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General Betting
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These 1824 comments are related to the topic:
CORRECT SCORE LAYING ONLY 2011/2012
CORRECT SCORE LAYING ONLY 2011/2012
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SHOTS on goal etc etc
Someone had a thread using this FACTOR to try to "predict" a goal coming etc |
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BOT selection
Fixtures 03 December / Nice v Rennes / Correct Score 2 - 0 Lay 17389165547 03-Dec-11 21:00 3.95 6.61 3.9 03-Dec-11 21:00 |
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BOT selection are LAYs of current HT score (the HT score is the only factor ... almost).
Human selections are based on GOAL EXPECTANCY stats ... may try to automatize this as well but I could not find yet the "magic formula"  |
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Most of the Human selections ........
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Red card Rennes ... probably the score will stay 2-0
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Eliminated liability in LANUS game on 0-1 lay
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GAME 22 in current run.
Fixtures 03 December / Colon v Racing Club / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 03-Dec-11 22:00 8.8 15.00 8.8 03-Dec-11 22:00 ================================================================== COLON appear to play reasonably well every 2nd game.....So hoping this is a game where they don't play well  MGOFS is 1-2.GL with bets. |
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DAY 15: +5.07
Soccer / Nice v Rennes : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 20:00 03-Dec-11 21:54 -19.17 Soccer / Cercle Brugge v KV Kortrijk : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 19:00 03-Dec-11 20:56 9.53 Soccer / Sint Truiden v Mons : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 19:00 03-Dec-11 20:55 4.76 Soccer / Groningen v NEC Nijmegen : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 17:45 03-Dec-11 19:34 5.75 Soccer / Stuttgart v FC Koln : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 17:30 03-Dec-11 19:22 11.66 Soccer / KSV Superfund v Rapid Vienna : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 17:30 03-Dec-11 19:21 -58.00 Soccer / Bristol City v Middlesbrough : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 17:20 03-Dec-11 19:20 9.53 Soccer / Gijon v Real Madrid : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 17:00 03-Dec-11 18:53 5.75 Soccer / Celta Vigo v Sabadell : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 17:00 03-Dec-11 18:46 5.75 Soccer / Elche v Barcelona B : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 15:00 03-Dec-11 16:52 -24.55 Soccer / Wigan v Arsenal : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 15:00 03-Dec-11 16:37 10.64 Soccer / Freiburg v Hannover : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 14:30 03-Dec-11 16:22 -3.00 Soccer / Wolfsburg v Mainz : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 14:30 03-Dec-11 16:21 5.32 Soccer / Varese v Brescia : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 14:00 03-Dec-11 15:55 10.64 Soccer / Livorno v Verona : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 14:00 03-Dec-11 15:52 5.32 Soccer / Modena v Vicenza : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 14:00 03-Dec-11 15:51 5.32 Soccer / Crotone v Sassuolo : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 14:00 03-Dec-11 15:50 5.32 Soccer / Eintracht Frankfurt v Karlsruhe : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 12:00 03-Dec-11 13:50 9.53 Soccer / Las Palmas v Villarreal B : Correct Score 02-Dec-11 20:00 02-Dec-11 21:55 4.97 DAY 1-5: +127.94 DAY 6 : +38.12 DAY 7 : +11.19 DAY 8 : +26.65 DAY 9 : -93.73 DAY 10 : -1.97 DAY 11 : +34.57 DAY 12 : +64.57 DAY 13 : +35.74 DAY 14 : -106.91 DAY 15 : +5.07 ================ TOTAL : +151.24 I would blame myself for only one bet, on the austrian match, but only because the league is not so well known. Both team tried to score, there were some good chances but ... no goal. As DFC said I must be more careful with the bets on the low-level leagues ... |
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WD PJ ....and tough luck on RED CARD acornel
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Inter missed a penalty at 90' ... luck is needed on CS LAYs
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Away team also missed a penalty just before that at 0-1......and keeper moved forward before ball was struck......so LUCKY and UNLUCKY with that match.
RED CARDS are what cause HITS usually......though they work in favour and against you so I suppose it evens out in long term....but it is hard to take a HIT when RED CARD effects result.... At least you are in PROFIT on day and not in LOSS position A  |
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0-1 RACING CLUB ...so switching off nowwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww.
