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towcester judge
10 Jul 12 02:57
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Date Joined: 17 Jul 08
| Topic/replies: 4,890 | Blogger: towcester judge's blog
looks like calm conditions for the first 2 days, some very low scoring last year........andersson hed, came 2nd last year leaving some poor form behind him, comes here in similarly bad from but at 225/1 with good course form , worth an interest..................i am looking forward to seeing andres romero again, shot a first round 65 last week,before missing the cut to get some practice over here, won 500k for a 2nd place in the memorial in june and has shown a bit of previous on the links when coming oh so close to landing the open a few years ago, at 75/1 - 80/1 looks very interesting runner

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Replies: 286
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 10 Jul 12 06:41
Rory and Westwood???? tut tut tut
By:
maggot
When: 10 Jul 12 08:40
I must admit... Westwood missing the Wales, Irish, and Scottish, is a pretty poor effort IMO.
By:
donny osmond
When: 10 Jul 12 10:02
westwood is playing in mr wylies pro-am at close house today, sandy lyle also booked
loads of horse racing peeps and newcastle united players and staff. hope it doesnt rain too much





scottish open, always a bit of a guess before a major, but backed jacobson and baddely

i too expect low scoring, and therefore gone for a couple of decent putters






interesting to see how stenson, kaymer and  oosthuizen go

famous last words but els looks short enough , is palmer napping him ?
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 10 Jul 12 10:39
Only 50 k matched so far.......blooming quiet
By:
Tyne
When: 10 Jul 12 13:23
Not been that wet in Inverness compared to the rest of the country thats for sure so reckon the course will be playing very fairly.
Lets hope we get 4 rounds this year. Colsaerts is the springer at the moment.
By:
miss anomaly
When: 10 Jul 12 13:49
Agree Els looks short Donny, but to my untrained eye Pod, Colsaerts, F. Mol, Fisher and Paul Lawrie all look short too...

I'm a sucker for Siem, Cabrero-Bello and Manassero so they'll be part of my team for the week. Noone else jumps out at me currently.
By:
maggot
When: 10 Jul 12 13:55
Just one for me so far. Marcus Fraser.
By:
donny osmond
When: 10 Jul 12 14:07
siem might be one for first round leader ???
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 10 Jul 12 14:55
My two against the field are Jacobsen and Foster.

Freddie has finished 27th / 15th / 8th in his last 3 events and has a fine Open record, including 16th last year, proving he plays the links courses very well. Slight negative is he might be using this as a practise for next week, but worth the chance at 45/1 imo.

Foster seems to be bang in form and followed Ireland with a battling performance in France. Doesnt look like he copes that well when knocking on the door on Sunday, but feel sure he can win soemthing soon. 80/1 seems decent enough.
By:
miss anomaly
When: 10 Jul 12 14:59
Siem strikes me as that sort Donny - he's a bit boom or bust, though he's working on his consistency apparently.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 10 Jul 12 15:10
Have backed Siem in the last 4 or 5 tournies and gave up this week. Just didnt think he quite had the bottle to get over the line Cry
By:
donny osmond
When: 10 Jul 12 15:13
they often get over the line in the end if they have the consistency to contend often enough

battle hardened i think ....



jacobson was the same iirc
By:
miss anomaly
When: 10 Jul 12 15:53
I hear ya Cant Catch Me. I'd seen enough of Siem to be impressed with his style (going for the win rather than second on the 72nd green at the BMW for example), but wasn't on last week.

Think I'm grabbing at smoke this week, but his form can't be faulted this year (four top-12s in six starts) so I'll take the chance.
By:
miss anomaly
When: 10 Jul 12 15:54
** four top-12s in his last six starts that should read.
By:
towcester judge
When: 10 Jul 12 18:17
slightly off topic ......when looking at the stats for putts this season, i was amazed to see s garcia is 7th on the tour this year .
By:
ianhamilton.
When: 10 Jul 12 18:33
molinari for me
By:
overthecliff
When: 10 Jul 12 18:43
Only doing 2 this week.

P.Harrington,cracking form gotta go close, on @19.

K.Na. as above,having a good season in the usa,on @85.

G.LCool
By:
donny osmond
When: 10 Jul 12 19:23
sergio averages about 29.5 putts on euro tour, which is fairly flat across his career

his putts per gir is about 1.75 over same period and is slightly lower this season at 1.72


his putting problems seem to occur when in contention, and of course his stats are based on a small number of events



in the usa they are using the stat of strokes gained putting and he is +.5 on that and 18th


his short putting stats are

Putting from Inside 5'    97.92%    7th   
Putting from 5-10'    52.48%    135th
Putting from 3-5'    91.55%    14th
By:
stewardsenquirey
When: 10 Jul 12 19:38
All I ever seem to watch is adverts about Betfair banging on about how better priced they are on golfers compared to the books,yet once again if I wanna back a 8/1 Fav out of 156 runners I have to use the firms to do so Cry
By:
doorman99
When: 10 Jul 12 20:51
Thomas Bjorn, surely got to come back to last year's form soon, not far away a few times this yr including last time
By:
maggot
When: 10 Jul 12 21:13
Laid off my Fraser stake, and put it on Soren Kjeldsen @ 180.
By:
towcester judge
When: 10 Jul 12 21:25
cheers donny, i am sure he will be of interest next week.......
By:
ManilaRed
When: 11 Jul 12 01:42
Nice to see the following Cat 11 players make it into this weeks 'exclusive' field. Hope they can shake off the rust and make the most of the run out!
    
