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Bayes.
03 Sep 12 23:29
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Date Joined: 13 Sep 05
| Topic/replies: 718 | Blogger: Bayes.'s blog
In line with my habit of letting others rejoice in my misery:

Tennis: -£141,877.15  Total P&L:  -£141,877.15

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Replies: 100
By:
DStyle
When: 04 Sep 12 00:25
radwanska and kerber?
By:
Bayes.
When: 04 Sep 12 00:28
ahem, maybe.
By:
DStyle
When: 04 Sep 12 00:33
i'm not surprised. the kerber market was technically retarded in the first set.
By:
teo813
When: 04 Sep 12 00:34
think positively, you wont pay any pc for a while...
By:
Bayes.
When: 04 Sep 12 00:38
Both markets were retarded. I'll lay those prices all day.

teo. I'll take 2/1 I pay it this week. For a tenner?
By:
DStyle
When: 04 Sep 12 00:40
rad perhaps less so imho.

kerber was batshit crazy.

it's a foul dilemma to put in a stop loss when you know you're putting up the prices you'd lay the bejesus out of if that was an opening position.
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 04 Sep 12 00:41
ffs i feel your pain Cry
By:
Bayes.
When: 04 Sep 12 00:44
Thing is DStyle, my tissue on arad was shorter, so I had to lay more when it went bonkers.
By:
FINE AS FROG HAIR
When: 04 Sep 12 09:52
What is the derivation of " my tissue " ?
By:
quaks1
When: 04 Sep 12 11:06
yesterday was very bad i lost with kerber game and cricket so for some people yesterday must be a wonderfull day
By:
Glasgow Brian
When: 04 Sep 12 20:46
WHATS DIS ABOOT Happy
By:
catflmasppo
When: 04 Sep 12 21:18
Is that all? I was expecting two commas...
By:
Trevh
When: 05 Sep 12 01:05
Curious as to what your best day ever is Bayes? :)
By:
henok
When: 05 Sep 12 01:37
easy come easy go
By:
Bayes.
When: 05 Sep 12 02:28
My best day ever financially was about +150k.

The "Worst day ever" title was a bit disingenuous really because I'm not that bothered about the money. Good and bad days are not usually defined by money.
By:
Bayes.
When: 05 Sep 12 02:29
Oh, and the +150k day was net, whereas the -140k is gross, and god bless 'em, betfair share the pain with me on this loss.
By:
racingguru
When: 05 Sep 12 08:13
Bayes - I make money at horses and have done so for the best part of 20 years straight (3 full-time) ranging from 6k worst year to 76k best year but have never managed to scale up to your level. Just curious as how long it took you to get to that sort of staking level and profitability. Private message would be just great if you are ok to share that.
By:
Feck N. Eejit
When: 05 Sep 12 08:30
betfair share the pain with me on this loss

They don't really Bayes. Odds on they'll just get as big a slice off the people on the right end of your bets.
By:
TheInvestor2
When: 05 Sep 12 10:38
Bayes.
Date Joined: 13 Sep 05
Add contact | Send message
When: 05 Sep 12 02:28
Joined:
Date Joined: 13 Sep 05
| Topic/replies: 633 | Blogger: Bayes.'s blog
My best day ever financially was about +150k.

The "Worst day ever" title was a bit disingenuous really because I'm not that bothered about the money. Good and bad days are not usually defined by money.


When my girlfriend asks me 'how was your day' on a day I haven't traded, I usually answer 'zero'. Laugh
By:
Bayes.
When: 05 Sep 12 12:10
Lol Investor, that so sums you up.

You're totally correct of course, Feck. It just makes me feel a bit better thinking about it like that.

