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OilyWragg
27 May 25 12:42
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Date Joined: 17 Feb 11
| Topic/replies: 2,334 | Blogger: OilyWragg's blog
Two to 16 runners. certain tracks and certain distances. Price, up to 15/2 isp, although higher price's do show a profit but the strike rate falls to such a low percentage that you would go bust before getting a winner. Hoping for a strike rate of around 21 pcent with an average Bfsp of 5.66, when you increase the price range to 12/1 max then the strike rate falls to around 16%. I'll put up those in the price range up to 12/1 but suspect that 15/2 will be the more manageable target (hopefully).........this is an experiment only and I'm not backing any of them, for now at least.
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Report OilyWragg May 27, 2025 12:45 PM BST
Today 4.10    Uncle Dick    Brighton (LH)    5   
Today 4.45    Makes Me Wonder    Brighton (LH)    8   
Today 4.45    Callout (IRE)    Brighton (LH)    8   
Today 4.45    Red Admiral (IRE)    Brighton (LH)   
Today 5.15    Under Curfew    Brighton (LH)    7   
Today 5.50    Petes Dream (IRE)    Tipperary (LH)    12
Today 5.50    Kevin The Great (IRE)    Tipperary (LH)    12   
Today 5.50    Minella Study    Tipperary (LH)    12

Not all will qualify of course.
Report OilyWragg May 27, 2025 4:48 PM BST
Decent start in the 4.15:

Callout Won at 7.5
Makes Me Wonder 3rd at 1.75 in the 3tbp market.
Report OilyWragg May 27, 2025 6:10 PM BST
6 of the 8 qualified:

Uncle Dick - unplaced
Call Out - Won at 7.5
Makes Me Wonder 3rd at 1.75
Under Curfew 3rd at 2.28
Petes Dream 2nd - 2.57 2tbp
Kevin The Great 4th at 1.50
Report OilyWragg May 28, 2025 11:55 AM BST
These are the ones currently within the 15/2 limit:

Today 2.40    Bell Shot (IRE)    Beverley (RH)   
Today 2.40      King Sharja    Beverley (RH)   
Today 3.10    Saliko    Beverley (RH)   
Today 5.52    Palmeira    Kempton
Today 6.22    Fort Campbell (USA)   
Today 6.22    Day Of Grace (IRE)   
Today 7.22    Binhareer (IRE)    Kempton


and these are the ones outside the 15/2 bracket but within the 12/1 bracket:
Today 3.10    Biarritz    Beverley
Today 7.22    Tremolo    Kempton (RH)
Report OilyWragg May 28, 2025 2:52 PM BST
2.40 Bellshot a winner at 4.89.
Report OilyWragg May 28, 2025 4:35 PM BST
7.22 Tremolo can curently be added to the list of qualifiers.
Report OilyWragg May 28, 2025 6:25 PM BST
Fort Campbell well backed and our second winner of the day Bfsp 3.09.
Report OilyWragg May 28, 2025 7:32 PM BST
Wednesdays results:

within the 15/2 limit:

Today 2.40    Bell Shot.................Won at Bfsp of 4.89
Today 3.10    Saliko....................3rd place price Bfsp 3 places 1.35     
Today 5.52    Palmeira..................unplaced   
Today 6.22    Fort Campbell.............Won at Bfsp of 3.09   
Today 6.22    Day Of Grace..............Placed bfsp place price 1.89   
Today 7.22    Binhareer.................unplaced

within the 15/2 to 12/1 limits:

2.40 King Sharja......unplaced
7.22 Tremolo............................Won at Bfsp 12.0
Report OilyWragg May 29, 2025 11:53 AM BST
Thursdays possibles:

7.27 Mother Mara currently right on the 15/2 limit right now.


Currently in the 8/1 - 12/1 bracket.

5.57 Original selection has just been declared a non runner, there is one other possibles in this race as the market is reforming: Alice Monet,
Report OilyWragg May 29, 2025 7:41 PM BST
Neither qualified on price but Mother Mara was second at a Bfsp of 6.10 in the 3tbp market in the 7.27 race.
Report OilyWragg May 30, 2025 9:39 AM BST
Three winners so far for this one and a Bfsp profit of 2.33 points (not including the winner at 12.0 from 2 selections outside the price bracket)
Report OilyWragg May 30, 2025 9:45 AM BST
A busy day:

These are the selections currently within the first price bracket:

Kisskodi (IRE)    2.05 Brighton    4/6
Mare Of London    2.35 Brighton    6/1
Capuchinero    3.05 Brighton    7/1
Bowman (IRE)    4.50 Carlisle    13/2
Spirit Of Bowland    5.20 Carlisle    7/1
Lil Angel (IRE)    5.25 Down Royal    4/1
Naoi (IRE)    5.25 Down Royal    6/4
Clonmacash    5.58 Down Royal    13/2
Weegeebear (IRE)    6.33 Down Royal    7/1
Sweet Lord (FR)    6.40 Haydock    15/2
Jarham    7.15 Haydock    7/1
Farandaway (IRE)    8.03 Catterick    11/4
Reddeef (IRE)    8.03 Catterick    13/2
Dream Deal    8.38 Catterick    11/2

..........and these are ones currently outside the price bracket but may come within that bracket if supported in the market or non runners:

Today 3.05    Otago    Brighton (LH)            12/1   
Toay 3.05    Big Bard    Brighton (LH)        12/1   
Today 4.50    Original Thinker    Carlisle     12/1   
Today 5.20    Stipulation (IRE)    Carlisle     17/2   
Today 5.58    Brains (IRE)    Down Royal (RH)        10/1   
Today 6.40    Sweet Lord (FR)    Haydock (LH)        8/1   
Today 7.15    Brave Byreflection Haydock (LH)        9/1   
Today 7.15    Invitorio (IRE)    Haydock (LH)        12/1
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