DFC,

I used to get excited about checking your threads to see how well you were doing. Over the last month or 2 I hardly bother as it's becoming very tedious. I feel you have lost the plot and most importantly your edge. I don't know why you bother with all of this hassle for either a very small profit or a loss.

I know I have said this before but you are making far too many bets. Just cut out all of this bull5hit and get back to what you are good at.....LAYING CORRECT SCORES.

Best of luck to you

Fixtures 20 March / Ath Bilbao v Villarreal / Half Time/Full Time       Draw/Draw      Lay             20-Mar-11
17:57           6.4     12.00         6.37     20-Mar-11 17:57    
====================================================================================

BOLD working again.......

This game could go either way. Home team NEED to win.......so fair chance goals happen. MGOFS is 2-1.

Gl with bets.

Backed DRAW in VILLA REAL ...to cover liability on initial lay on DRAW/DRAW at 12s....

Reducing liability on CALGARI ....and have DRAW/CAL bet which can be profitable if they go ahead.

I expect NAPOLI to up pace and get ahead though ...so backing NAP .....and sitting with liablity on DRAW or 0-0....as have layed off 0-0 profit.


Fixtures 20 March / Napoli v Cagliari / Match Odds     
    Napoli     Back         20-Mar-11
20:36           1.9     15.00         1.91     20-Mar-11 20:37    
   
Fixtures 20 March / Napoli v Cagliari / Match Odds    
    Cagliari     Back         20-Mar-11
20:36           9     8.00         9     20-Mar-11 20:36    
   
Fixtures 20 March / Napoli v Cagliari / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay     1    20-Mar-11
20:35           4     9.00         4     20-Mar-11 20:35

2-1 now ...so leaving position alone in NAPOLI game ............

Backed out initial lay on DRAW .....and laying SEVILLA now

   
Fixtures 20 March / Valencia v Sevilla / Match Odds    
    Sevilla     Lay          20-Mar-11
21:27           1.5     18.00         1.49     20-Mar-11 21:27    
   
Fixtures 20 March / Valencia v Sevilla / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     20-Mar-11
21:27           4     24.00         4     20-Mar-11 21:27

My decision was 15 secs out on backing 1-1 in SEVILLA game .....so ended up making about £10 loss ...instead of £20 profit....DRATTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
===================================================================================


     Fixtures 20 March / Boca Juniors v Olimpo / Match Odds       The Draw      Lay            20-Mar-11
21:56           4.5     24.00         4.5     20-Mar-11 21:56



BOLD working again.....Really frustrating with site the mo.....

BOCA need to win ....but OLYMPO no pushovers.......but BOCA should really be taking it to them early and I believe BOCa will score first 1st half. MGOFS is 2-1.



GL with bets.

SUNDAY - DAY 22 - RESULTS  PROFIT £ 27.40
Soccer / Boca Juniors v Olimpo : Correct Score 20-Mar-11 23:15  21-Mar-11 01:09  -6.00
Soccer / Boca Juniors v Olimpo : Match Odds 20-Mar-11 23:15  21-Mar-11 01:09  22.52
Soccer / Valencia v Sevilla : Correct Score 20-Mar-11 20:00  20-Mar-11 21:51  -2.00
Soccer / Valencia v Sevilla : Match Odds 20-Mar-11 20:00  20-Mar-11 21:51  -8.82
Soccer / Napoli v Cagliari : Half Time/Full Time 20-Mar-11 19:45  20-Mar-11 21:38  -8.00
Soccer / Napoli v Cagliari : Correct Score 20-Mar-11 19:45  20-Mar-11 21:37  6.75
Soccer / Napoli v Cagliari : Match Odds 20-Mar-11 19:45  20-Mar-11 21:37  21.60
Soccer / Ath Bilbao v Villarreal : Half Time/Full Time 20-Mar-11 18:00  20-Mar-11 19:56  11.58
Soccer / Ath Bilbao v Villarreal : Match Odds 20-Mar-11 18:00  20-Mar-11 19:54  -6.00
Soccer / Chelsea v Man City : Half Time/Full Time 20-Mar-11 16:00  20-Mar-11 18:02  11.58
Soccer / Gijon v Almeria : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 20-Mar-11 16:00  20-Mar-11 18:01  -24.00
Soccer / Gijon v Almeria : Correct Score 20-Mar-11 16:00  20-Mar-11 17:54  -2.00
Soccer / Sunderland v Liverpool : Half Time/Full Time 20-Mar-11 13:30  20-Mar-11 15:26  14.47
Soccer / Erzgebirge v G Furth : Match Odds 20-Mar-11 12:30  20-Mar-11 14:23  0.00
Soccer / Erzgebirge v G Furth : Half Time/Full Time 20-Mar-11 12:30  20-Mar-11 14:23  -15.50
Soccer / Erzgebirge v G Furth : Correct Score 20-Mar-11 12:30  20-Mar-11 14:22  15.90
Soccer / Fiorentina v Roma : Half Time/Full Time 20-Mar-11 11:30  20-Mar-11 13:26  -8.00
Soccer / Fiorentina v Roma : Match Odds 20-Mar-11 11:30  20-Mar-11 13:24  3.32
======================================================================================

