B = Back Odds C = Back Stake D = Lay Odds (There is no E) F = Lay Stake G = Lay Liability H = Net P/L (as a percentage of C) R = Commission Rate
We can work out F, G & H from known values of B, C, D & R thus: [1] F = B*C/D [2] G = (D-1)*F [3] H = (F-C)*(1-R)/C
What I want to do is determine D, F and G from known values of B, C, H & R.
Can it be done?
Assuming that your exit trade is to an equal profit on all outcomes as implied, then:
[4] (F-C)*(1-R) = (1-R) * C * ((B/D)-1)
We know that,
H = (F-C)*(1-R)/C
Therefore,
[5] (F-C)*(1-R) = H * C
Therefore from equations [4] and [5],
H * C = (1-R) * C * ((B/D)-1) H/(1-R) = (B/D)-1 1+ H/(1-R) = B/D
[6] D = B/(1+(H/(1-R)))
As D is now known, F can be calculated using equation,
[1] F = B*C/D
As D and F are now known, G can then be calculated using equation,
[2] G =[D-1]*F
Example:
Assume that prior to a coin toss you back 'Heads' @ 2.2 for £100. Strangely you also know that your Net P/L expressed as a percentage of the back stake is 9.5%. The commission rate is 5%. Assume the stated commission rate to be inclusive of any customer discount rate. The applicable commission rate would be known to be 0% if H was negative if the bets were struck on this exchange.
B = 2.2 C = £100 D = F = G = H = 9.5% (0.095) R = 5% (0.05)
Therefore to find the lay price D, use equation [6],
D = B/(1+(H/(1-R))) D = 2.2/(1+0.095/(1-0.05)) D = 2.2/1.1 D = 2
To find the lay stake F, use equation [1],
F = B*C/D F = 2.2*100/2 F = £110
To find the lay liability G, use equation [2],
G =[D-1]*F G = (2-1)*110 G = £110
B = Back OddsC = Back StakeD = Lay Odds(There is no E)F = Lay StakeG = Lay LiabilityH = Net P/L (as a percentage of C)R = Commission RateWe can work out F, G & H from known values of B, C, D & R thus:[1] F = B*C/D [2] G = (D-1)*F [3] H = (F-C)*(1-R)/
(F-C)*(1-R) = H * C (F-C) = (H*C)/(1-R) F = C +(H*C)/(1-R)
Having calculated F, use that value to calculate D using equation [1] and then G using equation [2]. That would be boring though.
Early night?
If not, you're welcome.
Alternatively you could observe that, (F-C)*(1-R) = H * C(F-C) = (H*C)/(1-R)F = C +(H*C)/(1-R)Having calculated F, use that value to calculate D using equation [1] and then G using equation [2]. That would be boring though. Early night?If not, you're
You were correct in your assumption - (I should have explained that).
Yep - all tested in Excel and spot on! That's perfect!
Many, many thanks.
Steve
(Keeping odd hours whilst the missus is away).
jt45You were correct in your assumption - (I should have explained that).Yep - all tested in Excel and spot on! That's perfect!Many, many thanks.Steve(Keeping odd hours whilst the missus is away).