General Betting
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as the other one has died, if anyone's interested in posting trading ideas - no abuse please i admit what i am , i'm a member of AA (Aftertimers Anonymous) - i've been to my meeting already today - "I'm Green Army & I'm an aftertimer" - they all clapped and we congratulated each other for being on swansea on saturday
FWIW I reckon wigan are too high at 4 as newcastle have lost their last 4 and were v poor v swansea in the last home game - the stats show a low scoring game wigan 1-0 at 14 for me
the draw at 12 for chelsea on wednesday i think is too high too & Udinese 4.2 v liverpool looks big - i realise its caveat emptor with the reds but Udinese are a good Serie A side that won at anfield and i believe a win will put them thru and knock the reds outs (ie i think its GD between the teams in the 2 games rather than in the group ? - apologies if thats not right)
and a bit of fun on bayern v bate - i took 970/1 on 3-1 bate - thats the score bate beat them by in the reverse fixture and this game doesn't matter - this time next year.........
FWIW I reckon wigan are too high at 4 as newcastle have lost their last 4 and were v poor v swansea in the last home game - the stats show a low scoring game wigan 1-0 at 14 for me
the draw at 12 for chelsea on wednesday i think is too high too & Udinese 4.2 v liverpool looks big - i realise its caveat emptor with the reds but Udinese are a good Serie A side that won at anfield and i believe a win will put them thru and knock the reds outs (ie i think its GD between the teams in the 2 games rather than in the group ? - apologies if thats not right)
and a bit of fun on bayern v bate - i took 970/1 on 3-1 bate - thats the score bate beat them by in the reverse fixture and this game doesn't matter - this time next year.........
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Give me odds on hejik posting on this thread.
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hi green army nice thread I've been busy this weekend so most of my bets were left to run through the 90. I will post my bets shortly
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hejik that is abuse, I have specifically asked for no abuse here - post again and I will report this to betfair and ask for all users from your URL to be deleted
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hi smithy lets hope for some imformative stuff - and no abusers - can do without it
i see the markets reacted early to suarez absence at w ham on saturday - he should play on thusday tho - even so 4.2 for a side as good as mebbe swansea looks big particularly as they beat lpool fair and square at anfield |
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The extent of Green Army's football trading knowledge
 http://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/29109559/league-1-play-offs-sheff-utd-30---huddersfield-345?liveView=0 On first page so everybody can view it and make their own decisions |
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Green Army have you used PuntersLounge before? its a decent forum with rules, good convo, plenty of separate topics/forums.
not a lively as ere but still worth lookin into.. |
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Well Done GA cracking thread title
As a member of AA I can report good trading with Leicester shortening on Saturday teatime and also took a few quid out of Leeds doing the same at Huddersfield 3rd Aussie test proved very lucarative just wish Id had the balls to lay the draw at 4.3 on day one and even biggers balls to plough more on SA before I went to bed last night. I transfered the money to the Oz wallet and then bottled out as I was about to load up all my bank at 1.27 Turned TV on this morning and the Aussies are 9 down. !.27 my bottom they should have been 1.1 tops Still a very good weekend Next up has got to be lay the draw 3rd test in India. Just laid a large portion at 3.35 |
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Careful with your Udinese bets, according to UEFA.com they cannot qualify for the knockout stages.....
Udinese Calcio are out, but can take Liverpool FC down with them in their final Group A game, with the Reds seeking to deny BSC Young Boys a UEFA Europa League round of 32 slot. Group A permutations • Anji are through as even if they are caught by both Liverpool and Young Boys, the Russian side would finish second behind the Reds in a three-way head-to-head. • Liverpool are second on head-to-head record ahead of Young Boys and will qualify with a win. A draw would also take them through provided Young Boys do not win. Liverpool would be out with a defeat, even if Young Boys lose, as YB would be top of a three-way head-to-head involving the Reds and Udinese. • Young Boys will be through if they pick up more points than Liverpool. They will also qualify if both they and Liverpool lose as YB will be top of a three-way head-to-head involving the Reds and Udinese. • Udinese are out. |
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thanks chaps - remember one day at a time
i need to check that udinese stuff out |
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i like your thinking stickon. is there any rerason we can't get another green on the cricket. the draw has already drifted like a barge.
Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Soccer / Norwich v Sunderland : Match Odds 02-Dec-12 16:00 02-Dec-12 17:54 -165.00 Soccer / Alfreton Town v L Orient : Match Odds 02-Dec-12 15:15 02-Dec-12 17:10 -127.50 Soccer / Burnley v Blackburn : Correct Score 02-Dec-12 12:30 02-Dec-12 14:26 143.25 Soccer / Burnley v Blackburn : Match Odds 02-Dec-12 12:30 02-Dec-12 14:26 220.67 Soccer / Anzhi Makhachkala v CSKA Moscow : Match Odds 02-Dec-12 09:30 02-Dec-12 11:23 243.32 Soccer / Real Madrid v Atl Madrid : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 21:00 01-Dec-12 22:51 300.82 Soccer / Reading v Man Utd : To Score 01-Dec-12 17:30 01-Dec-12 19:37 -198.25 Soccer / Reading v Man Utd : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 17:30 01-Dec-12 19:22 -70.50 Soccer / Leicester v Derby : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 17:20 01-Dec-12 19:12 -99.00 Soccer / Reading v Man Utd : First Goalscorer 01-Dec-12 17:30 01-Dec-12 18:29 47.70 Soccer / Preston v Gillingham : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 17:20 -165.00 Soccer / Crewe v Burton : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 17:03 143.10 Soccer / Liverpool v Southampton : To Score 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 17:02 3.87 Soccer / Nottm Forest v Hull : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 17:02 143.10 Soccer / Coventry v Morecambe : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 17:00 -96.00 Soccer / QPR v Aston Villa : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 17:00 143.10 Soccer / Watford v Barnsley : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 16:58 -115.50 Soccer / Millwall v Charlton : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 16:56 143.10 Soccer / Liverpool v Southampton : Asian Handicap 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 16:55 143.10 Soccer / Torquay v Dag and Red : Match Odds Unmanaged 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 16:54 143.10 Soccer / West Brom v Stoke : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 16:54 -397.50 Soccer / Fulham v Tottenham : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 16:54 -0.16 Soccer / Man City v Everton : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 16:53 -0.83 Soccer / Arsenal v Swansea : Asian Handicap 01-Dec-12 15:00 01-Dec-12 16:51 143.10 Soccer / West Ham v Chelsea : To Score 01-Dec-12 12:45 01-Dec-12 14:41 -351.98 Soccer / West Ham v Chelsea : Match Odds 01-Dec-12 12:45 01-Dec-12 14:37 -120.00 Soccer / West Ham v Chelsea : First Goalscorer 01-Dec-12 12:45 01-Dec-12 13:32 111.50 Soccer / Birmingham v Middlesbrough : Correct Score 30-Nov-12 19:45 30-Nov-12 21:41 -0.05 Soccer / Birmingham v Middlesbrough : Over/Under 6.5 Goals 30-Nov-12 19:45 30-Nov-12 21:41 38.79 Soccer / Catania v AC Milan : Match Odds 30-Nov-12 19:45 30-Nov-12 21:38 49.09 a nice roller coaster weekend  . yes i layed watford and they won 5-0. was dissapointed stoke won at west brom thought 3.65 was short on them considering they hadn't won away since march and west brom had only lost to man city at home. i couldn't understand why any unquoted scoreline was 2nd favourite in the correct score market for burnley vs blackburn. i expected a tight derby and thats what it was. a text from my dad saying "no room tight game" enabled me to slowly trade small bits back as the first half progressed from my seat in the pub. the only game i traded in play was suprisingly anzhi vs cska moscow. and what a strange game it was it looked to me as if it was fixed to finsish 0-0 so i had no option but to lay cska as they just had no interest in scoring. they then were reduced to 10 men for persistant fouling. a full list of champions league and europa league fixtures this week plus the cricket. all is well |
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hejik an adminstrator is investigating my complaint and pending the outcome I would ask you to refrain from posting on this thread
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Think hejik might go if ga has reported him afterall he cant have any complaints now what with the title of the thread. . .
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the cricket is fascinating
first i've been thinking on SCOMs historical stats on laying the draw in worldwide test matches - the return over the last 10 years is unreal - i think the average price for profitability is around 3.5 but of course every match must be taken on its own merits for this one however - check this out from the guardian- Over breakfast the Times of India declared that Prabir Mukherjee, suddenly the most famous curator in the world, had been "gagged". Two hours later he was exchanging high fives with the cricket correspondent of the Sun down at the Indian's beloved Eden Gardens. Mukherjee, a young 83-year-old with a back as straight as a stair rod, came over for a chat. He did not look ill; he did not look disillusioned; he would not be gagged. He is responsible for the pitch for the third Test, which starts on Wednesday, and for the past two days he has dominated the frenzied news channels here. India's captain, MS Dhoni, has been called "immoral" by Mukherjee; he expressed discontent with his employer, the Cricket Association of Bengal; he was none too happy with the BCCI and he was threatening to take a month's leave. After all those years at Eden Gardens, he did not like being told how to do his job. Now he has been mollified, though this required a visit to Kolkata's cricket potentate, Jagmohan Dalmiya. Mukherjee declared that good batsmen and good bowlers would excel on his pitch – mind you, they always say that. But he also admitted that the Test pitch was used by Bengal as recently as 20 November, the last day of their Ranji Trophy fixture against Gujarat. That ended as a remarkable draw after Gujarat recovered from 18 for five to 272 for eight in the second innings. By English standards, this most definitely constitutes a "used" pitch. It would be unthinkable for a groundsman in England to provide a Test wicket that had only been used a fortnight before. At Eden Gardens the bowlers' footprints on the way to the crease are still clearly visible. So the choice of this strip of turf has added to the pitch paranoia, which has filled the long lull between Tests rather nicely. Yet it is probably a mistake to anticipate that the Eden Gardens surface will be quite so friendly to spinners as the one in Mumbai. In their last three matches here India have declared with scores in excess of 600 and it is unlikely to be a batsman's graveyard this time round. There will be turn; it will be slower than in Mumbai. We are just not so sure how early in the match that turn will come to pass. Perhaps on a used wicket it will happen a little earlier than usual. |
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did anyone just catch the list of arsenal players not travelling for tomorrow - sounded like all of them ! - grabbed what 2.9 i could
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GTFI baltis sister , whooooooooooooshhhhh
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I had £17,000 on that Roadrunner
Easy money Was going to put it on Ebble but when I saw the result I changed my mind  |
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go and find someone else to play with
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someone whos upto your intellectual standard dumb ####
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sorry?
