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Guessing on FOOTBALL bets and not just going against the grain

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Replies: 1,661
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 15 May 13 19:02
0-0 at HT...so far so good.....

LAYING 0-0 profit off and backing 1-1 as cover...

Fixtures 15 May / GAIS v Ljungskile / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Back     27139885285     15-May-13
19:01           7.2     3.00         7.2     15-May-13 19:01    
   
Fixtures 15 May / GAIS v Ljungskile / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay     27139880059     15-May-13
19:01           4     9.00         3.95     15-May-13 19:01


Just need one of em to win now!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 15 May 13 19:30
GAME 2

    Fixtures 15 May / Benfica v Chelsea / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay     27140513391     15-May-13
19:28           3.35     18.00         3.35     15-May-13 19:28    
    Fixtures 15 May / Benfica v Chelsea / Correct Score     2 - 2     Back     27140504161     15-May-13
19:28           16.5     3.00         16.5     15-May-13 19:28    
    Fixtures 15 May / Benfica v Chelsea / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back     27140500868     15-May-13
19:28           11     3.00         11     15-May-13 19:28    
    Fixtures 15 May / Benfica v Chelsea / Half Time/Full Time     Chelsea/Chelsea     Back     27140496140     15-May-13
19:28           4.8     5.00         4.8     15-May-13 19:28    
    Fixtures 15 May / Benfica v Chelsea / Half Time/Full Time     Benfica/Benfica     Back     27140492938     15-May-13
19:27           5.6     4.00         5.6     15-May-13 19:27    
    Fixtures 15 May / Benfica v Chelsea / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Chelsea     Back     27140490096     15-May-13
19:27           7.2     9.00         7.2     15-May-13 19:27    
    Fixtures 15 May / Benfica v Chelsea / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Benfica     Back     27140487144     15-May-13
19:27           7.8     9.00         7.81     15-May-13 19:27    
==========================================================================


Just believe could be a DRAW at Ht with 1 of them winning FT ...probably CHELSEA .....but looks like will be a TIGHT match.

MGOFS is 0-1 or 1-0.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 15 May 13 19:35
GA 1...Now 0-1 so lay away team

Fixtures 15 May / GAIS v Ljungskile / Match Odds    
    Ljungskile     Lay     27140666081     15-May-13
19:34           1.27     24.00         1.26     15-May-13 19:34
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 15 May 13 19:54
GAME 1

FT    GAIS    0-1 (0-0)    Ljungskile SK


Good start.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 15 May 13 21:04
G 2   0-1 CHELSEA....so backing DRAW with the lay put on earlier ...

   
Fixtures 15 May / Benfica v Chelsea / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     27142758235     15-May-13
21:02           3.95     21.00         3.95     15-May-13 21:02
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 15 May 13 21:11
1-1.....my 2-2 back may come in handy though!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 15 May 13 21:13
Fixtures 15 May / Benfica v Chelsea / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     27142930367     15-May-13
21:11           1.77     18.00         1.79     15-May-13 21:11    


BACKING the DRAW again....to avoid a small loss......if a goal comes a profit will be made.


Regret not putting more on DRAW at 0-1 CHELSEA.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 15 May 13 21:24
Fixtures 15 May / Benfica v Chelsea / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay     27143128950     15-May-13
21:23           1.4     18.00         1.38     15-May-13 21:23


Laying DRAW......taking a chance a goal comes.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 15 May 13 21:36
1-2 CHELSEA last min....so 2-2 cover already there....all green!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 15 May 13 22:20
GAME 3

    Fixtures 15 May / Velez v Newells / Correct Score     1 - 0     Back     27143743527     15-May-13
22:16           7.8     6.00         7.8     15-May-13 22:16    
    Fixtures 15 May / Velez v Newells / Over/Under 1.5 Goals     Over 1.5 Goals     Back     27143735502     15-May-13
22:16           1.52     36.00         1.52     15-May-13 22:16    
========================================================================================

0-1 1st leg of CL game.....so away team must try to score....and likely they are hit on break. MGOFS 1-0 or 1-1.

GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 15 May 13 23:58
0-2 already....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 00:06
GAME 4

    Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay     27144582464     16-May-13
00:03           3.75     21.00         3.73     16-May-13 00:03    
    Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back     27144579367     16-May-13
00:02           12.5     4.00         12.5     16-May-13 00:02    
    Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Half Time/Full Time     Philadelphia/Philadelphia     Back     27144577398     16-May-13
00:02           5.7     2.00         5.8     16-May-13 00:02    
    Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Half Time/Full Time     Philadelphia/Philadelphia     Back     27144575812     16-May-13
00:02           5.8     4.00         5.8     16-May-13 00:02    
    Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Half Time/Full Time     Los Angeles/Los Angeles     Back     27144574471     16-May-13
00:02           4.3     6.00         4.3     16-May-13 00:02    
    Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Los Angeles     Back     27144572431     16-May-13
00:01           6.2     12.00         6.2     16-May-13 00:01    
    Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Philadelphia     Back     27144571101     16-May-13
00:01           8.2     9.00         8.2     16-May-13 00:01
=======================================================================================


Home team seems capable of scoring a goal ......though they tend to concede em too.

