4 times the price of Jimmy Walker pre tourney and shorter than him now when they are on the same score?
I know he and Horschel have to prove they can go win an event but Points looks short at 8.6 to me when he was 200 pre tourney and Horschel and Walker are 6.6 and 8.8 when they were low 30 odd and 50 odd pre tourney.
Obv he isn't as consistent as they are either but I've had a medium lay and might have a little more, am I missing summat?
You've pretty much answered your own question- Walker and Horschel were more likely to get in this position given their form but have both proved suspect in contention, whereas Points rarely gets in this position but has proven he can seal the deal. You're betting on different factors before the start than you are now, plus much of each player's probability is tied into what others will do (ie what Glover does) so will be much more closely related.
You've pretty much answered your own question- Walker and Horschel were more likely to get in this position given their form but have both proved suspect in contention, whereas Points rarely gets in this position but has proven he can seal the deal.