ROMA game yesterday I could have "played" differently....but "happy" the way I did "play" re bets placed, as had another goal gone in for either side, preferably ROMA, then profit would have been "excellent" based on amounts staked. Initially my LAY on ROMA was the "correct play" IMO......and some might say ...well why did you not just do 1 bet on the lay? I just like to have options, depending on how game goes.....

FURTH game ...again my initial LAY on home team was "fine" ...and they did not win.

LOST on GIJON OVER 1.5 bet .....but I believed an early goal would be scored ....and it was......and again I could have "played" it differently re making a profit no matter the results after 1-0 ....but opted to leave initial bet to stand.....and lost.


LAYED DRAW in VALENCIA game ....which at least was ok bet .....and hoped another goal would be scored at 0-1.....as it looked likely VALENCIA would equalise....Again initial bet was "fine".


Generally my initial bets were "fine" ......just needed a goal or two to give good profit....which is what I opted for, without incurring big hits.

Ended up with £27 profit ....could have been nearer £100 had the goals come, but not to be yesterday.

BETTING BANK is pretty low, due to HORSE bets hits , but still ahead on FOOTBALL bets on this thread. £ 227.42 in PROFIT over all on thread......after 22 days. It is not huge profit ....but with BETTING BANK only £158 at start, it is an OK return SO FAR.

As CURRENT BANK only £ 178.77 ( losses on HORSES being reason why so low), then I will try to keep STAKING "reasonable" for size of BETTING BANK..........to see if i can gradually increase profit on both FOOTBALL and HORSES over next few weeks . £40 profit daily in this week is my target.........£50 daily the following week....£60 daily the following week etc etc the BETTING BANK can grow rapidly, BUT I WON'T BE INCREASING staking AS RAPIDLY !

Some will say that £40 profit from a £178 bank is TOO HIGH a daily target.......possibly so, nevertheless that is what it is today. Others believe that the profit shown SO FAR is too low for TIME on thread....and of course they are correct re the TIME criticism .....but NOT on return being low re size of BETTING BANK.

Craigyby1977 - You say I was doing far better on CS LAYS threads.........but my STARTING BETTING BANK was £2,000.............Quite a difference. Might take me 5 weeks to have a BETTING BANK of £2,000 ....might take me longer .....however......£ 227 profit from £158 BB is "good growth"....had bank been £2,000, then would £ 2873 profit over 22 days be demonstrating that i have "lost any edge I had"....or "lost the plot" ? I suggest not.....

I have the TIME and determination to try to make BB grow at rate suggested above........whether I have sufficient "edge" to achieve growth indicated.....I believe I have.....However, outside factors can effect the way my brain works........so hopefully i don't have ANY the next few weeks


GL with bets.

Fixtures 21 March / Lokomotiv Sofia v Minyor Pernik / Correct Score       1 - 1      Back              21-Mar-11
15:54           9     3.00         9     21-Mar-11 15:54    
    Fixtures 21 March / Lokomotiv Sofia v Minyor Pernik / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay     21-Mar-11
15:53           4.4     15.00         4.4     21-Mar-11 15:53
======================================================================

Important game for both .....and the home team should be tryinghard to win.....and away team defending as best they can.....MGOFS is 3-1.


