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FOOTBALL GUESSING
FOOTBALL GUESSING
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1-0 CALI with about 20 mins to go...so trying to reduce liability on DRAW .....and hoping goes to 1-1.....as more profit can be made....
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Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Match Odds
The Draw Back 34232392153 13-Feb-14 03:48 9 5.00 9 13-Feb-14 03:53 Matched.... |
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Stuck £2 on away team at 2-1....could still turn around..
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Now layed 1-0 ( above post should have been at 1-0....)...
Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 34232573971 13-Feb-14 03:57 1.38 18.00 1.37 13-Feb-14 03:57 Fixtures 13 February / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno / Match Odds Cerro Porteno Back 34232528695 13-Feb-14 03:55 80 2.00 87.15 13-Feb-14 03:55 |
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FT 1-0 still.....so a profit made there...but well down for thread on FOOTBALL....
Will post results shortly. |
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RESULTS DAY 1
LOSS ON FOOTBALL OF £209.18 + MULTIPLE LOSS £36.......SO BAD "GUESSING" SO FAR! Horse Racing: £109.13 | Soccer: -£209.18 Total P&L: -£100.05 Soccer Showing 1 - 20 of 25 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno : Match Odds 13-Feb-14 02:15 13-Feb-14 04:09 45.84 Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 02:15 13-Feb-14 04:09 -6.66 Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno : Half Time/Full Time 13-Feb-14 02:15 13-Feb-14 04:09 -8.00 Soccer / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro : Match Odds 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:56 24.21 Soccer / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:56 -9.00 Soccer / Leon v Flamengo : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:55 -85.61 Soccer / Leon v Flamengo : Half Time/Full Time 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:55 -117.60 Soccer / Leon v Flamengo : Half Time 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 00:51 39.62 Soccer / Sao Caetano v Mirassol : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 22:30 13-Feb-14 00:21 17.12 Soccer / Sao Caetano v Mirassol : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 12-Feb-14 22:30 13-Feb-14 00:21 -3.00 Soccer / Deportivo Anzoategui v Penarol : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:45 12-Feb-14 23:43 31.95 Soccer / America MG v URT : Match Odds 12-Feb-14 21:30 12-Feb-14 23:23 17.12 Soccer / America MG v URT : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:30 12-Feb-14 23:23 -22.08 Soccer / Chapecoense v Hermann Aichinger : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:30 12-Feb-14 23:23 45.65 Soccer / Gremio Barueri v Santo Andre : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:00 12-Feb-14 22:48 -82.81 Soccer / Fulham v Liverpool : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 20:00 12-Feb-14 21:55 34.24 Soccer / Stoke v Swansea : Half Time/Full Time 12-Feb-14 20:00 12-Feb-14 21:54 -12.00 Soccer / Stoke v Swansea : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 20:00 12-Feb-14 21:53 -7.80 Soccer / Arsenal v Man Utd : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:36 -62.44 Soccer / Arsenal v Man Utd : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:36 -26.00 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages Jump to page: Soccer Showing 21 - 25 of 25 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Soccer / Arsenal v Man Utd : Half Time/Full Time 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:36 -6.00 Soccer / Newcastle v Tottenham : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:30 22.82 Soccer / Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 18:00 12-Feb-14 19:53 0.00 Soccer / Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg : Half Time/Full Time 12-Feb-14 18:00 12-Feb-14 19:53 -18.00 Soccer / Leverkusen v Kaiserslautern : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 18:00 12-Feb-14 19:50 -20.75 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages ==================================================================== LEON game costly due to RED CARD and me wrongly laying DRAW/LEON instead of LAY on DRAW/DRAW..... Missing 4 lays by seconds when in process of laying CSs probably cost approximately £120.... MU game finishing 0-0 costly too.... Plenty missed chances in games ensured a big loss for day! The limit on £36 a game has already failed....and generally my "guesses" were "poor" especially early on. Was close to getting those 4 missed lay opportunities on......and that was frustrating, as my instincts were improving on watching later matches..... Big LOSS down to LEON error by me.....and the OVER STAKING..... BANK down to £313 roughly................( would have been worse had it not been for racing profit)...so will keep thread going to see if can improve on "guesses" and instincts as to when to lay a CS....( roughly 18 seconds out on the 4 missed lay opps today!!!). G M the noooooooooooooo |
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Horse racing pulling some of FOOTBALL loss back today .....so using both sports to keep bank for thread....
