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bf_fananatic
21 Jul 11 11:40
Joined:
Date Joined: 17 Jul 11
| Topic/replies: 12,682 | Blogger: bf_fananatic's blog
since the intro of the new premium charge there have been several outages of the betfair servers, i can think of several reasons for this but would like users to express theres.

1.....increased activity by traders is hammering the servers.

2.....copycat trading activity is being disrupted between sites

3.....possibly betfair are introducing a new seeding format to the markets and it is being tweaked or repaired!

your thoughts please fellow betfair speculators.
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Report nairda July 21, 2011 11:56 AM BST
where is this " increased activity by traders"?    there by far less turnover
Report bf_fananatic July 21, 2011 12:02 PM BST
hi Nairda, not sure of the figures, have you noticed if you can see any of the markets today for say racing, cant get them up on my browser?
Report RichWill July 21, 2011 12:05 PM BST
I thought all the outages over the last few months were caused by Betfair   moving their servers abroad.
Report Gerbs July 21, 2011 12:09 PM BST
you seem to know a lot about betfair for someone who has been on here for 4 days
Report betting_quant July 21, 2011 12:10 PM BST
4... implementation of new betfair sportsbook

NAP
Report Feck N. Eejit July 21, 2011 12:21 PM BST
Disgruntled betfair geeks attacking the site?
Report flyingkipper July 21, 2011 12:36 PM BST
Betfair employing numptys in their IT Dept as it seems to happen more often than not straight after maintenance has taken place
Report bf_fananatic July 21, 2011 12:47 PM BST
has anyone considered that betfair may face a huge problem and that is if there released information is correct and around 500 bettors have made over £250,000 from the site thats a lot of money paid from revenues, to estimate the amount paid thus far from the available information is difficult as the average amount won information is not available for this group but rest assured it will be much higher than £250,000, against those figures one would have to presume these are lifetime figures as indicated but some bettors will not of been on site from the start of bf so another hidden variable that will cloud the betting groups average profits, so to calculate lets use some estimated as well as released known data.

1.....average top 500 start up around 6 years ago

2.....as some bettors may have amassed fortunes less assume the average to be 3 times the group profit margin of £250,000

so now we arrive at a figure of 500 x 3 x 250,000 which is an estimate of 375 million pounds paid out over the last 6 years or 62.5 million estimated loss in revenues.

this figure is quite large for a company that makes a small margin on its turnover and may be a huge risk to the companies long term stability if the trend is on the up in that the more successful players are having an increased share in all transations(bets) thus having a bigger effect on profits.

only betfair will no the true figures but rest assured it will be a huge sum of money and if you were them what would you do to plug the ever incresing hole in revenues created by the eleite bettors on the site.
Report bf_fananatic July 21, 2011 12:50 PM BST
p.s. above the £62.5 million figure is per annum estimated  by me paid out per annum to the top bettors
Report betting_quant July 21, 2011 12:56 PM BST
bf-fanatic, if you are betfair employee, then you will know that one person took out £7,000,000 last year, over 6 years thats £42,000,000.

I have it on good authority that 3/4 "persons" provide 80% of liquidity on here.

Instead of focusing on the the top 500, concentrate on the top 3/4.
Report bf_fananatic July 21, 2011 1:13 PM BST
betting quant i am not an employee , your revelation is new to me but i did say some earners may be earing quite big, my estimate is for all the over £250,000 band, its a combination of all the top players that will be adding the liquidity, not just 3-4, that amount of players if the only ones playing wouldnt last long on there own, they can only work against the rest of the users on the site, to assume there importance in liquidity fore fits there need for the compnay to place some control on the amount they take from the system against betfairs costs to allow them amd others to operate is nonsense.
Report nairda July 21, 2011 1:32 PM BST
i don't see increased activity here at betfair...but i do see it at betduck..  M Youzhny v J Reister 120k usd was matched at betduck..that never happen before
Report Sandown July 21, 2011 1:34 PM BST
one person took out £7,000,000 last year,


