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General Betting
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These 641 comments are related to the topic:
The 'How much can I lose' thread
The 'How much can I lose' thread
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Based on LTO performance:
4.10 Yarmouth Thalia Ree 5.15 Worcester Chestnut Ben 5.55 Ballinrobe Uncle Tom Robley 7.35 Exeter Tarradewe 8.05 Exeter Castlemorris King New Trainer: 3.30 Lingfield Annaley Mr Darling 4.40 Yarmouth King Of Wings 5.00 Lingfield Penang Pegasus | |
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Today:
Based on LTO performance: 4.10 Yarmouth Thalia Ree....................placed at 1.54 5.15 Worcester Chestnut Ben.................placed at 2.11 5.55 Ballinrobe Uncle Tom Robley............Won at 5.25 and placed at 1.89 7.35 Exeter Tarradewe.......................non runner 8.05 Exeter Castlemorris King...............placed at 1.59 New Trainer: 3.30 Lingfield Annaley Mr Darling .............unplaced 4.40 Yarmouth King Of Wings ...................unplaced 5.00 Lingfield Penang Pegasus..................placed at 2.26 | |
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if 2nd time up trainer switches are allowed - Sehnsucht is interesting today 3.20 Ponty - McCabe > Quinn
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Certainly an interesting one Deltâ, good luck with that.
Running totals: Based on LTO Performance. Half way to 100 selections with a 36% strike rate and a 66% placed strike rate. 18/50 and a profit of +26.78 points 33/50 placed and a profit of +12.68 points New Trainers: 3/21 and a loss of -2.07 points 4/21 placed and a profit of +1.39 points | |
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Today:
Based on LTO Performance: 2.10 Southwell Callhimwhatyouwant 5.30 Southwell Oscar Rainbow New Trainers: 2.10 Southwell Kayfton Pete 4.10 Ascot Pearl Acclaim if backed to 8/1 or less 5.30 Southwell Brass Monkey 5.30 Southwell Napoleontano - if backed to 8/1 or less | |
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Nice choice Deltâ,placed at 5.0
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same owner won 5.00 with Hit the lights [not stable switcher tho]
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Today:
Based on LTO Performance: 2.10 Southwell Callhimwhatyouwant..................................unplaced 5.30 Southwell Oscar Rainbow.......................................  beaten at 1.01 after, placed at 1.69New Trainers: 2.10 Southwell Kayfton Pete........................................placed at 2.64 4.10 Ascot Pearl Acclaim if backed to 8/1 or less........ N/Q 5.30 Southwell Brass Monkey........................................unplaced 5.30 Southwell Napoleontano - if backed to 8/1 or less.............unplaced | |
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Running totals:
Based on LTO Performance. 18/52 and a profit of +24.78 points 34/52 placed and a profit of +12.37 points New Trainers: 3/24 and a loss of -5.07 points 6/24 placed and a profit of +1.03 points | |
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6.55 Hurricaine Sky.
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6.55 Hurricaine Sky. Won at 2.48 and placed at 1.3.
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Running totals:
Based on LTO Performance. 19/53 and a profit of +26.26 points 35/53 placed and a profit of +12.67 points New Trainers: 3/24 and a loss of -5.07 points 6/24 placed and a profit of +1.03 points | |
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Oily -
I've not been paying attention but has winner last time out [W]LTO - changed into last time our performance or are we still talking winners [only] Last Time Out tar | |
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The intention was to back LTO winners and more than 90% of the selections still are LTO winners, but with some of the selections not being LTO winners thought I'd better change the header to suit. My fault, should have made it clearer at the start.
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Wednesday:
Based on LTO Performance: 2.50 Lingfield North Star Boy 3.10 Sedgefield Ballyvoneen if backed to 6/1 or less 3.10 Sedgefield Moon Melody 3.30 Redcar Summer In The City New Trainer: 3.10 Sedgefield Bennys Well 6.40 Chepstow Descaro | |
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cheers Oily
I have another 2nd run stable switcher tomorrow that i have my eye on Hills > Dandy Nicholls - 5.05 Mussel = West Leake Hare | |
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I have put my reasoning on a thread in the HR forum as below....
How exciting....... - my first Horse Alert of the turf season has arrived
ex Barry then Charlie Hills, 2nd start up for Dandy and been gelded since last season. interesting to see John Ryans apprentice on fto [only ever ride for yard] and basically took the 'mick' in rear [but with some promise] winner at 2 [odds on] but disappointing since, beaten fav 4 times since and blinkers and pieces applied 5 times been up to 78OR but on OR65 here, so if retains any ability will have to show/win today with Trotter taking over the steering! [no aids applied] | |
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Excellent stuff Deltâ hope this one romps in.
