General Betting
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Football trading
Football trading
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you make some very bold statements without a shred of proof....does this forum really mean this much to you? if it does, fair do's, it just smacks of well it just seems sad and not at all healthy, but hey i'll let you get on with it and i'll take comfort in the fact if youre following me around like a love sick puppy, it means youre leaving others alone..enjoy your ermm life?
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you can't help but post SCOM
the burden of proof lies with the ones making claims of bold profits "£1000 a week profit thread" states smithy and doesn't pay PC does he?  |
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no you're right henry you deserve a full reply only i blocked you and i cant be bothered to look back - so whjat was the question ?
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You didn't block me but I'll humour you
1.) What's more likely? a) "Green Army" is right and the entire market has it wrong after MILLIONS and MILLIONS of pounds exchanged hands worldwide. or b) After MILLIONS AND MILLIONS of pounds exchanged hands worldwide, the market has found it's level and in fact "Green Army" is wrong 2.)Do you believe the fact there are more goals in Barcelona matches than Roma matches means that the 0-0 should therefore be shorter on Barcelona matches? |
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Back to the original poster and the general statement "football trading".
Overall i'd say its difficult to "trade" in football; it doesn't have the ebb and flow that cricket, tennis, NFL (and presumably some others) have - where the prices flucuate quite frequently, and quite sharply. I also found "trading" on football for me is hoping a goal was/wasn't scored within a set period so I could green out, and place percentage of green on something with some decent odds. Not exactly trading, but the only way I make it pay - always with small amounts. Combination of small wins, followed by a biggish loss but overall it doesn't exceed the total of the combined wins. Obviously not my chief focus on here, just a side-job. Really I'm saying, what is there "trade", is more akin to pure betting. |
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certainly did block you - i dont lie & dont really understand why anyone would lie - thats the difference between us
anyway, 1) thats easy - i'm always right 2) are we looking at the actuarial "goals" probability in terms of eg the sinclair paradigm, or as a function of a weighted median outcome ? |
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I'm really asking you to state if you think think these statements are correct Green Army
1) "it doesn't matter who scores the goals for the 0-0 price there are simply more goals in barca games - around 4.4 v 3.8 for roma and 5.3 v 4.1 if you're looking at away games I agree the goal expectancy is higher for roma games than barca, my point is that unless somebody knows something we don't then the stats show that these comparative expectations are simply wrong" 2) "it is irrelevant if roma ship more goals for 0-0 if you are referencing avge goals per game, a goal is a goal and its 0-0 no longer, whoever score" 3) "its a simple proposition, in any given game at home away or on the moon there's more goals in barca games than roma games, hence the 0-0 sb lower in roma games, it hasn't been and i have no idea why" Just a Yes or a No will do So far your best answer was fairly vague and makes little sense - "on a saturday afternoon 2 football matches take place , in one game some goals are scored, in the other game no goals are scored , which game ended 0-0 ?" |
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and i'm saying to you henry , when the mathematical menu is put in front of you , which hors d'oeuvre do you plump for , the wiseman probability trade-off or the delacroix empirical model ?
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again you are avoiding the question
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cartesian dualists do not dodge issues - i merely wish to understand the anatomical framework that underpins your argument, i mean are we arguing this in the context of vectors or vortexes, its your call
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it's not an argument it's a question
it requires a "Yes " or a "No" |
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I appreciate your position is difficult because you will look an idiot if you say "yes" and you can't say "no"
So instead you are attempting to avoid answering altogether |
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shanedontbegreedy
sticktothemysterysystem |
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ok henry , here goes , .... err , what was the question again ?
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Green Army Biggest chancer on the forum http://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/29109559/league-1-play-offs-sheff-utd-30---huddersfield-345?liveView=0 |
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hejik and kenilworth, I would like to thank you for exposing these frauds. If it wasn't for your intervention the muppets would have gone on and on with the guesswork, aftertiming, fake P&L's and blatant lying for another 100 odd pages (with little to none serious analysis). You have also probably saved some lurkers and newbies from following the bets they put up and losing a lot of money.
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Thanks Yomomma
Sometimes it IS important to make a point of things Have to ignore the abuse you get from them and treat it as a natural reaction to being exposed In all fairness, I only carried on what Kenilworth started so any credit should go to him really |
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am i missing something here? werent yommamma and hejik proven to be the same poster several months ago?
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where was this SCOM
please show the thread and/or explain how this proof came about pathetic lies now clearly something to hide here shameful stuff |
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hejik...
Not content with making up bets, SCOM is now making up emails aswell. Where does it end? you talk of proof? hmm dont like it when the shoes on the other foot? |
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it seems only certain threads are allowed to flourish only if they have been approved by a small handful of sour moaners.
if they dont approve they infest it with ****. case in point. |
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WTF!
What has any of this got to do with correct score strategies? I've had varying degrees of success with trading correct scores pre-off. I think if you put enough time into studying the correct score market you can work out patterns , and you can learn to predict certain scores which odds will come down in . e/g last year when Barcelona played away the odds for 0-1 and 0-2 would drift out to about 11.5 through the day and then an hour before kick-off they would come back down to about 9. If you can get good at predicting the right scores to come in you can set yourself up some nice easy trades. It takes a lot of time staring at a page of numbers and watching for movements which is why I don't do it as much now. |