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What you more need is perhaps some of the types that formed the MIT gang that raided the BJ tables in Vegas.
Rebels and misfitseven before they have graduated. Look more for someone who is not likely to graduate and thus not be drawn inexorably into the City perhaps ? |
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quick observations Magician -
c++ is not a skillset widely taught at schools or Unis any more, and anyone good at this can command frankly ludicrous salaries, bonuses and contract rates in the financial world (since there is still a big legacy c++ codebase that nobody enjoys maintaining) similar issue with the London base - frankly a good c++ programmer in London will not want for work any time soon and similar issue with your 'high frequency' skillset demand - direct competition with finance, who will pay silly money for people good at this also your assumption that work in the city starts with a 6am tube to Bank... techies are rarely demanded to put in those kind of hours, unless they are working directly on a trading desk and if you are looking for good maths as will as good tech, you are narrowing the field even further. there is a decent candidate base of people strong and maths and OK at tech, or strong at tech and OK at maths. people who are strong at maths and tech (ie could genuinely work in either area as a professional) will, again, not want for work any time soon |
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And in case you don't know Magician, subversion is quite modestly not pointing out that he is a retired ex-quant.
So he does know a few things about all this. |
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how did you first get a job in the City subversion?
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first City job? that seems such a long time ago now. my background was engineering and tech, so had the maths/tech background they were looking for. started out in non-business roles, studied the financial maths on the job. worked my way closer and closer to the trading floor, until i was as close to the chaos as i wanted to get.
pretty common story really... an engineer disheartened by the lack of good engineering jobs in the UK, lured by the City. |
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Sub
Did you suddenly find yourself shouting obscenities too much too often ? |
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i probably agree with most of what has been said about how (perceived!) better offers will be available to a lot your targets
have you thought about some alternatives? 1 - employ students part time / in holidays? 2 - find gambling enthusiast student / new grad? the one thing that you offer to this kind of candidate is access to capital |
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Probably the best bet would be someone who has retired relatively early from the City, wealth in hand, and looking for a new challenge.
Magician could give him an entree at a pretty advanced level into an apparently proven successful gambling environment. He/she wouldn't have to dick around learning the ropes from the ground up. |
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Buzzer
no not really... assume a few of them are still betting here. Micky Biggs, called me perhaps a year ago for a catch-up (but it might have been longer ago time flies) |
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Subversion.
I have current robots in C++. .net LISP ruby and VBA but in choosing C++/.net as the target going forward (I was informed) opened the widest number of candidates (by a very knowledgeable HFreq city trader) would you not agree that is the best or even a good laungague to base my future robots? I only retired from the city myself 7 months ago... so am well aware of what is on offer there... and sure I can offer more than comparable financial rewards. granted the lifestyle is different and is the career path, but they both may suit some people. |
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city probably use c++ because its fast and they are looking for ultra low latency. titting about with the kernal etc
might be limited extra benefit for betting depends what your apps use. Engineers probably are more familiar with c or c++ these days than comp sci students who woyld imagine would be mostly OO |
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Bredanuk1
every ms counts |
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Magician - I think the advice you've been given is a little oversimplified.
