Don't have the energy to use "system" on horse racing ( intend to start in MARCH)......so starting a FOOTBALL "guessing" thread to see if can keep "reasonable" control on STAKING.
Had some LUCK on Correct Score betting a few years ago....making about £20,000 from starting ban £2,000......BUT blew all of it away when INTERNATIONAL matches started ( last World Cup etc ) through some OVER STAKING combined with bad "guessing"!
Only starting with £450 bank and will restrict betting to £2 minimum and £36 maximum on a selected match. Likely the main initial bet will be £6 to start.....with smaller hedging bets if I feel might come in handy as match progresses.
Will review STAKING at end of each week.....if last that long....
Bets will probably be mainly in OVERS ,HT/FT and Correct Scores markets. ============================================================
MATCH 1 - Arsenal 19 : 45 Manchester United
MU getting some of their key players back in their last match.......so for this match they are far more likely to be up for it and I expect them to score at least 1 goal .
ARSENAL have a run of tough matches looming up, but they know they must try to win this game to keep their confidence high......and with center of MU defence looking dodgy, I also expect them to grab at least 1 goal.
So bets are :-
Fixtures 12 February / Arsenal v Man Utd / Over/Under 2.5 Goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 12-Feb-14 11:23 1.81 26.00 1.81 12-Feb-14 11:23 Fixtures 12 February / Arsenal v Man Utd / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 12-Feb-14 11:23 7.8 4.00 7.8 12-Feb-14 11:23
Fixtures 12 February / Arsenal v Man Utd / Half Time/Full Time Draw/Man Utd Back 12-Feb-14 11:28 9.6 2.00 9.6 12-Feb-14 11:28 Fixtures 12 February / Arsenal v Man Utd / Half Time/Full Time Man Utd/Man Utd Back 12-Feb-14 11:27 6.4 4.00 6.4 12-Feb-14 11:27
I suspect MU will allow ARSENAL a lot of possession 1st half and try to steal a goal right before HT......or to go for win 2nd half.
If ARSENAL score first 1st half......then game should open up and further goals likely.....thus main bet is on OVER 2.5 goals.
A lot of pressure on both teams for different reasons......but the clash of styles of play are likely to lead to at least a couple goals in game.....and would not be surprised if finishes 1-1.....thus covered 1-1.
With ROONEY and the dutchman back, I favour MU winning this one ....as MU surely will improve their crossing to give them chances to score, which likely they will take in such a match.
Ideal scenario would be MU scoring and leading 1st half....or early goal from ARSENAL....either can happen....and my guess one of them will happen 1st half. =================================================
MATCH 3.....away team scored first ....so not going initial way i hoped it would!
If it stays 0-1 til HT ...then still in with chance of landing a profit...
27' Hoffenheim 0-1 (-) VfL Wolfsburg
MATCH 3.....away team scored first ....so not going initial way i hoped it would!If it stays 0-1 til HT ...then still in with chance of landing a profit...27' Hoffenheim 0-1 (-) VfL Wolfsburg
AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ...busy making tea...and missed opportunity to lay 1-1 in HT market ....DRAT
Now
45+' Hoffenheim 1-2 (-) VfL Wolfsburg
An equaliser 2nd half would be GOOD!
AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ...busy making tea...and missed opportunity to lay 1-1 in HT market ....DRATNow45+' Hoffenheim 1-2 (-) VfL WolfsburgAn equaliser 2nd half would be GOOD!
M 3...laying 1-3 a bit and hoping at least 1 goal will come...from either.. Fixtures 12 February / Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg / Correct Score 1 - 3 Lay 34217211988 12-Feb-1419:30 2.3 8.00 2.3 12-Feb-14 19
LOSS on GAMES 3 and 6......so early matches got "wrong"......though missing chance to lay 1-1 in HT market (due to getting side-tracked making tea) in WOLFSBURG match was annoying as definitely would have layed it .....relatively cheap lay....
FT Hoffenheim 2-3 (1-2) VfL Wolfsburg*
LOSS on GAMES 3 and 6......so early matches got "wrong"......though missing chance to lay 1-1 in HT market (due to getting side-tracked making tea) in WOLFSBURG match was annoying as definitely would have layed it .....relatively cheap lay....FT H
GAMES not going well at all....but hope springs eternallllllllllllllll
HT Arsenal 0-0 (0-0) Manchester United HT Newcastle Utd 0-1 (0-1) Tottenham39' Fulham FC 1-0 (-) Liverpool FC 39' Stoke City 1-0 (-) Swansea CityGAMES not going well at all....but hope springs eternal
GAMES 1 and 2 .....decided that a goal still very likely to come in both matches....so layed 0-0 and 1-0 respectively.....THUS OVER STAKED IN BOTH MATCHES....!