Will post results tomorrow. About £ 85 PROFIT today off FOOTBALL......so just need to keep run going.... Cheers the noooooooooooooooo |
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Results SO FAR-
DAY 1 Soccer: -£136.63 DAY 2 | Soccer: £53.47 DAY 3 Soccer: £11.44 DAY 4 Soccer: £25.25 DAY 5 Soccer: £23.82 DAY 6 Football: -£78.54 DAY 7 Soccer: £55.04 DAY 8 Soccer: -£0.32 DAY 9 Soccer: -£150.48 DAY 10 Soccer: £35.25 DAY 11 Soccer: £33.99 DAY 12 Soccer: £60.98 DAY 13 Soccer: £62.90 DAY 14 Soccer: £20.50 DAY 15 Soccer: £85.84 Soccer Showing 1 - 12 of 12 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Soccer / Colon v Racing Club : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 22:10 04-Dec-11 00:00 14.29 Soccer / Lanus v Olimpo : Match Odds 03-Dec-11 20:00 03-Dec-11 21:49 -6.00 Soccer / Lanus v Olimpo : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 20:00 03-Dec-11 21:48 9.72 Soccer / Inter v Udinese : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 19:45 03-Dec-11 21:38 8.69 Soccer / Barcelona v Levante : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 19:00 03-Dec-11 20:14 -2.00 HEDGE BET Soccer / Barcelona v Levante : Half Time Score 03-Dec-11 19:00 03-Dec-11 19:39 9.53 Soccer / Aston Villa v Man Utd : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 17:30 03-Dec-11 19:32 -10.14 OPTED OUT INITIAL LAY WHICH WOULD HAVE WON Soccer / Stuttgart v FC Koln : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 17:30 03-Dec-11 19:22 -4.00 HEDGE BET Soccer / Bristol City v Middlesbrough : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 17:20 03-Dec-11 19:20 11.44 Soccer / Stuttgart v FC Koln : Half Time Score 03-Dec-11 17:30 03-Dec-11 18:17 22.87 Soccer / QPR v West Brom : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 15:00 03-Dec-11 16:53 14.29 Soccer / Newcastle v Chelsea : Correct Score 03-Dec-11 12:45 03-Dec-11 14:44 17.15 ============================================================= CUMULATIVE PROFIT after 15 days £ 105.51 BANK position after 15 days ( funds input £300) is £ 405.51. ====================================================================== So far on current run of bets have managed to dodge a HIT. I don't recognise the small loss made by me opting out the initial lay 0n 1-1 in MU game, as had I left initial bet alone it would have been a winner. Some BAD and GOOD LUCK in INTER game.......as away team should have made it 0-2 with late penalty.....but keeper moved before ball struck and saved it, but ref never saw him move. INTER then had a penalty awarded in last min of match roughly....and it was a total miskick by eejjiiitttt who took it  Now have managed to get bank up to over £400, will try to limit liability on any game to £100 and try to get to the £500 level. Once at £500 level will aim for £600........then probably will up liability per match to £150 etc etc. GL with bets today. |
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The £6 lost on LANUS game was me BACKING late in match as thought the away team might get late goal........Had to use MATCH MARKET to cover the liability on 0-1 initial lay.
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GAME 23 in current run.
Fixtures 04 December / Atl Madrid v Rayo Vallecano / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 04-Dec-11 09:47 9 5.35 9 04-Dec-11 09:47 Fixtures 04 December / Atl Madrid v Rayo Vallecano / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 04-Dec-11 09:42 8.8 6.65 8.8 04-Dec-11 09:42 Having disposed of CELTIC in mid-week........suspect ATH MAD will want to keep winning going and are likely to score at least 2 goals against a team that struggles to score away. Having said that.....they seem to score against teams that attack......so I believe they will score today. MGOFS is 3-2. GL with bets. |
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GAME 24 in current run.
Fixtures 04 December / Catania v Cagliari / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 13.5 8.00 13.5 04-Dec-11 09:50 ========================================================================= H to H record indicates home team usually does reasonably well......so fair chance home team scores. They scored 2 against NAPOLI ( though perhaps N put out weak team due to CL game priority etc )....and beat them 2-1. CALGARI don't appear to be in good form , so if home team puts them to sword they may capitulate ! MGOFS is 2-1. GL with bets. |
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GAME 25 in current run.