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For the Administrator this is my 2nd request for hejik to refrain from posting on this thread
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Why should I not post on the thread Green Army?
I have not broken any rules at all |
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hejik, when I first saw you posting, I honestly thought to myself, "hmm, that poster seems sharp and intelligent, and he seems to know his stuff".
Well, since then it's all changed, hasn't it? You've allowed yourself to descend into unwanted "noise" on each thread you visit and it's something of a shame. You had some valid points at the start of all this debacle, but it's long been lost in the childish name calling and abuse between the two of you. Why don't you be the bigger man and let it go now? I know you're capable of that. Or is your intention to stalk GA from this point onwards regardless of what or where he posts? If so, what really is to be gained from that? I'd like to see you back posting the decent, intelligent stuff that you used to post. All this nonsense is surely beneath you. |
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fortrose aademy went whooooooooooosh tipped that for my
pro freind, guess what he liked lastkingscotland, hes such expert, wouldnt be suprised if he done the forecast. hejik |
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ebasson
thankyou for your kind words  this all began on the other thread when I tried to point out that the prevailing view on how to apply stats, advocated by users on that thread was fundamentally wrong. I was met with ridicule and abuse by a number of posters, notably Green Army. In the first instance, the response from other posters should never have been "you are thick, my 8 year old is brighter than you, you don't know what you're talking about". As a result, I felt it only just to embarrass the posters that mocked me by pointing out what utter rubbish they were talking. Don't get me wrong it doesn't "hurt my feelings" or anything silly like that. We're anonymous people on an internet forum after all. But Green Army in particular wanted to play this game and so we played. I've lost interest now and would like to think I've proved a point and provided no further antagonistic comments I am happy to contribute in a constructive manner. |
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I think that's the right approach. I'm sure - given the chance - you both have sensible and decent things to contribute.
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trying to absorb the significance of the shenanigens with the groundsman at Eden Gardens - with india knocking up 600 plus in the last 3 tests here then at 3.25 i may give the draw a miss or at least wait until the end of the first 2 sessions
newcastle have been well supported today - maybe because cisse is back or the supertitious backing the 14th team with 14 points playing their 14 game and on 14 goals and olympiakos in from 3 to 2.58 today, i was lucky enough to be around when the team news hit - any ideas on the Utd line-up on wednesday , with utd qualified, the manchester derby on sunday & cluj desperate to win 5.9 cluj could be supported - high scoring CSs should be popular too esp after sunday |
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if anyone wants to bicker why not bicker between each other via private messages? save clogging up threads with personal battles.
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oh and as soon as the arsenal team news hit i ran upstairs onto the laptop.
gotta be on your toes at times like that. |
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yeah come on everyone lets just draw a line under everything and start with a clean slate, after all we are all here for the same reason..
on the cricket im waiting a little while..if its a road, then all it takes is for both sides to score 450 plus, and the draw is a big price, so you really need to watch for at least the opening session |
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carlos yeah i think the news hit the wires around noon yet when i posted above at 2pm 2.88 was still freely available
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latest table (sample 189 tests..figures not net of commission)
laydraw +£1888 lay2fav +£103 laydog -£328 backfav -£474 layfav -£883 back2fa-£1458v backdog -£1615 backdraw-£3509 |
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oh and £100 units
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SCOM are your lays to liability £100 or return £100?
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the figures are based on £100 backs and £100 lays (fixed return)
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once again though i have to give the credit to crunchyfrog from the cricket forum, he has been collating these for about 3 years now
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think i'll set the alarm for lunchtime (6.30ish ?) and tune to TMS to see what Sir Geoffrey reckons about the wicket
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scom- what are your thoughts on team selection... Finn for Broad? Personally would like to see it but worried that they'll not want to go in with three 'no. 11's' (Finn, Monty and Jimmy) and they'll give Broad the nod instead.
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