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kenco
01 Apr 11 18:40
Joined:
Date Joined: 29 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 2,114 | Blogger: kenco's blog
Will be running this with £1000 bank similar to the aw one
stakes will range from as small as .10pt to 4.0 so the equivalent of £10-£400.There will be combination bets and placepots etc the thread will show a profit all depending how much time i can get on here.Cool
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Report kenco April 5, 2011 1:08 AM BST
Arlequin runs in the 4.10 tomorrow ran a really quick time at york last year when beating rigidity,earlier on the card imposing won in 2.7.41 arlequin won in 2.7.84 and these were real true tests.Imposing was off 91 that day,but finished the season on a mark of a 100 the race at york beat indian days that was running off 100 by 1 1/2ls and a further 5ls back to 89 rated tartan gunna.Arlequin was .43 slower than imposing carrying 2 pounds more in the later handicap and wouldv'e been second in imposings race,after that race ran in some very competitive races running really well without winning.The trouble is with this horse he gives his all and had a hard season and already this season two races abroad on the aw i'm going to have a small bet tomorrow as from the above form shows he's capable of winning the race.If unplaced i hope thr trainer gives the horse a break as i can see this winning a nice handicap at a juicy price.I have to have a token bet on it tomorrow as i backed it all last season and i know its capabilities.

ARLEQUIN .10PT EW 15/2
Report kenco April 5, 2011 9:57 AM BST
Had no intention of doing trades but i won't be betting much over the next two weeks will just be looking for formlines and eyecatchers,so will allow 1/2 trades just till the flats up and running properly.
PONTE 2.10

To trade sedgewick lots of front runners in this race and although sedgewick had'nt shown much at the end of last season the races were 5x better than todays really wants further but last season was 3rd of 15 over a mile at carlisle off 75 and also a very good 4th to kings colour off 76 at epsom over the extended mile with todays jock catlin.
At 25s worth trying a trade pre race,also won after a 2 year break last jan so could run ok hopefully punters will read this in a similar way,down to 68 lowest mark for 11 months as well.Cool

TO TRADE PRE RACE 25/1 1 POINT.
Report kenco April 5, 2011 4:32 PM BST
4.40
Florestans match won't take a lot of beating but as a one off in a maiden it's worth a bet with the
others having very little form,something will have to run to at least 80 so on this occasion.



2POINT WIN FLORESTANS MATCH 15/8
Report kenco April 5, 2011 4:52 PM BST
Cool
Report kenco April 5, 2011 4:56 PM BST
Arleequin yet again runs the same race but ruining price for future ref,surprised no money for sedgewick but as above the newcomers in that race had a lot to do on a debut run.

+2.55Cool
Report kenco April 6, 2011 4:14 PM BST
NOTTS 4.30

With quite a few runners yet to race this season and standout fit and running in similar grades,guaranteed to stay worth a very small bet.




STANDOUT .55POINT WIN 5/2
Report kenco April 6, 2011 4:36 PM BST
+2
Report kenco April 6, 2011 7:17 PM BST
Kempton 8.10

Seeking magic stands out in the race running 1m26.27 on debut comes on 10 pounds for the run and a mark of 70 looks lenient,i think its worth a small bet but this fella wants further and if they don't go quick enough will definitely get beat.There are a few 6f horses in there so will be a minimum bet but i'll be keeping on the right side of this when stepped up in trip as its crying out for further,


SEEKING MAGIC .80PT WIN 13/8
Report kenco April 6, 2011 8:20 PM BST
+1.20
Report Shanelee1966 April 7, 2011 8:12 AM BST
Good luck Kenco. I`ve backed Fred Willets w&p today.
Report kenco April 7, 2011 10:12 AM BST
Kempton 7.55

Fair passion ran its best race for some time last time out dropped out and stayed on quite well,it looks like they're setting this up for a gamble dropped to a mark of 68 the last time she was on this low a mark was 12 months ago and won off 67.Adam kirby ride will be the most interesting thing to watch tonight either dropped out and never put in the race or he will probably produce the ride of the night and a gamble.Will be backing this on its next few runs as it looks only a matter of time.

FAIR PASSION .20PTEW 8/1
Report kenco April 7, 2011 2:13 PM BST
The aw bets should be on seperate thread.

+2
Report kenco April 8, 2011 9:11 AM BST
Newcastle 4.05

Ittirad could be half decent ran on debut at notts and the maiden it competed in was only a second slower than south capes win on the card a very nice debut,dam noushkey second in the oaks and liked soft ground.



