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PC Charges yes they really do screw traditional PUNTERS

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Replies: 117
By:
askari1
When: 28 Jul 11 19:45
Do you think that betfair are a bookmaker or not?

If you think they are, the question is why they shd tolerate any consistently winning customer. Surely the losing player wd have got matched at the market price anyway and wd keep on betting, losing slightly less over time.

If you think they are an exchange, the question becomes what proportion of losers' profits is equitable for them to take (and what proportion shd go to the consistently winning players).

That is all the debates over the pc really are: discussions over the terms of a profit share.

And further, most of the discussion takes the form of a haggling over price, like two women in an Indian bazaar--the pc payers do not dispute that bf are entitled to a cut for providing a platform/service, and bf cannot be serious in thinking that they (or some more acceptable partner) are going to replicate every scrap of the pc payer's liquidity.
By:
Feck N. Eejit
When: 28 Jul 11 19:51
the pc payers do not dispute that bf are entitled to a cut for providing a platform/service

This must be a recent development askari Laugh
By:
Rs1
When: 28 Jul 11 19:53
can someone tell me ...as  bet fair have faster feeds on most games ... don't they swipe the 1.01 etc aren't they the real clock beaters  ?
By:
askari1
When: 28 Jul 11 20:03
Feck, they are all saying things like 'at 20% it was tolerable and even an incentive to churn money' but 'at 40% it is inequitable, bf have gone too far, where is the incentive to bet etc.?'

Some of them cannot go elsewhere and are trying it on, like someone haggling at the only market selling whatever they want to buy.

Rs1, they had a bet matching mechanism that could be construed as doing something like this, but were told by regulators to revise its operation to offer bettors something closer to best execution.
By:
Mr.Anderson
When: 28 Jul 11 20:13
Me? I think they are an exchange, but they have announced plans on becoming an integrated bookmaker/exchange. In some markets it's quite common that the price on BF on some selections falls a bit below the best available price at the bookies even before commission has been subtracted meaning that people could decide to bet with a bookie instead.
By:
TheBuilder
When: 28 Jul 11 20:15
Sorry if this sounds stupid , but in the t&c's of the PC

- Bet in more than 1,000 markets

In what time period is this , weekly , monthly or from the start of your account to the present date?
By:
Mr.Anderson
When: 28 Jul 11 20:21
lifetime of the account
By:
TheBuilder
When: 28 Jul 11 20:24
thanks , that means more or less everyone will meet that criteria

how is it possible to find/work out if your commission generated is less than 40% of lifetime gross profits ?
By:
Mr.Anderson
When: 28 Jul 11 20:26
If you don't currently pay the regular PC I think you will have to call/email them and ask.
By:
FINE AS FROG HAIR
When: 28 Jul 11 20:26
Askari
Seemingly many of them on here don't think that BF is entitled to get any of their money.
Quite how that would work as a business model, I'm not too sure.
By:
parrys
When: 28 Jul 11 20:39
dont mind them getting some it but NOT ALL OF IT
By:
parrys
When: 28 Jul 11 20:39
*of
By:
Mr.Anderson
When: 28 Jul 11 20:40
and some seem to think that all winners just are a liability to the exchange, and that it is of zero value if they offer better odds than all the bookies, and all other players on BF
By:
askari1
When: 28 Jul 11 20:46
Mr Anderson, I think they are a bookmaker.

My strategy depends on them being a worse price than the High St and this is a strategy that turns over a conservative 5 million a year.

They are happy for all these pc-paying winners to go and well shd they be. Of course many aren't going anywhere b/c their strategy depends on the liquidity of price-invariant punters on here.
By:
askari1
When: 28 Jul 11 20:48
Someone else will surely offer the same odds.

Granted, there may be MMs on lower-liquidity markets who keep bf's customers playing, and I agree that special terms shd have been set for these people (or rather than pricing shd have been set on some more discriminating basis than simply % of profit paid in charges).
By:
slayerofthe'kins
When: 29 Jul 11 10:15
Someone else will surely offer the same odds.

askari, I think you would be shocked how small a number of people provide a huge amount of liquidity. At the forum christmas party last year on my table alone you could account for 30% of all money matched in the place market. It is the case that mugs have a strong tendency to back rather than lay. If you remove the pros there will be a large imbalance between backing and laying. Now people will step in and start laying because they will see an opportunity, but liquidity would crash for a considerable length of time and in the end you would still have a new set of pros. You just cannot remove them. The nature of the exchange means its inevitable there will always be big winners.
By:
ballabriggs
When: 29 Jul 11 15:58
is still true with crossmatching slayeroftenkins?  everyone back so betfair make price on other selection?
By:
askari1
When: 29 Jul 11 16:24
pumpkinslayer, I understand (or can guess at) how few players there are in size on the lay side, but bf wd surely have done a check on the percentage of charges they pay in relation to profits and set the new pc at a rate that ensures some degree of liquidity for their markets.

