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the whizz kids
04 Nov 13 14:37
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Date Joined: 11 Sep 05
| Topic/replies: 2,448 | Blogger: the whizz kids's blog
Is anyone having a punt on this.
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Report JLivermore November 4, 2013 3:54 PM GMT
Good subject - I've been following all the highlight coverage.

The market looks like this:
http://www.troovi.com/Itl9cTvPJVqz

Seat 1 Sylvain Loosli 19600000 0.0986394557823129
Seat 2 Michiel Brummelhuis 11275000 0.055052790346908
Seat 3 Mark Newhouse 7350000 0.0435606060606061
Seat 4 Ryan Riess 25875000 0.126262626262626
Seat 5 Amir Lehavot 29700000 0.13763197586727
Seat 6  Marc-Etienne McLaughlin 26525000 0.147186147186147
Seat 7 JC Tran 38000000 0.263203463203463
Seat 8 David Benefield 6375000 0.0542124542124542
Seat 9 Jay Farber 25975000 0.0784615384615385
Report JLivermore November 4, 2013 3:55 PM GMT
Seat Name Chips Betfair Probability
Seat 1 Sylvain Loosli 19600000 0.0986394557823129
Seat 2 Michiel Brummelhuis 11275000 0.055052790346908
Seat 3 Mark Newhouse 7350000 0.0435606060606061
Seat 4 Ryan Riess 25875000 0.126262626262626
Seat 5 Amir Lehavot 29700000 0.13763197586727
Seat 6  Marc-Etienne McLaughlin 26525000 0.147186147186147
Seat 7 JC Tran 38000000 0.263203463203463
Seat 8 David Benefield 6375000 0.0542124542124542
Seat 9 Jay Farber 25975000 0.0784615384615385
Report JLivermore November 4, 2013 4:02 PM GMT
I think Tran looks too favoured.  I think Loosli is in an ok position (acts after Farber and Tran.  Also think Lehavot is probably a decent bet.  Will have a flutter on these.
Report the whizz kids November 4, 2013 4:07 PM GMT
A lay on JC looks good for me. I would put him at 4.5 for this. £100 at 3.6 i think is value.
Report the whizz kids November 4, 2013 4:07 PM GMT
A lay on JC looks good for me. I would put him at 4.5 for this. £100 at 3.6 i think is value.
Report the whizz kids November 4, 2013 4:10 PM GMT
Live stream on Wiziwig from 1am.
Report HARRY22 November 4, 2013 11:15 PM GMT
Just finished watching the last two episodes on espn...shame carlos was eliminated on the bubble...was hoping that newhouse was going to be knocked out, looks like he could do with a good kip.

Going to go with Loosli, farber seems a bit of a wimp in his play(unlike last years winner,he was fearless), not sure that style will get it done, Tran even with half the stack he has now would be the big danger, through two episodes I haven't seen Amir play a hand.
Report HARRY22 November 5, 2013 12:03 AM GMT
Live pics on espn even better
Report the whizz kids November 5, 2013 3:34 AM GMT
RED JC at 540. Green on Marc Mclaughlin 450 and Green of 130 on others.
Report the whizz kids November 5, 2013 7:59 AM GMT
red on jc for 450, Lehavot (so week) 490, and McLaughlin for 80.
Green for 225 on others. Happy days.
Report JLivermore November 5, 2013 8:52 AM GMT
watching now - is Lehavot really weak?  I just thought we didn't see many of his hands on ME coverage cos he was not at feature table.

Thats a hell of a chipstack farber has now... your lay looks safe!
Report the whizz kids November 5, 2013 2:05 PM GMT
Late night last night JL. 224 up on last night with a freeroll on Farber for another 300. Sweet as.
Report JLivermore November 5, 2013 3:34 PM GMT
gg, sir
Report the whizz kids November 6, 2013 2:52 AM GMT
Laying Riess at 1.6 when Farber is 20 Mil in front. What value.
Report the whizz kids November 6, 2013 3:05 AM GMT
Crazy stuff. I MUST BE IN A DREAM. Just layed Farber for 550 at 2.08 when 35 mil behind. Am i the only one punting this market.
Report the whizz kids November 6, 2013 3:06 AM GMT
Thank God for no cross matching on this market.
Report timbuctooth November 6, 2013 3:47 AM GMT
Is this coverage not delayed by 15 minutes?
Report the whizz kids November 6, 2013 4:01 AM GMT
Punters on BF must be delayed by 1hr 15 mins. Never seen a market like this for years.
Report the whizz kids November 6, 2013 5:50 AM GMT
> Event 62 - Main Event : Winner    Showing 1 - 20 of 21 Selections
Selection    Odds    Stake(£)    Bid type    Placed    Profit/loss(£)
Amir Lehavot    8.00    22.45    Lay    05-Nov-13 05:38    22.45
Amir Lehavot    18.00    29.59    Lay    05-Nov-13 06:37    29.59
JC Tran    4.50    27.59    Lay    05-Nov-13 01:37    27.59
JC Tran    3.75    53.18    Lay    04-Nov-13 18:53    53.18
JC Tran    3.60    96.82    Lay    04-Nov-13 00:41    96.82
Jay Farber    4.00    65.00    Back    05-Nov-13 08:04    -65.00
Jay Farber    2.06    33.30    Back    06-Nov-13 01:53    -33.30
Jay Farber    80.00    3.00    Back    06-Nov-13 05:34    -3.00
Jay Farber    2.08    200.00    Lay    06-Nov-13 03:00    200.00
Jay Farber    2.11    460.00    Lay    06-Nov-13 03:00    460.00
Jay Farber    2.02    200.00    Lay    05-Nov-13 20:22    200.00
Jay Farber    2.08    10.00    Lay    06-Nov-13 01:32    10.00
Marc McLaughlin    7.00    45.00    Back    05-Nov-13 02:24    -45.00
Marc McLaughlin    15.50    40.00    Lay    05-Nov-13 06:09    40.00
Ryan Riess    1.52    129.68    Back    06-Nov-13 03:38    67.43
Ryan Riess    1.45    20.00    Back    06-Nov-13 04:35    9.00
Ryan Riess    1.20    80.88    Lay    06-Nov-13 03:39    -16.18
Ryan Riess    1.53    147.27    Lay    06-Nov-13 03:27    -78.05
Ryan Riess    2.40    104.77    Lay    05-Nov-13 08:00    -146.68
Ryan Riess    1.60    67.14    Lay    06-Nov-13 01:50    -40.28
*Average odds: On  Off    Back subtotal:    -69.87
Lay subtotal:    800.26
Market subtotal:    730.39
Commission @ 4.9%:    35.79
Net Market Total:    694.60
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