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JB poor. Still don't fancy the 2 near the top so taking them on. Sam Ryder £50 at 12
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Unfortunately, no-one put any real pressure on Matt Jones but he deserved to win.
My pre-start bets were Russell Henley and Bradley Keegan. Henley never really got going after a decent start and Bradley messed up big-time after getting to eight-under in the third round. Do like me golf though! And there's nothing like watching it on TV Sunday night when you've got a player or two at decent prices in with a squeak! Good luck! |
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Thanks raspberrybottom.
It was a disappointing evening both in terms or betting and entertainment. Matt Jones an easy runaway winner. JB hasn't been in the best form, but the last round was appalling. Sam Ryder made me look silly too, but the average odds for the winner in the past decade has been in the triple digits. It's also been won 4 out of the last 8 years by someone playing here for only the second time. Ryder fit both those trends perfectly! Total -£75 WGC Match Play Not one I like to get too heavily involved in, but it's always a fun watch. Recent winning form holds up well here, so that brings Pat Reed into the mix. He is someone I like to regularly bet, so I'll stick with him again. Wins almost as often as DJ and JT on Bermuda grass courses, but is always double the price. A no brainer backing him here. Just need him to bring his ryder cup matchplay grit to this format and hopefully he can make it all the way Pat Reed £25 at 32s |
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Would you trade if he goes short? Or sit it out?
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Hi Pete. He's never made it to the last 8 here, but if he does I'm hoping switch to ryder cup mode and go all the way. I'd look to trade some back at around evens and maybe a bit more at a really short price. The green would still be bigger on him.
Sticking £2 on Bubba at 280. If Reed loses to Niemann tonight, then Bubba still has a decent chance to make it out of the group and I'll have something going into the weekend. |
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Good luck. I followed Ben Coley, so I have Spieth.
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The Reed money has gone. 5 down after 5. Bubba going okay.
Would love for the old Spieth to return and him to win soon. Just not here GL |
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Friday and Saturday at the WGC saw some fantastic golf. Harmons 7 birdies in a row was amazing. Sunday however was possibly golf at it's worst!
Having a few darts at the Valero and Masters selections are close to ready (JT, Reed, Ancer). Will wait to see what some of the tipsters put up before finalizing them. Morikawa and Hovland are 2 I could be talked into backing. Also Brooks injury status? Total -£102 |
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Darts for Valero Cameron Champ 120 £6.50, Kevin Chappell 130 £6.50, Chase Seiffert240 £3.50, Peter Malnati 300 £2.50, Akshay Bhatia 390 £2, Keith Mitchell 410 £2. Sum £23
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Seiffert and Mitchell kind of hanging in there, dibdob but Tringale's caused a bit of havoc....
I might have a look on Saturday otherwise wait for next week! Good luck. |
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Thanks Raspberry. I think whoever is leading tonight will go on to win, don't think that will be Tringale. Decided to get on Brandt Snedeker £25 at 32. Streaky player who has been horribly out of form, but he had a great day yesterday. More of the same please Brandt.
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Snedekers strong point, his putting let him down. 3 man race now, but don't expect Wallace to hang around (wish there was a 3 place lay market). This makes Hoffmans price of 5.8 very appealing to me. Hopefully he starts strong or Wallace fades early so I can get some trading done.
£200 Hoffman at 5.8 |
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Have to say I won't be following your future golf tips 'dibdob'. A final 3ball including Spieth, there was only going to be one winner after his recent form and he doesn't merit a mention?. Agree with your analysis of Wallace even if the SKY studio experts ( all Brits) were blowing him up to be the next Jack Nicklaus.
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Spieth recent form? Are you talking about him not winning for nearly 4 years. I had already mentioned whoever was leading at the end of day 3 would be the likeliest winner. Given I ruled Wallace out, that would leave Spieth so no need for me to mention him directly again, especially when I'm not betting on him. Short prices just don't interest me.
Hoffman offered value and the opportunity of a "free bet" which I got. He traded as low as 2.62 after a few holes. Also I am not putting up tips. I'm putting up my bets (with some notes) so I can keep a track of what I'm doing. One thing I've already noticed is I'm having bets on day 3 and this generally has never been a good angle for me. Something I need to cut out. Total -£150 |
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Maybe this is obvious stuff, but why aren't you simply putting your bets on the golf forum rather than here please?
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I'm not looking for traffic and this sub forum is nice and dead.
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Good read dibdob hope you keep posting your thoughts/bets and totals.A good thread to follow .
Good luck . |
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Thank you San Quentin.
Masters 2021 There are several big names who I'd be happy to back here (JT, Rahm, Spieth, DeChambeau) but their pretournament prices are unappealing. I will focus any bets on them on Day 4. I'm hoping lightning fast greens on Day 4 will mean there will be lots of dropped shots. This means those trailing the leader/s and even those 3 or 4 shots back will still have a great chance of winning. If some of the big names are trailing by 3 or 4, then it will provide some great prices and betting opportunities. Couple of months ago I was keen on Reed, but he seems to have gone off the boil, so going with Morikawa. Has the game to win anywhere if the putter holds up. Hoping the new putting grip can carry him to a win here. Also having a touch on Brian Harman. Brings decent recent form, won twice on pure Bentgrass greens, lefty aged 34. Bubba and Phil won here at 34, Weir at 33, all lefties. A stars aligning bet.. Morikawa £77 at 40, Harman £23 at 130 |
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Not picking an argument with you dibdob but my point about Spieth's recent 'form' isn't necessarily about winning. He was obviously getting up to speed with placed finishes in all the recent tournaments. That's 'recent form' in my book. Don't be so touchy.