The full-bookers i.e. people wanting minimal variance of results and consistent wins who have got over 250k may be genuine losses for bf--but the thinking here is that either they will adopt more up-and-down strategies from race to race, putting their edge to use some other way, or a new class of layers will rise up to replace them.

Or alternatively the exchange will slice and dice backs into lays of opposing runners, poss. on the enhanced sportsbook it will be offering.

As some indication of how few big players there are full stop, I saw that just after most of Glorious Goodwood I was in the top hundred of people collecting points on some half-arsed challenge to win a picnic hamper or a shinbone of Paul Nicholls's most disappointing horse. The top hundred! And I am a recreational player who doesn't bet most days and am almost never below 3.6%!

The suggestion to me is that there are only a handful (between 10 and 20) people who offer liquidity day in, day out on the horse markets (and of those, only three to four offering bets across the board) and that, further, bf wd be fools not to have canvassed those people's opinions carefully on the level of charges they can take in order to remain in the game.

I said nothing about there being or not being big winners or about any tendency for money to move from incontinent gamblers to careful, controlled players w/ a proven strategy.
By:
bf_fananatic
When: 29 Jul 11 16:45
premium charge circ 2011/7 effects and postulations to possible betfair customer groups

betting group    there effect   group  proposed action       result of proposed action   
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
averge punter            nil          migrate                 nil
pc1 payer(max matched)   nil          migrate                 reduced liquidity market 5%(loss of 95%)
pc2 payer(max matched)   pc charge    migrate                 reduced liquidity market 5%(loss of 92%)

conclusion..... there is no where to run that wont result in a considerable loss in profits
when betting at matched maximums (average 93.55 loss)in the other exchanges, betfair liquidity cant be matched!!!
The top guns on here know that.Complaining and moaning are useless policies as words dont
keep big businesses afloat and staff working

Liquidity shown in other exchanges is corruptly represented, the prices are copied from betfair
but the matched figure is based on total possible win and exposure amounts so is say between
6 to 20 times magnified than betfairs, this is done to give bettors a false picture of the other sites liquidity, anyone falling for that is not aware of the truth.

The net result of the pc2 will be greater profit for betfair to put back in the system to fairly
compete with the major hs bookmakers and give incentives to new customers, other exchanges are of little concern and they too will eventually adopt a premium charge when under the weight of housing winners at the levels betfair does.
By:
bf_fananatic
When: 29 Jul 11 16:53
The remarks in the the thread title are illogical as how can 0.01% of customers affected by the pc2
be classed as the traditional punter? whats traditional about using a fairly new platform with current
liquidity and fairness available to constantly make a large profit via auto-trading, complex prediction
betting or laying off considerable sums by bookies, if traditional is used in terms of average puter
than he/she will be unaffected!
By:
askari1
When: 29 Jul 11 17:11
Well, it depends on whether the liquidity from the migrating players can be replaced by other providers.
By:
bf_fananatic
When: 29 Jul 11 17:20
if were all honest theres nothing wrong with the concept that a fair exchange will encourage winning and certainly go against the grain of traditional betting companies that refuse such people
but what do you do as a company when quite a large group make so much money beating all the other players and not giving betfair a chance to make repeated small commission charges from the placing of bets when huge chunks(millions) is withdrawn from the betting account pool.

Do you think the top bettors using advanced software or bookies laying off strong fancied winners
deserve to be supported forever at the expensive of all other customers and betfair, well done betfair for making what is in my view a correct adjustment to the charges of this group, I wouldnt have any problem paying my pc2 if I were as lucky and as lucrative as these information gurus that make a big living out of betfair!
By:
Sandown
When: 29 Jul 11 17:36
If you are a traditional backer with say a strike rate of up to say 40%, the only players who will avoid the 40% PC, as far as I interpret the rules,is if you have a poor NP% on stakes or are a net loser. In which case, the £250k qualifying level for lifetime earnings would be unlikely in any event.

On the otherhand, if the minimum earnings level has been reached, and you are doing better than say 10% return on stakes, have no doubt, you will be liable for the 40% rate.