just to give you a bit more about my background (so you can better judge whether I'm full of sh!t or not), towards the end of my career (as I got more senior) I spent quite a lot of time in 'strategic graduate recruitment' roles for the whole 'analytics' based skillset - ie quants, quant developers, and front-office tech, and finding pools of graduate talent to convert into these roles. by 'strategic' it basically meant scouring the various business regions, and has led me to take part in recruiting trips from Oxbridge, to top European Unis, to Indian IITs and mainland Chinese Unis, and even west-coast USA institutions such as CalTech, UC Berkeley and Stanford (just try convincing wannabe future google-founder type Comp Sci grads that they'd rather work in finance!) ![]() its true that quants and HFT in the city still heavily use C++, and in fact there is a lot of C++ used in the city fullstop (although an awful lot of this is now legacy, ie new projects are using C++ less and less). but this is the slightly perverse thing about your ad. areas such as graduate 'quant' courses will often teach C++, and low-level programming areas like electronic engineering may still teach C/C++ since its 'closer to the metal'. but C++ teaching in Comp Sci has been in decline for years, and your ad is specifically asking for a Comp Sci-esque degree. because of this reduction in C++ teaching at Uni level, someone with good C++ definitely can demand a 'premium' in the jobs market compared to other languages (i often ended up looking for raw intellect in the graduate candidates to work for me, and training them in C++ myself) in addition, although C++ is still the 'language of choice' for certain tasks, in others it is overkill. in short be careful of taking techie advice from techies. in my experience, many of them are too keen to relate problems to their own skillsets (if you have a hammer, every problem looks like a nail), and haven't had to actually figure out how to solve problems at a business level, such as how to actually build and retain teams with certain skillsets etc anyway, maybe we should continue this discussion offline? I don't really want to clutter up the forum with too much techie jargon. |
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subversion
Happy to take this offline... but this is also a slightly techie forum. I am less worried about the degree than the skill set - and perhaps in future versions that will be made more clear. to be honest, C++ makes sense as that probably allows the person to dovetail into my existing programmers and robots the most efficient way ( though I am also aware that some programmers say dovetailing into existing code is harder that rewriting it from scratch) is short i need in order of importance. excellent programmer for ms accurate API interaction with BF database management of bet history etc stats/analysis of bet history modelling so if you have a good idea of what graduate course i should target - I can look. if you want to chat... and I would like too, contact me at the email on the bottom of this link https://sites.google.com/site/betfairdata/home |
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In reading this thread, I fear for the world of gambling ( or my world to be more specific) if, to be successful, you need anything remotely like the skillsets, in part or whole, being described/discussed on here.
I suppose one can still hang onto the encouraging fact that apparently although Warren Buffet still has trouble using his office answer phone equipment, he can still apparently manage an operation that makes money head to head against all the quants and traders and hedgies on Wall St. But maybe even his days are numbered ? |
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Incidentally from some books I've read it's more a case of the investment bankers looking in the gambling arenas for talent rather than vice versa.
I hear many an investment bank has used bridge and poker playing skills as good indicators for recruiting purposes. |
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To sub, my last post.
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magician, glad to hear you've jacked the city and are now attempting to go straight. Have you thought about learning programming yourself? Why don't you get yourself a tutor instead?
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In reading this thread, I fear for the world of gambling ( or my world to be more specific) if, to be successful, you need anything remotely like the skillsets, in part or whole, being described/discussed on here.
This highlights betfair's stupidity FAFH. The information available through betfair's API encourages parasitic behaviour and has created a glut of "professional gamblers" who generally supply nothing in the way of real liquidity and know nothing about the sport they're "betting" on. It took betfair 8 or 9 years to realise this but their solution to the problem is as imbecilic as their creation of it. |
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You don't need those skillsets to be a successful gambler but the betfair platform opens up opportunities for programmers and mathematicians to carve out new niches the vast majority of which, I would wager, have a beneficial impact on the platform as a whole.
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FAFH - tbh, I've never been involved with hiring traders directly (mainly wannabe traders, ie dangling the carrot of a possible future trading job after they've put in the hard time in non-trading roles)... but more generally, nearly all revenue generation in financial markets, online gambling, and 'traditional gambling', involve the ability to extract value from systems or games in various ways. so yes the skillsets overlap and are used in recruiting.
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Getafix
Tax implications seem pretty clear, if he joins you as a risk partner it is a syndicate and gambling is tax free. If he joins you as an employee he is a service provider separate from your betting, and your betting remains tax free Needs to be document and structured but seems pretty simple. Seems to me that definitions of what is a "business" are somewhat outdated and in need of revision. Must say that I have sympathy for the argument thatsome players of betting exchanges are avoiding the payment of "levy" even though they are benefitting from the product provided by others.My feeling is that spohisticated operators like The Magician (good bloke he undoubtedly is)are nothing other than "takers" just like BF themselves but whose benefit to others is somewhat less well-defined. The argument that large sums may be put up as "opinion" plays might be put forward as the case for the defence, I guess.Nevertheless, I am left feeling that the existance of such skilled operators must be seriously off-putting to many less sophisticated players who will feel that the cards are stacked against them. In the meantime, the only way forward for those of us who are not "techies" is to continue to find areas of knowledge which cannot be found in data-bases and which can be used to beat the market. The difficulty of the task of beating the market, was nicely illustrated in the BBC prog "The Code" in which 160 people were asked to estimate the number of jelly beans in a jar. Nobody got the anser right but the average of all the widely differing estimates came to only 5 more than the actual number which was something like 4510 if I recall proving how accurate the market can be.To succeed, you must know something important that the market doesn't (yet) know. This particular forum is largely dominated by automated players and i wonder how the share of of winning players is split between types of operator. Anyone like to price up the runners? |
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Feck/cat - re. API-based trading etc... as usual the truth lies somewhere in between.
