General Betting
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I find value every day, there's a lot of it around, but nobody cares about betting on womens basketball and other obscure sports. It just doesn't make for good interest and no bookmaker will want your business if you're cleaning him out on Jai Alai.
In that vain, this is just going to be a thread of bets I perceive to be value in popular and liquid markets. Something you can share with your mates without getting an odd stare, something you can sit down to watch on the weekend with a bottle of Kopparberg Pear.
Such bets aren't as common as the obscure markets which are often mispriced, so this thread won't be flooding with activity. There is also the issue that I may be dead wrong as far as if the bet is value or not. Let's have a go anyway. I'll be going with the most common and biggest bookmakers because anyone can pick out a big error from a fringe bookie that no-one can get more than 10p on with (I will highlight those in brackets just in case).
First off:
Hungarian GP Podium Finish ~ Kimi Raikkonen @ 9/4 General (5/2 Stan James)
In that vain, this is just going to be a thread of bets I perceive to be value in popular and liquid markets. Something you can share with your mates without getting an odd stare, something you can sit down to watch on the weekend with a bottle of Kopparberg Pear.
Such bets aren't as common as the obscure markets which are often mispriced, so this thread won't be flooding with activity. There is also the issue that I may be dead wrong as far as if the bet is value or not. Let's have a go anyway. I'll be going with the most common and biggest bookmakers because anyone can pick out a big error from a fringe bookie that no-one can get more than 10p on with (I will highlight those in brackets just in case).
First off:
Hungarian GP Podium Finish ~ Kimi Raikkonen @ 9/4 General (5/2 Stan James)
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Rugby League ~ Hull KR TB Widnes @ 10/11 Coral
I guess for the sake of simplicity all bets will be settled to a '1pt' level stake.
I guess for the sake of simplicity all bets will be settled to a '1pt' level stake.
Cricket ~ West Indies v New Zealand [1st Test] ~ Draw @ 11/5 Coral
Darts ~ Jenkins v Wade [Highest Checkout] ~ James Wade @ 4/5 Bet365
Football ~ Chelsea v AC Milan [HT/FT] ~ Chelsea/Chelsea @ 10/3 Coral
These are either inspired or barking up the wrong tree! Could make or break the start of the thread.
Rugby League ~ St Helens v Huddersfield:
First Scoring Play ~ Huddersfield Try @ 11/4 Fred
First Try Converted? ~ No @ 13/5 Fred
Team to Score 1st ~ Huddersfield @ 9/4 WH/VC
Race To 10 Points ~ Huddersfield @ 9/2 WH
Anytime Tryscorer ~ Jamie Cording @ 6/1 Coral
Rugby League ~ St Helens v Huddersfield:
First Scoring Play ~ Huddersfield Try @ 11/4 Fred
First Try Converted? ~ No @ 13/5 Fred
Team to Score 1st ~ Huddersfield @ 9/4 WH/VC
Race To 10 Points ~ Huddersfield @ 9/2 WH
Anytime Tryscorer ~ Jamie Cording @ 6/1 Coral
Some more for Widnes v Hull KR:
First Try Converted? ~ No @ 13/5 Fred
Anytime Tryscorer ~ Dave Petersen @ 5/1 Coral
First Try Converted? ~ No @ 13/5 Fred
Anytime Tryscorer ~ Dave Petersen @ 5/1 Coral
how do you measure value, or is this just your opinion?
to measure value - you only need 1 race - if you show a profit - you have nailed it .
All ideas of giving an event odds or perceiving value is down to opinion. I simply believe these prices do not accurately reflect the actual chances of these events happening. It's measured on both stats, current form, opinion and also gut feel.
If I turn a profit, I'm right more than I'm wrong or just lucky. I really don't care whatever the reason is!
If I turn a profit, I'm right more than I'm wrong or just lucky. I really don't care whatever the reason is!
Darts ~ James Wade v Phil Taylor:
Highest Checkout ~ Over 136.5 @ 9/10 Boyl
Handicap ~ Phil Taylor -3.5 @ 8/11 Fred/Tote
Most 180s ~ Phil Taylor @ 8/11 PP
Highest Checkout ~ Over 136.5 @ 9/10 Boyl
Handicap ~ Phil Taylor -3.5 @ 8/11 Fred/Tote
Most 180s ~ Phil Taylor @ 8/11 PP
Hungarian GP Podium Finish ~ Kimi Raikkonen @ 9/4 General WON
West Indies v New Zealand [1st Test] ~ Draw @ 11/5 Coral LOST
Jenkins v Wade [Highest Checkout] ~ James Wade @ 4/5 Bet365 WON
Chelsea v AC Milan [HT/FT] ~ Chelsea/Chelsea @ 10/3 Coral LOST
Widnes v Hull KR
Hull KR TB Widnes @ 10/11 Coral WON
Anytime Tryscorer ~ Dave Petersen @ 5/1 Coral LOST
First Try Converted? ~ No @ 13/5 Fred WON
St Helens v Huddersfield:
First Scoring Play ~ Huddersfield Try @ 11/4 Fred LOST
First Try Converted? ~ No @ 13/5 Fred WON
Team to Score 1st ~ Huddersfield @ 9/4 WH/VC LOST
Race To 10 Points ~ Huddersfield @ 9/2 WH LOST
Anytime Tryscorer ~ Jamie Cording @ 6/1 Coral LOST
James Wade v Phil Taylor:
Highest Checkout ~ Over 136.5 @ 9/10 Boyl LOST
Handicap ~ Phil Taylor -3.5 @ 8/11 Fred/Tote LOST
Most 180s ~ Phil Taylor @ 8/11 PP WON
Staked: 15pts
Returned: 15.89pts
P/L: +0.89pts
Considering I took a bit of a punt on Huddersfield and some long odd try scorers, I think I came out quite well.
West Indies v New Zealand [1st Test] ~ Draw @ 11/5 Coral LOST
Jenkins v Wade [Highest Checkout] ~ James Wade @ 4/5 Bet365 WON
Chelsea v AC Milan [HT/FT] ~ Chelsea/Chelsea @ 10/3 Coral LOST
Widnes v Hull KR
Hull KR TB Widnes @ 10/11 Coral WON
Anytime Tryscorer ~ Dave Petersen @ 5/1 Coral LOST
First Try Converted? ~ No @ 13/5 Fred WON
St Helens v Huddersfield:
First Scoring Play ~ Huddersfield Try @ 11/4 Fred LOST
First Try Converted? ~ No @ 13/5 Fred WON
Team to Score 1st ~ Huddersfield @ 9/4 WH/VC LOST
Race To 10 Points ~ Huddersfield @ 9/2 WH LOST
Anytime Tryscorer ~ Jamie Cording @ 6/1 Coral LOST
James Wade v Phil Taylor:
Highest Checkout ~ Over 136.5 @ 9/10 Boyl LOST
Handicap ~ Phil Taylor -3.5 @ 8/11 Fred/Tote LOST
Most 180s ~ Phil Taylor @ 8/11 PP WON
Staked: 15pts
Returned: 15.89pts
P/L: +0.89pts
Considering I took a bit of a punt on Huddersfield and some long odd try scorers, I think I came out quite well.
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