Apart from the principle of a tax on prodits, its also clear that if you have a strategy where you might benefit from the variance in any period  where you might win, PC at 405 becomes likely. Add on top the inequity attached to sequencing, and the overall conclusion to be drawn isthat  the title of the OP is indeed a correct statement.
By:
pumpkinslayerII
When: 01 Aug 11 23:42
bf_fantastic, a lot of the pros with pass on a decent chunk of the charge to average joes. You will be paying the premium charge too without ever knowing it. But you will be paying, so don't be so quick to think it's good for the majority.
By:
FINE AS FROG HAIR
When: 01 Aug 11 23:49
pumpkin
The imposition of the PC2 onto certain players is not meant to make the exchange any cheaper for other players. It is supposed to be intended to ensure that BF is generating sufficient revenues from these high earning players to reinvest such revenues ( in part if not in whole) into expanding, or at least maintaining, the size of the betting pool, isn't it ?.
By:
pumpkinslayerII
When: 02 Aug 11 00:02
I agree, it is. And I doubt they care if I pay the charge or generate enough commission to cover it. But there are people who are defending it who don't realise that it is bad for everyone.
By:
viva el presidente!
When: 02 Aug 11 00:03
fafh - no, it isn't. even BF don't claim that. when they brought in PC2 they said that they already broke even on the people affected.
By:
FINE AS FROG HAIR
When: 02 Aug 11 00:07
I didn't honestly realize that Viva.
So what spin have they actually used to justify PC2 ?.
A money grab ?
No spin at all ?
By:
viva el presidente!
When: 02 Aug 11 00:12
they essentially say - which is actually reasonable as far as it goes, imo - that they have a right to make a profit from these customers as well.

of course, this begs all kinds of questions as to how you judge the impact of a customer on your bottom line, but that's a different and far more complicated debate.
By:
FINE AS FROG HAIR
When: 02 Aug 11 00:14
You mean they haven't ever mentioned at all that these players are one way draining the pool of betting funds too quickly ?
I thought they had said something like this ?
By:
pumpkinslayerII
When: 02 Aug 11 00:16
It is hard to judge the impact of a customer on your bottom line, but in one market I work it I can safely say if I did match bets, no one would. I am not costing them anything beyond the transaction charge. It's just PR, a load of tosh, and an excuse to make more money. Like they told us the old pc was to spend on advertising which turned out not to be true.
By:
viva el presidente!
When: 02 Aug 11 00:18
no, their line is that PC1 addressed the issue of winners costing more than they paid in commission. PC2 is to make them profitable rather than breakeven.

if I can find it I'll cut and paste the quote.
By:
viva el presidente!
When: 02 Aug 11 00:24
...

Why are you making these changes?
The Premium Charge was introduced in September 2008 to ensure that our most consistently successful customers are charged at least what it costs Betfair to provide the service that they ultimately benefit from.
At 20%, the Premium Charge ensures that we are not subsidising the profits derived by consistently profitable customers. However, breaking-even does not allow us to invest in the Exchange to the extent that we need to, in order to keep upgrading our platform and products, for all of our customers. Betfair is now requiring a small number of our most successful customers to pay a fair price for the service provided.
By:
pumpkinslayerII
When: 02 Aug 11 00:24
Yes, they say that, it doesn't mean it's true.
By:
pumpkinslayerII
When: 02 Aug 11 00:26
If the 480 left tomorrow, betfair profits fron the exchange would go through the floor. We do not cost them money, we make them money. If we were on 0% commission and no fees we would make them money.
By:
viva el presidente!
When: 02 Aug 11 00:35
actually, I'd say some of you cost them money and some of you make them money.

courtsiders and trap betters cost them money; market-makers and anyone pushing books towards 100% make them money.

this is why the terms in which they've couched the debate are meaningless. you can't judge the impact of a player on the bottom line just by their profitability.
By:
pumpkinslayerII
When: 02 Aug 11 00:37
Yes I would wholly agree with that.
By:
bf_fananatic
When: 02 Aug 11 00:41
pps suggesting top earners would leave a top exchange to not pay a charge and go into the desert looking for another lake to bathe in is like saying the Olympic shooting finalists at next years London Olympics are all going to shoot themselves in the foot after they receive there medals!
By:
bf_fananatic
When: 02 Aug 11 00:43
lets hope for there own sakes if they pull any triggers, that they missCool
By:
FINE AS FROG HAIR
When: 02 Aug 11 00:43
But Viva if any player is making consistently high earnings and paying very low charges relative to GP ( say less than 10%), wouldn't it be fair to say that it would be hard to see how BF are making any real money out of them and, furthermore, hard to imagine how they are good for the growth of the exchange.
They're just too skillfull for their own good, assuming they're not "cheaters ".
Unfortunate perhaps, but the majority rules as always ?
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