Gl with bets.

Fixtures 21 March / Spartak Moscow v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back          21-Mar-11
17:00           12     2.00         12     21-Mar-11 17:00    
    Fixtures 21 March / Spartak Moscow v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod / Half Time/Full Time     V N Novgorod/Spartak Moscow     Back         21-Mar-11
16:59           30     2.00         30     21-Mar-11 16:59    
    Fixtures 21 March / Spartak Moscow v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Spartak Moscow     Back         21-Mar-11
16:59           4.6     6.00         4.63     21-Mar-11 16:59    
    Fixtures 21 March / Spartak Moscow v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod / Half Time Score     2 - 1     Back         21-Mar-11
16:59           27     2.00         27     21-Mar-11 16:59    
    Fixtures 21 March / Spartak Moscow v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod / Half Time Score     Any Unquoted     Back     21-Mar-11
16:59           19.5     2.00         19.5     21-Mar-11 16:59    
    Fixtures 21 March / Spartak Moscow v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod / Half Time Score     2 - 0     Back          21-Mar-11
16:58           9.6     2.00         9.6     21-Mar-11 16:58    
    Fixtures 21 March / Spartak Moscow v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod / Match Odds     Spartak Moscow     Lay         21-Mar-11
16:58           1.55     30.00         1.55     21-Mar-11 16:58
====================================================================================


SPARTAK beat AJAX in both games....2nd leg 3-0 ....so they will be confident team....but playing against a newly promoted team is likely to be tougher proposition.....as they will FIGHT for evry ball, and may take lead.....

So layed SPARTAK ...with cover on HT SCORES and DRAW/SPARTAK......If stays 0-0 at Ht .....will lay 0-0 probably ......and recoup the HT SCORES bets IF A GOAL scored....


MGOFS 1-0 or 0-1.


GL with bets.

Layed DRAW in HT market in SPARTAK game .....to hedge DRAW/SPARTAK bet ...or gain extra profit!


To gain £24 at cost just over £3

Bursaspor v Ankaragucu....0-0 at HT

yet another goalless 1st half.....


Layed all profit off on the 0-0 back hedge bet at start.....so ...IF a goal I recoup most of loss on HT 0-0 lay.....

Yet another 0-0 at HT ...in BOCHUM game.....so


1. laying 0-0 a bit and backing 2-0 ......this gives 2-0 and 2-1 as cover for lay on BOCHUM.....


may finish 0-0 ....but hoping away team take lead.....

   
Fixtures 21 March / Bochum v Cottbus / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay         21-Mar-11
20:12           4     6.00         4     21-Mar-11 20:12    
   
Fixtures 21 March / Bochum v Cottbus / Correct Score    
    2 - 0     Back         21-Mar-11
20:11           11.5     3.00         11.5     21-Mar-11 20:11

BOCHUM game finished 1-0 ....so cost about £43 on that HIT ....plus £21 earlier .....Just one of those days where goals are few in games selected ....and BICHUM are in category of LIVERPOOL ...just hard to know when they will score/win...etc etc


Luckily £56 up from HORSES today ....so could be worse .....and there is still 2 games IP for me with bets on....and some later matches to come.....to claw into over all  profit on day....

Reduced liability on away team....and layed DRAW profit + a bit more off ...and hope a goal comes from home team......though have 2-1 backed at start ...

   
Fixtures 21 March / Gimnasia La Plata v Tigre / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay         21-Mar-11
22:55           2.64     12.00         2.64     21-Mar-11 22:55    
   
Fixtures 21 March / Gimnasia La Plata v Tigre / Match Odds    
    Tigre     Back     21-Mar-11
22:55           4     5.00         4     21-Mar-11 22:55

Fixtures 21 March / Banfield v Huracan / Match Odds       The Draw      Lay              21-Mar-11
23:51           4.1     15.00         4.1     21-Mar-11 23:52


BANFIELD should be too god for H to win.....MGOFS 1-0.

===============================================================================   
    Fixtures 21 March / Argentina U17 v Bolivia U17 / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay          21-Mar-11
23:50           6.2     6.00         6.2     21-Mar-11 23:50

ARG should win.....MGOFS 5-1.



