PHOENIX OPEN

Just starting to look at this properly now. Has Betfair chosen the order the golfers appear in by drawing names out of a hat?

backed

keggan bradly 42
ryan palmer 75
jimmy walker 75

also backed
palmer first round leader 66/1 ew
tommy gainey 90/1 ew

good luck all

Why Crane Costa?....In the past 5 years...3 top 20s,tied 8th nd 2nd last year.

Good chance i think....

Surely saying 'three to avoid' means that's who he's backed and therefore bokked..?

It's worked for Watney at least

I agree with you about Piercy and BVP. Would much rather back the latter at the same price.

Trying to find an angle for this weeks Phoenix Open has not been an easy task and after hours of studying past results the only real thing that comes to light is look out for players with great Greens In Regulation stats. In the last four years the event winners had finished 3rd,1st,1st and 3rd in that stat for the week. All four winners had also shown in their starts to the season that they were hitting plenty of GIR already and didn't suddenly find their iron game at Scottsdale. Sitting 2nd and 3rd on the PGA tour stats so far this year we have Snedeker and Garrigus but there is little value to be found in their prices so I have gone for the two players sitting tied 5th hitting 78.5% in their starts to date.
Ryan Palmer has played six really solid rounds of golf so far this year and was 6th last time out in the Humana. He is a three time winner on tour so knows how to get the job done - the last win was in 2010 at the Sony - an event won by Mark Wilson and Vijay Singh in recent times who have also won here. He also has some solid form at the venue to back him up - a 2nd in 2006 and last year he led after round one 0.5 ew 66/1
A few weeks ago everyone was all over Russell Henley like a rash - having won imperiously at the Sony he was heavily backed from 50/1 downwards for the Humana Challenge but after a great start he faltered. However this venue should be more up his street as he hits so many greens and his run of form has a pleasing pattern to it - 1st,3rd,1st,6th,1st,56th - could he get his 4th win in seven starts? Well mark Wilson set a precedent in 2011 winning the Sony, making the cut at the Humana and then winning the Phoenix Open and I see no reason why Henley can't follow suit 0.3 ew 66/1

Best Bet for me this week Jason Dufner16/1 e.w.

Also a couple of 1st Round Leader chances

Brian Harman 100/1 e.w.
Jhonattan Vegas 100/1 e.w.

Billy Horschel added @ 320

Hits it long enough, and straight enough. Finds plenty of greens, but needs some success with the short one. At that price, I'll take a risk. Too big.

Added Lucas Glover @431. Fkin mad price, win or lose.

Steady start to this year, after some difficulties. Hitting it long and straight. I repeat...Mad price.

Mahan 40 - Previous winner and giving signs of a return to form
Singh 90( took the £16 available at price 10 mins ago) - Just have a feel for him here and did so before I looked at Tour Tips !!
Choi 110 - Inconsistent but has put in some good recent performances. Has not played much at this venue lately but has an 11th place finish here some time back.

Three for me are Palmer, Toms and de Jonge.

Even though I know de Jonge has trouble closing tournaments, I always thought Chris Wood struggled and he won last week. De Jonge is a birdie machine and hits a lot of greens in regulation. Whilst everyone takes Fowler at 14s I'll take the big Zimbabwean at 150!

Not really anything caught my eye. Gone for dufner played well in dubai 2nd in distance on both weeks, 8th and 2nd here last 2 visits and the saturday finish should compensate for the fact he was in the middle east especially with the monday finish in the farmers for most others. Also he won on four seasons at the byron nelson a course by the same architect

Got my other bets matched, CH3 at 40s (keeping the faith) and Na at 140s, 3 top 5s in last 5 years for Na here, must love the course.

@ xmoney - is Vijay confirmed out? I took a look around and couldn't see anything that said he was out, but I agree it would be logical.

Harman and Tringale,think these two can break through this year and unlike last year Weisberger and Lowryi'm going to stick with 'em!

Frost delay one hour till 3.30

That would encourage quick play at least Baz

hunter and perez to start for me.

just added fowler, woodland + overton to my list