Fixtures 12 February / Arsenal v Man Utd / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 34222076605 12-Feb-14 21:06 2.28 28.00 2.26 12-Feb-14 21:06
GAMES 1 and 2 .....decided that a goal still very likely to come in both matches....so layed 0-0 and 1-0 respectively.....THUS OVER STAKED IN BOTH MATCHES....! Fixtures 12 February / Arsenal v Man Utd / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 342
Fixtures 12 February / Arsenal v Man Utd / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 34222364938 12-Feb-14 21:12 1.97 24.00 1.97 12-Feb-14 21:12
In again on GAME 1...lay on 0-0 Fixtures 12 February / Arsenal v Man Utd / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 34222364938 12-Feb-1421:12 1.97 24.00 1.97 12-Feb-14 21:12
IP at 0-2.....laying this as home likely to press for goal ...and either can score..
Fixtures 12 February / Newcastle v Tottenham / Correct Score 0 - 2 Lay 34222470940 12-Feb-14 21:15 2.08 24.00 2.06 12-Feb-14 21:15
IP at 0-2.....laying this as home likely to press for goal ...and either can score.. Fixtures 12 February / Newcastle v Tottenham / Correct Score 0 - 2 Lay 34222470940 12-Feb-1421:15 2.08 24.00 2.06 1
MATCH 8 IP at roughly 55 mins.....laying 1-1 ......away team seem to have a fair defence....but home team need to try to win......so fair chance a goal MIGHT come....
Fixtures 12 February / Gremio Barueri v Santo Andre / Correct Score 1 - 1 Lay 34224369827 12-Feb-14 22:07 3.05 24.00 3.05 12-Feb-14 22:10
* This market has been suspended.
MATCH 8 IP at roughly 55 mins.....laying 1-1 ......away team seem to have a fair defence....but home team need to try to win......so fair chance a goal MIGHT come.... Fixtures 12 February / Gremio Barueri v Santo Andre / Correct Score 1 -
MU game seemed likely a goal would come from either ...but MU forwards still not match fit yet IMO ...so missed their chances....and ARSENAL deserved a win ...but breaks never came....
MU game seemed likely a goal would come from either ...but MU forwards still not match fit yet IMO ...so missed their chances....and ARSENAL deserved a win ...but breaks never came....
MATCH 9 0-0 at HT.....and home team likely to score and win IMO ...so laying DRAW...
Fixtures 12 February / America MG v URT / Match Odds The Draw Lay 34224685979 12-Feb-14 22:16 3 24.00 3 12-Feb-14 22:17
MATCH 9 0-0 at HT.....and home team likely to score and win IMO ...so laying DRAW... Fixtures 12 February / America MG v URT / Match Odds The Draw Lay 34224685979 12-Feb-1422:16 3 24.00 3 12-Feb-14 2
M 8...going in again on lay at roughly 67 mins played..
Fixtures 12 February / Gremio Barueri v Santo Andre / Correct Score 1 - 1 Lay 34224788729 12-Feb-14 22:19 2.4 24.00 2.4 12-Feb-14 22:20
Back to OVER STAKING already!!!!
M 8...going in again on lay at roughly 67 mins played.. Fixtures 12 February / Gremio Barueri v Santo Andre / Correct Score 1 - 1 Lay 34224788729 12-Feb-1422:19 2.4 24.00 2.4 12-Feb-14 22:20 Back to O
pretty much ZERO value in football correct score atm
i know what the prices should be each game and at what time , current prices are very stable and pretty much on the mark
some greasy little fooker has been studying the markets - and a fine job theyre doing too
well done that man
pretty much ZERO value in football correct score atm i know what the prices should be each game and at what time , current prices are very stable and pretty much on the mark some greasy little fooker has been studying the markets - and a fine job t
Just taking a chance a goal comes ...................
Fixtures 12 February / Chapecoense v Hermann Aichinger / Correct Score 2 - 1 Lay 34225676105 12-Feb-14 22:50 3 48.00 2.95 12-Feb-14 22:50
M10 IP at approx 64 mins at 2-1Just taking a chance a goal comes ................... Fixtures 12 February / Chapecoense v Hermann Aichinger / Correct Score 2 - 1 Lay 34225676105 12-Feb-1422:50 3 48.00 2.9
84 mins so laying 1-0 and hoping home team scores....still open to initial lay on DRAW....