Tjaart VAN DER WALT        
Craig LEE        
Joakim LAGERGREN    
Gary ORR        
Alex HAINDL        
Richard BLAND        
Andy SULLIVAN        
Emiliano GRILLO        
Sam HUTSBY        
Tim SLUITER       
Mikael LUNDBERG           
Reinier SAXTON       
Andrew MARSHALL           
Warren ABERY       
Simon THORNTON       
Julien GUERRIER       
Maarten LAFEBER           
Edouard DUBOIS       
Andrew JOHNSTON       
David DIXON       
Steven O'HARA       
Knut BORSHEIM   
Thomas NØRRET
Lloyd KENNEDY   

Good luck to allLaugh
By:
pokeron
When: 11 Jul 12 01:50
i am all over mr molinari - of the francesco variety. the same way siem was lurking, this guy is ready to explode. game on mols.
By:
pokeron
When: 11 Jul 12 02:42
ok. two lawries and a mol. good luck all.
By:
miss anomaly
When: 11 Jul 12 09:40
@ stewards - 1 out of 156 isn't bad Wink
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 11 Jul 12 14:28
Barclays no longer sponsoring this events and still Phil Mickelson turns up.....10/10 for effort and loyalty to the event.

Francesco Molinari    
Nicolas Colsaerts    
Paul Lawrie    
Matteo Manassero    
Angel Cabrera    
Tom Lewis (anything over 200 IS a good price to back, normally around 150.)

No lays/trade yet
By:
cully63
When: 11 Jul 12 17:58
fancy an outsider for this

r.j derksen

d. lynn
By:
stonecold-
When: 11 Jul 12 18:29
gone for

simon dyson
george coetzee
thomas bjorn
matteo mannassero

gl all
By:
lockup
When: 11 Jul 12 19:50
Donald must be a solid bet in this field, outsiders Laird & Cabrero, A Hansen top ten finish.
By:
frittering
When: 11 Jul 12 20:23
Del Moral
Boyd
Whiteford
(and several others including Kennie Ferry)

backed, with a view to laying.
By:
Quincy
When: 11 Jul 12 20:42
A bit confused with this, can't find a team that represent the right value.
Might have to leave either Colsaerts or Molinari out, could even leave both out, they're only about 12/1 coupled.  Will probably make Manassero and Marc Warren biggest winners, excluding the 400/1 plus sneaks, of course.  Good luck with yours.
By:
mexicano
When: 11 Jul 12 21:59
as i recall last year the fairways were as wide as you like.

are they as generous this year?
By:
maggot
When: 11 Jul 12 22:01
Taken some Gary Boyd @ 350s.

Pretty good recent form, and he seemed very confident about his game last week. I'll take a chance on him at that price.

Out early tomorrow with David Howell, and Kenny Ferrie. Two opposite ends of the scale when it comes to the proverbial "calming influence".
By:
hitmanhearn
When: 11 Jul 12 22:02
Howell must be a good bet at 140 playing out of his skin.
By:
the muppet moans
When: 11 Jul 12 23:27
I love to watch links golf and Castle Stuart does look a good course and hopefully they will be blessed with better weather to showcase the course to better effect this year.
Paul McGinley was my first pick this week as he has shown a renaissance in his game this year although he faltered a bit last weekend. Last year he was 14th here but was 2nd in the all round stats so after a slow start he certainly seemed to enjoy the course 0.3 ew 80/1 (6 places)
Marc Warren is also showing a great improvement in his game having qualified for his first Major - the US Open and indeed making the cut - it seems to have spurred him on. He is a good links player - he got his card for this year by finishing 5th in the Dunhill Links, was 4th at County Louth in 09 and at Kennemer and of course has won in his homeland before at Gleneagles. Last year he was bang out of form but opened with a 67 which included seven straight birdies so he can clearly play the course 0.3 ew 150/1 (6 places)
Johan Edfors is obviously a past winner of this event on a very different course at Loch Lomond but he is certainly capable of playing links golf. To be honest there is not a lot going for Edfors but sometimes I get a feeling a player is going to have a good week - 0.2 ew 150/1 (6 places)
Carlos del Moral was the one player who beat McGinley in the all round stats here last year and he was actually quite a good links player when he was a good amateur player.He has been in contention several times this year and really should have won in Madeira - hence the play in the different market - 0.1 win 200/1 + 0.2 ew top Continental Euro 60/1
By:
miss anomaly
When: 11 Jul 12 23:49
I got suckered into Stenson at 32s. I've been waiting for him to become elite for a while, but despite his talent he hasn't been able to do it yet. Here's hoping this is his week.

Also had a fiver on Jbe at 500s and Quesne at around 900s. They've both won this year and at those prices I'm happy to have a crack.

Tempted to follow you on Marc Warren TMM, but he's a bit too short for me - I'm used to getting 500+.
By:
pokeron
When: 12 Jul 12 00:00
two lawries, a mol and a thongchai.
By:
golfnut
When: 12 Jul 12 00:11
Not a great lover of tourns pre majors as some guys are just trying to tune their game up so had a dabble on George Murray at silly odds...proved he is a links man with his performance in last years Dunhill....good golfer that we have yet to see the best of...it could be this weekend...
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