Horse Racing: £163.73 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 26 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Horse Racing / Kemp 13th Feb : To Be Placed 13-Feb-14 17:10 13-Feb-14 17:14 -8.00 Horse Racing / Kemp 13th Feb : 6f Hcap 13-Feb-14 17:10 13-Feb-14 17:13 2.85 Horse Racing / Meydan (UAE) 13th Feb : 6f Grp 3 13-Feb-14 17:05 13-Feb-14 17:09 -14.00 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 2m NHF 13-Feb-14 16:55 13-Feb-14 17:03 21.63 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : To Be Placed 13-Feb-14 16:40 13-Feb-14 16:47 8.50 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : 2m4f Hunt Chs 13-Feb-14 16:40 13-Feb-14 16:46 -16.00 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : To Be Placed 13-Feb-14 16:25 13-Feb-14 16:36 6.26 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 2m7f Hunt Chs 13-Feb-14 16:25 13-Feb-14 16:36 -2.00 Horse Racing / Meydan (UAE) 13th Feb : 1m Grp 3 13-Feb-14 16:30 13-Feb-14 16:34 -12.00 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : 2m7f Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 16:10 13-Feb-14 16:17 16.17 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : To Be Placed 13-Feb-14 15:55 13-Feb-14 16:05 -8.14 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 3m2f Chs 13-Feb-14 15:55 13-Feb-14 16:05 6.85 Horse Racing / Kelso (FC) 13th Feb : Forecast 13-Feb-14 15:55 13-Feb-14 16:05 -4.00 Horse Racing / Meydan (UAE) 13th Feb : 1m1f Hcap 13-Feb-14 15:55 13-Feb-14 16:02 5.90 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : 2m4f Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 15:40 13-Feb-14 15:46 17.76 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 2m2f Hrd 13-Feb-14 15:25 13-Feb-14 15:32 4.95 Horse Racing / Meydan (UAE) 13th Feb : 1m Grp 3 13-Feb-14 15:20 13-Feb-14 15:23 3.40 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : To Be Placed 13-Feb-14 15:10 13-Feb-14 15:18 -11.00 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : 2m7f Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 15:10 13-Feb-14 15:17 2.85 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 2m7f Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 14:55 13-Feb-14 15:03 14.07 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages Horse Racing Showing 21 - 26 of 26 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Horse Racing / Meydan (UAE) 13th Feb : 1m2f Hcap 13-Feb-14 14:45 13-Feb-14 14:54 2.09 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : 2m Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 14:40 13-Feb-14 14:45 10.65 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 2m1f Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 14:25 13-Feb-14 14:33 17.82 Horse Racing / Leic 13th Feb : 2m Hcap Chs 13-Feb-14 14:10 13-Feb-14 14:14 9.51 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : 2m Nov Hrd 13-Feb-14 13:55 13-Feb-14 14:04 31.38 Horse Racing / Kelso 13th Feb : To Be Placed 13-Feb-14 13:55 13-Feb-14 14:04 56.23 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages ======================================================================================= Starting bank on thread was £450......now back up from yesterday closing bank of £313 to £477. |
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MATCH 1 At HT was 0-1.....
Fixtures 13 February / Al Ain v Al Wahda (Abu Dhabi) / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 13-Feb-14 17:21 6.2 24.00 6.2 13-Feb-14 17:22 ================================================================================ Away team appear to leak a goal ...so fair chance there is another goal in game as home team push to score....can come from either. GL with bets. |
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"Guessing" useless again.....FT 1-0 in G1......Starting with a HIT again.......Oh well.....will plod on and try to claw some back!
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GAME 2.....At Ht 0-0....
