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The S.A.D.O. thread (Sad, Aftertiming, Delusionals Only)

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By:
hejik
When: 07 Dec 12 17:42

Dec 7, 2012 -- 4:51PM, Bridgeboy wrote:


Frankfurt 5.00pm ko, 0-0 overpriced at 14.0 if anybody wants to go inplay for a min or two. . .


hope you were in for a minute and not 2 bridgeboy

By:
Bridgeboy
When: 07 Dec 12 17:50
I was out before ko but took 14.5 fot £35 that popped up after ko and got 2 ticks before the goal at 1 min 40 ish seconds, £9green on all scores, now hows that for aftertiming?
By:
hejik
When: 07 Dec 12 18:20

Dec 7, 2012 -- 5:50PM, Bridgeboy wrote:


I was out before ko but took 14.5 fot £35 that popped up after ko and got 2 ticks before the goal at 1 min 40 ish seconds, £9green on all scores, now hows that for aftertiming?


great aftertiming
just highlighting that your tip wasn't very good

By:
Bridgeboy
When: 07 Dec 12 18:30
Id disagree if you backed 0-0 at 14.0 at 4.50pm when i put it up and put a lay in for a tick(it went 3)youd have been out before kick off, i have stated before to go inplay is very dodgey, back to lay asap 1 tick. . .
By:
hejik
When: 07 Dec 12 18:39
back to lay for a 1 tick win? or full stake loss?
seriously, you think that is good advice?
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 07 Dec 12 18:43
Pre ko hejik. . .
By:
hejik
When: 07 Dec 12 18:46

Dec 7, 2012 -- 4:51PM, Bridgeboy wrote:


Frankfurt 5.00pm ko, 0-0 overpriced at 14.0 if anybody wants to go inplay for a min or two. . .


i am talking about this ,the tip you claim was a good one
although goal in 2nd minute

By:
Bridgeboy
When: 07 Dec 12 18:50
hejik point taken but it went 12.5 before the goal. . . Back at 14-14.5 lay of 1 tick 13.5-14, dont know if im making myself clear . . .
By:
hejik
When: 07 Dec 12 18:52
yes
point i'm making is it's just guessing there won't be a goal in 1st instead of 2nd
if you're trading pre-ko, then it's pre-ko
can't let them go in-play when doesn't go your way
not having a go bridgeboy, really not, just trying to contribute
you need rules
and you need to stick to them win or lose
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 07 Dec 12 18:56
Agreed hejik and i very very rarely go in play but when 14.5 flashed up and i made the price 12.5 i had to have it, i got away with it this time but i agree its a stupid thing to do. . .
By:
smithy91
When: 07 Dec 12 20:46
is anyone watching blackburn vs cardiff. i'm a real position so far but could get done over if blackburn improve in the 2nd half and rhodes scores. some serious value on offer just how were favourites to score the next goal i've no ideaCrazy
By:
hejik
When: 07 Dec 12 21:25
how did you conclude it was value smithy?
who do you think should have been favourites to score next at 0-1?
By:
smithy91
When: 07 Dec 12 21:39
hi hejik definetly blackburn were not value at 2.24 for next goal i placed the bet just before half time were we were being completly outplayed. however we started the 2nd half better and scored the 2nd goal which meant my bet was a losing one.Sad
By:
hejik
When: 07 Dec 12 21:45
doesn't matter if it WAS value
i was just curious what price you thought they should be
lots of value bets lose but still good bets
By:
smithy91
When: 07 Dec 12 21:48
yes i know hejik. when i trade a game in play i'm always just hunting round the side markets for value placing several bets and hedging positions. i'm not looking for winnersHappy. to price blackburn for the 2nd goal i would of said 2.44 minmium
By:
manxy
When: 07 Dec 12 21:49
not you smithy
By:
smithy91
When: 07 Dec 12 21:52
there my bets from the game. at half time i was looking towards £500 but the blackburn equalizer cost me. still a good evenings work for me. in the last couple of weeks my pre off bets have dried up maybe the markets are becoming more efficient so i'm pleased with how the in play has gone in the last month or so




Soccer: £257.25 | Tote: |  Total P&L:  £257.25 

 