ITTIRAD 2PT WIN 8/13
Report kenco April 8, 2011 4:21 PM BST
+3.23[;)]
Report kenco April 10, 2011 5:26 PM BST
Windsor 6.0

To trade kay gee be can see this going off near fav lowest mark for 4 seasons yet wo off 85 last july,drawn 1 can lead hanagan riding beat baylini 3ls and is 7 pounds better off with it yet that is priced up at 7s.



KAY GEE BE TO TRADE PRE RACE 2PTS. 15/2 HILLSSilly
Report kenco April 10, 2011 7:23 PM BST
Laugh[;)]
Report kenco April 11, 2011 6:04 PM BST
15/2 LaughShocked
Report ianhamilton. April 11, 2011 6:23 PM BST
Great Stuff Ken
Report kenco April 11, 2011 6:39 PM BST
For the thread only .80 profit but took 7s with two other firms as well!!CoolSilly
Thanks mr hamilton.[;)]

Total +4.03
Report kenco April 13, 2011 11:43 AM BST
Catterick 3.45

Gottany o's may simply be an aw horse clocking up a really good time at kempton behind manifestation only a second slower than cosmic sun winning the roseberry,if transferred to the turf could turn out to be a decent handicapper.Nothing in the pedigree shouts decent over these trips but worth a bt on the kempton run and if it does'nt go on the surface can always revert back to the aw where it will be worth following again.


GOTTANY O'S 2PT WIN 8/13
Report kenco April 13, 2011 3:56 PM BST
Laugh
Report kenco April 13, 2011 4:03 PM BST
+5.26Cool
Report kenco April 16, 2011 4:46 PM BST
donny 4.50

This may well turn out to be an even better maiden than the one kirthill ran in that was run in a reasonable time last season and already been franked by winners back in the field.Danger could be laajooj good maiden at kempton and very good time for debut,if these pair get beat could be a nice race to followw.


KIRTHILL 1 PT WIN 15/8
LAJOOJ   .20PT EW 11/2
Report kenco April 16, 2011 5:09 PM BST
ffs staking.

+5.58

7.20 Arlequin the write up is above if it ran to the york run would win this,i stil think the horse needs a break and can pick a nice prize up in the summer.Token bet as would be gutted if it won,plus a night off a very rare break.Cool


ARLEQUIN .28PT WIN 7/2
Report kenco April 17, 2011 6:58 PM BST
Four consecutive winnersCool,guted as arlequin was a certainty on the york form,may still win a big handicap as open to improvement be value certainly won't be there.



+6.56
Report kenco April 17, 2011 6:59 PM BST
My mistake 5 consecutive winners.CoolSilly
Report kenco April 17, 2011 9:29 PM BST
Windsor 6.50

Two token bets equuleus pictor big eye catcher last time out at windsor out the back and hampered running on to be nearest at the fuinish,off lowest mark since august 2008Shocked.It looks sooner rather than later it's going to win,two slight negatives make this a sizeable bet one its never won over 6fs in such a competitive race and two never won on gd'fm ground so can only be minimal bet purely because of price.Will also have an even smaller bet spanish bounty,last season started off a mark of 90 today sits on all time low of 75,three poor efforts on soft brought it down to that mark previous to those runs had run well enough to be competitive in a race like this.Massive negatives the draw and 7 month lay off,again probably one to be looking out for in the near future,but just incase a throwaway bet at the price.

EQUULEUS PICTOR .10PT EW 12/1
SPANISH BOUNTY  ..05PTEW 28/1
Report kenco April 18, 2011 12:25 PM BST
7s and 14s what a surprise!!!!Silly
Report kenco April 18, 2011 7:24 PM BST
Silly
Report kenco April 18, 2011 7:52 PM BST
+8.11Coolgood ere innit.[:o]
Report DFCIRONMAN April 18, 2011 10:18 PM BST
Excellent result today in a tricky race....wdCool
Report kenco April 19, 2011 12:21 AM BST
Thanks there's a lot more to comeShocked
Report I.quit.my.country April 19, 2011 10:32 AM BST
Good to read a proper thread

Lots of hcaps to get stuck into today, but im working :(
Report kenco April 20, 2011 11:46 AM BST
1.FIREBEAM


Ran today at donny and the time of the race compared favourably with the two 7f handicaps,firebeams maiden was run in 1m26.06 exactly the same time as the handicap won by 79 rated lord aeryn and the following handicap won by king of eden 1m25.91.Firebeam was given a lovely introduction by fallon,one crack and allowed to come home without being punished,with improvement to come and looking at the times firebeam looks a mid 80's horse already,so for the near future a maiden should be a formality and will be interesting to see how much it actually improves for handicaps.