GL with bets.
===========================================================================

Afteroon johnizere.....

I was watching film when game on ....and keeping one eye on game .....When went to 2-0 .....i decided to not do anything for a while re position. Later, i was just about to put £2 on 2-2 at 100......when it went to 2-1...... DRATTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT i thought


So made a decision to

1. LAY 2-1 a bit and

2. eliminate the liability on DRAW by putting £10 on......

I felt a goal would come ...from EITHER team.....the home team then missed 2 great chances to score ....then the late goal went in to make it 2-2.....so made a small profit on match......COULD EASILY HAVE BEEN A HIT HAD I NOT BEEN WATCHING MATCH A BIT! Here are bets made on game


Soccer > Banfield v Huracan : Correct Score     Showing 1 - 1 of 1 Selections
Selection     Odds     Stake(£)     Bid type     Placed     Profit/loss(£)
2 - 1     2.40     7.00     Lay     22-Mar-11 01:39     7.00
*Average odds: On Off     Back subtotal:     0.00
Lay subtotal:     7.00
Market subtotal:     7.00
Commission @ 3.57%:     0.25
Net Market Total:     6.75


Soccer > Banfield v Huracan : Match Odds     Showing 1 - 2 of 2 Selections
Selection     Odds     Stake(£)     Bid type     Placed     Profit/loss(£)
The Draw     6.00     10.00     Back     22-Mar-11 01:37     50.00
The Draw     4.10     15.00     Lay     21-Mar-11 23:51     -46.50
*Average odds: On Off     Back subtotal:     50.00
Lay subtotal:     -46.50
Market subtotal:     3.50
Commission @ 3.43%:     0.12
Net Market Total:     3.38


A lucky escape........RESULTS yesterday


==============================================================================================

MONDAY - DAY 23 - RESULTS   LOSS £ 23.47
Soccer / Banfield v Huracan : Correct Score 22-Mar-11 00:15  22-Mar-11 02:06  6.75
Soccer / Banfield v Huracan : Match Odds 22-Mar-11 00:15  22-Mar-11 02:06  3.38
Soccer / Gimnasia La Plata v Tigre : Correct Score 21-Mar-11 22:10  22-Mar-11 00:08  0.96
Soccer / Gimnasia La Plata v Tigre : Match Odds 21-Mar-11 22:10  22-Mar-11 00:03  16.55
Soccer / Valladolid v Girona : Half Time/Full Time 21-Mar-11 20:00  21-Mar-11 21:53  11.58
Soccer / Valladolid v Girona : Match Odds 21-Mar-11 20:00  21-Mar-11 21:53  -6.50
Soccer / Empoli v Reggina : Half Time/Full Time 21-Mar-11 19:45  21-Mar-11 21:35  11.58
Soccer / Bochum v Cottbus : Match Odds 21-Mar-11 19:15  21-Mar-11 21:07  -31.80
Soccer / Bochum v Cottbus : Half Time/Full Time 21-Mar-11 19:15  21-Mar-11 21:07  -1.99
Soccer / Bochum v Cottbus : Correct Score 21-Mar-11 19:15  21-Mar-11 21:06  -11.70
Soccer / Bursaspor v Ankaragucu : Correct Score 21-Mar-11 18:00  21-Mar-11 19:56  -14.40
Soccer / Spartak Moscow v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod : Half Time/Full Time 21-Mar-11 17:45  21-Mar-11 19:42  19.11
Soccer / Spartak Moscow v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod : Correct Score 21-Mar-11 17:45  21-Mar-11 19:41  1.93
Soccer / Spartak Moscow v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod : Match Odds 21-Mar-11 17:45  21-Mar-11 19:41  -1.50
Soccer / Bursaspor v Ankaragucu : Half Time Score 21-Mar-11 18:00  21-Mar-11 18:50  -12.90
Soccer / Spartak Moscow v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod : Half Time 21-Mar-11 17:45  21-Mar-11 18:35  -3.36
Soccer / Spartak Moscow v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod : Half Time Score 21-Mar-11 17:45  21-Mar-11 18:35  -6.00
Soccer / Lokomotiv Sofia v Minyor Pernik : Correct Score 21-Mar-11 16:00  21-Mar-11 17:50  -3.00
Soccer / Lokomotiv Sofia v Minyor Pernik : Match Odds 21-Mar-11 16:00  21-Mar-11 17:48  -2.16
==================================================================================