Fixtures 13 February / Al-Shoalah (KSA) v Al-Orubah (KSA) / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 13-Feb-14 18:17 4.4 42.00 4.38 13-Feb-14 18:17 =================================================================================== Hopefully one of them tries to score to entertain fans....and meeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee! MGOFS 1-1. GL with bets. |
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G 2....off the mark...
66' Al Shualah 0-1 (0-0) Al Oruba (KSA |
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GAME 3 A cup tie ....so suspect both will try to score and try to win.....Hoping for away team to take lead 1st half.
If they don't , then DRAW/LYON is my main "guess". MGOFS is 2-1. Gl with bets. Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Lyon/Draw Back 34252912670 13-Feb-14 19:09 21 2.00 21 13-Feb-14 19:09 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Lyon/Lyon Back 34252907283 13-Feb-14 19:09 2.24 12.00 2.24 13-Feb-14 19:09 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Draw/Draw Lay 34252899730 13-Feb-14 19:08 7.6 24.00 7.6 13-Feb-14 19:08 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Correct Score 0 - 2 Back 34252863911 13-Feb-14 19:07 70 2.00 70 13-Feb-14 19:07 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Correct Score 2 - 2 Back 34252857518 13-Feb-14 19:07 27 2.00 27 13-Feb-14 19:07 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Lens/Lyon Back 34252838915 13-Feb-14 19:06 34 2.00 34 13-Feb-14 19:06 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Lens/Draw Back 34252834595 13-Feb-14 19:06 26 2.00 26 13-Feb-14 19:06 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Lens/Lens Back 34252591504 13-Feb-14 18:59 20 2.00 20 13-Feb-14 18:59 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Draw/Lens Back 34252586189 13-Feb-14 18:59 21 3.00 21 13-Feb-14 18:59 Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Half Time/Full Time Draw/Lyon Back 34252581297 13-Feb-14 18:59 4.6 12.00 4.6 13-Feb-14 18:59 |
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GAME 4
Fixtures 13 February / Chester v FC Halifax Town / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 13-Feb-14 19:59 11 18.00 11 13-Feb-14 19:59 =================================================================================== CHESTER appear to concede a goal ......though they are in relegation zone and likely to fight hard not to lose........HALIFAX need to win...and appear capable of scoring.....so hopefully (key "guessing" word) the awy team score. MGOFS 1-2. Gl with bets. |
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G3....currently 1-0 at approx 24 mins....so backing away team a bit as some cover...
Fixtures 13 February / Lyon v Lens / Match Odds Lens Back 34254842379 13-Feb-14 20:07 38 3.88 38 13-Feb-14 20:07 Still exposed on LAY on DRAW/DRAW...but taking a chance someone wins. |
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G2...near Ht and still 1-0 LYON....trying to back HT DRAW as some cover for initial lay on DRAW/DRAW....
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£2 matched at 30s....
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G 4...a RED CARD for HALIFAX at 0-0 42 mins played.......AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH......"LUCK" non existent" in this one!
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56' Chester FC 1-0 (0-0) Halifax
RED CARD causing havoc again! |
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FT 1-1 in LYON game.....so PROFIT due to BACK on LYON/DRAW.....
FT HALIFAX won 2-1 ...a lucky escape on lay on 1-0..... |
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GAME 5 ......Just believe away team will score and this can leave to OVER 2.5. Have a cover bet on 1-1.
MGOFS is 2-1 or 1-2. GL with bets. Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 34258039351 13-Feb-14 21:56 13 4.00 13 13-Feb-14 21:56 Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Over/Under 2.5 Goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 34258033858 13-Feb-14 21:56 1.63 48.00 1.63 13-Feb-14 21:56 Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Half Time/Full Time The Strongest/Draw Back 34258007386 13-Feb-14 21:54 30 2.00 30 13-Feb-14 21:54 Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Half Time/Full Time Draw/The Strongest Back 34258002638 13-Feb-14 21:54 30 2.00 30 13-Feb-14 21:54 Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Half Time/Full Time The Strongest/The Strongest Back 34257999608 13-Feb-14 21:54 27 2.00 29 13-Feb-14 |
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GAME 6....Just likely one of them wins...probably UC
MGOFS 3-1. GL with bets. Fixtures 13 February / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting / Match Odds The Draw Lay 34258290942 13-Feb-14 22:06 5 24.00 5 13-Feb-14 22:06 |
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G6 ..at HT 0-0 ....so laying 0-0 and backed 1-1 and 2-2 as cover for initial lay on DRAW.
