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Anywats Feck, all the best if you do decide to get up and running again, and if you do, let me know if you got that **K back.
Will do stewarty. |
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stewarty b Joined: 02 Aug 02
Replies: 1852 26 May 11 15:14 No Eddie I don't agree with that. You can have 40 £250,000 winning bets at evens which will not put you anywhere near paying the PC charge. Albeit you'd have to be very lucky, but it is possible. As you probably know, you have to have a certain amount of bets before you're liable for the charge. (at least that was in the rules when it first started) Now, why didn't all PC-payers think of that !!! But what are they supposed to do in year 7 when they reach the 250 markets treshold ? Stop betting or just pay the charge ? Or what if you had reached 250 markets long before PC was implemented ? |
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'But what are they supposed to do in year 7 when they reach the 250 markets treshold ? Stop betting or just pay the charge ?'
With £60,000,000 in your the sky rocket, yes. (hypothetically of course) |
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'Or what if you had reached 250 markets long before PC was implemented ? '
As far as I'm aware, the 250 markets was introduced at the same time as the PC was. |
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It was 250 a year when the PC was introduced.
They changed it getting on for 2 years ago to 250 markets over he lifetinme of the account. This is what caught me and many others who specialise in a small number of markets. |
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How low can they sink. I've lost count of the times they've moved the goalposts on the PC charge. Shameful.
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fbfg
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Hows it going Dr J?
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arent you just all losers? i mean come on
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Hows it going Dr J?
£4.5k profit in May; June started well. Thanks for asking. |
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My May figures.
Boxing: -£14.21 | Darts: £0.52 | Gaelic Games: £22.97 | Golf: £100.99 | Greyhound Racing: £74.80 | Horse Racing: £4,145.84 | Rugby Union: £3.78 | Snooker: -£51.07 | Soccer: £73.24 | Special Bets: -£26.68 | Tennis: £2.87 | Tote: | Total P&L: £4,333.05 Your still outperforming me [:p] |
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After the Premium Charge those figures would be down to around £3400 Mordin?
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If he is liable for it...
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which is very unlikely but even if he is you're calculation falls somewhere between wrong and extremely wrong
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Excellant thread well done Dr j I will be asking some questions over the next few days. At the moment I'm on a really bad run, hoping to turn it around a little today.
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Hi Marky Sparky. I paid about £400 premium charge on that i dont calculate it too accurately as it would annoy me. I see you jointed Betfair 3 days before me back in 2001!! Nearly our 10th anniversary.
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Hi Mordin - yep, guess we've been here a while now. My account got transferred from Flutter though.
Not sure why Catflappo would think you weren't paying the Premium Charge. Guess he was wrong. |
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I just said it was unlikely
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It's also worth remembering that conditions could change very easily and very quickly. What if Betfair raise their commission levels, or change the threshold at which the PC applies?
I knew I shouldn't have tempted fate like that... ![]() As I've mentioned above, I've never been asked to pay a penny in PC. However, the new rules rules means that if I'm lucky enough to hit the £250k mark (at current rates this would happen in one year's time), I'll be charged at 40%. This isn't a whinge. I don't expect anyone to feel sorry for a gambler who's made a quarter mill. However, it does exemplify why Betfair are wrong to pursue this policy, and it demonstrates how they'll forfeit both business and liquidity. As the moment, for every £1 I make in profit, I generate 27p in commission for Befair. From next year, Betfair will demand I generate 40p and dip into my account to make up the shortfall. As I result, I'll either switch to an alternative exchange (I don't know how practical that is in terms of liquidity) or quit laying altogether. Either way, Betfair will lose both my comission and my contribution to seeding and sustaining the racing markets. What's worse for Betfair, because I know what's coming, I've made an immediate decision to slow down my betting and focus more on other things in life. The radically higher charges are too big a deterrent to me. I'll be having more non-punting days and will be happy to creep up the £250k threshold at a much slower rate. This is bad for Betfair's business too. Some people refer to the PC as a tax, but I would be much more sympathetic to the charge if it was being directed towards building new schools and hospitals. The fact that it's going to the shareholders and board members of an off-shore company only reinforces my decision. Presumably, other punters will, like me, see their PC charges rise from 0% to 40% simply because an arbitrary threshold has been reached. I'd be amazed if anyone in this situation continues to bet in the same way. It would be like laying at 9-2 where you previously laying at 7-2 (sorry if the maths is inperfect there, but the principle is what's important). Betfair has enhanced my life considerably over the last decade and I feel saddened that it's taking a decision that effectively closes my account. I'd be most interested to hear the views of this thread's other contributors. |
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What's worse for Betfair, because I know what's coming, I've made an immediate decision to slow down my betting and focus more on other things in life. The radically higher charges are too big a deterrent to me. I'll be having more non-punting days and will be happy to creep up the £250k threshold at a much slower rate. This is bad for Betfair's business too.
