General Betting
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07 Aug 14
15:05
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Date Joined:
04 Jan 04
Paper traded this last season and it produced a reasonable profit.
The C'ship is probably the hardest of the English divisions to predict. The bottom club can beat the top club and all season the results are head scratching.
My method will be to lay the CS on every game.
I will only be using 9 scores to lay though : 1-0 , 0-1, 1-1, 2-0, 0-2,2-1,1-2 ,2-2 & AU.
On an average of 12 games over the weekend you will get around 3 sides scoring 3 or more [these will be winners for me] and over the season approx 9% of games will finish 0-0 [again all winning lays}.
It all comes down to the odds i am laying at of course so will need some good judgement and luck.
First game is Fri 8th : Blackburn v Cardiff.
The C'ship is probably the hardest of the English divisions to predict. The bottom club can beat the top club and all season the results are head scratching.
My method will be to lay the CS on every game.
I will only be using 9 scores to lay though : 1-0 , 0-1, 1-1, 2-0, 0-2,2-1,1-2 ,2-2 & AU.
On an average of 12 games over the weekend you will get around 3 sides scoring 3 or more [these will be winners for me] and over the season approx 9% of games will finish 0-0 [again all winning lays}.
It all comes down to the odds i am laying at of course so will need some good judgement and luck.
First game is Fri 8th : Blackburn v Cardiff.
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Fri 8th Aug. * All lays : £5 *
Blackburn v Cardiff lay 2-0 @ 14 [13-1]. |
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GL CC64.....we all need that!
Know little about both teams......but if first game should be TIGHT for 1st half. Onus on home team to try to score and as game goes on a goal may come from either. Set pieces likely where a goal comes from. I suspect CARDIFF will score at some point in match ...probably 2nd half. May finish 0-1 or 1-0. GL again ....first games difficult . |
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first step in marathon done
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HT Blackburn Rovers 1 - 1 Cardiff City
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So what?
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let me know how u go on end of season custard gl
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RESULT
Blackburn 1 Cardiff 1 Profit : £ 4.75 Run.Total : + £ 4.75 |
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SAT 9TH.
Brentford v charlton 2-1 @ 11.5 Brighton v Sheff.Wed 1-1 @8 Derby v Rotherham 1-0 @ 9 H'field v B'mouth 1-0 @ 11 M'BRO V Brum 1-0@ 7.6 Millwall v Leeds 1-1 @ 8.2 N.Forest v Blackpool 2-1 @ 9.8 Watford v Bolton 1-0 @ 9.6 Wigan v Reading 2-0 @ 9.4 Ipswich v Fulham 1-0 @ 11 SUN 10TH Wolves v Norwich 1-1 @ 7.6 |
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RESULTS
Brentford 1 Charlton 1 Brighton 0 Sheff Wed 1 Derby 1 Rotherham 0 [L] H'field 0 B'mouth 4 M'bro 2 Brum 0 Millwall 2 Leeds 0 N.Forest 2 Blackpool 0 Watford 3 Bolton 0 Wigan 2 Reading 2 Ipswich 2 Fulham 1 Wolves 1 Norwich 0 Profit : £ 7.50 Run.Total : + £12.25 |
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This kind of seems like madness. Have you considered just blindly backing 0-0?
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i have,then trade out as the match continues,hopefully remaining goalless til im all green
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CoinFlip - Blindly backing 0-0 is definitely madder
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Gambling is mad
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Crickey....two losing selections on a day and you are red.....
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SS ...the RESULTS were shown....and BRENTFORD v CHARLTON was not a hit for CC64...as he/she layed 2-1.
Good start CC64. |
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My statement was general, not specific.
Essentially, 10 odds on bets so must maintain a strike rate of around 90% to have a profit. So last Saturday, if one more score had come in, there would have been a loss. |
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It is the nature of such bets......but it is possible to get good profits ( 2% ROI) over long series of bets, if you can control OVER STAKING once bank well up ( reducing bank when well up may be one way to avoid the day control is lost!)
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Any time I have played the correct score market, it takes not only finding a few positions but then playing the in-running.
Though I must say, when trading the correct score with no feed and following momentum with some medium exposure on some results, when the suspend comes up, I always have a bottle and shot glass ready for a quick drink until the markets re-open to reveal the situation  |
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Already matched this Sat:
Brum v Brighton 1-1 @ 7.6 . |
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Blackpool v Blackburn 1-2 @ 10.5 .
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SAT 16TH.
Leeds v Boro 1-0 @ 12 Blackpool v B'burn 1-2 @ 10.5 B'mouth v Brentford 1-1 @ 8.8 Bolton v N.Forest 1-0 @ 11 Brum v Brighton 1-1 @ 7.6 Cardiff v H'field 2-1 @ 10 Charlton v Wigan 1-0 @ 11.5 Fulham v Millwall 2-1 @ 10.5 Norwich v Watford AU @ 12 Rotherham v Wolves 1-0 @ 12.5 Sheff. Wed v Derby 1-0 @ 12.5 Reading v Ipswich 1-`1 @ 7.4 |
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Leeds v Boro 1-0 @ 12
 Blackpool v B'burn 1-2 @ 10.5 B'mouth v Brentford 1-1 @ 8.8 Bolton v N.Forest 1-0 @ 11 Brum v Brighton 1-1 @ 7.6 Cardiff v H'field 2-1 @ 10 Charlton v Wigan 1-0 @ 11.5 Fulham v Millwall 2-1 @ 10.5 Norwich v Watford AU @ 12 Rotherham v Wolves 1-0 @ 12.5 Sheff. Wed v Derby 1-0 @ 12.5 Reading v Ipswich 1-`1 @ 7.4 |
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I once was at a table with someone that laid a single score around 20 matches a weekend and spoke of going out for the day with the family then coming home at 5 to see if his account was bigger or smaller.
Someone poised the question to him: "On a busy weekend of racing, would you bet on 20 horses that were odds on, the best returning around 2/15?" "Of course not", said the correct score layer. "That is a fast track to the poor house." It's all about perspective. |
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RESULTS
Leeds 1 M'boro 0 [L] B'mouth 1 Brentford 0 Brum 1 Brighton 0 B'pool 1 B'burn 2 [L] Bolton 2 N.Forest 2 Cardiff 3 H'field 1 Charlton 2 Wigan 1 Fulham 0 Millwall 1 Norwich 3 Watford 0 Reading 1 Ipswich 0 Rotherham 1 Wolves 0 [L] Sheff.Wed 0 Derby 0 |
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LOSS : £104-75
RUN.TOTAL : - £92-50 |
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TUE 19TH AUG.
Brum v Ipswich 2-1 @ 12.5 B'pool v Brentford 0-1 @ 8.4 Bolton v M'boro 1-2@ 12.5 B'mouth v N.Forest 1-0 @ 10.5 Cardiff v Wigan 1-0 @ 9.6 Charlton v Derby 1-2 @10.5 Leeds v Brighton 2-1 @ 13.5 Norwich v B'burn 1-0 @ 8.6 Rotherham v Watford 0-1 @ 11.5 Sheff. Wed v Millwall 1-0 @ 8.4 Reading v H'field 2-1 @ 9.8 |
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4 scores correct with 15 to go. a car crash waiting to happen
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birmingham 2-2 94th minute equaliser
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sheff wed 1-1 95th minute equaliser
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rotherham 0-2 87th minute goal
car crash narrowly avoided |
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WED 20TH AUG.
Fulham v Wolves 1-1 @ 7.6 |
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any bets yesterday ?
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any today ?
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