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No Wood or Rory......what a pity.
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Replies: 198
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dont worry Alice Cooper, Bill Clinton and Bill Murray will be on hand to keep you entertained as the rounds take forever.
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yeah im glad Chris Wood didn't come over, his eagle screwed me ;)
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Ho Ho......Tiger Wood
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thats what the ladies call him
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I wonder which firm will be first to go 9/1 Mickleson. Probably Wednesday.
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I've gone with Walker at 45/1 EW. 9th here in each of the last two years and seems to be at his best in California. I thought he'd be much shorter.
Mallinger looks a huge price at 200/1 BF fixed odds. 3rd here in 07 and 08 and another who likes it in California and has shown some recent form. |
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I am waiting for some liquidity in the match bet between Mickleson and Snedeker. If it is priced pro rata to the outright odds, then Brandt has to be a great bet.
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I like watney over westwood in the match bets
watney has a good record around here |
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its dusty all the way
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Took 14/1 on Snedeker & 9/1 Johnson. Mickelson seem too short in comparison.
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I can't agree Mickelson is too short - his form last week was amazing and he has a fantastic record here. DJ and Snedeker deserve to be short too - DJ because he loves Pebble, and Sneds because he's been on a tear for six months.
I suspect the prices will adjust once tee-times are known however, because, on paper at least, Monterrey seems the easiest of the three tracks, and Spyglass the toughest. If any of the three at the head of the market start at Monterrey I can see them being well-backed. It would be a moot point if Phil, DJ and Sneds all play the same course on day one however. I'm surprised Brian Gay withdrew - I thought the shorter tracks would suit his game well, and he's in great form. I'm similarly surprised by Vijay Singh's presence in the field. We haven't heard much of him this week but I figured he'd be suspended by now. Hard to imagine the PGA lets him tee it up here, or anywhere, in the near future. |
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laying phil, dustin and brandt for a 2/5 back off the field
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back of the field
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Betfair has been slow keeping up with field changes so far this year, and this tourney is no exception.
Based on the current field on the PGA site out go: Davis Love III, D. H. Lee, Dave Berganio Jr, Charley Hoffman, Kris Blanks and Brian Gay. They're replaced by Jason Gore, Todd Hamilton, Woody Austin, Chris Riley, Ryuji Imada and Cameron Beckman. Good to see Woody Austin back in action, even though he's about five years removed from his best. |
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You should maybe lay all three on both place markets. ie top 10 and top 5. One result will suffice there.
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SL Preview
http://www.sportinglife.com/golf/news/article/585/8471765/lifes-a-beach-for-watney |
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Steve Marino on the comeback trail to go well here,already two top 4 finishes here,available at 60
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Dustin & Pod for me.
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Has anybody on the golf forum had a bet with pinicle. I know nothing about the firm but see they are currently best price on Phil Mickleson. Is there still a golfball brand ''pinnacle''.
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I've used them in the past toberaheena, they're fine to bet with & safe but will require quite abit of id or will suspend your account.
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One of the few books I promote these days - very sound and nor "real" limits
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I've seen Steve Palmer quoting prices from Titanbet recently, has anyone any experiences with them (good or bad)?
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Hey Betfair, could you re-order the market please? It's all over the place at the moment.
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All about DJ this week for me. Phil was fantastic here last year and last week, but it's Phil, he didn't train on from that last year at all (he never got over blowing the Masters though).
Pod could go well, but is too short to back imo. Marino may be worth a punt at 70, but he'll hardly win if in a position to. I like a few outsiders like O'Hair, not in good form but has a steady bank of top 25's in this tournament and when he does win, he normally does it from nowhere, so at 300 odd he's worth a euro. I'm similarly surprised by Vijay Singh's presence in the field. We haven't heard much of him this week but I figured he'd be suspended by now. Hard to imagine the PGA lets him tee it up here, or anywhere, in the near future. I haven't really been following this as it's of little or no interest to me, but afaik VJ has not actually tested positive for anything? If that's the case, how could he be suspended? Admitting taking something proves nothing, they could maybe fire a disrepute charge against him or something of that nature, but doing anything else would be highly contentious in my admittedly uninformed opinion. |
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When looking at the AT&T from Pebble Beach the thing that jumps out is course form, course form and then a little bit more course form! In a way this makes a lot of sense as this week players have to master three courses not just the one. There have been numerous repeat winners in recent history with Mickelson taking three titles, Dustin Johnson two, Love III two, Matt Gogel should have won two and Mark O'Meara an impressive five. Add in the fact that Brett Ogle back in 1993 is the only player since 1950 to win on his debut here and I think you can see where I am coming from! The problem has actually been narrowing down the field and although I can easily see Mickelson or Johnson winning again I don't think there is much mileage in their price although they could easily contract further as they are out on the easy course first. In the end I narrowed it down to six but left out James Hahn. Bets showing 6 places were all struck with Betfair Fixed Odds.