Fixtures 13 February / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 34259208302 13-Feb-14 22:57 4.8 15.00 4.8 13-Feb-14 22:58 Fixtures 13 February / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting / Correct Score 2 - 2 Back 34259198507 13-Feb-14 22:57 42 3.00 42 13-Feb-14 22:57 Fixtures 13 February / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 34259194035 13-Feb-14 22:56 9.8 14.00 9.8 13-Feb-14 22:57 |
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Still 10 in THE STRONGEST game...so laying 1-0 and backing 2-0 for cover on OVER 2.5 bet...
Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Correct Score 2 - 0 Back 34259590879 13-Feb-14 23:22 3.25 14.00 3.25 13-Feb-14 23:22 Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 34259586727 13-Feb-14 23:21 3.35 18.00 3.25 13-Feb-14 23:22 |
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Fixtures 13 February / Atletico PR v The Strongest / Correct Score
1 - 0 Lay 34260019822 13-Feb-14 23:47 1.3 24.00 1.3 13-Feb-14 23:47 Probably a HIT coming...but laying 1-0 again |
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Early goal ...and parked bus tactics by ATH PR....1-0 FT ...another HIT!
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GAME 7 .....A CHASE bet on lay on DRAW....as i expect LANUS will win.....but you never know in these games , as O'H might snatch an early goal and sit on it!
MGOFS 2-0. GL with bets Fixtures 14 February / Lanus v OHiggins / Match Odds The Draw Lay 34260165534 13-Feb-14 23:56 4.4 90.00 4.4 13-Feb-14 23:57 |
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SEEMS ALOT OF EFFORT AND IN PARTICULAR IF LOSING TRY SOMETHING ELSE,
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Fixtures 14 February / Lanus v OHiggins / Correct Score
1 - 1 Back 34261960167 14-Feb-14 01:45 21 18.00 21 14-Feb-14 01:46 Does not look likely a goal will come....even though away keeper appears to be trying hard to give a goal away......but backing 1-1 just in case away team scores first....72 mins played. |
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FT 0-0 in ARGENTINA .....End of thread.....
Will post results shortly. No edge ...and no control when a loss comes in FOOTBALL. Back to horse racing in MARCH using "system".....if have energy.....as still have edges there, so don't lose control of STAKING when a loss comes. |
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RESULTS OVER 2 DAYS.....ON THREAD...