Fixtures 12 February / America MG v URT / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 34226236200 12-Feb-14 23:11 1.49 48.00 1.46 12-Feb-14 23:11
84 mins so laying 1-0 and hoping home team scores....still open to initial lay on DRAW.... Fixtures 12 February / America MG v URT / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 34226236200 12-Feb-1423:11 1.49 48.00 1.46
Fixtures 13 February / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro / Correct Score 1 - 2 Back 34227726363 13-Feb-14 00:14 9.2 3.00 9.2 13-Feb-14 00:14
Fixtures 13 February / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro / Match Odds Real Garcilaso Back 34227714632 13-Feb-14 00:13 4.2 12.00 4.33 13-Feb-14 00:13
Fixtures 13 February / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro / Correct Score 0 - 0 Back 34227708213 13-Feb-14 00:13 8 6.00 8.24 13-Feb-14 00:13
Suspect home team wins. ================================
Fixtures 13 February / Leon v Flamengo / Half Time/Full Time Draw/Leon Lay 34227609267 13-Feb-14 00:09 5.9 24.00 5.9 13-Feb-14 00:09
This bet is an ERROR ....but letting it stand.....Meant to lay DRAW/DRAW!
MGOFS 1-1.
MATCHES 13 and 14 Fixtures 13 February / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro / Correct Score 1 - 2 Back 34227726363 13-Feb-1400:14 9.2 3.00 9.2 13-Feb-14 00:14 Fixtures 13 February / Real Garcilaso v Cr
G 14....a penalty for home team and now 1-0 ....also RED CARD for away team ....so BACKING DRAW at Ht as a hedge for my initial LAY on DRAW/LEON....
Fixtures 13 February / Leon v Flamengo / Half Time The Draw (HT) Back 34228223651 13-Feb-14 00:35 12 4.00 12 13-Feb-14 00:36
G 14....a penalty for home team and now 1-0 ....also RED CARD for away team ....so BACKING DRAW at Ht as a hedge for my initial LAY on DRAW/LEON.... Fixtures 13 February / Leon v Flamengo / Half Time The Draw (HT) Back 34228223651
1-1 at Ht in G14....so backing 3-2 as some cover for lay (initial) on DRAW/LEON ......as away team still look likely to grab a goal.....
May be an error in judgment.....but will wait til home team odds rise before considering backing them to cover the intial HT/FT lay bet....using profit from DRAW at HT etc
Fixtures 13 February / Leon v Flamengo / Correct Score 3 - 2 Back 34228672249 13-Feb-14 00:54 14.5 6.00 14.5 13-Feb-14 00:54
Fixtures 13 February / Leon v Flamengo / Correct Score 3 - 2 Back 34228592638 13-Feb-14 00:50 15.5 4.00 15.5 13-Feb-14 00:50
1-1 at Ht in G14....so backing 3-2 as some cover for lay (initial) on DRAW/LEON ......as away team still look likely to grab a goal.....May be an error in judgment.....but will wait til home team odds rise before considering backing them to cover the
1-1 in CRUZEIRO game.....was just about to lay 0-1 .....3rd time that was in process of placing a lay and a goal came too soon by seconds.......AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
TIMING is everything!
1-1 in CRUZEIRO game.....was just about to lay 0-1 .....3rd time that was in process of placing a lay and a goal came too soon by seconds.......AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHTIMING is everything!
G13 ...now 2-1 so laying some of profit off on home team win bet.....
Fixtures 13 February / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro / Match Odds Real Garcilaso Lay 34229386849 13-Feb-14 01:25 1.67 6.00 1.65 13-Feb-14 01:26
Fixtures 13 February / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro / Match Odds Cruzeiro Back 34229381498 13-Feb-14 01:25 9.6 2.00 10.5 13-Feb-14 01:25
Fixtures 13 February / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro / Match Odds Real Garcilaso Lay 34229373437 13-Feb-14 01:25 1.73 12.00 1.72 13-Feb-14 01:25
G13 ...now 2-1 so laying some of profit off on home team win bet..... Fixtures 13 February / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro / Match Odds Real Garcilaso Lay 34229386849 13-Feb-1401:25 1.67 6.00 1.65 13-Feb-
Still annoyed at myself putting on wrong initial bet ...DRAW/DRAW was intended lay ....now might take the HIT on DRAW/LEON error on bet .....at least HT BACK on DRAW will reduce loss a bit!
Still annoyed at myself putting on wrong initial bet ...DRAW/DRAW was intended lay ....now might take the HIT on DRAW/LEON error on bet .....at least HT BACK on DRAW will reduce loss a bit!
Fixtures 13 February / Leon v Flamengo / Correct Score 2 - 1 Lay 34229796596 13-Feb-14 01:43 1.66 28.00 1.66 13-Feb-14 01:45
Home team could do with another goal....
