

Oct 12, 2013 -- 10:48AM, Templeton Peck wrote:
I'm talking 7-8% four or five days before an event starts. As for £2, I take that to mean a small amount, not necessarily £2. I could put down £1,000 and the bot might be £25, constantly replenishing and taking all the sub £25 bets. Days before an event, you tend to find smaller punters and so it's a significant barrier to seeding a market. I don't seed the market, the bot doesn't seed the market, the punters who arrive see nothing there and take their custom elsewhere. Many never come back. The result being dead markets until a few hours before an event starts and a reduction in the number of customers, especially small time punters.Of course, I could spend time trying to manipulate the bot, but it really is more hassle than it's worth nowadays.I don't think bots should be banned, I'm merely stating some facts.
You do realise the contradiction though, surely?
I'm talking 7-8% four or five days before an event starts.
As for £2, I take that to mean a small amount, not necessarily £2. I could put down £1,000 and the bot might be £25, constantly replenishing and taking all the sub £25 bets.
So there is 25 pounds there, 4-5 days before an event, in a 107-108% market, replenishing itself to be always there?
Days before an event, you tend to find smaller punters and so it's a significant barrier to seeding a market. I don't seed the market, the bot doesn't seed the market, the punters who arrive see nothing there and take their custom elsewhere. Many never come back. The result being dead markets until a few hours before an event starts and a reduction in the number of customers, especially small time punters.
So the main punters days before an event are punters looking to place sub 25 pound bets. In your words. Right?
So they turn up, see 25 available, and due to it being more than they wish to put on, they are scared off by the lack of liquidity, in a 107-108% market?
Ok then.
If it is satisfying the majority of punters betting, at a price that is very competitive, offering enough liquidity for the people betting, then how the fcuk does your statement make any sense? If they are satisfying the punters that turn up, offering more than enough money for them, at a good price, then how aren't they seeding the market?
Oct 12, 2013 -- 11:09AM, BJT wrote:
Oct 12, 2013 -- 10:48AM, Templeton Peck wrote:I'm talking 7-8% four or five days before an event starts. As for £2, I take that to mean a small amount, not necessarily £2. I could put down £1,000 and the bot might be £25, constantly replenishing and taking all the sub £25 bets. Days before an event, you tend to find smaller punters and so it's a significant barrier to seeding a market. I don't seed the market, the bot doesn't seed the market, the punters who arrive see nothing there and take their custom elsewhere. Many never come back. The result being dead markets until a few hours before an event starts and a reduction in the number of customers, especially small time punters.Of course, I could spend time trying to manipulate the bot, but it really is more hassle than it's worth nowadays.I don't think bots should be banned, I'm merely stating some facts.You do realise the contradiction though, surely?I'm talking 7-8% four or five days before an event starts. As for £2, I take that to mean a small amount, not necessarily £2. I could put down £1,000 and the bot might be £25, constantly replenishing and taking all the sub £25 bets. So there is 25 pounds there, 4-5 days before an event, in a 107-108% market, replenishing itself to be always there?Days before an event, you tend to find smaller punters and so it's a significant barrier to seeding a market. I don't seed the market, the bot doesn't seed the market, the punters who arrive see nothing there and take their custom elsewhere. Many never come back. The result being dead markets until a few hours before an event starts and a reduction in the number of customers, especially small time punters.So the main punters days before an event are punters looking to place sub 25 pound bets. In your words. Right?So they turn up, see 25 available, and due to it being more than they wish to put on, they are scared off by the lack of liquidity, in a 107-108% market?Ok then.If it is satisfying the majority of punters betting, at a price that is very competitive, offering enough liquidity for the people betting, then how the fcuk does your statement make any sense? If they are satisfying the punters that turn up, offering more than enough money for them, at a good price, then how aren't they seeding the market?
I'm not sure if you're trolling or dumb. If the former, I'm out of here. If the latter, please read my post again. You're omitting key sentences such as: "Days before an event, you tend to find smaller punters and so it's a significant barrier to seeding a market. I don't seed the market, the bot doesn't seed the market, the punters who arrive see nothing there and take their custom elsewhere."
Oct 12, 2013 -- 11:59AM, subversion wrote:
this thread does sound a lot like one group of sharks complaining that another group of sharks are eating all their fish, and wanting the other sharks banned so the original sharks can have more fish with less competition
This is a common misunderstanding. The majority of us are saying:
Bots reliant on seeders prevents seeders from seeding.



Oct 13, 2013 -- 1:13PM, subversion wrote:
so come on then TP, whats your preferred solution?other than banning people who offer better odds than you, of course
I haven't even inferred bots/people should be banned, let alone said it outright. There is no solution to the issue I highlight.
As for adapting, I have. I now rarely seed markets, I've become a position taker waiting until closer to an event start to get involved. I expect my pre-PC winnings this year will be 50% higher than last year and 100% higher than the year before.
Some of you are confusing my confirming a problem exists with me throwing a hissy fit.
Oct 13, 2013 -- 2:29PM, TheInvestor2 wrote:
Obscure markets being close to empty is actually quite a big problem I think. A lot of the fun bettors like to do all their betting in one place, so even if they understand Betfair is best value a fair bit of the time, they might still go to a traditional bookie because they can do everything in one account.I think that was part of the rationale behind the sportsbook. I think doing 0.5% commission and somehow scrapping PC like they tried to do for rugby would help, but the payoff would be visible only after 1-2 years.
Yep, Betfair are concerned by empty markets. They know a less-informed punter seeing this will be put off the site for good. As Latalomne says, the liquidity in plenty of side markets has disappeared until close to the event's start time.