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Guessing on FOOTBALL bets and not just going against the grain

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Replies: 1,661
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 11:29
DAY 35 RESULTS


Football: -£4.94 LOSS

Football     Showing 1 - 8 of 8 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Football / Philadelphia v Chivas USA : Half Time/Full Time     13-Jul-13 00:30     13-Jul-13 02:35     20.05
Football / Shelbourne v Cork City : Correct Score     12-Jul-13 20:00     12-Jul-13 21:55     34.38
Football / Raith v Hibernian : Correct Score     12-Jul-13 19:45     12-Jul-13 21:33     -23.40
Football / Union Berlin v Celtic : Correct Score     12-Jul-13 19:15     12-Jul-13 21:18     40.11
Football / Barnsley v Club Brugge : Correct Score     12-Jul-13 19:00     12-Jul-13 20:50     -39.60
Football / St Pauli v Besiktas : Over/Under 1.5 Goals     12-Jul-13 17:30     12-Jul-13 19:29     -33.00
Football / FK Lada Tolyatti v Kamaz : Correct Score     12-Jul-13 15:30     12-Jul-13 17:25     22.92
Football / FK Oktan Perm v FK Dinamo Kirov : Correct Score     12-Jul-13 11:00     12-Jul-13 12:53     -26.40
=========================================================================================



SUMMARY FOR 35 DAYS
...

DAY 1..........PROFIT £ 36.88
DAY 2..........LOSS...( 13.94 )
DAY 3..........PROFIT.  21.57
DAY 4..........PROFIT. 169.35
DAY 5..........PROFIT.  70.16
DAY 6..........PROFIT.  44.84
DAY 7..........PROFIT.  72.26
DAY 8..........PROFIT.  39.62
DAY 9..........PROFIT.  32.30
DAY 10.........PROFIT. 116.80
DAY 11.........PROFIT.  30.82
DAY 12.........LOSS...(243.33 )
DAY 13.........LOSS...(191.32 )
DAY 14.........PROFIT.   3.12
DAY 15.........LOSS...(287.41 )
DAY 16.........PROFIT.  91.33
DAY 17.........LOSS...(607.79 )
DAY 18.........PROFIT.  48.82
DAY 19.........PROFIT.  34.14
DAY 20.........LOSS...( 82.90 )
DAY 21.........LOSS...( 37.50 )
DAY 22.........PROFIT.  53.29
DAYS 23,24 & 25LOSS...( 13.01)
DAY 26.........PROFIT.  31.52
DAY 27.........LOSS...(139.74 )
DAY 28.........PROFIT.  68.22
DAY 29.........PROFIT.   8.70
DAY 30.........PROFIT.  21.91
DAY 31.........PROFIT.  19.13
DAY 32.........PROFIT.  13.98
DAY 33.18.06.13LOSS...( 35.46 )
DAY 34.10.07.13PROFIT.  18.41
DAY 35.........LOSS...(  4.94 )
                     ---------
TOTAL LOSS TO DATE   £(610.14 )




BANK for thread was £300 start ...ADDED another £680........now £ 369.86.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 11:36
GAME 1   IP after about 24 mins at 0-0....

   
Fixtures 13 July / Kashiwa v Kashima / Over/Under 1.5 Goals    
    Over 1.5 Goals     Back          13-Jul-13
11:32           1.49     33.00         1.49     13-Jul-13 11:33
=================================================================================

Fair chance a couple goals come......may lay 0-0 late in game ...MGOFS is 1-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 11:56
G 1    0-1 at HT ....so just going all green in OVER 1.5 market...

   
Fixtures 13 July / Kashiwa v Kashima / Over/Under 1.5 Goals    
    Under 1.5 Goals     Back     28201503791     13-Jul-13
11:54           5.1     2.00         5.1     13-Jul-13 11:54    
   
Fixtures 13 July / Kashiwa v Kashima / Over/Under 1.5 Goals    
    Over 1.5 Goals     Lay     28201499555     13-Jul-13
11:53           1.24     33.00         1.24     13-Jul-13 11:54



May lay off profit on UNDER 1.5 late in game....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 12:00
GAME 2   IP 0-0 at HT.


Fixtures 13 July / Sendai v Iwata / Correct Score    
    0 - 1     Back          13-Jul-13
11:58           7     3.00         7.08     13-Jul-13 11:58    
   
Fixtures 13 July / Sendai v Iwata / Over/Under 1.5 Goals    
    Over 1.5 Goals     Back          13-Jul-13
11:58           2.22     15.00         2.22     13-Jul-13 11:58
=======================================================================================

Hopefully the game opens up a bit 2nd half  and a goal comes from away side.... MGOFS 1-1.


Gl with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 12:02
GAME 3   IP at about 73 mins played.

   
Fixtures 13 July / Kofu v Shonan / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay          13-Jul-13
12:01           1.94     18.00         1.9     13-Jul-13 12:01
===============================================================================

Taking a chance a late goal comes from either.