G14 ...in again on lay Fixtures 13 February / Leon v Flamengo / Correct Score 2 - 1 Lay 34229796596 13-Feb-1401:43 1.66 28.00 1.66 13-Feb-14 01:45 Home team could do with another goal....
A few close things to goal in LEON game ...but stays 2-1...so a HIT in that match.
RED CARD plus my error on LAY in HT/FT market led to a HIT......
If FLAM had 11 on pitch then a DRAW or away win was likely IMO.....but RED CARD ruined their chances.......and MINE!
A few close things to goal in LEON game ...but stays 2-1...so a HIT in that match.RED CARD plus my error on LAY in HT/FT market led to a HIT......If FLAM had 11 on pitch then a DRAW or away win was likely IMO.....but RED CARD ruined their chances....
Home team should be more match fit for this one ......so hoping they win.
Have some hedge bets in case wrong again!
Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Correct Score 1 - 2 Back 34230233167 13-Feb-14 02:04 17 6.00 17 13-Feb-14 02:04 Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Correct Score 2 - 2 Back 34230226042 13-Feb-14 02:04 23 6.00 23 13-Feb-14 02:04 Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Match Odds Deportivo Cali Back 34230221471 13-Feb-14 02:04 2.2 66.00 2.22 13-Feb-14 02:04 =============================================================================
MATCH 15 ...last game probably....Home team should be more match fit for this one ......so hoping they win.Have some hedge bets in case wrong again! Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Correct Score 1 - 2 Back 3423
Away team appear pretty match fit ...so backing then as odds are generous!
Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Match Odds Cerro Porteno Back 34231197264 13-Feb-14 02:47 5.5 18.00 5.5 13-Feb-14 02:47
Could go either way this one...
Away team appear pretty match fit ...so backing then as odds are generous! Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Match Odds Cerro Porteno Back 34231197264 13-Feb-1402:47 5.5 18.00 5.5
Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 34232139129 13-Feb-14 03:34 14 12.00 14 13-Feb-14 03:35
Still 0-0 ....with about 3omins left ......so laying 0-0 and backing 1-1 as cover for liability on DRAW......( also have 2-2 covered at start....)Just need a goal from either team... Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Correct
Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Match Odds Cerro Porteno Back 34232528695 13-Feb-14 03:55 80 2.00 87.15 13-Feb-14 03:55
Now layed 1-0 ( above post should have been at 1-0....)... Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 34232573971 13-Feb-1403:57 1.38 18.00 1.37 13-Feb-14 03:57
LOSS ON FOOTBALL OF £209.18 + MULTIPLE LOSS £36.......SO BAD "GUESSING" SO FAR!
Horse Racing: £109.13 | Soccer: -£209.18 Total P&L: -£100.05
Soccer Showing 1 - 20 of 25 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno : Match Odds 13-Feb-14 02:15 13-Feb-14 04:09 45.84 Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 02:15 13-Feb-14 04:09 -6.66 Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno : Half Time/Full Time 13-Feb-14 02:15 13-Feb-14 04:09 -8.00 Soccer / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro : Match Odds 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:56 24.21 Soccer / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:56 -9.00 Soccer / Leon v Flamengo : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:55 -85.61 Soccer / Leon v Flamengo : Half Time/Full Time 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:55 -117.60 Soccer / Leon v Flamengo : Half Time 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 00:51 39.62 Soccer / Sao Caetano v Mirassol : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 22:30 13-Feb-14 00:21 17.12 Soccer / Sao Caetano v Mirassol : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 12-Feb-14 22:30 13-Feb-14 00:21 -3.00 Soccer / Deportivo Anzoategui v Penarol : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:45 12-Feb-14 23:43 31.95 Soccer / America MG v URT : Match Odds 12-Feb-14 21:30 12-Feb-14 23:23 17.12 Soccer / America MG v URT : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:30 12-Feb-14 23:23 -22.08 Soccer / Chapecoense v Hermann Aichinger : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:30 12-Feb-14 23:23 45.65 Soccer / Gremio Barueri v Santo Andre : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:00 12-Feb-14 22:48 -82.81 Soccer / Fulham v Liverpool : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 20:00 12-Feb-14 21:55 34.24 Soccer / Stoke v Swansea : Half Time/Full Time 12-Feb-14 20:00 12-Feb-14 21:54 -12.00 Soccer / Stoke v Swansea : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 20:00 12-Feb-14 21:53 -7.80 Soccer / Arsenal v Man Utd : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:36 -62.44 Soccer / Arsenal v Man Utd : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:36 -26.00 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages
Jump to page:
Soccer Showing 21 - 25 of 25 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Soccer / Arsenal v Man Utd : Half Time/Full Time 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:36 -6.00 Soccer / Newcastle v Tottenham : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:30 22.82 Soccer / Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 18:00 12-Feb-14 19:53 0.00 Soccer / Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg : Half Time/Full Time 12-Feb-14 18:00 12-Feb-14 19:53 -18.00 Soccer / Leverkusen v Kaiserslautern : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 18:00 12-Feb-14 19:50 -20.75 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages ====================================================================
LEON game costly due to RED CARD and me wrongly laying DRAW/LEON instead of LAY on DRAW/DRAW.....