racingguru. I built a 2-ball and 3-ball golf model in around 1998 and it could just about beat bookie margin and tax. When Flutter and Betfair came along I started making money in the evenings after work (I was a maths teacher). I built some more models and soon was making more outside of work than in. I built my first horse racing bot in late 2004 and my profits soared as I was making money 24/7 rather than just in my spare time. I then developed a few football strategies which were also automated. In 2005 I went part time at work which was a mistake (because I couldn't do either properly). 2006 I gave up work. Since then I have concentrated mainly on manual tennis trading and automated horse racing. The manual stuff is short-termism for sure but we just never know when the rules might change again. Long term automated and semi-automated football is the plan - get that right and everything else is buttons.
By:
bilbobaggins
When: 05 Sep 12 13:00
How much was your best year Bayes- with those sort of figures it must have been massive.
By:
racingguru
When: 05 Sep 12 15:37
So about 6 years full-time. The key is you've found angles on here and been able to automate it. I constantly have to fight the bookmaker system and getting on bets, new accounts etc so will never get to that level. All the best in recouping the losses.
By:
DOUBLED
When: 05 Sep 12 15:39
Joined:
Date Joined: 13 Sep 05
| Topic/replies: 634 | Blogger: Bayes.'s blog
Both markets were retarded. I'll lay those prices all day.

teo. I'll take 2/1 I pay it this week. For a tenner?


WALOFS - Guy loses £142k in a day and expects to win on the week LaughLaugh
By:
Bayes.
When: 05 Sep 12 15:57
Didn't say I expected to win it back. Said I'd take 2/1. More like 8/1 now.
By:
bilbobaggins
When: 05 Sep 12 16:30
Ok - don't want to answer - I'll give you that. Would be fascinating to know.
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 05 Sep 12 17:13
I quit horse racing in late 2004, in 2005 I went back to work part time, and in 2006 my profits disappeared so I entered full time employment.  PlainCry
By:
Bayes.
When: 06 Sep 12 04:39
Today:

Football: £813.66 | Horse Racing: -£79.51  Total P&L:  £734.15
Football: £3,054.34  Total P&L:  £3,054.34
Football: £212.42 | Horse Racing: -£124.56  Total P&L:  £87.86
Horse Racing: £38,334.18  Total P&L:  £38,334.18
Horse Racing: -£1,990.47  Total P&L:  -£1,990.47
Tennis: £88,319.83  Total P&L:  £88,319.83

As you would say DOUBLED, WALOFS.

Wanna lay me that tenner at 2/1?
By:
Lex
When: 06 Sep 12 12:32
for a maths teacher I would have thought it obvious to ditch the horses  Laugh
By:
racingguru
When: 06 Sep 12 15:23
why? - horses is the easiest/only sport to beat by a big margin(and easiest to do your nads on). Don't know any other sport where people can have a profit to stake of around 20%.
By:
Trevh
When: 06 Sep 12 15:58
As you would say DOUBLED, WALOFS.

Wanna lay me that tenner at 2/1?


Heheh Laugh
By:
DOUBLED
When: 06 Sep 12 16:05
Bayes - proves nowt mate as easy to edit figures LaughLaughLaugh
By:
DOUBLED
When: 06 Sep 12 16:07
Today:

Horse Racing: £99,111.81  | Tote:  |   Total P&L:  £99,111.81

WALOFS
By:
JC1326
When: 06 Sep 12 17:30
Hope this makes you feel better, mate. This is my day.


Tennis: -£1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.12 Total P&L: -£1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.12
By:
Feck N. Eejit
When: 06 Sep 12 17:36
Shafted for 12p by the penny thief JC? Talk about kicking a man when he's down. Cry
By:
FINE AS FROG HAIR
When: 06 Sep 12 18:26
Doubled
I'm a bit puzzled why you would think that someone is putting up false loss results, which is after all how the thread started off.
By:
DOUBLED
When: 06 Sep 12 18:31
attention seeking .... simples Confused
By:
FINE AS FROG HAIR
When: 06 Sep 12 18:33
The only thing that would really interest me in all this extremely volatile punting by Bayes is exactly what level of capital he needs to maintain generally in his BF account to indulge in such high stake punting.
Is it hundreds of thousands of pounds or much , much less.
If the former then he is seemingly placing much faith in BF's ability to protect his monies from hackers methinks.
I'm not a techie, and so perhaps I'm wrong in even thinking that keeping large amounts of funds in a BF account is even risky at all.
By:
FINE AS FROG HAIR
When: 06 Sep 12 18:35
Doubled
That has never been Bayes' style.
He has always been prone to understatement, in the past at least.
By:
DOUBLED
When: 06 Sep 12 18:41
attention seeking.. look at me..look at me i can lose a fortune WALOFS Angry
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