FIREBEAM 2PT WIN 4/5
Report kenco April 20, 2011 2:26 PM BST
I should know better seeing that entered there today looks at least mid eighties on turf run and now will get a mark in the seventies.Cry
Report kenco April 20, 2011 2:26 PM BST
+6.11
Report kenco April 20, 2011 3:03 PM BST
Should be on aw threadCool

+8.11
Report kenco April 21, 2011 4:26 PM BST
folkestone 4.30

Race revolves top three in handicap and whether on terms will be quick enough over 1m4fs rockfella has the best form over trip while sir cozy looks an improver beating speed dating and having horses in 70s and eighties behind.Have backed the pair hopefully they will have to much toe for on terms.


ROCKFELLA 1.25 PTS WIN 2/1
SIR COZY  .65PT WIN   4/1
Report kenco April 21, 2011 4:39 PM BST
7 consecutive winnersShockedbank doubled in 16 daysSilly.



+9.96.Cool
Report kenco April 25, 2011 7:06 PM BST
A trade purely because tomorrows racing is dire

6.20

The only progressive horse in the race la fortunata 12/1 chandlers,only been unplaced once out of its last 7 runs and that was its last run of the season.Two cracking runs at epsom when second to cape royal recently second there in a far better race than this,everything in behind was rated in the high 80s.The previous race to that 2nd of 16 to monsieur joe most of the runners in that race were in the 90s and high 80s and purely because it hasn'tb had a run its a trade as the 12/1 looks massive.

2PT TRADE PRE RACE LA FORTUNATA 12/1 CHANDLERS OR 11/1 WITH HILLS.Cool
Report kenco April 25, 2011 7:10 PM BST
ffs aw threadCry
Report kenco April 26, 2011 6:12 PM BST
Out at 8sCool.
Report kenco May 10, 2011 10:26 AM BST
yarmouth 3.20

Last king of scotland 5th to nimue better form than most of these been running in better races 4th to tiradito off 76 and previous to that the 5th to nimue off 77 only off 74 today.Has run third here off 73 ground will probably be overwatered and doesn't mind if its on the good or soft side at 16/1 with turner on will be surprised if there's not a bit of money for it.

TO TRADE PRE RACE 1PT 16/1 KORALS/BET/365
Report I.quit.my.country May 10, 2011 10:33 AM BST
he's fourth best with me so I agree he should be half that price
Report kenco May 10, 2011 3:28 PM BST
Out at 13sShocked8 consecutive winning betsSilly.


+10.26
Report kenco May 22, 2011 6:18 PM BST
No time to get on here anymore so just looked at early prices in the 7.10 at windsor and go nani go at 25s is overpriced with bet and victor.Ran a decent race here in april when 4th finishing infront of equuleus pictor thats priced up at 15/2 yet go nani go is 6 pounds better off and off all time lowest mark.Also drawn 4 stands side was favoured last week as well ans also through the formline with equueleus is well in with mymumsaysimbest,plus ran one of its best ever races over 6fs last season with
a third to red cape off 84.The race is completely wide open as at their best most of the runners could win this but 25/1 go nani go cannot possibly be that price on the windsor run with those formlines and i expect this to be backed.Can only be a trade as it really is so competitive will be amazed if the 25s last long.[:o]


1pt to trade pre race go nani go 25/1 bet and victor.
Report kenco May 22, 2011 6:20 PM BST
Also forgot to mention the 8,9,10,11,13 and 14th won out of that windsor race as well!!Shocked
Report kenco June 10, 2011 10:35 AM BST
+10.26

Two to trade in the same race both will go mon the ground if it changes and both are overpriced mujood great c/d record,with claim all time low mark and on last seasons form has 6 pound pull with truism for 2 1/2ls.The same applies to l'hirondelle although only 9 runs on turf great record at the track 2 seconds off 76 at the track and a decent 4th just behind truism from a poor draw on the one run last season today drawn 7 stalls nearer the rail yet is 23 points bigger.Could be two nice trades.

1pt trade pre race MUJOOD 20/1
1pt to trade pre race L'HIRONDELLE 33/1

.05PTEW MUJOOD 20/1
.05PTEW L'HIRONDELLE 33/1
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