Soccer Showing 1 - 9 of 9 markets

Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Blackburn v Cardiff : Last Goalscorer 07-Dec-12 19:45  07-Dec-12 21:45  23.87
Soccer / Blackburn v Cardiff : To Score 07-Dec-12 19:45  07-Dec-12 21:40  208.80
Soccer / Blackburn v Cardiff : Match Odds 07-Dec-12 19:45  07-Dec-12 21:37  99.32
Soccer / Blackburn v Cardiff : Correct Score 07-Dec-12 19:45  07-Dec-12 21:28  -83.91
Soccer / Blackburn v Cardiff : 4th Goal 07-Dec-12 19:45  07-Dec-12 21:26  61.88
Soccer / Blackburn v Cardiff : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 07-Dec-12 19:45  07-Dec-12 20:59  -5.96
Soccer / Blackburn v Cardiff : 2nd Goal 07-Dec-12 19:45  07-Dec-12 20:53  -127.72
Soccer / Blackburn v Cardiff : First Goalscorer 07-Dec-12 19:45  07-Dec-12 20:36  65.97
Soccer / Blackburn v Cardiff : 1st Goal 07-Dec-12 19:45  07-Dec-12 20:16  15.00
By:
green army
When: 07 Dec 12 21:59
sunderland 1-0 must be peaking now at 15 - for one i think chelsea at 5.1 has also peaked , how many games since chelsea won in the prem ? - and having only scored 5 at home (tho only conceding 7) 1-0 has to be around an evens favourite if sunderland are going to win - i'm hoping for 13 at ko
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 07 Dec 12 22:04
1-0 at 15 looks a good call ga . . .
By:
smithy91
When: 07 Dec 12 22:04
seems big that green army on 1-0 i agree can anyone be confident backing chelsea at 1.81Cry.

i can't believe i've done this but i have. i've just backed winless qpr at 3.15 to win at wigan. my only explanation i can offer is they look to be coming inCryGrin
By:
green army
When: 08 Dec 12 07:24
4 down and the draw is 5.2 - utter madness
By:
green army
When: 08 Dec 12 07:30
jimmy you beauty - all over
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 08 Dec 12 07:47
its englands now...ive just laid at 1.03 but tbh im sort of kicking myself for even giving away the pennies
By:
hejik
When: 08 Dec 12 08:06

Dec 7, 2012 -- 9:48PM, manxy wrote:


just listen to this t0sser, wants to sound like he has been here 12 years not 12 months, got all the buzz words.


ok, now i get it
your knowledge and success is directly related to how long you've been a member of the Betfair forumLaugh

good spot for you this thread dreamer

By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 08 Dec 12 09:10
fat lady doing her sound check now Grin
By:
green army
When: 08 Dec 12 10:33
just taken 0-0 arse at 18.5

and please take this last bleddy wicket - could use that to trade with today
By:
green army
When: 08 Dec 12 10:58
vallodolid look a v good price v real tonite - real are right out of sorts away from home in la liga - lost last time at betis (similar odds to here) - their away record is similar to valladolids home - hoping for sub 10
By:
tommycockles
When: 08 Dec 12 11:29
GA- Just wondering.....how bad are Plymouth at the moment? Surprised to see my team (the mighty York Happy) so short for their trip to Home Park this aft. Admittedly York have a decent away record (only 3 defeats in 25 or something) but surprised they are so short today. Cheers
By:
roadrunner46
When: 08 Dec 12 12:15
Paddy salentes GTFI and winner went whooooooooshhh LTO 18/1today 11/2
By:
green army
When: 08 Dec 12 12:36
arse 0-0 all done - but down on sunderland, amazed at the confidence in chelsea - i'm having a good old fashioned punt at these prices

tommy - things at home park feel even lower than last year , at least we had some fight , the players aren't that bad but just waiting for the manager to go , he's a friend of the new owner , maybe today will be the last game ,your price is about right , anything over 2.5 is good
By:
tommycockles
When: 08 Dec 12 12:43
Thanks green army. Great shame to see a team like Plymouth struggling. Hopefully things will improve for you soon (after today!) Good luck
By:
green army
When: 08 Dec 12 13:01
thanks tommy we'll be back ,

without chasing losses i think the sunderland price is now way long at 6 and will come in  because the turnover for this game is v low and i think the money coming in from the high st is having an exaggerated effect on the chelsea price too - we'll see
By:
green army
When: 08 Dec 12 13:08
and as if by magic boom in from 6 to 5.7 - tho this may be because fletcher has just had a loosen up and may be fit to play
By:
smithy91
When: 08 Dec 12 14:19
chelsea 1.68 it's lay time :)
By:
green army
When: 08 Dec 12 14:30
fletcher not playing - but even so , madness - this is a side that cant win in the prem that went out with a whimper a w ham & sunderland were really good 2nd half - I'm having one of my rare "bets" of the season
By:
smithy91
When: 08 Dec 12 14:44
agreed green army i've layed at 1.66 and 1.7 and torres anytime scorer as usual 21 goals in nearly 90 appearances should not make 2.84Grin
By:
smithy91
When: 08 Dec 12 14:49
i layed portsmouth at 3.9 now 5.4 at tranmere this is a crazy day i've 4k loaded up on the 3pms. to many many teams have been backed in ridiculously chelsea,southampton,swansea,swindon just to name a few.
By:
smithy91
When: 08 Dec 12 15:14
torres has scoredCry hope my other bets will level things up
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 08 Dec 12 15:21
Cant find any overpriced 0-0 with decent liquidity in later games, worst day i can remember in a while. . .
By:
green army
When: 08 Dec 12 15:33
yeah bad day , sunderland then arsenal score when i had some nice CSs on west brom , a dive apparently , tranny ahead tho smithy - they did look a big price v pompey
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