Spot on! Everyone reading about the new charges is either now contemplating life without Betfair or thinking of ways where they won't have to pay. Either way it's a lose-lose situation for a company that had huge customer loyalty and market awareness just a few years ago. ![]() |
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I trust Betfair are in the position to see who are the big winners on here and how they win! Maybe this small number of users will be happy to have 40% of their significant winnings skimmed off. However there will be others like Dr J who have worked hard over 10 years and are getting close to £250,000K who dont deserve to be hit with such a charge.
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Just shows how quickly things can change.Unfortunately,it is inevitable that further restrictions on winners will come in as time goes by.Anyone using betfair as a business needs to think again-certainly can't plan ahead.My sympathy Dr J.At least you are only part-time.On the positive side at least you accumulated a reasonable sum.Best of luck.
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Just shows how quickly things can change.Unfortunately,it is inevitable that further restrictions on winners will come in as time goes by.Anyone using betfair as a business needs to think again-certainly can't plan ahead.My sympathy Dr J.At least you are only part-time.On the positive side at least you accumulated a reasonable sum.Best of luck.
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Nothing has changed
1) He's never paid the Premium Charge 2) He's not at £250k yet, so there is still room to manoeuvre if necessary |
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Dr J, by the time you reach 250k you will probably have a further buffer before you have to pay because your lifetime rate will be over 40%. So there's probably a good deal of money to be made yet if you see it through until the charge actually kicks in. Wh knows, things maybe different then...
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The only thing that will be different then if The PC has not been further increased is that a raft of other charges will have been brought in such as account keeping fee, withdrawal fee, calling help desk fee etc etc
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catfloppo, why do you assume he will be over 40 % when he reaches 250 k when he is at 25 - 27 % when at 200 k ?
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Because the figure that's used is the percentage that would have been paid had he been paying 40% pc over the lifetime of his account.
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That depends, angelo. If the many people on here who think this is a bad business decision are right then we could assume betfair will change it back again or at least modify it in some way.
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But wont that just take him up to 40 % so that he'll be liable for PC from day 1 once he reaches 250 k ?
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Not if it's calculated the way mine has been. They simulate the actual charges that would have been paid and, as you well know :p, losing weeks cause the actual rate paid to be somewhere above the threshold.
My lifetime stands at 33.9%, for example, yet my 'new pc' rate is 43.4%. |
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I haven't got access to the new portal so wouldn't know, but with total charges less than 40 % at the moment, I would think one would be @ 40 % in this new simulated scanario as well unless one have had a losing period lately or at least having a period where one has generated charges of more than 40 % ?
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Thinking more about this i think it can be like you have described for people who actually have paid PC in the past when the threshold was 20 %, but in DJ's (or any others) case wher you are below 40 %, but has never paid PC , I would think this simulation would only take you up to 40 %.
I wouldn't bet my life on it though ![]() |
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No one is on exactly 40% to start with, everyone has a buffer.
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do you think this topic gave betfair the idea of the new tax
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Dr J, you seem to talk like you will suddenly be getting taxed 40% of your winnings? Reality says only around 13%, so if you make 35k, you still make 30+. Sounds like a pretty expensive protest.
While the charge disgusts me, those at around 30% have the best of a very bad deal, at the very least... |
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Doesn't work like that BJT.
Let's say he keep on winning and paying on average 27 % in commission and let's also say he is on 4 % commission. If he's gross profit in a year is 50 k, he has paid 13.5 k in commission , making his profit 36.5 k. Here you assume he will "just" have to pay another 13 % of that net profit, but that is very wrong. On his way to winning these 36.5 k he has had a total of 337.5 k in winnings and 287.5 k in losses. These losses will have earned him 8.625 in implied commission. His commission generated will therefore be 11.062,5 or 22.125 % of his gross profit. Betfair will want another 17,875 % from him, not from his net profit, but from his gross profit of 50 k. That will be £ 8.937,5 to pay in Premium Charge. You said he would have to pay 13 % of his net profit in Premium Charge, but the fact is that Betfair will tax him 24.49 % on his net profit. He will in the end have paid a total of £ 22.437,5 in commission and PC. That is 44,875 % of his gross profit, not the 40 % Betfair want us to believe. |
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Good post Eddie, I hate challenging your calculations because I usually end up being proved wrong but....
...to demonstrate that BJT is wrong that Dr J will pay 13% pc when his average commission is 27% surely you have to use an example where his commission generated is 27%? I would also point out though that at 44.8% instead of 40% BJT's point still applies. Of course, we don't know his true figures but it would seem odd for him to stop something that is still profitable unless the time/money ratio is no longer attractive enough. I wonder if Dr J would consider posting his actual figures so we could do a proper case study? We could then also take into account the starting buffer which, judging by his betting style, could be significant. |
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I think DJ has said that he has paid 27 % of his winnings in commission and if that's the case, evrything I've written will be correct. That is if he is on 4 % commission rate, I can't recall he has said anything about his commission rate and the numbers will differ slightly depending on that rate.
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And BJT was talking about how much he will be taxed on his profit after normal commission when reaching the 250 k threshold and again, I can't see anything wrong with my numbers
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