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Running totals:
Based on LTO Performance. 20/57 and a profit of +23.83 points 38/57 placed and a profit of +15.42 points New Trainers: 3/24 and a loss of -7.07 points 6/24 placed and a loss of .97 of a point Yesterday, Based on LTO Performance: 2.50 Lingfield North Star Boy...............................Won at 1.57 and placed at 1.12 3.10 Sedgefield Ballyvoneen if backed to 6/1 or less........unplaced 3.10 Sedgefield Moon Melody.................................placed at 3.89 3.30 Redcar Summer In The City..............................placed at 1.74 New Trainer: 3.10 Sedgefield Bennys Well....unplaced 6.40 Chepstow Descaro..........unplaced | |
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Friday:
Based on LTO performance that won LTO: 2.00 Musselbrough Rangooned 2.20 Chepstow Tafawuk 5.30 Fontwell City Press/Haar 5.45 Bangor Well Mett 7.30 Fontwell Stormyilsand Ahead Based on LTO Perfromance that didnt win LTO 2.10 Lingfield Indian Violet if backed to 7/1 or less 2.40 Lingfield Everreadyneddy - ditto- New Trainers: 3.00 Musselbrough Reve de Nuit 5.30 Fontwell Akideau 8.15 Bangor Chief Keckler/Goldwell/Lord Lious/Time Gentlemen - any that start 8/1 or under | |
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Friday:
Based on LTO Performance that won LTO: 4.10 Lingfield Valdaw New Trainer: 7.45 Bangor Bacalaureate if backed to 6/1 or under | |
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where do you 'pick up' the new trainers from...
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You can get most of the horses running for a new trainer from the Sporting Life website on the Todays Pointers page under Switching Stables, the only ones you cant get there are the horses switching stables from Point to Point trainers, thats a bit more hard work.
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Punters Paradise is a decent site for checking out those with no rules form even though its a Aussie website.
http://www.puntersparadise.com.au/ | |
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tar
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stable switcher wins the race................ oi oi, however
it was a Dandy Nicolls to M Dods first time up... | |
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Friday:
Based on LTO performance that won LTO: 2.00 Musselbrough Rangooned.............................unplaced 2.20 Chepstow Tafawuk...................................unplaced 5.30 Fontwell City Press/Haar...........................Won 4.4 placed 2.04 5.45 Bangor Well Mett...................................Won 2.44 placed 1.39 7.30 Fontwell Stormyilsand Ahead........................non runner Based on LTO Perfromance that didnt win LTO 2.10 Lingfield Indian Violet if backed to 7/1 or less 2.40 Lingfield Everreadyneddy - ditto- New Trainers: 3.00 Musselbrough Reve de Nuit.....................................................................unplaced 5.30 Fontwell Akideau..............................................................................non runner 8.15 Bangor Chief Keckler/Goldwell/Lord Lious/Time Gentlemen - any that start 8/1 or under.........placed at 2.78 and 2.56 with two NQ 7.45 Bangor Baccalaureate..........................................................................placed at 2.34 | |
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Based on LTO Performance that won LTO:
4.00 Thirsk Mont Ras 5.25 Uttoxeter Midnight Whisper Based on LTO Performance that didnt win LTO 5.20 Hexham Surprise Vendor 6.25 Hexham Detour Aheas 7.00 Hexham Senor Alco New Trainer: 3.10 Newmarket Dandino 4.15 Uttoxeter Quel Ballistic 5.10 Thirsk Renew 4.15 Thirsk FTO Secret Applause if 5/2 or higher | |
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Yesterday:
Based on LTO Performance that won LTO: 4.00 Thirsk Mont Ras.....................................unplaced 5.25 Uttoxeter Midnight Whisper..........................another last flight fall when looking the winner..unplaced Based on LTO Performance that didnt win LTO 5.20 Hexham Surprise Vendor.............................Won at 3.69 amd placed at 1.68 6.25 Hexham Detour Aheas................................unplaced 7.00 Hexham Senor Alco..................................unplaced New Trainer: 3.10 Newmarket Dandino..................................placed at 1.76 4.15 Uttoxeter Quel Ballistic...........................unplaced 5.10 Thirsk Renew.......................................Won at 3.65 and placed at 1.5 4.15 Thirsk FTO Secret Applause if 5/2 or higher.......Placed at 19.4 | |
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Today:
Based on Wom LTO: 5.10 Hamilton Eutropius 5.00 Newmarket Cruck Realta New Trainer 1.40 Hamilton Legal Bond 3.50 Newmarket What A Name if 8/10 or under 4.25 Newmarket Zain Zone - huge price but who knows? | |
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Poor yesterday,
Monday: Based on winning LTO: 2.05 Warwick Bang Tidy if fav 3.45 Bath Sharp and Smart 4.50 Kempton Knox Overstreet 5.15 Bath Tooley Woods 5.45 Bath Dreams Of Glory Based on LTO not winning. 5.00 Beverley Clock On Tom Rocket Ronny if 6/1 or less 4.25 Flos las Am I Blue 2.15 Kempton Meritocracy New Trainer: 2.15 Curragh Bru Mor if 8/1 or less 2.35 Warwick Dandy Maid 3.20 Flos las True Blue 4.10 Warwick Mazaaher 5.10 Warwick Laughing Rock | |
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Dwindling profits:
Based on LTO Performance: 23/66 and profits of 20.97 points 23/66 placed and profits of 10.82 points New Trainer: 4/33 and losses of -15.42 points 12/33 placed and profits of +2.42 points Yesterday: Based on Wom LTO: 5.10 Hamilton Eutropius.................................placed at 1.35 5.00 Newmarket Cruck Realta.............................unplaced New Trainer 1.40 Hamilton Legal Bond................................unplaced 3.50 Newmarket What A Name if 8/10 or under.............unplaced 4.25 Newmarket Zain Zone - huge price but who knows?....unplaced | |
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Monday: Another poor day, that elusive big priced winner is still just that elusive with Mazaaher finishing second at 17.81 in the 4.10 race!!
