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No bet has been less than a grand?
The first one was 1,500 split across 2 markets on the same event. I dont mind you making a point about how I'm staking, but please get your facts right. |
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Super League bet tonight. Can only see a whipping for Cas. If Wigan can pull away early, the young inexperienced Cas team could well fall apart. For me it should be a 30+ superiority for the home side.
£1500 Wigan (-28.5) at 2.32. Good luck! |
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Mr B
Did you have £1500 at 2.32? |
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And if you did have £1500 at 2.32 post yer bets. Tar.
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mrbiswasp
please post your actual bet from last nite...thanks |
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Mr Biswas, perhaps you make good long-term profits in a 'day job' on something other than sports betting--commodities or futures or some financial market.
You are staking very large portions of yr bank (up to 25% or have I got that wrong?) when bettors not religiously using Kelly wd feel confident if wagering around 3% and positively bullish wagering 5%. If yr selections do turn out to be so much better than the market that you get anywhere near yr target, I guarantee you that you'll start to be agitated by the pc. Good luck |
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Bank - +875.
I dont use bf exclusively, so a price can be aggregated across more than 1 market and/or averaged across more than 1 price. Sometimes not easy to get on if the liquidity isnt great on a specific market on here, so have to hunt elsewhere. I also assume a 5% deduction when often there is no commission to pay, just to keep it simple. As for staking - I have set aside £10k to have a bit of fun with. If I'm successful great, if not then so be it. As such a 'sensible' staking plan goes out of the window. The point is that being disciplined is contrary to my punting instincts, so this is a bit of fun - which may or may not get to serious money. It certainly wont get to serious money with sub 5% outlays. Next bet in the NRL - £2000 double Warriors and Tigers (1/3 and 8/11) |
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Mr Bis if you go over the the aussie forum you'd have seen my thoughts on the origin match, Qld by plenty was my tip.
Tonights footy you've picked the 2 sides I'd have picked. |
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Are Pommies allowed in there?
[;)] |
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It certainly wont get to serious money with sub 5% outlays.
Mr Biswas, you are not a sports punter or seasoned betfairain. People run up considerable amounts of money on here with outlays of less than 5% of their bank through being methodical (perhaps automated), careful, intensive w/ their capital and through harnessing compounding. I'd go as far as to say the only (non-insider) way you can win good amounts betting in some non-streaky way is by accumulating tiny advantages. |
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I'd be interested to know where Mr B is getting his £1500+ bets on. He says it's not BF
and yet he expects us to accept that he's a winning punter. Many of the winning punters I know have difficulty getting £50 on. |
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I agree askari, but again you're making comments without reading my original post (or thread title for that matter) properly.
Have another read, and you'll hopefully grasp what this thread is attempting to achieve. For the avoidance of doubt, it is a bit of fun to see if I can turn 10k into 100k within a month. That is highly unlikely without taking a few risks. It is not a thread to bet conservatively. My life wont change one iota if it all goes pete tong within a few days. Do try to keep up...... |
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Pete - I'm not expecting you to accept anything. As with askari above, please re-read my initial post (properly this time) and you will realise your misunderstandings.
Ta! |
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wot an absolute pile of sh!t.
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-1125
£1500 on the Sharks/Crusaders double in the NRL and Super 15 final, both trading at 1.7 paying just under 2/1. |
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An interesting read.
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-2625.
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Why's that Pete?
All prices quoted are freely available at the time of posting. Which price(s) are you concerned about? |
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£1000 at 2.75 (betfred) for Warwickshire to beat Lancs.
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Bank is £6375 pending this result.
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"£1000 at 2.75 (betfred) for Warwickshire to beat Lancs"
lmao, the only possible way you could get a bet like that on with this outfit is if you are a collosal loser. So one way or another, this thread does not make sense. |
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Really? Yet more assumptions.......and plainly wrong, perfectly possible to get a grand on whetjer they know you or not.
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Wish I hadnt got it on though......
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£6375.
£2.5k Warriors to beat the Bulldogs at 1.55. |
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£7750.
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£1500 on Hull to beat Leeds at 3.0
£2500 Hull(+8.5) at 1.75 |
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@MrBiswas
I do believe you should extend your time frame, I don't think many of those following your moves would mind if you came out and decided to do so for the benefit of actually having a fighting chance to reach your target. It's obvious to me that askari1 has offered you some good advice. So far, your betting gives the impression of someone lighting money simply to light their cigar, whilst eating baked beans for supper in a pub's dunny between buying drinks for your mates. Your not-so incremental bets are forcing your bank on the downslide, and your attitude in response to many, into a tailspin; pretty much like the seriousness of your thread. This is a smelly and unhealthy atmosphere you have set for those taking a swing by, and there is really only one way which such atmosphere's end up. 10K down and kicking an empty can home. I'm glad my local hardware store stocked gasmasks, for I had to put one on in order to stay here thus far. Cheers, SP |
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Mr Biswas
I cannot understand how you have 10k to burn given the way you are betting. You say that you have made money trading and arbing i.e. on sports betting markets, yet the way you are going about even taking value positions is entirely unlike any way to profit (through skill) that I've ever seen. Absolutely the worst hypothesis, I've decided, is if you are a Betfair Australia plant. That would only show the depth of ignorance within the company about betting. But presuming you are legit, why not revise yr ideas, state the price you think any selection shd be and bet a Kelly fraction of your 10k bank? That way, you are likely to reap the benefit of any edge you have and you will be compounding yr funds soon enough. |
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@askari1
I think you are wasting your energy on a bozo who would likely see your good sense and wise thinking as an attack on his in-a-hurry nature and betting ways. Nevertheless, he is a MrB who seems that he was here and is gone, now. So much so that if he got a streaky run going from the outset, he would have been here to admonish our foolishness in not following his winning ways, sooner. A few faults, plus a deeply flawed system you have identified with aplomb, makes this MrB more as I have described. Calling him out as Betfair Australia plant is doing a disservice to the intelligent manner of the BetFair employee, I feel. So, even as a freelancer he is hardly the kind they would employ to get results for them. Very agitated, and a bit of a dullard, really. All in all a disappointment in style and a sad excuse for a thread. Cheers, SP |