General Betting
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We all know that sometimes at different tracks that their can be a stall advantage, so I've number crunched this one and came up with a system for stalls 1 and 2.
Basic rules:
Priced between 2/1 and 8/1
Stall 1 or 2.
This is totally backfitted and untried so who knows where it will go. The strike rate is low at around 19 pcent meaning of course that more than 80% lose so there will be long losing runs, 31 is the longest (backfitted) and 10 in the place market. The A/E is 1.08 and the average Bfsp is 5.93.
I'll adjust the parameters and put up each day those that fall into the price range of 6/4 to 12/1 at the time of posting but of course only those falling between 2/1 and 8/1 at the off will count. Current losing run is 7.
Todays:
Today 1.55 Fallen Soldier (IRE) Nottingham (Str)
Today 1.55 Dreambird Dolly Nottingham (Str)
Today 4.15 Spirit Of Applause Nottingham (Str)
Basic rules:
Priced between 2/1 and 8/1
Stall 1 or 2.
This is totally backfitted and untried so who knows where it will go. The strike rate is low at around 19 pcent meaning of course that more than 80% lose so there will be long losing runs, 31 is the longest (backfitted) and 10 in the place market. The A/E is 1.08 and the average Bfsp is 5.93.
I'll adjust the parameters and put up each day those that fall into the price range of 6/4 to 12/1 at the time of posting but of course only those falling between 2/1 and 8/1 at the off will count. Current losing run is 7.
Todays:
Today 1.55 Fallen Soldier (IRE) Nottingham (Str)
Today 1.55 Dreambird Dolly Nottingham (Str)
Today 4.15 Spirit Of Applause Nottingham (Str)
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1.55 Fallen Soldier unplaced
4.15 Spirit of Applause hit 1.12 in running, nutted on the line, placed 2nd at a Bfsp of 4.1. |
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Just 3 5f races today this one looks as though it will meet the criteria:
5.00 Windsor All Ways Glamorous. |
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All Ways Glamorous, placed second at a 2tbp bfsp 3.54.
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Interesting.
Like the other thread, this might be worth a closer look but right now I'm having a good look at the favs, but I prefer to lay, so of course, I'm looking at LOSING favs. There's only so much information that an old stick like me is able to collate and digest. So, one thing at a time I think. |
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Its the sensible way forward ericster, sometimes there is too much information knocking about.
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5f possibles today
Poatan 2.12 Beverley Coco Hill 2.20 Chepstow Maris Angel 3.12 Beverley Miss Brazen 3.12 Beverley |
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Only one out of four placed yesterday. Just a couple of 5f races today and the only selections yhus far are both in the same race:
Fiorella Princess (IRE) 4.05 Yarmouth Style King (IRE) 4.05 Yarmouth |
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4.05 Just Style King qualifying and was unplaced.
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Today:
Mr Lightside 4.18 York Tropical Storm 4.18 York |
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First outright winner!
4.18 Tropical Storm a winner at 6.0 placed at 2.59. |
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Morning ericster, I've never ever had a bet on football, I suppose with only three outcomes there is lots of trading opportunities? If you get your position right in the first place that it is?
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Just the one 5f race of interest today:
5.35 Woohoo 5.35 Royal Duke |
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Today:
5.35 Woohoo...........Won at 4.6 and placed at 1.86 |
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Not around at all today so these are todays possibles, if priced between 2/1 and 8/1 at the off:
Today 2.10 Kodiac Thriller Thirsk Today 2.10 Squealer Thirsk Today 2.45 Castan Thirsk Today 2.45 Ready Freddie Go Thirsk |
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Yesterday, winners at 15/2 and 25/1 from the 2 races selected, rules are rules though.
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Today, Fletcher Flight in the 4.15 is a possible.
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No selection yesterday.
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Today's posdibles:
Monticristo Boy and Wee Mary in the 2.45 Hurt you Never in the 3.00. Noggs Dream 5.20 Jumbeau 6.50 Speed of Maajid 7.00 Natsuumi 8.30 |
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There was a winner at Roscommon tonight drawn 1, 16/1. I would have thought something like this would make more sense with tracks with a bend 5 - 8f no restrictions on price as the possible ‘extra’ advantage may give you a better price as in this race.
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Thanks Captain C, that makes sense to me and could be the long term aim.
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4.10 Virtue Temperance
5.50 Red Revolution |
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Red Evolution a nice winner around 7 mark bfsp.
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Nice one
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Cheers Captain.
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3.47 Curious Rover
7.50 Dark Side Prince and Agostino. |
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Angostino a winner at 4.12 yesterday.
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Todays possibles:
America 2.15 Bath Protest Rally 6.15 Pontefract Ziggys Queen 6.15 Pontefract |
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2.15 America a winner at 7.0 at Bfsp.
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6.15 Protest Rally our second winner of the day at a Bfsp of 5.4.
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After a slow start where it was 8 selections before we managed to get a winner currently after 31 bets we are now looking at a healthy return of more than 41 points, 10 points or so profit.
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Todays possibles:
2.45 Naval Light Beverley 3.35 Zubaru Catterick 4.05 Irish Dancer Catterick |
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2.45 Naval Light placed second - Bfsp two place market was 2.24
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3.35 Zubaru a non selection.
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Todays possibles:
2.45 Naval Light Beverley....................2nd Bfsp 2tbp 2.42 4.05 Irish Dancer Catterick.................unplaced Zubaru was a non selection. |
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Nothing today. Its almost the end of May and no UK flat fixtures? Just the three NH. All a bit silly. One flat meeting in Ireland but no 5f races.
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Today: If it stays 8/1 or under.
My Awele 5.05 Windsor |
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Turned out there were no selections today.
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Doesnt look like any today either.
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