Missing 4 lays by seconds when in process of laying CSs probably cost approximately £120....
MU game finishing 0-0 costly too....
Plenty missed chances in games ensured a big loss for day!
The limit on £36 a game has already failed....and generally my "guesses" were "poor" especially early on.
Was close to getting those 4 missed lay opportunities on......and that was frustrating, as my instincts were improving on watching later matches.....
Big LOSS down to LEON error by me.....and the OVER STAKING.....
BANK down to £313 roughly................( would have been worse had it not been for racing profit)...so will keep thread going to see if can improve on "guesses" and instincts as to when to lay a CS....( roughly 18 seconds out on the 4 missed lay opps today!!!).
G M the noooooooooooooo
RESULTS DAY 1LOSS ON FOOTBALL OF £209.18 + MULTIPLE LOSS £36.......SO BAD "GUESSING" SO FAR!Horse Racing: £109.13 | Soccer: -£209.18 Total P&L: -£100.05 Soccer Showing 1 - 20 of 25 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/l
Horse racing pulling some of FOOTBALL loss back today .....so using both sports to keep bank for thread....
Horse Racing: £163.73
Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 26 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Horse Racing / Kemp 13th Feb : To Be Placed 13-Feb-14 17:10 13-Feb-14 17:14 -8.00 Horse Racing / Kemp 13th Feb : 6f Hcap 13-Feb-14 17:10 13-Feb-14 17:13 2.85 Horse Racing / Meydan (UAE) 13th Feb : 6f Grp 3 13-Feb-14 17:05 13-Feb-14 17:09 -14.00 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 2m NHF 13-Feb-14 16:55 13-Feb-14 17:03 21.63 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : To Be Placed 13-Feb-14 16:40 13-Feb-14 16:47 8.50 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : 2m4f Hunt Chs 13-Feb-14 16:40 13-Feb-14 16:46 -16.00 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : To Be Placed 13-Feb-14 16:25 13-Feb-14 16:36 6.26 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 2m7f Hunt Chs 13-Feb-14 16:25 13-Feb-14 16:36 -2.00 Horse Racing / Meydan (UAE) 13th Feb : 1m Grp 3 13-Feb-14 16:30 13-Feb-14 16:34 -12.00 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : 2m7f Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 16:10 13-Feb-14 16:17 16.17 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : To Be Placed 13-Feb-14 15:55 13-Feb-14 16:05 -8.14 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 3m2f Chs 13-Feb-14 15:55 13-Feb-14 16:05 6.85 Horse Racing / Kelso (FC) 13th Feb : Forecast 13-Feb-14 15:55 13-Feb-14 16:05 -4.00 Horse Racing / Meydan (UAE) 13th Feb : 1m1f Hcap 13-Feb-14 15:55 13-Feb-14 16:02 5.90 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : 2m4f Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 15:40 13-Feb-14 15:46 17.76 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 2m2f Hrd 13-Feb-14 15:25 13-Feb-14 15:32 4.95 Horse Racing / Meydan (UAE) 13th Feb : 1m Grp 3 13-Feb-14 15:20 13-Feb-14 15:23 3.40 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : To Be Placed 13-Feb-14 15:10 13-Feb-14 15:18 -11.00 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : 2m7f Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 15:10 13-Feb-14 15:17 2.85 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 2m7f Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 14:55 13-Feb-14 15:03 14.07 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages
Horse Racing Showing 21 - 26 of 26 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Horse Racing / Meydan (UAE) 13th Feb : 1m2f Hcap 13-Feb-14 14:45 13-Feb-14 14:54 2.09 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : 2m Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 14:40 13-Feb-14 14:45 10.65 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 2m1f Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 14:25 13-Feb-14 14:33 17.82 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : 2m Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 14:10 13-Feb-14 14:14 9.51 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 2m Nov Hrd 13-Feb-14 13:55 13-Feb-14 14:04 31.38 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : To Be Placed 13-Feb-14 13:55 13-Feb-14 14:04 56.23 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages =======================================================================================
Starting bank on thread was £450......now back up from yesterday closing bank of £313 to £477.