BOCHUM game main HIT yesterday ....they are a team that I get "wrong" now and then ( little consistency).......However, i am bound to get a game "wrong" now and then .......unfortunately goals never came in a few games yesterday when needed.....so a LOSS on FOOTBALL of £23.47 should be reduced by about £5 once ARGENTINA game played today ( abandoned last 15 mins last night when they were 2-0 up v 10 men/boys)........

PROFIT made yesterday off HORSES was £56.37 ...less LOSS say £19 = NET PROFIT over all yesterday of £ 36 roughly.....so just short of £40 daily profit target, so that is fine. BETTING BANK now today £211.67 + ARG profit to come...... Target today ....£40 .....

Onward and upward ...hopefully

Cheers the noooooooooooooooo and GL with bets today.

"Following" is OK J ....as long as you don't "follow" the bets........not that "easy2 to "follow" what the heck I'm doing with some games ...if not allllllllllllllllll....
=============================================================================

Struggling to find games to bet on that i have a "feel" for how teams play ....but will take a chance on a couple now...............................


     Fixtures 22 March / Charlton v Southampton / Correct Score       2 - 1      Back             22-Mar-11
18:23           16     2.00         16     22-Mar-11 18:23    
    Fixtures 22 March / Charlton v Southampton / Match Odds     Charlton     Lay         22-Mar-11
18:21           4.3     16.00         4.3     22-Mar-11 18:21    
    Fixtures 22 March / Charlton v Southampton / Half Time/Full Time     Charlton/Charlton     Back         22-Mar-11
18:20           8     4.00         8     22-Mar-11 18:20


SOUTHAMPTON should be fighting hard to try to win.......so CHARLTON will really have to up game to win......and , on balance, I favour the away team NOT TO LOSE. MGOFS 1-3.
============================================================================   
    Fixtures 22 March / Burton v Stevenage / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back         22-Mar-11
18:08           11     2.00         11     22-Mar-11 18:08    
    Fixtures 22 March / Burton v Stevenage / Match Odds     Burton     Lay         22-Mar-11
18:07           3.25     30.00         3.25     22-Mar-11 18:07    
    Fixtures 22 March / Burton v Stevenage / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Burton     Back          22-Mar-11
18:05           7.6     2.00         7.8     22-Mar-11 18:05    
    Fixtures 22 March / Burton v Stevenage / Half Time/Full Time     Stevenage/Burton     Back         22-Mar-11
18:05           40     2.00         40     22-Mar-11 18:05    
    Fixtures 22 March / Burton v Stevenage / Half Time/Full Time     Burton/Burton     Back          22-Mar-11
18:05           5.9     12.00         6     22-Mar-11 18:05    


BURTON likely to fight hard but just hard to see them win against a team that should be well motivated for tonight's match. MGOFS is 1-2.


GL with bets.

2-0 ....TIMING IS EVERYTHINGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG

Fixtures 22 March / Caracas FC v Univ Catolica / Half Time/Full Time       Draw/Draw      Lay             23-Mar-11
00:08           5.9     12.00         5.9     23-Mar-11 00:08

CARACAS beat UNIV CAT 1-3  recently ....and, although UN CAT beta VELEZ 3-4 , I am not sure why they are favs tonight away ???? VELEZ appear to be a poor team at present!

Looks like UNIV can't defend too well as they concede goals......and CARACAS have a great chance tonight to keep top of GROUP. MGOFS is 2-1.
================================================================================   
    Fixtures 22 March / Libertad v Once Caldas / Match Odds     Once Caldas     Lay         23-Mar-11
00:04           5.8     12.00         5.8     23-Mar-11 00:04

LIBERTAD may play for DRAW and be very defensive in this match .......as 1 point gives them good position in GROUP. Away team must go for win....which will leave them open to counter attacks.....and I suspect home team win 2-1.


GL with bets.