Likely they will play it TIGHT 1st half ....then try to win 2nd....IMO.

MGOFS 1-0 or 0-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 00:46
7'    Philadelphia Union    0-1 (-)    Los Angeles Galaxy


Goal a bit quick....Will just hold on an hope it is a DRAW HT.....

If LAG go 2 goals up will lay em a bit using the profit on them from initial lay on DRAW....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 01:02
25'    Philadelphia Union    1-1 (-)    Los Angeles Galaxy


Need it to stay a DRAW til HT for main bets to have a chance....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 01:19
Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Half Time Score    
    1 - 1     Lay     27145177749     16-May-13
01:18           1.22     18.00         1.21     16-May-13 01:18

To "protect" the main bets a bit......
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 01:38
Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     27145279088     16-May-13
01:33           2.56     12.00         2.6     16-May-13 01:33    
   
Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     27145249889     16-May-13
01:28           2.52     12.00         2.57     16-May-13 01:28    
   
Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     27145246762     16-May-13
01:27           2.54     6.00         2.56     16-May-13 01:27    
   
Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     27145245648     16-May-13
01:27           2.54     40.00         2.59     16-May-13 01:27
==================================================================


HT it is 1-1.......

I've lost the plot with this match.......probably should have backed the DRAW at 0-1.......


Decided to BACK the DRAW and if it finishes a DRAW I make a small profit.

If not, then I will make a loss of £15 roughly.....


Can't be bothered staying awake for the finish......but will do.


I will try to lay the DRAW near end , if still that, to go all green....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 01:44
Changed decision.....and set lay on DRAW at 2.1.......to  hope a goal goes in after lay.....then can back DRAW againTongue Out
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 01:59
Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay     27145331392     16-May-13
01:41           2.1     28.00         2.1     16-May-13 01:58    
   
Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay     27145425507     16-May-13
01:56           2.1     18.00         2.1     16-May-13 01:58    


Matched.


Will be a loss if stays a DRAW.....of about £40.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 02:08
Now 1-2 LAG ...so backed DRAW t go all green

   
Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back         16-May-13
02:07           5.2     15.00         5.2     16-May-13 02:07
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 02:17
1-3 LAG


Fixtures 16 May / Philadelphia v Los Angeles / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     27145591304     16-May-13
02:16           34     2.00         55.98     16-May-13 02:16


Time for kipppppppp.

Will post results later tday.

G M the nooooooooooooooooooooo
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 09:02
DAY 7 RESULTS


Football: £72.26 PROFIT

Football     Showing 1 - 12 of 12 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Football / Philadelphia v Los Angeles : Match Odds     16-May-13 00:30     16-May-13 02:29     -20.00
Football / Philadelphia v Los Angeles : Half Time/Full Time     16-May-13 00:30     16-May-13 02:29     39.50
Football / Philadelphia v Los Angeles : Correct Score     16-May-13 00:30     16-May-13 02:23     -4.00
Football / Philadelphia v Los Angeles : Half Time Score     16-May-13 00:30     16-May-13 01:25     -3.78
Football / Velez v Newells : Correct Score     15-May-13 23:15     16-May-13 01:10     -6.00
Football / Velez v Newells : Over/Under 1.5 Goals     15-May-13 23:15     15-May-13 23:59     17.86
Football / Benfica v Chelsea : Half Time/Full Time     15-May-13 19:45     15-May-13 21:38     36.06
Football / Benfica v Chelsea : Correct Score     15-May-13 19:45     15-May-13 21:38     -6.00
Football / Benfica v Chelsea : Match Odds     15-May-13 19:45     15-May-13 21:38     -3.00
Football / GAIS v Ljungskile : Correct Score     15-May-13 18:00     15-May-13 19:49     3.82
Football / GAIS v Ljungskile : Match Odds     15-May-13 18:00     15-May-13 19:49     -6.24
Football / GAIS v Ljungskile : Half Time/Full Time     15-May-13 18:00     15-May-13 19:49     24.04
Profit and Loss is shown net of commission.
All times are UKT     

     unless otherwise stated.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 09:06
SUMMARY FOR 7 DAYS...

