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Wasn't Donald 32 to lay only yesterday?
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Luke Donald had a shocker at Wentworth but he hasn't suddenly become a cr@p golfer overnight.
i think that is what he has exactly become :) |
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if that is the case you can add the world no 2 to that list.
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you can become cr@p overnight
duval Ian baker finch casey |
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seriously, whatever did happen to Duval?
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Probably another walk in the park for the great man. Probably better money to be made trading others with him at 3.3. have taken Jason Day at 70s, a Muirfield Village member so will hopefully figure well like John Rollins at Colonial last week. Webb Simpson at 65s, playing good golf of late and T7 here two seasons so can play the course. Certainly not going to abandon Leishman at 170s, a slight dip last week but Colonial can do that and was in contention until half way through Saturday so his pre off backers still had good trading from him, 170s very generous.
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Tiger is very short but also very good, if you dont really wanna back him i suppose someone has to finish second and there are some big prices about for a place.I will be on tiger myself though
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Nothing wrong with the price meng in terms of his probability of winning.
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no i agree i just meant alot of golf bettors wouldnt contemplate backing those odds, i am all over him at that price
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Stakes back on Leishman at 140s, added Stenson and Watney at 100s and De Jonge at 200s.
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ladbrokes just pushed woods out to 3.5 could this be the start of a drift?
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yes, got a piece of the 5/2 with Laddies, why bother backing here at 3.4/3.45 when 3.5 available with Laddies and no commission, more bookies will probably follow.
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Getting busy. Stakes back on Watney at 90 and Stenson at 85. Added Piercy at 240, Walker at 180, Kokrak at 340 and Noh at 480.
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4 better fancied runners to avoid around this track are:
Keegan BRADLEY Adam SCOTT Bubba WATSON Nick WATNEY |
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Kuchar, Furyk, Van Pelt
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Lays of WW and Furyk for me. At the prices I'd rather back Rose than Scott too.
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damn furyk, im leaving him this week....so get on lads hes guaranteed to win it now just to annoy me, im on the tigger but i quite like Scott
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The strategy from the old days of Tiger of laying him pre-event backing him after round 1 doesn't seem to work anymore as he seems to play well enough in round 1 for his price to contract and the usual burn the course up on day 2 and 3 doesn't seem to happen either. Just very consistent and solid - irritatingly so!
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Putting Tiger to one side who is off course the most likely winner I think Mark Wilson is the biggest value bet on offer with bookies. 175-1 e/w top 6 for a player who has 2 top tens in last 3 starts & 2 top tens in past 4yrs in this event, is a proven multiple tour winner & who would have the 'bottle' to win in this company if in the mix. He may end up having a bad week but frankly the price is ludicrous.
In addition I'm on Ryan Moore e/w who is somewhat unpredictable at the moment but loves this course. KJ who also loves this event & I think is due a big week & will hopefully take some inspiration from Bae's win. Finally Watney who prior to Sawgrass was starting to look very good again & although has never really been in the mix at this event has proven form in past events with similar style 'lightning' fast greens such as the AT&T when at Aronomink. Good luck all. |
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Best bet for me this week Matt Every. He has played well the last few events without holing any putts ,that changed last week when the putter started to get hot consequently the high placed finish.His putter is going to be white hot this week and is a confident selection as long as he keeps on the short grass and not the other stuff.
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i agree regarding mark wilson but as i fancy woods to win it gone for him at 140/ew betting without woods market
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Agree with you merlin7 Ive had great year backing tiger including the players but i fancy good performance from MATT EVERY he also played well here last year 5th i think
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Stallings and Kuchar
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Stakes back on Day at 60, Piercy at 220, Simpson at 55, Walker at 140 so going well thus far everything moving in the right direction. Just added Points at 230, value every week is DA given the form he has been in the last 2 months.
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Geez rhino your just back from holis and you've almost got the field covered lol.
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Still not back at work mate, at home so plenty of time to dedicate to it mate. Be on the golf course the next 3 days so trying to smash it out. Port Douglas is fecking awesome btw, snorkelling the Barrier Reef a true bucket list experience.![]() |
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Agree with you on Port Doug, if you travel south toward Cairns Paradise Palms is worth a look also.
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It was on the agenda for the last day but they had a ladies event so Cairns GC got a run. Worked out ok, quality course and much cheaper. Better golf at home though than up there but always happy to tick some more courses off. Really wanna play Hamilton Island, have you seen it? http://www.hamiltonislandgolfclub.com.au
Check that out, planning HI as the next trip. ![]() Daintree and the reef are both magic and white water rafting was great fun, cheeky guide dumped in the water... Stakes back on Kokrak at 300s as well ![]() |
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Any of those joints up there are fine, can't be compared to down south's Sand Belt but still all good.
Think we might send a bill to Tourism Australia Rhine, prikcs are getting free publicity here. |
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That we should mate, Mornington Peninsula every bit as good as the sandbelt if not better imo, play there all the time and the courses are awesome. If there is a better value for money stretch of public courses anywhere on Earth I'd like to see it.
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Paddys going 11/4 this morning for telephone/text betting to a max of £50, quote "ENHANCED TIGER".
Ernie W&place for me at the minute, probably add Simpson & Scott later if I get matched. |
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My usual Tringale,Harman,Jones,Chappell and added Jonathan Byrd who likes it round Memorial.
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No golf tournament can ever be a "walk in the park" , too many class players , having said that , I hope Tiger wins by 10 strokes , just love the guy.
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Jim was 50-1 ew without Tiger. 40s still not bad given his record. and he wont mind chasing
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Was plannning a good cut on Kuch at 9s in the Top American w/o Woods market, in 365. Only getting round to doing the bet now, and he been cut to 7s
. Will leave it now. Still fancy it to cop, but hardly any mileage left in the price. No other firm pricing it up. Had a wedge on Tiger at 5-2, so would rather do any other bets without. Stan James initially went 18s Kuch w/o, but i was too slow i backing that too!! Interested in Hunter Mahan and Geoff Ogilvy at bigger prices. |
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I am doing my usual backing of many of the outsiders, but a few that seem unbelievable value to me are:
Ben Kohles at 1000 Stallings at 200 S M Bae at 170 DA Points at 230 And I got Ryo at combined odds at 413, which is good as his odds have been getting shorter recently. In the end I have backed all these guys: D.A. Points Justin Leonard Charlie Wi Tom Gillis Tommy Gainey Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano Scott Brown Derek Ernst Sang-Moon Bae Richard H. Lee Fred Couples Roberto Castro Guan Tianlang Trevor Immelman Vijay Singh Johnson Wagner Casey Wittenberg Justin Bolli Ryo Ishikawa Scott Stallings Nicolas Colsaerts James Driscoll Ben Kohles Erik Compton Brian Stuard Pat Perez James Hahn |
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Had a healthy bet on Jordan SPIETH @ 180 (could be the real deal, although he must learn to stay away from the sucker pins).
Smaller bet on Matt EVERY @ 230 and a tenner on Jason KOKRAK @ 350 LA ![]() |
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this the lowest pre tornie favorite in many years?could be a good lay to back.he must have a very good record around here i assume?
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gone for most bets in woods without market
mark wilson ew lucas glover ew matt every ew graham delaat ew aslo very small win bets on betfair. and also done above ew first round leader small wins betfair streelman webb simpson gl all |