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Arlequin runs in the 4.10 tomorrow ran a really quick time at york last year when beating rigidity,earlier on the card imposing won in 2.7.41 arlequin won in 2.7.84 and these were real true tests.Imposing was off 91 that day,but finished the season on a mark of a 100 the race at york beat indian days that was running off 100 by 1 1/2ls and a further 5ls back to 89 rated tartan gunna.Arlequin was .43 slower than imposing carrying 2 pounds more in the later handicap and wouldv'e been second in imposings race,after that race ran in some very competitive races running really well without winning.The trouble is with this horse he gives his all and had a hard season and already this season two races abroad on the aw i'm going to have a small bet tomorrow as from the above form shows he's capable of winning the race.If unplaced i hope thr trainer gives the horse a break as i can see this winning a nice handicap at a juicy price.I have to have a token bet on it tomorrow as i backed it all last season and i know its capabilities.
ARLEQUIN .10PT EW 15/2 |
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Had no intention of doing trades but i won't be betting much over the next two weeks will just be looking for formlines and eyecatchers,so will allow 1/2 trades just till the flats up and running properly.
PONTE 2.10 To trade sedgewick lots of front runners in this race and although sedgewick had'nt shown much at the end of last season the races were 5x better than todays really wants further but last season was 3rd of 15 over a mile at carlisle off 75 and also a very good 4th to kings colour off 76 at epsom over the extended mile with todays jock catlin. At 25s worth trying a trade pre race,also won after a 2 year break last jan so could run ok hopefully punters will read this in a similar way,down to 68 lowest mark for 11 months as well. ![]() TO TRADE PRE RACE 25/1 1 POINT. |
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4.40
Florestans match won't take a lot of beating but as a one off in a maiden it's worth a bet with the others having very little form,something will have to run to at least 80 so on this occasion. 2POINT WIN FLORESTANS MATCH 15/8 |
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Arleequin yet again runs the same race but ruining price for future ref,surprised no money for sedgewick but as above the newcomers in that race had a lot to do on a debut run.
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NOTTS 4.30
With quite a few runners yet to race this season and standout fit and running in similar grades,guaranteed to stay worth a very small bet. STANDOUT .55POINT WIN 5/2 |
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+2
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Kempton 8.10
Seeking magic stands out in the race running 1m26.27 on debut comes on 10 pounds for the run and a mark of 70 looks lenient,i think its worth a small bet but this fella wants further and if they don't go quick enough will definitely get beat.There are a few 6f horses in there so will be a minimum bet but i'll be keeping on the right side of this when stepped up in trip as its crying out for further, SEEKING MAGIC .80PT WIN 13/8 |
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+1.20
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Good luck Kenco. I`ve backed Fred Willets w&p today.
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Kempton 7.55
Fair passion ran its best race for some time last time out dropped out and stayed on quite well,it looks like they're setting this up for a gamble dropped to a mark of 68 the last time she was on this low a mark was 12 months ago and won off 67.Adam kirby ride will be the most interesting thing to watch tonight either dropped out and never put in the race or he will probably produce the ride of the night and a gamble.Will be backing this on its next few runs as it looks only a matter of time. FAIR PASSION .20PTEW 8/1 |
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The aw bets should be on seperate thread.
+2 |
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Newcastle 4.05
Ittirad could be half decent ran on debut at notts and the maiden it competed in was only a second slower than south capes win on the card a very nice debut,dam noushkey second in the oaks and liked soft ground. ITTIRAD 2PT WIN 8/13 |
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+3.23[;)]
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Windsor 6.0
To trade kay gee be can see this going off near fav lowest mark for 4 seasons yet wo off 85 last july,drawn 1 can lead hanagan riding beat baylini 3ls and is 7 pounds better off with it yet that is priced up at 7s. KAY GEE BE TO TRADE PRE RACE 2PTS. 15/2 HILLS ![]() |
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[;)] |
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15/2
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Great Stuff Ken
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For the thread only .80 profit but took 7s with two other firms as well!!
![]() ![]() Thanks mr hamilton.[;)] Total +4.03 |
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Catterick 3.45
Gottany o's may simply be an aw horse clocking up a really good time at kempton behind manifestation only a second slower than cosmic sun winning the roseberry,if transferred to the turf could turn out to be a decent handicapper.Nothing in the pedigree shouts decent over these trips but worth a bt on the kempton run and if it does'nt go on the surface can always revert back to the aw where it will be worth following again. GOTTANY O'S 2PT WIN 8/13 |
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+5.26
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donny 4.50
This may well turn out to be an even better maiden than the one kirthill ran in that was run in a reasonable time last season and already been franked by winners back in the field.Danger could be laajooj good maiden at kempton and very good time for debut,if these pair get beat could be a nice race to followw. KIRTHILL 1 PT WIN 15/8 LAJOOJ .20PT EW 11/2 |
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ffs staking.
+5.58 7.20 Arlequin the write up is above if it ran to the york run would win this,i stil think the horse needs a break and can pick a nice prize up in the summer.Token bet as would be gutted if it won,plus a night off a very rare break. ![]() ARLEQUIN .28PT WIN 7/2 |
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Four consecutive winners
,guted as arlequin was a certainty on the york form,may still win a big handicap as open to improvement be value certainly won't be there.+6.56 |
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My mistake 5 consecutive winners.
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Windsor 6.50
Two token bets equuleus pictor big eye catcher last time out at windsor out the back and hampered running on to be nearest at the fuinish,off lowest mark since august 2008 .It looks sooner rather than later it's going to win,two slight negatives make this a sizeable bet one its never won over 6fs in such a competitive race and two never won on gd'fm ground so can only be minimal bet purely because of price.Will also have an even smaller bet spanish bounty,last season started off a mark of 90 today sits on all time low of 75,three poor efforts on soft brought it down to that mark previous to those runs had run well enough to be competitive in a race like this.Massive negatives the draw and 7 month lay off,again probably one to be looking out for in the near future,but just incase a throwaway bet at the price.EQUULEUS PICTOR .10PT EW 12/1 SPANISH BOUNTY ..05PTEW 28/1 |
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7s and 14s what a surprise!!!!
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+8.11
good ere innit.[:o] |
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Excellent result today in a tricky race....wd
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Thanks there's a lot more to come
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Good to read a proper thread
Lots of hcaps to get stuck into today, but im working :( |
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1.FIREBEAM
Ran today at donny and the time of the race compared favourably with the two 7f handicaps,firebeams maiden was run in 1m26.06 exactly the same time as the handicap won by 79 rated lord aeryn and the following handicap won by king of eden 1m25.91.Firebeam was given a lovely introduction by fallon,one crack and allowed to come home without being punished,with improvement to come and looking at the times firebeam looks a mid 80's horse already,so for the near future a maiden should be a formality and will be interesting to see how much it actually improves for handicaps. FIREBEAM 2PT WIN 4/5 |
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I should know better seeing that entered there today looks at least mid eighties on turf run and now will get a mark in the seventies.
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+6.11
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Should be on aw thread
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folkestone 4.30
Race revolves top three in handicap and whether on terms will be quick enough over 1m4fs rockfella has the best form over trip while sir cozy looks an improver beating speed dating and having horses in 70s and eighties behind.Have backed the pair hopefully they will have to much toe for on terms. ROCKFELLA 1.25 PTS WIN 2/1 SIR COZY .65PT WIN 4/1 |
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7 consecutive winners
bank doubled in 16 days .+9.96. ![]() |