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Sang-Moon Bae 80/ SJ
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Rose 20/1 Girlbrooks
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Jim Furyk playing himself into a bit of form. 3/1 for Top 10 Finish. Very solid records around here. Kinda threw away the Tourney yesterday with that 3 putt but played solid.
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Ernie for instant redemption after yesterdays debacle?His putting and ball striking for the first 13 holes was a thing of beauty, his last 5 beastly!I really hope he can put 1 away soon.
I do like Zach Johnson though, my biggest ever win when he won the masters,even if i did only bet him in the without Woods market. |
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Webb Simpson at around 25/1 e/e for Palmer Invitational has a bit of value to it. Lay off after rounds 1 or 2 may be an option.
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Love to see how they price up a Tiger Phil Match Bet. Woods putting is diabolical today I wonder could ya get 6/4 on Phil?
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Where is Webb Simpson 25/1 ?
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@ sandsave. Stanjames 9/2 place only Simpson.
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Thanks for reply tober I see 4/1 top five but cannot see connection with 25/1. Must be missing something
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Cracking tourny this week, can't wait to get stuck into the lovely ew value. Agreed on the Zach Attack, could go very close this week
![]() G McDowell 40/1 [b]Z Johnson 50/1[/b] [b]K Na 66/1[/b] [b]B Crane 80/1[/b] Gl with all your selections ![]() |
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early thoughts on
bae cauley furyk do we think that the people playing in the tavistock may be affected by playing too many rounds?? |
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Dont think Ernie has the confidence in his putting to win.
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Kyle Reifers 0.1 ew 275/1 + 0.2 top 10 25/1
Rocco Mediate 0.2 ew 400/1 + 0.2 top 10 33/1 |
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Ken Duke 0.2 ew 125/1
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Very unsual for me but just 3 that interest me and all Favourites
Tiger, his achilles will be fine the best long game stats around, so 9.4s seems good to me o a course he owns. Watney looks close to some form to me been backing him for the Masters @ 60s and happy to get 38s here Mahan I will be backing alot this year |
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Tiger looks very good in the early going at Tavistock today. So too Rose.
The PGA website writeup says experience is vital at Bay Hill, and seeing as Tiger has won here six times and Rose was third last year and is riding some great form. They're not bold picks but they both look a decent shout to me. |
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My four for the week
Bubba Watson Spencer Levin David Toms Chris Stroud is a huge price and I reckon a win is round the corner. |
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March 20th 21.57
A top class field assembles for the Arnold Palmer Invitational and at the top end of the market it really is difficult to spot any players that represent any sort of value. However one player did stand out and that was seven time tour winner Zach Johnson and I really don't see why he should be around the same price as non winners such as Levin, Dufner and Overton. You would have thought he has poor course form but he has been 3rd and also twice 8th around Bay Hill. In recent weeks he has struggled with just one aspect of his game - he has been putting really well but not hitting enough greens, whereas last week his ball striking was excellent but he struggled on the greens - if he can get the two together on a course he has played well before then his price will seem very large 0.5 ew 66/1 Ken Duke is now in his 40's and has yet to win on the main tour but the Florida resident has some top class form in his adopted home state. Last week he was 5th just missing out on the playoff by one shot and he can also boast a 2nd and 5th at the Ginn Sur Mer Classic and most importantly was 6th on his first start here back in 2008. Admittedly the course has toughened up but he has been playing so well on the Nationwide Tour and the main tour over the last nine months he is worth a bet at 125/1 - 0.2 ew 125/1. Kyle Reifers really is a longshot and I have only been drawn to him becauese he won the Monday qualifier last week by shooting seven under and drove the ball really well to end up 38th. He has played here once before back in 2007 and his 12th place remains to this day his best ever PGA tour finish 0.1 ew 275/1 + 0.2 top 10 25/1 Last but not least my old friend Rocco Mediate and there is one simple reason for backing him - this is one event he is desperate to win. Arnold Palmer was his mentor when he was learning the game and when ithe event was named in his honour in 2007 he came up just shy when 2nd. He was also 3rd at Bay Hill in 2002 and whilst he is out of form stranger things have happened when players are inspired by certain factors 0.2 ew 400/1 + 0.2 top 10 33/1 |