DAY 1..........PROFIT £ 36.88
DAY 2..........LOSS...( 13.94 )
DAY 3..........PROFIT.  21.57
DAY 4..........PROFIT. 169.35
DAY 5..........PROFIT.  70.16
DAY 6..........PROFIT.  44.84
DAY 7..........PROFIT.  72.26
                     ---------
TOTAL PROFIT TO DATE £ 401.12



BANK for thread was £300 start ...now £ 701.12.


A HIT is bound to come in due course.....just got to keep STAKING under control when it does.

Better crack on with HORSE RACING STATS nowwwwwwwwwwwwwwww

Cheers the noooooooo
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 17:14
DAY 8

GAME 1

    Fixtures 16 May / Groningen v Twente / Over/Under 1.5 Goals     Over 1.5 Goals     Back     27153759861     16-May-13
17:12           1.26     36.00         1.26     16-May-13 17:12
==============================================================================


Just likely in this play-off that both teams score. MGOFS 1-2.or 2-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 17:26
GAME 2

Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay     27154210966     16-May-13
17:24           4     15.00         4     16-May-13 17:24    
    Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back     27154205553     16-May-13
17:24           17     3.00         17     16-May-13 17:24    
    Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Esbjerg     Back     27154194705     16-May-13
17:24           5.4     6.00         5.4     16-May-13 17:24    
    Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/OB     Back     27154188094     16-May-13
17:24           12     6.00         12     16-May-13 17:24    
    Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Half Time/Full Time     OB/OB     Back     27154180570     16-May-13
17:23           9     6.00         9     16-May-13 17:23
================================================================


Home team playing well recently...but had a couple tough matches....so hoping away team can take advantage of this factor and take a lead.


MGOFS 0-1 or 1-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 18:20
G 2   Currently 0-1....so basically hoping it stays that way 1st half.......and have got DRAW and home win covered for small profit.....

Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     27156025635     16-May-13
18:18           3.7     6.00         3.7     16-May-13 18:18    
   
Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Match Odds    
    OB     Lay     27156015751     16-May-13
18:18           2.18     14.00         2.18     16-May-13 18:18    
   
Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     27156002178     16-May-13
18:18           3.65     9.00         3.7     16-May-13 18:18    
   
Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Match Odds    
    OB     Lay     27155987397     16-May-13
18:17           2.18     15.00         2.18     16-May-13 18:17
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 18:46
Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay     27157064726     16-May-13
18:45           3.2     15.00         3.15     16-May-13 18:46


at 1-1 before HT
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 18:49
At 2-1 now just before HT .....so all green in game 2

   
Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     27157146767     16-May-13
18:48           5.3     3.00         5.3     16-May-13 18:48    
   
Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Match Odds    
    OB     Back     27157141478     16-May-13
18:48           12     3.00         13     16-May-13 18:48    
   
Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Match Odds    
    Esbjerg     Lay     27157127916     16-May-13
18:47           1.37     24.00         1.37     16-May-13 18:48
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 19:14
Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Match Odds    
    Esbjerg     Lay     27157858153     16-May-13
19:12           1.32     12.00         1.32     16-May-13 19:12


Still 2-1 ...so taking a chance the away team equalises.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 19:16
2-2


TIMING IS EVERYTHING!!!!


So backing home team a bit now

   
Fixtures 16 May / Esbjerg v OB / Match Odds    
    Esbjerg     Back     27157958678     16-May-13
19:15           2.18     0.73         2.18     16-May-13 19:15
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 19:36
GAME 1 ....finished 0-1 ...so a LOSS on that match.

FT    FC Groningen    0-1 (0-1)    FC Twente
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 19:41
GAME 3

Fixtures 16 May / Heerenveen v Utrecht / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay     27158847132     16-May-13
19:38           3.9     24.00         3.9     16-May-13 19:38
========================================================================

Fair chance one of them wins...probably UTRECHT. MGOFS 0-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 21:02
Taking a chance a goal comes ( DUTCH football is a "mystery" to me their mentality!)......but still gambling on a goal...

   
Fixtures 16 May / Heerenveen v Utrecht / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay     27161461355     16-May-13
20:57           3.6     12.00         3.51     16-May-13 20:58    
   
Fixtures 16 May / Heerenveen v Utrecht / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Back     27161454747     16-May-13
20:57           8     12.00         8.2     16-May-13 20:57
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 21:11
0-1
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 16 May 13 22:04
GAME 4

Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay     27162662839     16-May-13
22:00           3.9     15.00         3.9     16-May-13 22:00    
    Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Half Time/Full Time     Tigre/Olimpia     Back     27162655422     16-May-13
21:59           30     2.00         31.48     16-May-13 21:59    
    Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Half Time/Full Time     Olimpia/Tigre     Back     27162653281     16-May-13
21:59           44     2.00         44     16-May-13 21:59    
    Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Tigre     Back     27162651414     16-May-13
21:59           10     6.00         10.5     16-May-13 21:59    
    Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Olimpia     Back     27162649826     16-May-13
21:59           5.7     9.00         5.78     16-May-13 21:59    
    Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Half Time/Full Time     Olimpia/Draw     Back    
27162644364     16-May-13
21:58           18     3.00         18     16-May-13 21:58    
    Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Half Time/Full Time     Tigre/Draw     Back     27162642488     16-May-13
21:58           19     3.00         19     16-May-13 21:58    
    Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back     27162636344     16-May-13
21:58           15.5     4.00         15.5     16-May-13 21:58    
    Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay     27162633424     16-May-13
21:57           3.85     24.00         3.85     16-May-13 21:57    
=================================================================================


2nd leg of CL cup tie.....1-2 1st leg.

