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LEGIT
21 Aug 14 13:59
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Date Joined: 14 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 203 | Blogger: LEGIT's blog
If A, B & C have an equal chance of winning what is the likelihood of A/B/C winning 5x consec and what is the likelihood of AB/AC/BC winning 5x consec...

Thanks in advance!
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Report longbridge • August 21, 2014 3:50 PM BST
IF A, B & C have an equal chance of winning (and there are no other possible outcome) the chance of any of them winning once is 1/3, so the chance of any winning 5 times consecutively is (1/3)^5 = 0.0041 or 0.41%.

No idea what you mean by "AB/AC/BC winning", sorry!
Report LEGIT • August 21, 2014 4:12 PM BST
By AB I mean dutching A&B so if I was to use the same logic you used for A, B & C alone would I be correct in assuming that the percentage of (2/3)^5 = 0.13116 or 13.11%
Report longbridge • August 21, 2014 4:41 PM BST
That works.
Report LEGIT • August 21, 2014 5:09 PM BST
Thanks.
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