General Betting
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So then, 100 days to Christmas and that means I could be well £500 poorer. 
Going to set myself a little challenge of a 4% increase on my bank over the next 100 days.
I've been testing a few laying ideas over the last 4 weeks and although that it a very small ampunt of time it would have produced a minium of 4% a day over the course of the 4 weeks, not saying I've found an edge but near enough to what I feel is enough of one to make a small percentage each day.
I'll be starting with a bank of £500, as this is enough to care about if I do lose it but not enought to lose any sleep over.
This will be strictly be on 'Nags' and hopefully it will be a 'Happy Christmas' all round.
First bet for a 2% increase is a lay of Hotham in the 15:20 at Ayr at 34 for £10.48
Good Luck[;)][;)][;)]
Going to set myself a little challenge of a 4% increase on my bank over the next 100 days.
I've been testing a few laying ideas over the last 4 weeks and although that it a very small ampunt of time it would have produced a minium of 4% a day over the course of the 4 weeks, not saying I've found an edge but near enough to what I feel is enough of one to make a small percentage each day.
I'll be starting with a bank of £500, as this is enough to care about if I do lose it but not enought to lose any sleep over.
This will be strictly be on 'Nags' and hopefully it will be a 'Happy Christmas' all round.
First bet for a 2% increase is a lay of Hotham in the 15:20 at Ayr at 34 for £10.48
Good Luck[;)][;)][;)]
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GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:20 5f Hcap Hotham Lay 16342496226 16-Sep-11
15:18 34 10.48 34 16-Sep-11 15:18 |
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Well done just make sure you play nice and steady (I will try to as well
 ) so that you last the 100 days ... |
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Cheers Undern..
2nd bet is a lay of Cara's Request in the 15:55 at Ayr at 12.0 for £10.49. Good Luck |
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GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:55 6f Hcap Caras Request Lay 16343182520 16-Sep-11
15:55 12 10.49 12 16-Sep-11 15:55 |
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End of Day 1 - Balance is £520.03 (+£20.03)
Bloody long way to go!!!! |
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I will try to give as much notice in the morning on what the 2 races are but may not be able to give a selection until nearer the off. Just for anyone that fancies Caviar instead of Turkey for Christmas dinner.
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GL mate
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Cheers Nasri...
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Selected races will be the 14:15 and 15:20 at Ayr.
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3rd bet is a lay Ginger Ted in the 14:15 at Ayr £10.89 at 25.
Good Luck!!! |
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what was your liability!?
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@paulme
2011-09-17 14:17 16357230049 2011-09-17 14:09 GB Ayr 17th Sep / 14:15 6f Hcap / Ginger Ted Lay 25.00 10.89 Won 10.89 530.92 Bet 3 complete. Balance is £530.43 bet four for hopefully another 2% on the balance in the 15:20 at Ayr. |
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£530 risk. ouch. good luck
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@Paulme, Liability was £261.36
Bet 4 as I'm off out is a lay of Below Zero in the 15:20 at Ayr at 42 for £11.11. Liability of £455.51 Good Luck |
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this is kinda like my horse laying original challenge. £100 to £1000
laying 40-1 shots all in. always went bust |
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As I said Paulme, I tested it over the course of the last 4 weeks and every day I got the 2 lay selections beat. I know anything can happen and obviously not every selction will be laying the bank, on my criteria these were the two horses came out today, tomorrow it could be a 8.0 and a 13.5 for example.
I'm not denying you need a bit of luck along the way but so far so good and may it continue. 2011-09-17 15:23 16358511372 2011-09-17 14:53 GB Ayr 17th Sep / 15:20 6f Hcap / Below Zero Lay 42.00 11.11 Won 11.11 541.71 Balance at the end of day 2 is aftet the 4.5% deduction £540.21 (+£40.21) [;)][;)][;)] |
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what's your criteria?
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Gowly, your last lay was at odds of 42, what do you think the true odds were?
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@Paulme, I will disclose that after the challenge is over
@Catflmasppo, I'd say that the SP of 28/1 was a fair price. |
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The 2 selected races today are the 14:45 & 15:45 at Fairyhouse.
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OK, Day 3 and a lay for 2% increase of Elusive Lashes at 29 for £11.33 in the 14:45 at Fairyhouse.
Good Luck. [;)][;)][;)] |
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Sorry layed at 28.0
IRE / Fairy 18th Sep / 14:45 7f Mdn Elusive Lashes Lay 16374465214 18-Sep-11 14:41 28 11.33 28 18-Sep-11 14:41 |
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Gowly, you laid at 42 when you think the true price was 28??
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Next one for a 2% increase and to make the daily 4% is in the 15:45 at fairyhouse.
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Yes @catflmasppo obviously I didn't think it would win regardless if it was 1.01 or 50. The reason I thought it should have been closer to 28 as this was the tissue price.
Hope that answers your question. Cheers[;)] |
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6th bet in total and 2nd bet of the day for hopefully another 2% is the lay of Three Am Tour in the 15:45 at Fairyhouse for £11.56 at 8.6.
IRE / Fairy 18th Sep / 15:45 7f Stks Three Am Tour Lay 16375990261 18-Sep-11 15:39 8.6 11.56 8.6 18-Sep-11 15:39 Good Luck. [;)][;)] |
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Yes it does but it doesn't explain why you took the bet knowing it was poor value.
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Day 3 complete!!!
End of day 3 with a final balance is £563.08 (+£63.08) See you all tomororw and just for the record they are all not layed at big odds and because of my criteria they will never be odds on shots in small fields. [;)][;)][;)] |
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You are never going to beable to lay at bookies sp on horses bigger than 5/1.
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Well done so far with your challenge ... will be a very interesting one to watch.
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Cheers Undern.
Bet 7 for hopefuly another 2% is the lay of Cheyenne Red in the 14:50 at Hamilton for £11.79 at 10.5. Good Luck, next bet will be the 14:50 at Leicester. |
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2011-09-19
14:42 16386760416 2011-09-19 14:33 GB Ham 19th Sep / 14:40 6f Hcap / Cheyenne Red Lay 10.50 11.79 Won 11.79 Bet 8 for hopefully another 2% and to make up the daily 4% and finish off day 4 is a lay of Small Steps for £12.03 at 14 in the 14:50 at Leicester. Good Luck[;)][;)][;)] |
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14:54 16386986801 2011-09-19
14:48 GB Leic 19th Sep / 14:50 6f Nursery / Small Steps Lay 14.00 12.03 Won 12.03 Day 4 complete, only danger was Cheyenne Red who was placed 2nd but 7 lengths behind the winner. With a final balance of £585.53 (+£85.83) See you tomorrow. [;)][;)][;)] |
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The two races today will be the 17:00 & 17:30 at Beverley.
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what sort of liability do you have on your picks and is there a minimum field?
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@Paulme, Liability ranges depending a few factors inc. OR, Last 3 runs, form of trainer & jockey and generally a minimum of 16 runners, but a bare minimum of 14.
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ok bet time is it?
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Bet 9 for a furhter 2% is the lay of Yossi in the 17:00 at Beverley for £12.27 at 13
Good Luck. [;)][;)][;)] GB / Bev 20th Sep / 17:00 1m2f Hcap Yossi Lay 16399942214 20-Sep-11 16:50 13 12.27 13 20-Sep-11 16:51 |
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lay odds of 18 now
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