Gl with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 12:08
G 3     78'    Ventforet Kofu    0-1 (0-0)    Shonan Bellmare
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 12:11
G 2


52'    Vegalta Sendai    0-1 (0-0)    Jubilo Iwata


As initially covered 0-1 as hedge for lay on OVER 1.5 back....will let bets stand....and hope a goal comes.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 12:13
G 2.....just as well taking some profit from this game whatever happens........

   
Fixtures 13 July / Sendai v Iwata / Correct Score    
    0 - 1     Back     28201883663     13-Jul-13
12:12           3.75     3.00         3.75     13-Jul-13 12:12
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 12:19
GAME 4

    Fixtures 13 July / Bristol City v Rangers / Correct Score     1 - 2     Back          13-Jul-13
12:17           14.5     3.00         14.5     13-Jul-13 12:17    
    Fixtures 13 July / Bristol City v Rangers / Match Odds     Rangers     Lay         13-Jul-13
12:16           4.3     18.00         4.2     13-Jul-13 12:16
==========================================================================

Just believe the fitness level of RANGERS  makes it unlikely they win....but hedged a wee bit with back on 1-2....

MGOFS 3-1.

GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 12:29
GAME 5 IP at approx 74 mins...at 2-2..

Fixtures 13 July / Nagoya v Tosu / Correct Score    
    2 - 3     Lay         13-Jul-13
12:25           7.4     6.00         7.4     13-Jul-13 12:25    
====================================================================================

Home team should be fighting hard ...so fair chance does not finish 2-3.


Gl with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 12:30
G 1

68'    Kashiwa Reysol    1-1 (0-1)    Kashima Antlers



Oh well missed out on lay on UNDER 1.5........but still a profit made....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 12:33
GAME 6   IP at roughly  74 mins at 0-2....

   
Fixtures 13 July / Niigata v FC Tokyo / Correct Score    
    0 - 2     Lay     13-Jul-13
12:31           2.18     12.00         2.16     13-Jul-13 12:31
=============================================================================

Home team likely to press hard to get a goal.....so a fair chance a goal comes from either late in game. MGOFS is 1-3.


Gl with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 12:42
G 5 now


82'    Nagoya Grampus3-2Sagan Tosu

So lay on 2-3 "safe"...
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 12:47
G 6

88'    Albirex Niigata0-3FC Tokyo


late goal secures profit..
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 12:49
G 2

90'    Vegalta Sendai    1-1 (0-0)    Jubilo Iwata


late goal secures OVER 1.5 profit..
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 13:14
GAME 7 IP at roughly 82 mins at 0-1...

   
Fixtures 13 July / ADO Den Haag v Swansea / Correct Score    
    0 - 1     Lay         13-Jul-13
13:12           1.57     15.00         1.54     13-Jul-13 13:12
=====================================================================================

Late goal can come as players get tired....MGOFS 1-2.

GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 13:24
G 7

FT    ADO Den Haag    0-1 (0-1)    Swansea City


First loss on game today!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 13:33
GAME 8

Fixtures 13 July / Livingston v Wolves / Correct Score     1 - 1     Back     28203577721     13-Jul-13
13:31           8     4.00         8     13-Jul-13 13:31    
    Fixtures 13 July / Livingston v Wolves / Match Odds     Wolves     Back          13-Jul-13
13:30           1.74     33.00         1.76     13-Jul-13 13:30
==========================================================================================

WOLVES should be too fit ...and are likely to win. MGOFS 1-4.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 14:07
G 4 currently 0-1 .....

   
Fixtures 13 July / Bristol City v Rangers / Correct Score    
    0 - 1     Lay         13-Jul-13
14:05           1.94     33.00         1.92     13-Jul-13 14:06


Trying to mitigate the loss on lay on RANGERS ...hopefully home team scores....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 14:28
G 4
FT    Bristol City    0-1 (0-0)    Rangers F



Nasty HIT in this match ....all profit wiped out and into loss for day.

Will try to claw some back!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 14:28
BRISTOL CITY now on my dodgy teams list!!!!!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 15:38
G 8 ....currently 1-2 ...so laying some of profit off on initial W back.

   
Fixtures 13 July / Livingston v Wolves / Match Odds    
    Wolves     Lay     28208432408     13-Jul-13
15:37           1.21     33.00         1.19     13-Jul-13 15:37
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 15:48
G 8 still 1-2 ..so hoping for late goal ...probably from WOLVES

   
Fixtures 13 July / Livingston v Wolves / Correct Score    
    1 - 2     Lay     28208564749     13-Jul-13
15:40           1.36     20.00         1.36     13-Jul-13 15:46
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 16:14
GAME 9    IP in 2nd half at 0-0


   
Fixtures 13 July / Elgin v Inverness CT / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay          13-Jul-13
16:12           3.05     18.00         3.05     13-Jul-13 16:12    


A DERBY friendly....and likely INVER take lead and win. MGOFS 0-2.

GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 16:50
G 9

FT    Elgin City    0-2 (0-0)    Inverness C
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 17:11
GAME 10

    Fixtures 13 July / CSKA Moscow v Zenit St Petersburg / Over/Under 1.5 Goals     Over 1.5 Goals     Back         13-Jul-13
17:09           1.39     48.00         1.39     13-Jul-13 17:09
=======================================================================================

RUSSIA Super cup.....Fair chance both teams score. MGOFS 1-2 or 2-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 19:55
G 10 ....currently 2-0 CSKA ...so taking a chance another goal comes...

   
Fixtures 13 July / CSKA Moscow v Zenit St Petersburg / Correct Score    
    2 - 0     Lay     28216352203     13-Jul-13
19:54           2.6     15.00         2.6     13-Jul-13 19:54
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 20:16
G 10

89'    CSKA Moscow    3-0 (2-0)    Zenit St Petersburg
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 20:26
GAME 11.....just kicked off...

   
Fixtures 13 July / Avai v Parana / Correct Score    
    2 - 2     Back     28217152916     13-Jul-13
20:24           18     2.00         18.5     13-Jul-13 20:24    
   
Fixtures 13 July / Avai v Parana / Match Odds    
    Avai     Back      13-Jul-13
20:24           2.26     18.00         2.26     13-Jul-13 20:24
================================================================================

AVAI likely to win....MGOFS 3-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 21:35
G 11  Currently 1-2 in 2nd half....so already have 2-2 covered initially...therefore backing 2-3 as hedge....as well

   
Fixtures 13 July / Avai v Parana / Correct Score    
    2 - 3     Back     28218731716     13-Jul-13
21:33           9.4     3.00         9.4     13-Jul-13 21:34
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 21:43
G 11  now 2-2 ...so laying off some of profit on the initial 2-2 back...a goal from either would help!

   
Fixtures 13 July / Avai v Parana / Correct Score    
    2 - 2     Lay     28218886570     13-Jul-13
21:42           2.72     12.00         2.62     13-Jul-13 21:42
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 21:48
Also backed the away team to eliminate liability on them winning....so goal from either now required to make a profit....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 21:48
Fixtures 13 July / Avai v Parana / Match Odds    
    Parana     Back     28218916067     13-Jul-13
21:43           5.5     4.00         5.6     13-Jul-13 21:44
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 21:50
Fixtures 13 July / Avai v Parana / Match Odds    
    Parana     Back     28218916067     13-Jul-13
21:43           5.5     4.00         5.6     13-Jul-13 21:44


to cover liability on DRAW ....when a goal is scored...
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 22:13
Unfortunately finished 2-2....so loss on that match....

I really should not have layed off some of profit on the initial 2-2 back....instead should have just backed away team to win......then would have been all green.......bad decision by me there!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 22:17
GAME 12

Fixtures 13 July / Santos v Portuguesa SP / Correct Score     0 - 1     Back     28219417939     13-Jul-13
22:15           11.5     4.00         11.5     13-Jul-13 22:15    
    Fixtures 13 July / Santos v Portuguesa SP / Over/Under 1.5 Goals     Over 1.5 Goals     Back         13-Jul-13
22:15           1.49     36.00         1.49     13-Jul-13 22:15
=====================================================================================

Just believe away team will score against dodgy SATS....then 2 goals can happen. MGOFS is 2-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 22:20
GAME 13

    Fixtures 13 July / Fluminense v Internacional / Correct Score     2 - 2     Back     28219466066     13-Jul-13
22:18           18     3.00         18     13-Jul-13 22:18    
    Fixtures 13 July / Fluminense v Internacional / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay         13-Jul-13
22:18           3.7     15.00         3.7     13-Jul-13 22:18
======================================================================================

Just believe one of them will win...probably home team. MGOFS 2-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 22:45
G 12 already

13'    Santos FC/SP    2-0 (-)    Portuguesa/SP


YUP ....dodgy SANTOS ...just find it hard to guess how their games go......but a profit made off em ....sso LUCK obtained !
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 23:16
A couple hedge bets placed...hoping goes to 2-2

   
Fixtures 13 July / Fluminense v Internacional / Match Odds    
    Fluminense     Back     28220163195     13-Jul-13
23:12           5.9     3.00         6     13-Jul-13 23:12    
   
Fixtures 13 July / Fluminense v Internacional / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     28220102255     13-Jul-13
23:07           5.7     3.00         5.8     13-Jul-13 23:07
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jul 13 23:23
now 1-3...so eliminated liability on DRAW and layed 1-3...looks like more goals in this one ...I hope!

Fixtures 13 July / Fluminense v Internacional / Correct Score    
    1 - 3     Lay     28220272258     13-Jul-13
23:22           4.8     15.00         4.8     13-Jul-13 23:22    
   
Fixtures 13 July / Fluminense v Internacional / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     28220267386     13-Jul-13
23:21           7.8     5.00         7.8     13-Jul-13 23:21
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