Horse racing pulling some of FOOTBALL loss back today .....so using both sports to keep bank for thread....Horse Racing: £163.73 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 26 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)Horse Racing /
Fixtures 13 February / Al Ain v Al Wahda (Abu Dhabi) / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 13-Feb-14 17:21 6.2 24.00 6.2 13-Feb-14 17:22 ================================================================================
Away team appear to leak a goal ...so fair chance there is another goal in game as home team push to score....can come from either.
GL with bets.
MATCH 1 At HT was 0-1..... Fixtures 13 February / Al Ain v Al Wahda (Abu Dhabi) / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 13-Feb-1417:21 6.2 24.00 6.2 13-Feb-14 17:22 ====================================================
GAME 3 A cup tie ....so suspect both will try to score and try to win.....Hoping for away team to take lead 1st half.
If they don't , then DRAW/LYON is my main "guess".
MGOFS is 2-1.
Gl with bets.
Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Lyon/Draw Back 34252912670 13-Feb-14 19:09 21 2.00 21 13-Feb-14 19:09 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Lyon/Lyon Back 34252907283 13-Feb-14 19:09 2.24 12.00 2.24 13-Feb-14 19:09 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Draw/Draw Lay 34252899730 13-Feb-14 19:08 7.6 24.00 7.6 13-Feb-14 19:08 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Correct Score 0 - 2 Back 34252863911 13-Feb-14 19:07 70 2.00 70 13-Feb-14 19:07 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Correct Score 2 - 2 Back 34252857518 13-Feb-14 19:07 27 2.00 27 13-Feb-14 19:07 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Lens/Lyon Back 34252838915 13-Feb-14 19:06 34 2.00 34 13-Feb-14 19:06 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Lens/Draw Back 34252834595 13-Feb-14 19:06 26 2.00 26 13-Feb-14 19:06 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Lens/Lens Back 34252591504 13-Feb-14 18:59 20 2.00 20 13-Feb-14 18:59 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Draw/Lens Back 34252586189 13-Feb-14 18:59 21 3.00 21 13-Feb-14 18:59 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens/ Half Time/Full TimeDraw/Lyon Back 34252581297 13-Feb-14 18:59 4.6 12.00 4.6 13-Feb-14 18:59
GAME 3 A cup tie ....so suspect both will try to score and try to win.....Hoping for away team to take lead 1st half.If they don't , then DRAW/LYON is my main "guess".MGOFS is 2-1.Gl with bets. Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full
Fixtures 13 February / Chester v FC Halifax Town / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 13-Feb-14 19:59 11 18.00 11 13-Feb-14 19:59 ===================================================================================
CHESTER appear to concede a goal ......though they are in relegation zone and likely to fight hard not to lose........HALIFAX need to win...and appear capable of scoring.....so hopefully (key "guessing" word) the awy team score.
MGOFS 1-2.
Gl with bets.
GAME 4 Fixtures 13 February / Chester v FC Halifax Town / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 13-Feb-1419:59 11 18.00 11 13-Feb-14 19:59 ===========================================================================
G3....currently 1-0 at approx 24 mins....so backing away team a bit as some cover...
Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Match Odds Lens Back 34254842379 13-Feb-14 20:07 38 3.88 38 13-Feb-14 20:07
Still exposed on LAY on DRAW/DRAW...but taking a chance someone wins.
G3....currently 1-0 at approx 24 mins....so backing away team a bit as some cover... Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Match Odds Lens Back 34254842379 13-Feb-1420:07 38 3.88 38 13-Feb-14 20:07 Stil
GAME 5 ......Just believe away team will score and this can leave to OVER 2.5. Have a cover bet on 1-1.
MGOFS is 2-1 or 1-2. GL with bets.
Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 34258039351 13-Feb-14 21:56 13 4.00 13 13-Feb-14 21:56 Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Over/Under 2.5 Goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 34258033858 13-Feb-14 21:56 1.63 48.00 1.63 13-Feb-14 21:56 Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Half Time/Full Time The Strongest/Draw Back 34258007386 13-Feb-14 21:54 30 2.00 30 13-Feb-14 21:54 Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Half Time/Full Time Draw/The Strongest Back 34258002638 13-Feb-14 21:54 30 2.00 30 13-Feb-14 21:54 Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Half Time/Full Time The Strongest/The Strongest Back 34257999608 13-Feb-14 21:54 27 2.00 29 13-Feb-14
GAME 5 ......Just believe away team will score and this can leave to OVER 2.5. Have a cover bet on 1-1.MGOFS is 2-1 or 1-2. GL with bets. Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 34258039351 1
GAME 6....Just likely one of them wins...probably UC
MGOFS 3-1.