A 1-0 win for home team enough to qualify.....so fair chance TIGHT game 1st half....then home team MUST go for win. This is when a goal can come from either side. Main bets are DRAW/O....and DRAW/T.

MGOFS 1-0 or 2-1.

Gl with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 17 May 13 00:54
0-0 at HT.

So first part of "plan" has happened. Now just need one of them to win....ideally.....though a 1-1 /2-2 or 3-3 DRAW would also give a profit after the bets put on below :-

   
Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay     27164099237     17-May-13
00:51           4.9     15.00         4.8     17-May-13 00:51    
   
Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Back     27164075816     17-May-13
00:48           7.4     3.00         7.4     17-May-13 00:48    
   
Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Correct Score    
    3 - 3     Back     27164073306     17-May-13
00:48           95     2.00         95     17-May-13 00:48    
   
Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Correct Score    
    2 - 2     Back     27164068235     17-May-13
00:47           46     4.00         46     17-May-13 00:47    
   
Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Back     27164065579     17-May-13
00:47           7.4     12.00         7.61     17-May-13 00:47    
   
Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay     27164063401     17-May-13
00:46           4.9     24.00         4.9     17-May-13 00:46    
   
Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     27164056721     17-May-13
00:45           2.78     39.00         2.8     17-May-13 00:46    
=============================================================================


1. Reduced liability on DRAW in match market.
2. LAYED 0-0.
3. Backed 1-1/2-2/3-3.

Just need a goal from eiter for good profit.

Will be a large LOSS if stays 0-0.

However, the home team must now go for a goal.....and fair chance a goal comes from either as game opens up....I hope.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 17 May 13 01:08
1-0 OExcited


Profit whatever happens .......unless goes to 4-4 etcTongue Out
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 17 May 13 01:21
2-0....probably they should win now.......
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 17 May 13 01:23
Fixtures 17 May / Olimpia v Tigre / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     27164352159     17-May-13
01:21           24     2.00         24     17-May-13 01:21



Wiped out liability in MM re DRAW.........a DRAW now at 2-2 or 3-3 would be good!Unlikely though.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 17 May 13 02:00
DAY 8 RESULTS

Soccer: £39.62  PROFIT

Soccer     Showing 1 - 9 of 9 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Olimpia v Tigre : Match Odds     17-May-13 00:00     17-May-13 01:50     -2.00
Soccer / Olimpia v Tigre : Correct Score     17-May-13 00:00     17-May-13 01:50     13.36
Soccer / Olimpia v Tigre : Half Time/Full Time     17-May-13 00:00     17-May-13 01:50     25.76
Soccer / Heerenveen v Utrecht : Match Odds     16-May-13 19:45     16-May-13 21:35     22.90
Soccer / Heerenveen v Utrecht : Correct Score     16-May-13 19:45     16-May-13 21:35     0.00
Soccer / Esbjerg v OB : Half Time/Full Time     16-May-13 18:00     16-May-13 19:54     -18.00
Soccer / Esbjerg v OB : Match Odds     16-May-13 18:00     16-May-13 19:54     36.60
Soccer / Groningen v Twente : Over/Under 1.5 Goals     16-May-13 17:45     16-May-13 19:35     -36.00
Soccer / Esbjerg v OB : Correct Score     16-May-13 18:00     16-May-13 19:31     -3.00
Profit and Loss is shown net of commission.
All times are UKT     

     unless otherwise stated.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 17 May 13 02:04
SUMMARY FOR 8 DAYS...

DAY 1..........PROFIT £ 36.88
DAY 2..........LOSS...( 13.94 )
DAY 3..........PROFIT.  21.57
DAY 4..........PROFIT. 169.35
DAY 5..........PROFIT.  70.16
DAY 6..........PROFIT.  44.84
DAY 7..........PROFIT.  72.26
DAY 8..........PROFIT.  39.62
                     ---------
TOTAL PROFIT TO DATE £ 440.74



BANK for thread was £300 start ...now £ 740.74


First sizeable HIT for a while ....so small profit with few games is fine!


G M the nooooooooooooo
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