 1000
Dufner 1000
Donald 100
Oostie 1000
Fowler 1000
Stenson 1000
Zachary J 1000
T Clark 1000
Van Pelt 2000
M Thompson 500
Hanson 3000
Laird 5000
Grace 10000
Garrigus 500
Toms 10000
Karlsson 30000
Glover 20000
Gonzo 2500
Pettersen 5000
Van Zyl 10000
Lawrie 10000
Donaldson 10000
Potter 10000
Yang 20000
Howell 30000
Campbell 12000
D Clark 20000
Ogilvy 5000
Sabbattini 1000

Field -700

Will add a few maybe if orders get filled

Good luck all

Rory 100
Scott 100
Rose 250
Simpson 1100
Dufner 1800
Oosthiuzen 1000
Fowler 100
Haas 1500
Kaymer 1800
Els 2100
Watney 2500
Cabrera 250
BVP 1500
Hanson 16000
Choi 100
Colsaerts 4000
Toms 9000
Bae 10000
Lawrie 2500
Hoffman 8000
Fraser 7000
Yang 8000
Kelly 15000

Field -425

Added one before the off

Padraig Harrington +410
Fredrik Jacobson +401
Michael Thompson +382
Ian Poulter +344
Henrik Stenson +339

Lee Westwood -840
Justin Rose -840
Luke Donald -833
Sergio Garcia -833
Jason Dufner -823

The field +97

Only 2 bets for me, roughly £ 230 on Ogilvy and same on Guthrie.
  I have a feeling Rory will do well, but greed made me go for the bigger prices.

What are your thoughts on Tiger Eddie?

I think 7 is a correct price, if anything it should be slightly lower. 
  I think a high ball flight With irons could be important here and he certainly has that, and Rory of course , and Ogilvy...

Like it Eddie, I couldn't believe my luck when I got Ogilvy at 540s a huge price.

My average on him is "only" 462

You know the price only matters if he gets in the mix ;) I had two slugs at him 490s and 540s. I thought glover and Karlsson were great value at 400s too. They have both showed some form of late.

Sned +1526
Stricker +1145
Stenson +475
Bubba +1121
Haas +2810
Horschel +1122
Weekley +1145
Henley +1896
Thompson +1886
Streelman +1136
Leishman +1611
Piercy +1133
Hoffman +3007
Speith +835
Karlsson +2001
Glover +1795
Steele +9219
Tiger/Rory/Phil/Kuch/Gmac/Scott all level after taking big 6 insurance

The field -300

Laid $48 YES in hole in one market.

£400 Woods 6/1
£50 Gmac 28/1
£25 Rory 26/1

All start at virtually same time, so hope the weather doesn't favour the early starters on Thursday too much!

Yes. i tend to agree, i backed Rory yesterday at 26 hoping for a fast start, agree his high ball flight will be an advantage and also 2 far 5`s in first 4 holes, if 2 under after 4 his price will drop sharply

thanks for your thoughts Eddie

Douglas LaBelle II - £20,000

Jun 13, 2013 -- 10:15AM, ericthecat wrote:

Like it Eddie, I couldn't believe my luck when I got Ogilvy at 540s a huge price.

Got him at 500 and laid off then again at 500 and laid off....it does look like the layers and backers are at odds with each other.

Phil +112
Rory +444
Westy +240
Sneddeker +195
Manassero +472
Mahan     +547
Haas     +510
Leishman+1260
Donaldson +3410
Knox      +4910
Clarke    +4910

^^^

- 89.76 Field.

This will probably have changed by the time I've typed it up, but at the moment..