Fixtures 04 December / Cardiff v Birmingham / Correct Score 2 - 2 Lay 04-Dec-11 09:58 17 6.20 17 04-Dec-11 09:58 ======================================================================= BIRM having lost 1-0 in mid-week to BRAGA might feel the effects of that game.....and are likely to play a defensive game. CARDIFF should be up for this match....and fancy winning. They may however play a waiting game.....keeping match TIGHT 1st half....then upping pace 2nd half to try to get a lead. Probably a late goal MIGHT come. MGOFS is 1-0 or 2-1. GL with bets. |
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GAME 26 in current run.
Fixtures 04 December / Bochum v Erzgebirge / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 04-Dec-11 10:05 12.5 8.50 12.5 04-Dec-11 10:05 ======================================================================== BOCHUM very inconsistent...... but they need to try to win this match against a team that doea leak a goal.......I suspect the away team will also fancy winning this match ...and are also likely to score. MGOFS is 2-1. GL with bets. |
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Morning DFC ... good result lately ... keep up!
Istambul BB near the 1st goal ... might LAY 1-0 as well after few minutes from 2nd half ... Fixtures 04 December / Kayserispor v Istanbul BB / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 17393667890 04-Dec-11 11:55 3.95 10.00 3.95 04-Dec-11 11:55 |
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In again
Fixtures 04 December / Kayserispor v Istanbul BB / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 17394480220 04-Dec-11 12:40 1.4 10.00 1.4 04-Dec-11 12:40 |
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FT Calcio Catania 0-1 (0-0) Cagliari Calcio
never watched much of game.....No atmoshere from home fans ....Looked a poor game.... HIT finally in a 0-1 ITALY match..... Can claw £100 back ...almost by end of day ...if LUCK holds out! |
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late goal in turkish match - good start
unlucky catania.... saw cagliari in fire at ht but i do not trust italian teams |
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GAME 1 in new run.
Fixtures 04 December / Juventus v Cesena / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 04-Dec-11 13:36 16.5 18.00 16.5 04-Dec-11 13:36 ==================================================================== Both teams capable of scoring......so suspect a goal comes. MGOFS is 2-1. G L with bets. |
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increased your risk appetite,dfc? biggest liab on thread...
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LAYING 0-0 IP ...as I thought CARDIFF might score last 20 mins....
Fixtures 04 December / Cardiff v Birmingham / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 04-Dec-11 13:55 2.58 9.00 2.58 04-Dec-11 13:55 |
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Sometimes you have to bet the strength of the "belief"......
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Might regret it
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69' Cardiff City
1-0 (0-0) Birmingham City Got it RIGHT and WRONG ...as 1 min out |
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GAME 2 in current run.
Eliminated liability on initial lay in CARDIFF game....so on to this one. Fixtures 04 December / Fiorentina v Roma / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 04-Dec-11 14:02 11 9.00 11 04-Dec-11 14:02 Just believe home team will score. MGOFS 2-2. GL with bets. |
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18' Fiorentina 1-0 (-) AS Roma
Good to get that lay out the way early! |
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BOT selections: lay utrecht 0-2@6.2 liab 64 to win 12.
lay vitesse 3-0 @5.2 liab 25 to win 6 my BOT is more confident a goal coudl be scored in first match |
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lay 0-0 and 0-1 mersin yurdu liab 30 to win 16
mersin should score soon |
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my BOT is on fire...two "easy" bets in netherlands
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lay 0-0 juve @3.9 liab 29 to win 10
juve missed too many chances... |
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lay 0-0 juve @3.9 liab 29 to win 10
juve missed too many chances... |
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wd A....never in doubt...1-0 JUVE
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too late ... mersin 0-1
maybe one more? |
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I'm not going in again on JUVE game....
They should be capable of scoring another ....but will they try? |
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indeed dfc. was ready to lay again ... stats show a veeery big pressure on cesena
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GAME 3 in current run.
Fixtures 04 December / Wolves v Sunderland / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 04-Dec-11 15:59 9.8 12.00 9.8 04-Dec-11 15:59 ================================================================= SUNDERLAND under new coach soon.....so suspect they score today. MGOFS 1-1. Gl with bets. |