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March 20th 21.57
A top class field assembles for the Arnold Palmer Invitational and at the top end of the market it really is difficult to spot any players that represent any sort of value. However one player did stand out and that was seven time tour winner Zach Johnson and I really don't see why he should be around the same price as non winners such as Levin, Dufner and Overton. You would have thought he has poor course form but he has been 3rd and also twice 8th around Bay Hill. In recent weeks he has struggled with just one aspect of his game - he has been putting really well but not hitting enough greens, whereas last week his ball striking was excellent but he struggled on the greens - if he can get the two together on a course he has played well before then his price will seem very large 0.5 ew 66/1 Ken Duke is now in his 40's and has yet to win on the main tour but the Florida resident has some top class form in his adopted home state. Last week he was 5th just missing out on the playoff by one shot and he can also boast a 2nd and 5th at the Ginn Sur Mer Classic and most importantly was 6th on his first start here back in 2008. Admittedly the course has toughened up but he has been playing so well on the Nationwide Tour and the main tour over the last nine months he is worth a bet at 125/1 - 0.2 ew 125/1. Kyle Reifers really is a longshot and I have only been drawn to him becauese he won the Monday qualifier last week by shooting seven under and drove the ball really well to end up 38th. He has played here once before back in 2007 and his 12th place remains to this day his best ever PGA tour finish 0.1 ew 275/1 + 0.2 top 10 25/1 Last but not least my old friend Rocco Mediate and there is one simple reason for backing him - this is one event he is desperate to win. Arnold Palmer was his mentor when he was learning the game and when ithe event was named in his honour in 2007 he came up just shy when 2nd. He was also 3rd at Bay Hill in 2002 and whilst he is out of form stranger things have happened when players are inspired by certain factors 0.2 ew 400/1 + 0.2 top 10 33/1 |
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Taken from PGA site..notable for anybody fancying any Rookies....
Experience is vital. A cursory peek at recent results reads like a who's who of veterans, and none of the 21 rookies that competed here in the last three years posted a top 10; only four posted top 25s. Additionally, course history goes hand in hand with course management |
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i reckon woods each way is a license to print money this week..( god did i really say that? )
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Bill Haas.
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Can't see beyond Mahan. Think last yrs Tour Ch'ship was a huge turning point. Alt - Haas and Els
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Bo out kids, for all top-10 fans
Dunno why Wagner is 100-1+? A winner right back to form, with form here when he was half the player he is now, stupid price |
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Fedex Cup holder Billy Haas at 40/1 & World Matchplay holder Hunter mahan at 25/1
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Can't have Tiger, win or lose. I know his course form is outstanding, but the older you get, the longer you take to fully recover from even minor injuries. Will be mainly with Zach Johnson and Hunter Mahan, together with small bets on most of the usual suspects. Good luck.
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I have backed Tiger with the special concession with PP, 10/1 and 6 places. Huge value compared to on here. Think he will go well.
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I will be "Clutching at Straws" with these
Bubba Watson 34 Ben Crane 100 Sean O'Hair 85 Andres Romero 350 Kris Blanks 600 William McGirt 410 D J Trahan 380 Good Luck on Your Selections. |
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Woods
Watney Mahan Laird Davis Love and waiting on 1 more I would love strong showings from Mahan, Laird and Watney having backed them heavily for the masters would like a price crash on them |
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Choi
Toms Crane Tringale. Would have had O'Hair, but don't see the Tavistock as particularly good prep. Tempted to lay Rose.Over golfed, needs a break,IMO. |
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Forgot one. Ryan Palmer.
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Zach Johnson for me, gl all.
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David Toms
Nick Watney Andres Romero |
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Watson Simpson Rose between the three count out phil only using tournement to fine tune for masters worth laying definately
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Ryan Palmer could be a sweat at a big price maggot
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Team of twelve for me. eric, a team of six must be nearly a record for you. Main realistic hopes for me Zach and Hunter. Good luck.
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Added John Mallinger, and Brian Davis.
Good luck with your bets. |
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Tiger
Bubba Els to begin with gl everyone |