Kaymer  +2776
Chappell  +166
Dufner  +866
Boo  +677
Watney  +70
Stanley  +5583
Streelman  +1378
Colsaerts  +6043
Toms  +6526
Glover  +89
Cink  +201
Lingmerth  +4456
Siem  +7632
Jaidee  +3410
M Hoffman  +2096
Kelly  +1965
Donaldson  +78965
Potter Jnr  +1751
Hicks  +3405
Stefani  +5979
Yang  +411
N Thompson  +1906
Madsen  +10886
Goya  +1756
Steele  +28193
LaBelle  +10776
Stuard  +22578

Field  -244

The Legion of the Damned :

Wee Rory +£1,945.40
L.Donald +£519.90
Steve Stricker +£2,867.25
R.Fowler +£205.54
H.Mahan +£714.42
Z.Johnson +£828.34
S.Stallings +£544.67
I.Poulter £514.15
R.Moore +£80.96
R.Henley +£343.43
R.Palmer +£134.09
Bo Ban Pelt +£58.13
M.Thompson +£67.64
K.Streelman +£4,225.
T.Olesen +£115.19
S.Piercy +£1,117.18
Charley Hoffman +£895.01
Jordan Spieth +£1,148.65
John Huh +£1,399.04
L.Glover +£723.83
Gonzo' +£4,483.99
S. Moon-Bae +£229.22
John Senden +£3,089.27
Jaco Van Zyl +£1,047.17
J.Teater +£752.56
L.Guthrie +£457.55
Thongchai Jaidee +£2,571.06
Morgan Hoffman +£5,957.09
Shawn Stefani +£5,032.15
J.Kelly +£2,465.12
David Hearn +£9,587.15
David Howell +£9,751.68
J.M.Olazabal +£1,370.51
M.Goggin +£1,370.51
M.Battencourt +£1,370.51
Doug LaBelle +£5,174.51
M.Weibring +£1,370.51
D.Clarke +£1,370.51.

£30 Josh Teater to win his 3 ball at 5/4.
£5 72 hole matches
£5 R-1 3 balls.

Let me see now. 14.5% vat,5p for a plastic bag, and that comes to a grand total of

£598.87.

I need a drink

you`re lucky, plastic bags 4 times more expensive south of the border

You pay for plastic bags in the mother country?

22 cent in Ireland

5p a go in sunny Northern Ireland Rhino

Tis a travesty, it was talked about here some time ago but don't think any of the pollies had the balls to put that one through.

Australia not interested in saving the planet then Rhino, tut.. tut..

We do have a carbon tax though

Cracking start from Poults

How's everyone doing? only done a few bits and bobs today. Will update mine at the end of the day. Happy with Garcia and Dufner, was even happier with poults, but went -3 to +2, though +2 would be an ok finish today after all.

Had a layback of PM at 5 which would put me all green and still healthy but cancelled it, all depends on what Tigger and co do tonight, so left it. Am slightly concerned but will wait. Got loads of others but they need a bit of help. Probably the reason I havent traded for years before April!

How has the first 6 weeks trading gone DML ?

cheers for asking. I do overtrade too much frames, but its a learning process. Laying Tiger and having Kooch was good, as was making Mikko my biggets winner a couple of weeks ago. Fecked up last week, only played final round, didnt get TB laid for 4.0 and backed Stallings final round, got out at 3.0 and then fkd up the resrt of the night, eventually English was the worst result (winnings wise).

Just dont know this week, have a large team but Phil (yes I backed Phil) is the biggest win by miles.  I think the right decision is to wait but it concerens me. I also have a very large bet on him e/w with the books so if I can cover my Bf stakes I'll be happy. Its what price to lay and its that that is the brainache

Good when your worst is still a winner.Timing is everything and timing is mainly luck.
Surprised to see only -3 leading tbh.

thats the worry but like I say they may have to come back in poor weather tomorrow. they may be 2 clear by then though.

we underestimated the course I think by some way. think theres a -5 out there but you'll have to make some decent par saves to do it

whats your best result/s?

Just watching .Got a shock earlier in the week ,the fav at St.Omer was someone I had never heard of.Now that is a shocking field.I would love to see Tiger win this week though.

Oh he is a very good player. Not quite Broberg and he cant do a thing yet amongst the big boys, but Dyce showed why he was fav!

Feeling a bit indifferent about my book. Could do with a few more bogeys form Donald,but happy enough to see WW in reverse.

