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JML
15 Aug 14 17:55
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Date Joined: 10 May 05
| Topic/replies: 3,009 | Blogger: JML's blog
New coupon in shops "Weekend Millionaire"

20 matches £2stake--- £1million for 20 correct with much smaller returns for first 5,10,15. Same returns if you pick 20 favs or 20 outsiders.

If they take 10 bets/shop and only 1% of their customers realise that backing 20 favs. is obviously the best play they wouild face a payout of over £120m.

20 bets and 2% and the payout is half a billion.

I have no idea what % would make the obvious play,but neither do B*tfred.

It may be a 1.5million/1 chance but I can't see how it's worth the risk.

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Replies: 6
By:
Zazu
When: 16 Aug 14 16:09
no


Ladbrokes had a similar coupon 10 years ago. Theyre tricky matches not 1/10 shots. True odds will be about 10million:1
By:
JML
When: 16 Aug 14 20:31
I've already said that the true odds this week was
1.5million:1.

But the true odds are irrelevant to the point that without knowing how many people will back all 20 favourites they are potentially gambling with the whole company.

This is a post from last year about the C*rals Jackpot bet

tobermory • August 15, 2013 12:31 AM BST
If you want to win the million then better not pick the 15 shortest prices on the coupon, as thats what 85% of punters will do .


Obviously tobermory knew 85% was an exaggeration but it does
suggest that B*tfred's liability could be much more than the
value of the company.
By:
SHAPESHIFTER
When: 18 Aug 14 19:22
Insurance companies do offer deals Wink
By:
no moves
When: 18 Aug 14 22:35
The bet is balderdash.
By:
Big Boss
When: 18 Aug 14 23:02
don't bet with the bald cooonnnt
By:
dixie
When: 19 Aug 14 12:38
15 games on his Goals Galore Extra coupon pays 5000/1

Do the same games on his Goals Galore coupon, you get 1375/1.
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