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These 2526 comments are related to the topic:
s palmer picks
s palmer picks
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Replies: 2,526
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How still learning can criticise b365 is beyond me when some other companies are going 1/5 the odds 7 places and one prominent Co is going 1/4 the odds the 1st 5
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I can't agree with the majority of Steve's picks (had a look at Grace) but does he only ever wear the one shirt?! Anyone know what his tipping record is like in the Open and/or majors generally?
Gl all. |
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I can remember when it was 1/4 for 4 places, but a lot of bookies would pay out in full on ties for the places. So if there were 5 players tied on 4th place they would ignore dead-heat and pay out in full on the place
for many years it then became 1/4 for 5 places and dead-heat rules, this is probably fairest and meant they could lay fairer prices on outsiders. Now with the silly place terms anybody over 100/1 is massively bigger on exchanges for the win, with the pay-off being the value on the place part of the e/w bet |
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the betting machines in shops except hills have top 5 top 10 top 20 all include ties
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fife sorry thought all the other firms were paying more.
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The Bloob - you were a very lucky fellow to get paid out on full on ties for places.
Still learning - the troops are right. 156 strong fields and the bookies raped us paying a 1/4 odds 1-4 for years - more fool us!! Great these days we get so many choices and scope for our bets - especially on The Majors! |
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Wonderful username Crawford,wonderful...
Fair play. Seen the big man NET a Patrick at Rockville when a lad, Dundee Utd I think, bloody freezing n raining....   |
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Hatrick at Brockville even.ipad.lol.
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No problem still learning I am probably slightly biased as they have always been fair with me.
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steve put up 3 three ball bets today.
z johnson, r fox, s garcia. anyone interested fred has some enhanced 3 ball doubles. s garcia, t woods double 11/2 t fleetwood, d johnson 9/2 b watson, b koepka 9/2 |
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to be fair to steve
tiger played pretty solid , still in championship out early 10ish am fri |
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Form man wins
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to be fair to steve
tiger had a 1 stroke lead front 9 , last day of the open |
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Senior
Chapman Monty 2pt ew 20/1 Langer 2ptew 11/2 now 9/2 Broadhurst 1ptew 20/1 Jobe .5 pt ew 28/1 Canadia Palmer Johnston 5pt win 7/1 Finau 2.5pt ew 16/1 Champ 1pt ew 66/1 European Elvia 2ptew 50/1 Horsfield 2pt ew 40/1 Detry 1pt ew 40/1 Ilonen 1pt ew 50/1 Gros .5 pt ew 200/1 |
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305k profits on tiger up in smoke apparently
for high-roller steve  |
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Must be making a few quid by backing his picks the night before then laying them after his article is out.
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he had 10k on tiger ?
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makes my +8k potential on tiger look like chicken feed
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what was cashout when tiger had lead on own for about 5 mins
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no idea but heard he hit 11-8
speaking of in-running what was the lowest that schaufelle traded at?  |
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Utter idiot if didn't trade at some point,idiot...
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It therefore follows that anyone who backed Molinari at 40 and didn't trade must also be an idiot.
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Molinari won JML.
NOT sure how the same. But if u bet someone at 40 and didn't trade your keen. Or wealthy. |
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I lost my cashout on speith in a 3 minute interval
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jedi sophie 26 Jul 18 20:44 Joined: 18 Jan 06 | Topic/replies: 5,550 | Blogger: jedi sophie's blog Molinari won JML. NOT sure how the same. But if u bet someone at 40 and didn't trade your keen. Or wealthy. of course it's the same jedi. because it's only with hindsight that we can see that we should have laid off tiger, but not bothered to lay off molinari. it's all relative thought. it's not like tiger was ever nailed on to win. he was creeping into even money. imagine if steve was winning 305k on van der velde. in that situation I'd probably have hired a hitman, to track down the choking frenchman and take him out |
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jedi--I'm beginning to understand your thinking now--
only trade if your selection is not going to win and I assume this will be at the lowest price he hits. Unbelieveable--did YOU really have the nerve to call someone else an idiot? |
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Wtf are you talking about?
Steve Palmer suggested he would've won over 300k if TIGER wins the Open.. Likely between 3 and 6 years salary for the chap. Your calling me an idiot because I suggest he should have traded at least a set amount instead of roaring on Tiger from the sidelines hoping he wins? At the point Tiger went say 11 2 8 there was around 8 players more within 2,3 shots of lead... His strategy to sit it out every ****g time won't work, he hung on by his fingernails at Augusta with Reed bets and likely only this made him do the same in The Open. In my view your talking bollocks, but your entitled to talk bollocks on here many do.HHH. LR it's nothing to do with hindsight,it's about managing your position, the beauty of the exchange, not like 20 yrs ago when he pops 10k on Tiger and has to see it out win,lose,draw.... You'll likely change your view tomorrow anyway so not too worried what you think. A bit like the scottish weather you. |
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I didn't call you an idiot after your tiger post.
It was this that made you an idiot----------Molinari won JML.NOT sure how the same. And the fact that you've totally missed this point only proves that you're not half as clever as you think. His strategy to sit it out every ****g time won't work, he hung on by his fingernails at Augusta with Reed bets and likely only this made him do the same in The Open. In the end he'll win exactly the same if bails out or not.There is absolutely no reason why the bailing out bets should be profitable in the long run. So to say that choosing one way over the other won't work is just stupid. And you haven't a clue about his circumstances. Perhaps he decided before the event that he wanted £300K for some special reason and nothing else would do.Maybe it was £200K he needed and he planed to bail out at 1.5. He could be a PC payer with lifetime profit of £280K and winning £300K would mean not paying PC on his win. But taking your advice would mean him winning less than £280K and paying PC on the whole lot. |
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Actually i do have a clue about his circumstances,he writes about them most weeks and also discusses on the racing post website.According to the man himself he wanted to pay off his mortgage.
Available on his Postcast with his chum Bruce. That's not you is it ?There's no planning or mention of Pc as you suggest just the fact wanted to pay off his mortgage.Dont we ****g all. I suggest he may have more chance doing so if wasn't in the all or nothing camp. But hey maybe not. Whatever JML. As I said your entitled to your opinion,,I disagree. |
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tiger trades at short of 2.58 for a couple of hundred last round. molinari trades at 100 early rounds
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this year if i had let all sp bets run i would be way up the same as iw
trouble is i trade as it looks like easy money but its when you trade next year could be totally different |
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racing post should hire jedi as their tipster, that way they'd never have a losing week as he'd aftertime every bet
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think steve just wanted the buzz of following around tiger and having a huge amount on, pointless analysing his motives too deeply.
he admitted in the postcast that it was the best week of his life which says a lot really. even on the live coverage I distinctly recall hearing him cheering on the great man on several occasions. |
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having followed steve since he started, not aware he has ever laid a golfer in any event.
lets hope in his sunday column he tells us he did the sensible thing and laid tiger, i doubt it. |
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Should I bother digging out your 8k claim if TIGER won Lewisham....
I was literally ROTFL when read it.   Made my day! |
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Ashleigh he didn't lay back a bean.
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listen to podcast horseracing thread
unreal |
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anyone got a link to podcast
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H-O2vvLS5EM&feature=youtu.be&t=525
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stood to win £325k off tiger, at no point did a thought of laying off enter my head.
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