Geogg Ogilvy +1,180
Padraig Harrington +458
Fredrik Jacobson +449
Michael Thompson +430
Ian Poulter +392
Henrik Stenson +387
Marcel Siem +259
Tiger Woods +168

Shawn Stefani -804
Lee Westwood -787
Justin Rose -787
KJ Choi -783
Luke Donald -779
Sergio Garcia -777
Jason Dufner -769
Steve Stricker -185


The field +147

damnit, need edit button.

Nicolas Colsaerts -778

don't panic yet hank

Oh, I'm not, lots of golf to go, and there will be a lot of movement on the w/e as usual.

How's it going people? Looks like Donald and Rose to give me trouble over the w/e,but plenty onside right now

ok, this is me for overnight.

Webb Simpson +526
Padraig Harrington +482
Fredrik Jacobson +473
Michael Thompson +454
Ian Poulter +416
Henrik Stenson +411
Geoff Ogilvy +349
Marcel Siem +283
Tiger Woods +194
Steve Stricker +64

Shawn Stefani -782
Lee Westwood -765
Justin Rose -765
KJ Choi -761
John Senden -760
Luke Donald -757
Sergio Garcia -755
Nicolas Colsaerts -755
Tim Clark -752
Jason Dufner -747



The field +169

Good luck all

Phil,Mahan,McIlroy and Knox my best chances hoping for positive play from these today

Funny old day - feel like I went around in circles a bit. Those with a chance (300-1 and lower) going in to last day:

Fowler +717
Stenson +454
Poulter +427

Lefty, Day, Horschel, Schwartzel, Mahan +212

Donald -857
Rose -719
Colsaerts -710
Stricker -702

From a starting position of -425 it doesn't look too rosy...

Rose +300
Donald +100
Day +900
Rickie +200
Poulter +100
Stenson +100
Els +2300
Colsaerts +4400 what did he do on 18:(:(?

Field -300

Phil +140

Mahan +575

Field  -62

what do i do anybody,am inclined to let it ride.

well i am letting it ride and adding JASON DAY 20@ 18.0 he is the type to attack without fear and could post a score hard to beat. gl with your bets.

phil +800
fowler+1700
mahan+700
rose+500

field- 360

update few 1st few holes

fowler +771
phil, charl, day, mahan +267

donald -800
horschel -685
rose -662
stricker -644

-630

HH --u had a chance on rosé to green up,he was +4 first day

Red for me, only the second ever loss out of 19 majors. Just couldn't get anything going. It's strange had been backing Rose a lot this year early on, then gave up on because of his putting woes, and thought you have to putt well to win the US open so did not back him. It was a measure of how well he played that he won without putting well.

what was his starting price?

won a good few quid and feel like I lost. That was very very hard work

Mahan combusted as i feared he might, Jason Day gave it everything one to keep onside,Phil was doing an Oliver Hardy impression all day,late play on Justin limited losses but overall lot of sweat for very little.

Hard to please some DML.Well done though ,did you lay anymore apart from the 5.0 ?
I have to confess that after a 6 month holiday I deposited 1k yesterday to see if I can still do this trading lark.Nicked £253 at the Najeti and £257 last night.A days wage after the Wednesday deduction and a pleasant night in watching the golf.

I wanted 2.5 frames which was possible if he birdied 2. Left it and that was that really. Started fkng about, ended up wanting anyone but Micko/Rose/Day, all of whom won money of various forms but not as much as the rest. It was the large ew bet that won the most, he was winning me 9k with the win - Alas.

You'll know I never traded and for the hours of work on here it was hard. Could have just had the cash bet and enjoyed it more. 

I did email you a couple of days ago but rightfully it was ignored or spammed. appropriate smiley

xmoneyx - I had no desire to green up on Rose when I thought he was too short from the off and for most of the tourny. He shot 71 1st rd anyway. If I played it again I wouldn't have done too much differently, so it's on to the next tourny.

Ok

thx