GL with bets.
Fixtures 13 February / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting / Match Odds The Draw Lay 34258290942 13-Feb-14 22:06 5 24.00 5 13-Feb-14 22:06
GAME 6....Just likely one of them wins...probably UCMGOFS 3-1.GL with bets. Fixtures 13 February / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting / Match Odds The Draw Lay 34258290942 13-Feb-1422:06 5 24.00 5
G6 ..at HT 0-0 ....so laying 0-0 and backed 1-1 and 2-2 as cover for initial lay on DRAW.
Fixtures 13 February / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 34259208302 13-Feb-14 22:57 4.8 15.00 4.8 13-Feb-14 22:58
Fixtures 13 February / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting / Correct Score 2 - 2 Back 34259198507 13-Feb-14 22:57 42 3.00 42 13-Feb-14 22:57
Fixtures 13 February / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 34259194035 13-Feb-14 22:56 9.8 14.00 9.8 13-Feb-14 22:57
G6 ..at HT 0-0 ....so laying 0-0 and backed 1-1 and 2-2 as cover for initial lay on DRAW. Fixtures 13 February / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 34259208302 13-Feb-1422:57 4.8 1
Still 10 in THE STRONGEST game...so laying 1-0 and backing 2-0 for cover on OVER 2.5 bet...
Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Correct Score 2 - 0 Back 34259590879 13-Feb-14 23:22 3.25 14.00 3.25 13-Feb-14 23:22
Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 34259586727 13-Feb-14 23:21 3.35 18.00 3.25 13-Feb-14 23:22
Still 10 in THE STRONGEST game...so laying 1-0 and backing 2-0 for cover on OVER 2.5 bet... Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Correct Score 2 - 0 Back 34259590879 13-Feb-1423:22 3.25 14.00
Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 34260019822 13-Feb-14 23:47 1.3 24.00 1.3 13-Feb-14 23:47
Probably a HIT coming...but laying 1-0 again
Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 34260019822 13-Feb-1423:47 1.3 24.00 1.3 13-Feb-14 23:47 Probably a HIT coming...but laying 1-0 again
GAME 7 .....A CHASE bet on lay on DRAW....as i expect LANUS will win.....but you never know in these games , as O'H might snatch an early goal and sit on it!
MGOFS 2-0.
GL with bets
Fixtures 14 February / Lanus v OHiggins / Match Odds The Draw Lay 34260165534 13-Feb-14 23:56 4.4 90.00 4.4 13-Feb-14 23:57
GAME 7 .....A CHASE bet on lay on DRAW....as i expect LANUS will win.....but you never know in these games , as O'H might snatch an early goal and sit on it!MGOFS 2-0.GL with bets Fixtures 14 February / Lanus v OHiggins / Match Odds The Draw
Fixtures 14 February / Lanus v OHiggins / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 34261960167 14-Feb-14 01:45 21 18.00 21 14-Feb-14 01:46
Does not look likely a goal will come....even though away keeper appears to be trying hard to give a goal away......but backing 1-1 just in case away team scores first....72 mins played.
Fixtures 14 February / Lanus v OHiggins / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 34261960167 14-Feb-1401:45 21 18.00 21 14-Feb-14 01:46 Does not look likely a goal will come....even though away keeper appears to be try
No edge ...and no control when a loss comes in FOOTBALL.
Back to horse racing in MARCH using "system".....if have energy.....as still have edges there, so don't lose control of STAKING when a loss comes.