Horse Racing: £272.86 | Soccer: -£680.20 Total P&L: -£407.34 + £36 MULTIPLE LOSS Soccer Showing 1 - 20 of 39 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Soccer / Lanus v OHiggins : Correct Score 14-Feb-14 00:15 14-Feb-14 02:13 -18.00 Soccer / Lanus v OHiggins : Match Odds 14-Feb-14 00:15 14-Feb-14 02:13 -306.00 Soccer / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 22:00 13-Feb-14 23:54 -2.00 Soccer / Universidad de Chile v Defensor Sporting : Match Odds 13-Feb-14 22:00 13-Feb-14 23:54 22.82 Soccer / Atletico PR v The Strongest : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 22:00 13-Feb-14 23:54 -65.70 Soccer / Atletico PR v The Strongest : Half Time/Full Time 13-Feb-14 22:00 13-Feb-14 23:54 -6.00 Soccer / Atletico PR v The Strongest : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 13-Feb-14 22:00 13-Feb-14 23:54 -48.00 Soccer / Chester v FC Halifax Town : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 19:45 13-Feb-14 21:47 17.12 Soccer / Lyon v Lens : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 19:45 13-Feb-14 21:38 -4.00 Soccer / Lyon v Lens : Match Odds 13-Feb-14 19:45 13-Feb-14 21:38 -3.88 Soccer / Lyon v Lens : Half Time/Full Time 13-Feb-14 19:45 13-Feb-14 21:38 29.48 Soccer / Lyon v Lens : Half Time 13-Feb-14 19:45 13-Feb-14 20:32 -2.00 Soccer / Al-Shoalah (KSA) v Al-Orubah (KSA) : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 18:25 13-Feb-14 19:55 39.94 Soccer / Al Ain v Al Wahda (Abu Dhabi) : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 16:15 13-Feb-14 18:12 -124.80 Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno : Match Odds 13-Feb-14 02:15 13-Feb-14 04:09 45.84 Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 02:15 13-Feb-14 04:09 -6.66 Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Cerro Porteno : Half Time/Full Time 13-Feb-14 02:15 13-Feb-14 04:09 -8.00 Soccer / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro : Match Odds 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:56 24.21 Soccer / Real Garcilaso v Cruzeiro : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:56 -9.00 Soccer / Leon v Flamengo : Correct Score 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:55 -85.61 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages Soccer Showing 21 - 39 of 39 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Soccer / Leon v Flamengo : Half Time/Full Time 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 01:55 -117.60 Soccer / Leon v Flamengo : Half Time 13-Feb-14 00:00 13-Feb-14 00:51 39.62 Soccer / Sao Caetano v Mirassol : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 12-Feb-14 22:30 13-Feb-14 00:21 -3.00 Soccer / Sao Caetano v Mirassol : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 22:30 13-Feb-14 00:21 17.12 Soccer / Deportivo Anzoategui v Penarol : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:45 12-Feb-14 23:43 31.95 Soccer / America MG v URT : Match Odds 12-Feb-14 21:30 12-Feb-14 23:23 17.12 Soccer / America MG v URT : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:30 12-Feb-14 23:23 -22.08 Soccer / Chapecoense v Hermann Aichinger : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:30 12-Feb-14 23:23 45.65 Soccer / Gremio Barueri v Santo Andre : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 21:00 12-Feb-14 22:48 -82.81 Soccer / Fulham v Liverpool : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 20:00 12-Feb-14 21:55 34.24 Soccer / Stoke v Swansea : Half Time/Full Time 12-Feb-14 20:00 12-Feb-14 21:54 -12.00 Soccer / Stoke v Swansea : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 20:00 12-Feb-14 21:53 -7.80 Soccer / Arsenal v Man Utd : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:36 -62.44 Soccer / Arsenal v Man Utd : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:36 -26.00 Soccer / Arsenal v Man Utd : Half Time/Full Time 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:36 -6.00 Soccer / Newcastle v Tottenham : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 19:45 12-Feb-14 21:30 22.82 Soccer / Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 18:00 12-Feb-14 19:53 0.00 Soccer / Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg : Half Time/Full Time 12-Feb-14 18:00 12-Feb-14 19:53 -18.00 Soccer / Leverkusen v Kaiserslautern : Correct Score 12-Feb-14 18:00 12-Feb-14 19:50 -20.75 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages ============================================================================================== Was not using "system" for horse racing bets....just "ad-libbing" with small stakes. The last game with LANUS was very likely to finish 0-0 with no decent shots at goal ....and many bad attempts to score. I know my bet on that match was a CHASE bet.....no doubt about that....just could not "guess" games well enough to make a profit.....Too many bad guesses.... So back to horse racing for me I will leave FOOTBALL alone for a while ......well til World cup comes  G M the nooooooooooooooooooand GL with bets. |
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Unlucky DFC - I too had a bet on that last match. Was looking to trade off my original draw back bet .... but the more I watched the game the more I thought both teams looked fairly evenly matched ... so I ended up not greening up as quickly as I originally planned .... some big hits on the footy so stick with your horse racing as it looks like you are doing well with that.
All the best. |
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Try arbing it wins,everything else fails I should no to my cost.
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