Based on winning LTO: 2.05 Warwick Bang Tidy if fav...............NQ 3.45 Bath Sharp and Smart.......................................Won at 1.24 and placed at 1.08 4.50 Kempton Knox Overstreet....................................unplaced 5.15 Bath Tooley Woods..........................................unplaced 5.45 Bath Dreams Of Glory.......................................unplaced Based on LTO not winning. 5.00 Beverley Clock On Tom.....................................placed at 1.98 Rocket Ronny if 6/1 or less 4.25 Flos las Am I Blue........................................unplaced 2.15 Kempton Meritocracy.......................................Won at 3.05 and placed at 1.45 New Trainer: 2.15 Curragh Bru Mor if 8/1 or less.....NQ 2.35 Warwick Dandy Maid........................................unplaced 3.20 Flos las True Blue........................................placed at 1.82 4.10 Warwick Mazaaher..........................................placed at 3.82 5.10 Warwick Laughing Rock.....................................unplaced | |
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Dwindling profits:
Based on LTO Performance: 25/73 and profits of 17.26 points 46/73 placed and profits of 7.32 points New Trainer: 4/37 and losses of -19.42 points 12/33 placed and profits of +4.06 points Tuesday: Based on LTO performance: 2.40 Kempton Knights Parade 3.20 Yarmouth Jack Barker 4.50 Yarmouth Gabriels Hope 6.05 Navan Scotland Forever 7.10 Catterick Llewellyn 10/3 or less Solar Spirit 7/1 or less 7.25 Exeter Well Mett New Trainer: 3.00 Fakenham Burnt Again 3.50 Yarmouth Hambie | |
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Another bad day after a decent start to the thread its falling apart rapidly now, a couple more days to see if there is a revival in fortunes:
Based on LTO Performance: 2.35 Kelso Welsh Bard 8.10 Kempton Moment In The Sun 4.35 Southwell Neighbourhood New Trainer: 4.25 Chester Maasamah 4.10 Ke;so Millers Rest if 8/1 or under 2.55 Southwell Plus Fours | |
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You are still ahead so don't worry. You are going great guns in 3 of the 4 categories so at least if the New Trainer business doesn't improve, you can ditch it. Ignore the sequences they make no sense.
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I.quit.my.country.......cheers for that mate.
Thursday: Based on LTO Performance: 5.50 Clonmel Speed Dial (Won LTO) 4.50 Newton Abbot Latest Trend (2nd LTO) 7.05 Southwell Catawollow (Won LTO) if 6/1 or less New Trainer: 7.15 Wincanton Erdelli 8.15 Wincanton Nothing Is Forever if 8/1 or less 3.00 Goodwood Ravenous | |
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Thursday:
Based on LTO Performance: 5.50 Clonmel Speed Dial (Won LTO)......................Placed at 3.23 4.50 Newton Abbot Latest Trend (2nd LTO) ..............unplaced 7.05 Southwell Catawollow (Won LTO) if 6/1 or less.....Placed at 2.77 New Trainer: 7.15 Wincanton Erdelli..................................unplaced 8.15 Wincanton Nothing Is Forever if 8/1 or less........WON at 5.5 backed in from 9.4! 3.00 Goodwood Ravenous..................................maiden race nplaced | |
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A lot of racing today for a Friday:
Based on LTO Performance: 3.15 Chester Storm Moon (Won LTO)if in first two in betting 4.25 Chester Sixties Queen (6th LTO) 6/1 or less 8.55 Hamilton Economic Crisis (Won LTO) 4.35 Nottingham Thorp Bay (Won LTO) 6/1 or less 7.35 Downpatrick Personal Shopper (Won LTO) 3.50 Chester Forest Edge (Won LTO) 8/1 or less 6.05 Hamilton Mandalay King (2nd LTO) 4.05 Market Rasen Andreo Bambaleo (3rd LTO) 7.10 Cork Vasani (6th LTO) 7.15 Hamilton Rawaafed (2nd LTO) New Trainer: 4.05 Market Rasen Kellys Brow 12/1 or under 1.45 Chester Hefner | |
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I like the look of two LTO's today
4.50 Mussel: La Luz Del Sol 5.00 Donc: Apache Glory |