FT 0-0 in ARGENTINA .....End of thread.....Will post results shortly.No edge ...and no control when a loss comes in FOOTBALL. Back to horse racing in MARCH using "system".....if have energy.....as still have edges there, so don't lose control of STAK
Horse Racing: £272.86 | Soccer: -£680.20 Total P&L: -£407.34 + £36 MULTIPLE LOSS
Soccer Showing 1 - 20 of 39 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Soccer / Lanus v OHiggins : Correct Score 14-Feb-14 00:15 14-Feb-14 02:13 -18.00 Soccer / Lanus v OHiggins : Match Odds 14-Feb-14 00:15 14-Feb-14 02:13 -306.00 Soccer / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 22:00 13-Feb-14 23:54 -2.00 Soccer / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting : Match Odds 13-Feb-14 22:00 13-Feb-14 23:54 22.82 Soccer / Atletico PR v The Strongest : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 22:00 13-Feb-14 23:54 -65.70 Soccer / Atletico PR v The Strongest : Half Time/Full Time 13-Feb-14 22:00 13-Feb-14 23:54 -6.00 Soccer / Atletico PR v The Strongest : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 13-Feb-14 22:00 13-Feb-14 23:54 -48.00 Soccer / Chester v FC Halifax Town : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 19:45 13-Feb-14 21:47 17.12 Soccer / Lyon v Lens : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 19:45 13-Feb-14 21:38 -4.00 Soccer / Lyon v Lens : Match Odds 13-Feb-14 19:45 13-Feb-14 21:38 -3.88 Soccer / Lyon v Lens : Half Time/Full Time 13-Feb-14 19:45 13-Feb-14 21:38 29.48 Soccer / Lyon v Lens : Half Time 13-Feb-14 19:45 13-Feb-14 20:32 -2.00 Soccer / Al-Shoalah (KSA) v Al-Orubah (KSA) : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 18:25 13-Feb-14 19:55 39.94 Soccer / Al Ain v Al Wahda (Abu Dhabi) : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 16:15 13-Feb-14 18:12 -124.80 Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno : Match Odds 13-Feb-14 02:15 13-Feb-14 04:09 45.84 Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 02:15 13-Feb-14 04:09 -6.66 Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno : Half Time/Full Time 13-Feb-14 02:15 13-Feb-14 04:09 -8.00 Soccer / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro : Match Odds 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:56 24.21 Soccer / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:56 -9.00 Soccer / Leon v Flamengo : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:55 -85.61 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages
Soccer Showing 21 - 39 of 39 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Soccer / Leon v Flamengo : Half Time/Full Time 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:55 -117.60 Soccer / Leon v Flamengo : Half Time 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 00:51 39.62 Soccer / Sao Caetano v Mirassol : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 12-Feb-14 22:30 13-Feb-14 00:21 -3.00 Soccer / Sao Caetano v Mirassol : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 22:30 13-Feb-14 00:21 17.12 Soccer / Deportivo Anzoategui v Penarol : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:45 12-Feb-14 23:43 31.95 Soccer / America MG v URT : Match Odds 12-Feb-14 21:30 12-Feb-14 23:23 17.12 Soccer / America MG v URT : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:30 12-Feb-14 23:23 -22.08 Soccer / Chapecoense v Hermann Aichinger : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:30 12-Feb-14 23:23 45.65 Soccer / Gremio Barueri v Santo Andre : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:00 12-Feb-14 22:48 -82.81 Soccer / Fulham v Liverpool : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 20:00 12-Feb-14 21:55 34.24 Soccer / Stoke v Swansea : Half Time/Full Time 12-Feb-14 20:00 12-Feb-14 21:54 -12.00 Soccer / Stoke v Swansea : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 20:00 12-Feb-14 21:53 -7.80 Soccer / Arsenal v Man Utd : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:36 -62.44 Soccer / Arsenal v Man Utd : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:36 -26.00 Soccer / Arsenal v Man Utd : Half Time/Full Time 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:36 -6.00 Soccer / Newcastle v Tottenham : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:30 22.82 Soccer / Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 18:00 12-Feb-14 19:53 0.00 Soccer / Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg : Half Time/Full Time 12-Feb-14 18:00 12-Feb-14 19:53 -18.00 Soccer / Leverkusen v Kaiserslautern : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 18:00 12-Feb-14 19:50 -20.75 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages ==============================================================================================
Was not using "system" for horse racing bets....just "ad-libbing" with small stakes.
The last game with LANUS was very likely to finish 0-0 with no decent shots at goal ....and many bad attempts to score. I know my bet on that match was a CHASE bet.....no doubt about that....just could not "guess" games well enough to make a profit.....Too many bad guesses....
So back to horse racing for me I will leave FOOTBALL alone for a while ......well til World cup comes
G M the nooooooooooooooooooand GL with bets.
RESULTS OVER 2 DAYS.....ON THREAD...Horse Racing: £272.86 | Soccer: -£680.20 Total P&L: -£407.34 + £36 MULTIPLE LOSS Soccer Showing 1 - 20 of 39 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)Soccer / Lanus v OHiggins : C
Unlucky DFC - I too had a bet on that last match. Was looking to trade off my original draw back bet .... but the more I watched the game the more I thought both teams looked fairly evenly matched ... so I ended up not greening up as quickly as I originally planned .... some big hits on the footy so stick with your horse racing as it looks like you are doing well with that.
All the best.
Unlucky DFC - I too had a bet on that last match. Was looking to trade off my original draw back bet .... but the more I watched the game the more I thought both teams looked fairly evenly matched ... so I ended up not greening up as quickly as I ori