True or urban myth? Source for such a claim? Verification from any other source?
Report nairda July 21, 2011 1:49 PM BST
so now we arrive at a figure of 500 x 3 x 250,000 which is an estimate of 375 million pounds paid out over the last 6 years or 62.5 million estimated loss in revenues

if this is true (and i belive it easy true)  this group of 500 have alot of money that could move to another bet ex and seed those markets
Report Chilly the Dog July 21, 2011 1:55 PM BST
Yeah, but who put that 375m into the exchange? Clearly not the guys who took it out, so who cares if they leave?
Report nairda July 21, 2011 2:02 PM BST
Yeah, but who put that 375m into the exchange? Clearly not the guys who took it out, so who cares if they leave

it can only be the winner seeding exchange markets, it can't be the losers
Report bf_fananatic July 21, 2011 2:03 PM BST
to assume that business minded pro gamblers are going to drop out of a market that they still make money in is along the lines that they will throw there toys out the pram, they will probably seed lesser exchanges to offset the charge as well as increasing there activity over more markets and bet sizing, thats why a 60% figure will take into account the fact that there will be an increase not decrease in betting activity to offset the charge so the real effect of the premium charge for betfair will stabilise at between an effective 40-50% mark!
Report nairda July 21, 2011 2:13 PM BST
LaughLaughLaughLaugh
Report nairda July 21, 2011 2:13 PM BST
if you work at betfair...no wonder there now F-cked LaughLaugh
Report betting_quant July 21, 2011 2:23 PM BST
List of expensive betfair IT ****-ups

poker SNG glitch
Grand national SP scandal
MSE first goal scorer
Happy Hour
Betfair Italy licence

Have I missed any ?

How much have all of these cost ? the lowest here was at least a million, reputedly the largest is over £10 million.

one has to ask what costs is the new PC really recovering ?
Report dashero July 21, 2011 2:26 PM BST
LMAX!!!LaughLaughLaugh50 million share buyback!!!! How is that preserving the 'ecosystem'?
Report nairda July 21, 2011 2:27 PM BST
they paid 25 million for pokerchamps Laugh
Report dashero July 21, 2011 2:28 PM BST
£500,000 per year for YU da man!!!
Report dashero July 21, 2011 2:30 PM BST
Betfair Advertisements with Annette Obrestad Banned by ASA

The Advertising Standards Authority (ASA) has banned an email advertisement sent out by Betfair Poker which features young poker pro Annette Obrestad. Online gambling advertisements in the United Kingdom are not supposed to feature anyone under the age of twenty five and Annette is the tender age of twenty one.

Betfair Poker sent out an advertisement via email to customers who registered and confirmed they were over the age of eighteen. The ad featured a picture of Annette and stated “online experience is measured in games, not years. Join the new breed.” The ad also mentioned Annette-15 which is Obrestad’s online name.

A complaint was received by the ASA so they checked into the ad. The complaint stated the ad was irresponsible because it could encourage young people to gamble. The ASA had this to say about the advertisement:
“While we accepted the ad had not been deliberately targeted at young people in its distribution, we also noted the code stated that marketing communications should not be likely to be of particular appeal to children or young persons, especially by reflecting or being associated with youth culture.”

The ASA stated that Obrestad’s ‘handle’ online made it seem as though she is younger than she is and that could encourage young people to gamble, hence making the advertisement irresponsible. So the ASA ordered Betfair Poker to not distribute the ad in its current form and to keep anyone else under the age of twenty five from appearing in advertisements.

In their defense, Betfair Poker stated that they did not believe the new advertisement encouraged young people to gamble. The company stated they take all the measures necessary to prevent young people from gambling on their site and they use a dedicated team to verify the age and identity of their customers as well as other methods to keep youngsters from using their products.
Betfair Poker also stated that Obrestad was used in the ad for her skills as a poker champion and now her potential income from sponsorship deals would be restricted since she will be unable to appear in marketing material in the UK until she is over the age of twenty five.
Report betting_quant July 21, 2011 2:31 PM BST
Nairdo/dashero those were business decisions, albeit very bad ones! the ones in my list are just blatant ****-ups
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