Aaron Baddeley struggled to get to grips in early performances here but has been 6th and 4th in his last two visits. He was 6th a couple of weeks ago at Torrey Pines another coastal Californian course with small poa-anna greens. His last win was at this time of year in 2011 in California and he can boast a 1st and 2nd on the similar Harbour Town links - all in all he has a lot going for him 0.3 ew 55/1 (6 places) Jimmy Walker is turning into a bit of a Californian specialist - if you leave out the Humana Challenge he has been top ten in his last seven starts including 9th here on his last two visits. Add in a 6th on his debut in the Callaway Pebble Beach Invitational (CPBI) in November and the case is further proven. If he were to get his first tour win it could easily come this week following in the footsteps of recent winners Points, Oberholser and Gogel 0.5 ew 50/1 (6 places) Bryce Molder has had two great chances to win here in 2010 and 2011 when poor final rounds let him down and he ended up 10th and 6th. Since then he has secured his first tour win in California and has a great long term record at the CPBI so is a solid each way pick at the price 0.3 ew 90/1 (6 places) Nicholas Thompson reminds me an awful lot of DA Points and the reason I tipped him a few years ago when he won. Points had a pretty poor record in the event with three missed cuts and 14th but had a solid bank of form at the CPBI and entered the week in top form. Thompson is almost identical with three missed cuts and a 7th in 2008 and can boast a best finish of 5th at the CPBI. He comes here after three solid performances - his 41st at the Sony is better than it seems as he had missed the cut in all previous starts, he was then a career best 6th at the Humana Challenge and a solid 21st at Torrey Pines 0.2 ew 125/1. Tom Gillis has shown up well in recent renewals here finishing 8th and 3rd in 2010/11 but struggled until the weekend last season when only 40th. Looking back that performance can be forgiven as he came here in a really bad mood having got into some arguments with people over the "rowdiness" at Scottsdale - suffice to say he didn't go back this year! 0.1 ew 125/1 (6 places) Scott Langley was joint low amateur here at Pebble Beach in the 2010 US Open. strangely enough the man he shared the honour with was Russell Henley who he went head to head with in the Sony Open last month ending up third. Maybe he likes playing coastal courses with small greens - whatever the case he deserves a small play 0.1 ew 175/1 (6 places) |
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They look like solid picks TMM. I like the Baddeley pick, though he does seem short at the moment. He's drifting and if he gets a little higher I might try my luck there too.
@ poorestpunter - I don't know for sure either, but I suspect Vijay would admit to using it if asked directly and that should be enough to guarantee a suspension. |
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Also backed Baddeley,Molder and Gillis but didn't get the prices you got muppet and only 5 places for me.They say it pays to shop around and i didn't.
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Gotta be quick these days - be ready with who you wanna possibly bet before prices come out. Right - time to start on next week!
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how can anyone think dustbin is value ffs?
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its the j,s for me
j walker jj henry, watney on the over the cliff system |
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Usual solid picks Muppet although I'm surprised that you did not stick with Ryan Palmer this week even though he does lack course form. With a decent 2nd round last week he may well have given Phil plenty to think about.. One question on the Betfair fixed odds quoted, I am aware that the prices are valid but what about the stakes? I have found that I am only able to bet to win fairly modest amounts (in the £500 area at one time).
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Not having a problem getting on at all (yet!)
I think course form is vital round here and for me Palmer simply doesn't tick that box |
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gone for win baddely 55/1
kevin streelman 150/1 ew josh teater 90/1 ew kevin na ew 100/1 6places |
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Just a quick question about the new fixed odds betfair site. Does the comission still apply like the exchanges or is that a silly question?
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Charlie Wie,playing solid and was leader going into the last round here last year.Big price for a trade.
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Baggio - no commission on fixed odds
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Cheers Doug. Much appreciated.
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Cool name baggio23,fan of roby?
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