up to a point, increased liquidity in financial markets via electronic trading has indeed led to smaller spreads, and thus better prices as well as much faster execution for investors. however, beyond a certain point... things change. the speed of trading (millisecond speeds and faster) drove a lot of traditional market makers out of the markets, and now the vast majority is driven by algorithms. we now have a new phenomenon - the 'flash crash'. a spectacular one happened on May 2010 in the Dow Jones. what good is liquidity if it can all disappear in milliseconds? i can't be bothered to write too much on this subject, but there are other problems too. google '2010 flash crash', 'quote stuffing', 'subpennying' for starters. curiously enough, these phenomenon are quite similar to the things Feck often complains about. |
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Feck
While I have coded pretty complex VBA before, it was very hard work, not my skill set and not something I want to do or dedicate my time too. I am much more a gambling man that realises what IT support I need to maximise winning, while minimising hours drip feeding bets into Betfair. Sandown I can understand the argument that some people on here are business like etc. But the law does not make people that are ‘diligent’ gamblers businesses or taxable. It does not even make high frequency traders businesses or taxable. And I have now the legal advice of 3 exceptionally reputable law firms to clarify this. So to me it now seems black and white – thought in the past I was concerned. Granted I am a taker... but I am pretty sure I take in a very symbiotic way for Betfair, as I provide massive amounts of liquidity, across markets and products they need liquidity support in. What makes me symbiotic is a) I almost exclusively supply rather than take liquidity 2) I win at volatile yet low rates – as such Betfair obviously feel I am good for them as they Designed PC2 in a way that did not effect me FAFH The city initially recruited me for my Gambling record and entrepreneurial spirit in that area – but the reality is the city does not want entrepreneurs, and politics of the city largely stifle it... there is little doubt that people than win on BF would win significantly more in the city, if they can overcome two hurdles. 1) Tolerating banking structures and politics – which most would not for the pay they receive there and 2) having the bank and capital to play the city game. (it requires mush more capital than playing Betfair) I do hope in 2-3 years the ‘syndicate’ i am currently looking to build in gambling will win enough to turn some of our attention onto city projects, as those markets are infinity less efficient and sophisticated than Betfair. (granted Betfair is a Vanilla product) |
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Just a few points c++ for api programming is not really required as the speed benefits are effectively lost due to the speed of your internet connection which will always be inferior. Therefore using say c#/vb.net is probably easier and quicker to develop. Though server side calculations etc will be quicker in c++ if there is a need for database connection then going directly through the dbms i.e., tsql sprocs in sqlserver, would be quicker still (except memory intensive processes where it is quicker to "download" data into an app and process). I try to avoid c++ where possible as its easier to create errors and slower to build solid applications... I know my comments are slightly off topic as I know you would like somebody who can dip into previous code but wanted to make this point if it'd help you widen your search?
Sandown, I agree there are probably few opinion players amongst us (I am one). The problem is automation is becoming a necessity due to the platform betfair provides...bets have to be drip fed in to hide large bets from being copied. The opinion players are being unfairly treated (imo - obviously biased lol) as they don't require massive resources from betfair (a check of bets status every minute or so is sufficient) and provide most "real" liquidity but this is another topic and has been discussed elsewhere... The issue of the levy could be easily solved imo if the bha were to develop their own exclusive exchange but I would fear they would get it seriously wrong - I haven't given this any thought as may be obvious?...oops I keep digressing :S |
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Graduation is over-rated
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The difficulty of the task of beating the market, was nicely illustrated in the BBC prog "The Code" in which 160 people were asked to estimate the number of jelly beans in a jar. Nobody got the anser right but the average of all the widely differing estimates came to only 5 more than the actual number which was something like 4510 if I recall proving how accurate the market can be.
