1% per day compound trading

ill give u a tenner if you feck off for a month

ok

Trade 2

Back Stoke@ 1.68 for £10 (matched)

Sell @ 1.65 for 1.7%

I do expect around 1.63 at the off, but could be wrong

usually inplay,but if i get offered 0.25% before a ball is kicked i am happy to oblige and move on

wish 30p was enough to please" me

Trade 2: Stoke back @ 1.68
           Stoke sell @ 1.65

Profit on trade 2: 17p
% after 2 trades: +4.8%

Trade 3-

Birmingham @1.74 (buy, matched)

Sell at 1.7

This is just about the top price since Market was posted, and must be due to the team news. It had touched close to 1.6 previously. So purely on Market reaction, I expect punters to drive this sub 1.7 by kick off, as they perceive value. Profit taking from the layers should also produce a bounce (down). Could be wrong though.

1.7 now

Trade 4: Man utd back @ 1.17 for £10
         Man Utd lay @ 1.15 for £10.17

Profit on trade; 1.7%

Running % p/l: +8.7%

Bank £10.87
(trade 3 paid out 2p more than expected for 2.3% profit instead of my previously stated 2.1% due to unavoidable uneven green up)

Was unable to compound these. I should also have added to my crappy little Man Utd blurb, that I expected favourite backers to 'pile in' at 1.17, as it was on the surface (though not in hindsight) an excellent price.

Trade 5

Celtic v Rangers back draw @ 3.55 for 10.89 (matched)
                 sell draw @ 3.5 for 1.4% profit

In this market, Celtic are overbought and Rangers oversold. The draw also is oversold, not as much as Rangers, but Ive chosen it as it is the most conservative trade in the market.

Rangers should play 4-5-1 with a very dangerous counter attack and set piece threat. Celtic will be in a quandry - should they go 4-4-2, playing Hooper plus another and risk the sucker punch, or go 4-5-1?
A point apiece would be acceptable to both teams and fans. I think this is utterly uncallable. Any result could hit here (Celtic 3-0, Rangers 3-0, 4-4, 0-0) - and i think non-partisan bettors will sense this before the off.  And as a result of this, the draw looks very possible, and at a decent price of 3.55 for a fall to around 3.4/3.45. I'm away for a lie down as Im having heart palputations thinking of that 14p tomorrow.

Ibrox, sorry for late response - Its true there are faster and greater rewards in inplay betting, but conversely, I have a much safer way of trading - I shouldnt in theory ever lose my whole bank account really. You will be exposed to your trade principal being wiped out, or at least severely diminished by goals in first minute, last minute etc- I will never go in play. But your upside is faster, your compounding greater. Good luck to you.

Good luck with this Uncle Ho. BTW-How are you administering your stop loss. I know from experience that unexpected news
(injury to a key player for example) can send the market carrering off in the wrong direction.

hi uncle your doing well keep it going,my max loss is also 5% sometimes less if odds on to start,yes an early goal makes it more interesting but i still need another 2 to lose.
5% is easy to recover and not to painfull,i am often in and out in 5 mins with 0.25% sometimes less,betis game this morning i was out in 4 mins.
I am also compounding seems to be the in thing at the moment.

Ibrox is 0.25 % your max target per game?

Trade 5: Back Celtic v Rangers draw @ 3.55 for 10.91 (note 2p more matched than previously posted)
         Sell Celtic v Rangers Draw @ 3.5 for 11.06
         Profit on trade 14p
         % on trade; 1.26%

         Bank £11.01
         Bank %: +10.1%

Trade 6- Back Chelsea @ 1.81 for £11.01
         Sell at 1.76 for 30p profit or 2.72%

There has been an over-reaction in the market to Chelsea going out the fa cup. The price has drifted from 1.6s to low 1.8s, and this trade is made near the top of the price range. The Champions League is now Chelsea's season, along with 4th place, and they will field their best available side, sending a strong back signal to the market.

1.69/1.7 have already been traded to reasonable sums, and come kick off 1.72/73 could be breached again. Limited downside on this trade with a good upside.

Out to 1.84 now, that definitley looks to long to me. Interesting topic, good luck with it.

You'd rate them as surviving just in the EPL but they have qualified for the knock-out stages ahead of Rubin and Panathin. They also drew against barca at home, i'd probably put them a little higher myself but that's just me.

Will be interested to keep an eye on this one for my curiousity now. My guess is they will hit 1.9 at some point but after that i don't know, they could start to come back in. It is a guess though, so don't read too much into it. Good luck whatever action you chose to do.

Hi Missing Rib - I believe 1.89 is the point the bet would have reached 5% loss. Currently about 1.85. Has not reached 1.89 or near it. (1.86ish max?)

I have sold £5 at 1.86 however to hedge against a failure to shorten.

I am however still mildly bullish about the prospects of as a fall -Anceloti(!) is saying all the right things and team news will be very positive. I can afford to allow a drift above 1.9 now and still fulfill the 5% stop loss, but I don't think it will reach there. How about you? What price do you think at the off?

Yes good luck with this uncle ho, let us know what you end up doing. By the way just curious as to why you think the Chelsea price will shorten when they announce a strong squad.

Surely everyone who is currently trying to trade this will already be trading under the expectation that Chelsea will field their strongest squad for this game given the size of the match. Do you think that people are trading thinking they will field a weakened side?

no dont worry this a good thread
anyone having a cry and say its fake is surely a moron anyway

The Chelsea drifted was a bit silly in my opinion they should never had touched 1.90 in my opinion let alone odds against. I topped up on them after the drift, great value bet. Then again you've got your focus on trading, although I do wonder the logic behind it sometimes. Did you back Chelsea originally thinking the price was value, and therefore would shorten? or are you simply going on a basis of which way you think the odds will move. The two things can work in contrast sometimes, you might think something represents value but you can also hold the opinion that the odds will drift for example.

Trade 8 - Back Chelsea @ 2.04 for £10.68
          Sell Chelsea @ 2.02 for £10.78
          Profit 10p
          Running p/l +10.7%

Trade 9- Inter v Bayern
         To score Mario Gomez
         Lay average 3.27 for £11.07 liability (matched)
         Back at 3.85

18 goal Gomez completed the game against Mainz, but his ankle ballooned up after the game, aggravating an old injury. Van Gaal has already stated he has confidence and a great back up in German international Klose if he has to start with him instead of Gomez. Gomez has said he has shaken off the injury, but there are real doubts about Gomez either starting, or completing the 90 minutes. Ideally he would be named as a substitute (his price would then drift out to about 7s I imagine)then come on for 15 mins, but if he starts, I would expect he would not play the 90 minutes.
Even a fully fit Gomez is too short at 3.27 at the San Siro (despite his 6 champions league goals)- this has the potential for a massive drift. If you phone up Beechams,you may be able to sell a kidney in time to get on.