BTW......I've changed my mind and will follow your two selections because I've already backed them myself. LOL |
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I'll be looking for trades on these:
Hovland 46 C Smith 46 Berger 48 Scott 90 Acer 130 Fritelli 290 Good luck all. |
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Morikawa went a little sour last night, but your selections are still in the hunt dibdob. I'm on Reed. Good luck.
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Reed winning won't help my blood pressure. He has been making a habit of starting tournaments really strong, but then sometimes fading. Pretty sure Rose will fade too. Been burnt by out of form players (Holmes, Sned) getting hot and flattering to deceive. Same from Rose please
Morikawa looked to get upset by Jordons eagle and his failure to even make a birdie despite being in a better position. I think his chances are gone. Bezuidenhout winning will actually hurt me more than Reed. I thought about backing him a few weeks ago. His profile coming here is very similar to Schwartzel and Willett when they won it, but I didn't think he was in the type of form they were when they won. Of the "big names" Spieth looked the best by miles. Can't wait for day 2 start. GL with your bets |
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Looks like you were right about Reed fading. Rose still hanging round after his poor start yesterday. That was actually a really gutsy display from him.
@Raspberrybottom you must be seething at Cam Smith. From -5 to -2 in the blink of an eye. Hope you managed to get some traders done on him. Dibdob and fullback any trading on your bets? |
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Got a bit back on Cam Smith but he was flying!
Then dropped three shots in a couple of holes. He's the sort who could go low today though. |
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Didn't do any trading Tarooq. Agree Rose has been gutsy. Nerves however got the better of Harman. Hide was special and oozing confidence last night, but still worth taking on.
No one I'm particularly keen on behind (Spieth too far back for me liking) so using the pin, which has landed on Rose. His final round record around here when in contention is pretty solid, so at the very least he'll hopefully give me a good run for my money. Also Rose would be a worthy winner so happy to cheer him on. Rose £100 at 12.5 |
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Had a lay bet on Hide at 1.1 liability of £25. Xander managed to get Hide on the ropes, threw his knockout punch, missed and hit himself in the face instead.
Total -£375 Going with Kevin Kisner at the Heritage. He's found a bit of form, has a good record here including a 2nd, and is a nice price. Players missing the cut at the Masters like Kisner have turned up here and done well in the past so that's not a negative. Round 3 leaders tend not to win here (2 in 10 years) It's been won twice by guys 6 back and 4 times by players 4 back. Great place to bet on Day 4. For now Kisner £25 at 60 |
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Just got home and Kisner looks done already. Harman is -2 after 7 holes and his price is bigger than it was yesterday. Guessing it's because a few like Morikawa and Smith have got off to fliers this evening. I'll take it, £25 at 38 on Harman. I'll be seething if Morikawa wins here as that would make it the 3rd time he won the tournament following the one I backed him in.
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Backing Sung-Jae Im tonight on the without Cink market as he is looking uncinkable. Waiting for a friend to put the bet on for me. Decent ew bet, plus a small win in the outright.
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Zurich Classic - Smith and Leishmann for me @13.5
Leishman usually very steady all round. Smith can be up and down but very good when on his game. Good luck all. |
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Leish and Smith going well for. Good luck. I was gonna sit this out, but noticed Rahm was going well with Palmer, so had £50 on at 13
Need to do totals. Already lost track! |
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Total -£500
Well done on the winner Raspberry. Glad Cam Smith finally got it done for you and we finally got an exciting Sunday. Going with Justin Rose £15 at 44 and Bubba £10 at 70 for the Valspar. |
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Top 8 tonight are all "reluctant" winners and Sned and Bubba might be just a little too far back tonight. Going for the biggest price of the top 8 and thats Potter jr £25 at 85
He's more likely to shoot 75 than 65 tonight, but amongst this lot he shouldn't be such a big price. |
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Wells Fargo....
My outlaws are as follows: X Schauffele 18.5 P Reed 34 J Neimann 36 T Fleetwood 100 J Dahmen 160 Good luck all. |
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Just the 1 for me Will Zalatoris £50 at 30. Low key big hitter on a course that's big hitter and newbie friendly. GL Raspberry
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Traded out for free bets on Tommy and Dahmen.
Dahmen and Reed look like my best chances now. Hard work though! |
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Byron Nelson
S Scheffler 20 B Koepka 28 S W Kim 50 A Wise 70 C Ortiz 80 C Howell 110 S Piercy 250 Good luck all |
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Traded out for free bets on Wise, Kim and Howell.
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US PGA Championship
X Schaueffle 24 D Berger 34 C Morikawa 38 W Simpson 50 P Casey 90 J day 160 B Horschel 210 |
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Charles Schwab Challenge
A Ancer 20 S Im 46 J Rose 34 J Kokrak 75 P Uihlein 370 R Sabbatini 310 C T Pan 250 |