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The basic problem is that most people simply don't understand the x-matcher and can't see it taking their money. If they did they would be furious.
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aye robot you're obviously very shrewd if you gave yourself no chance of ever failing at this when you started, i would even say you're "one in a million", but i'm affraid that is the exception to the rule
Of course people will start losing and for what i know they should be glad for that, not the other way around, why?, because if you start winning you'll soon think you have the midas touch and you increase the stakes and your risk and when the inevitable comes you'll have no mental structure to cope with the downturn and it is at that fase that the big problems start to happen It takes a lot of time of fine tunning your strategies, mental structure and attitude towards all the aspects of gambling to make it pay, its not a matter of if you have it or not, its a matter of if you're willing to give it all, to go against some of your basic instincts, in other words are you willing to change in order to adapt? You need this first then you can start to increase your bank, its a hard to road but if have to right attitude you'll eventually get there The early losses you have to think of them as tuition fees [;)] |
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Nice to see you back Aye Robot. Haven't seen you around for some time. I was similar in that I started out not wanting to lose money and never did.
Plenty of successful gamblers did lose or have lost in the past though. Regarding x-matching, I think it's only people who are making a profit in the first place that care, meaning the vast majority of gamblers probably don't even know what it is. |
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Could somebody explain to me how the cross matching actually or potentially adversely affects my betting, which is purely positional, all executed well before the off and at my basic choice of prices.
Maybe it does, but I'm not seeing any impact at all on my profitability. Is it really only an IR concern thus ? I want, no I need , to be angry about all this, just like Aye Robot and the Mgt. |
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You get the whingers in all walks of life Froggy...
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No maybe they have a vaid point on this, particularly on the IR side.
I would really like to know exactly if and how it impacts all and sundry though. And it's about time I got angry about something BF related. I'm feeling left out in all these tirades about how unfiar it is of BF to have come along as an alternative to the greedy, one-way bookies, and let us all have a fair chance of winning and not be banned. That's all. |
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I just find it all a bit bizarre that people are constantly finding fault with BF. No company is perfect. Without BF where would you lot be I wonder...
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That I do agree with.
Talk about looking a gift horse in the mouth. Amazing really when you think about it. Of course BF is not perfect. Both you and I and many others have never claimed that. But to insinuate, as the Mgt. does over and over again, that BF has a deliberate corporate policy to bleed their customers dry at every opportunity they get, is just plain ridiculous. |
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I am beginning to think he has another agenda. Is he a bookie?...or does he work for the Purple one?
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The Management - my bank is currently 0. i am not on this level of know-how about gambling. to be honest, the last page or so is a foriegn language. at least i admit that.
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Were BF a stock or securities exchange, then XM would get senior management thrown in Jail.
For the record XM has little or no impact on me. You might call me a micro-trend trader. |
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In fairness Jimmy, most people on here only see things from their own perspective hence their own agenda. Its horses for course and I think Aye Robot thinks that what affects him affects others. As frames has alluded to this is not necessarily the case. More then one way to skin a cat, and I personally have no problem with Betfair
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Evolution , sometimes good - sometimes bad
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aye robot - correct me if I'm wrong but it sounds as though you've been successful in the past from taking advantage of rapid price movements that have over-reacted during in-running contests and have managed to do so via your bots before the market has had time to adjust.
E.g if Price A shortens by x% then price B will lengthen by x% etc so get in before anyone notices. If I'm more or less in the right ball park, surely you must have known that Betfair would clamp down on people like yourself at some point and end up taking the share for themselves? This post isn't meant to be a dig, it just appears that your edge has been based on being technically more efficient than those running the site. |
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Don't know why folk feel the need to use technology to get one over on fellow players , bots ,fast pics etc
Betfair did the right thing back then with x matching , if you can't use your brain to make a crust on here using manual methods then try something else for a living [;)] |
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[smiley:crazy]this conversation (on my thread) is a totall mystery to 99% of the british population. what happened to traditional straight betting on whether something will win lose or draw.
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Why are you still here then The Management? I don't really understand that at all.
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it's my thread, i want him here
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I no more work for them than the Man in the Moon does. I think you are after a perfect life...something which doesn't exist my friend
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Bottom line the Mgt. is that what I do, and hopefully you also I think, on here from a money making perspective would get me banned permanently from all other traditional bookies in the world.
So I am eternally grateful for the founders of BF coming up with and developing their tremendous alternative to my having nothing to show from my successful gambling skills. Btw I'm still hoping to learn why cross matching is detrimental to my financial health. |
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and what is it you DO frog man?
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Frog works for Betfair...don't we all
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I gamble manually in the old fashioned way on the result of whatever sporting event I'm looking at, before the event starts and never during it.
Revealing eh ? |
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I'm unemployable Jimmy with the gaps in my cv. Like having not had a job now for over 25 years.
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And I'm not that old either.
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now there's a breathe of fresh air. if true. gambling we all know and love.
so why wud that get u banned? |
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..bugger...that's 4 more than me
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I do exactly the same as you Froggy...rarely bet in play.
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and what have you done instead for 25 years?
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Paulol
Why do you think? Because bookies love losing money to their customers ? |
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You'll never catch me then Jimmy.
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hmm ive won money and never been banned!?
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Yeah but you've given it back to them the next day and more.
They love your type. |
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ok so what have u done for 25 years? claimed benefit of tony blair?
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Nope.
Never claimed a benefit of any type any where any time. |
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I robbed one.
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Now you're talking.
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I think the post that marky sparky posted earlier is a good assessment of those most " at risk " of BF copying their bot driven strategies and not leaving too much on the table due to technical inefficiencies.
I and most others are not in that league and are thus not over bothered by it. But if I was I can understand how it might be quite annoying to say the least. |
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Right, I've been out enjoying myself and now I'm a little bit drunk but hopefully not too drunk to answer some of the questions on this thread. So here goes:
Investor, I took a holiday over the last couple of months... I kept betting whilst I was away but didn't post much, now I'm back in the thick of it though, fighting the bad fight. I think you're completely right that most people don't notice the x-matcher because it only negatively impacts winners and they are a small group. The x-matcher is not like PC, you don't see a big chunk of money disappear every wednesday, instead it gets you bit by bit- a slightly worse price here, an unmatched bet there, but it all adds up to much, much more. Marky Sparky,you're right that I make money by looking for over reactions in fast moving markets (that's no secret) although you're not right about the detail. That puts me right in the firing line for the X-matcher as it's job is to prevent the market from over-reacting and thereby showing value. This effects me more markedly than most, but it still effects everyone whether they realise it or not because it means that fewer value prices are available. The effect of the x-matcher is always to move prices closer to true value and that's bad for all winning players (but good for losing ones). Again - whether they know, understand or can quantify this is neither here nor there, it gets you whether you realise it or not. Even if you're winning, you're still not winning as much as you would be without it. Although it effects different players to different degrees it does effect all players who play in x-matched markets, even pre-off position takers don't get quite the price they would have done without it, the difference may seem extremely small but it adds up. On complaining about Betfair - although I'm not delighted about the x-matcher I can well understand why they've done it, it must be making them an absolute killing and if I was them I would have done it ages ago. I don't like it, but it's fair enough. I've always been a defender of Betfair and I still am, but at a rough guess I'd say the x-matcher has cost me 40k of lost winning so far so you can understand why I'm not too chuffed about that. On a related note - has anyone else noticed a marked decrease in PC winging threads since the introduction of the x-matcher? Personally I haven't paid a penny of PC since it came in and I have a feeling I'm not alone. For me this confirms what I've always said - the only thing worse than paying PC is NOT paying PC. |