Sandown, If you haven't already read it, I highly recommend Surowiecki's book "The Wisdom of Crowds": http://www.amazon.co.uk/Wisdom-Crowds-Many-Smarter-Than/dp/0349116059/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1313150457&sr=1-1 about precisely this subject, and its relation to markets etc. |
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Contrarian
Thanks. I haven't read it so I'll check it out. |
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Yes, great book.
subversion Date Joined: 07 Aug 03 Add contact | Send message When: 12 Aug 11 10:50 Joined: Date Joined: 07 Aug 03 | Topic/replies: 3,685 | Blogger: subversion's blog Feck/cat - re. API-based trading etc... as usual the truth lies somewhere in between. up to a point, increased liquidity in financial markets via electronic trading has indeed led to smaller spreads, and thus better prices as well as much faster execution for investors. however, beyond a certain point... things change. the speed of trading (millisecond speeds and faster) drove a lot of traditional market makers out of the markets, and now the vast majority is driven by algorithms. we now have a new phenomenon - the 'flash crash'. a spectacular one happened on May 2010 in the Dow Jones. what good is liquidity if it can all disappear in milliseconds? i can't be bothered to write too much on this subject, but there are other problems too. google '2010 flash crash', 'quote stuffing', 'subpennying' for starters. curiously enough, these phenomenon are quite similar to the things Feck often complains about. I guess none of those risks exist in betting exchange trading though. Also uncorrelated markets, really are uncorrelated. They don't all start moving in lockstep in times of a 'crisis'. You could say to paraphrase: up to a point, increased liquidity in betting markets via automated trading has indeed led to smaller spreads, with no negative side effects for leisure punters (but negative side effects for winners displaced by bots). |
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www.wilmott.com
will ONLY place adds for LISTED companies... |
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subversion,
The good market makers still make the markets although they now do it after the bots have loaded the money in, how else does the market form accurately? Probably the poor market makers can't compete but that's tough. |
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increased liquidity in betting markets via automated trading has indeed led to smaller spreads, with no negative side effects for leisure punters (but negative side effects for winners displaced by bots)
With the exception of odds aware bots and flies-round-sh1te shell and pea bots, I'd dispute the increased "liquidity". Also, wrt these bot providers of the famous "liquidity", if there's no negative side effects for leisure punters who do they make their money from? |
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I'd say the bots help to create tighter spreads, not just because they happen to be bots, but because the more winners there are competing with each other the tighter the spreads will be.
So leisure punters still lose, but they suffer no negative side effects as they were already losing anyway, and will probably lose less with tighter spreads. |
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Also, wrt these bot providers of the famous "liquidity", if there's no negative side effects for leisure punters who do they make their money from?
Spot on, Investor. Almost by definition, the leisure punters are generally placing negative expectation bets (particularly once commission is factored in). The bots and traders help to keep this negative expectation to a minimal level. Much as you would like a reversion to 110% books, Feck, it's not going to happen. |
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Take a look at the "tight spreads" on horse racing on last5minutes.com and try pinning the tail on the donkey. I suppose these pendulum bots are just doing it out of their love of leisure punters?
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Re: wilmott.com - there is a pretty active forum on there and I'm sure you could generate some interest.
My favourite difference between financial and gambling markets is that in finance it's true, as Keynes' says, that "Markets can remain irrational a lot longer than you and I can remain solvent". Whereas in the world of gambling that race/match/event will happen tomorrow and prove that you were right. ...except when the match was **** and everyone knew except you. Magician - I think you're getting diverted from what you really want, which I believe is a statistician. It sounds like you know enough coding or could rent a coder to build the tools you need. What you're really looking for is someone to sniff out biases with some mathematical rigour, no? |
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I suppose these pendulum bots are just doing it out of their love of leisure punters?
Obviously, virtually all price offerers operating on here are acting entirely out of self-interest (even you, Feck!). It is a feature of a free market, though, that such collective pursuance of self-interest on the part of the 'suppliers' tends to result in a fairer deal for consumers. |
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Fk me, there's two of them.
I can just see it now. A betfair without the famous liquidity. All the layers going 1.8 and all the backers asking for 2.25. They stare at each other across the chasm for the entire 5 minutes up to the off while http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pmdAsL1n6q4 plays on last5minutes.com. You clowns really do believe your own publicity. |
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such collective pursuance of self-interest on the part of the 'suppliers' tends to result in a fairer deal for consumers.
WALOFS |
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What's the alternative?
State-dictated prices? |